Core Insights - The annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank are taking place in Marrakech, Morocco, with the participation of Moroccan officials [1] - Morocco has deepened its collaboration with the IMF and World Bank since hosting the meetings in 2023, securing significant financing for development projects [1] Group 1: Financing and Projects - Morocco has received over $28 billion from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) for 215 ongoing projects by the end of 2025, focusing on infrastructure, social security, and climate resilience [1] - The IBRD offers loans at lower costs compared to commercial loans, with interest rates ranging from 5% to 6% [1] - The International Finance Corporation (IFC) has invested nearly $200 million in Morocco's agriculture, financial services, green energy, and earthquake recovery projects, providing financing to private enterprises [1][2] Group 2: Risk Management and Conditions - The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) provides political and sovereign risk guarantees to investors, with Morocco paying millions annually for these assurances [2] - The IMF approved a $1.3 billion project under the Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) for Morocco in September 2023, which includes policy conditions for reforms in electricity, subsidies, and public-private partnerships [2][3] - The IMF will conduct three reviews of Morocco's reform progress, with the final loan disbursement scheduled for March 2025 [2][3]

Group 1 - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) postponed the voting on the global shipping net-zero framework (NZF) for one year, which aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from ships [1] - The NZF includes two components: global fuel emission standards and a pricing mechanism for greenhouse gas emissions from ships, requiring vessels to gradually reduce the greenhouse gas intensity of their fuel [1] - The framework applies to large ocean-going vessels over 5,000 gross tons, which currently account for approximately 85% of global shipping CO2 emissions [1] Group 2 - The Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has emphasized promoting green transformation in the shipbuilding industry, including expanding the market for LNG engines and developing low-carbon fuels like methanol and ammonia [2] - A comprehensive support system for promoting green shipping has been established in China, with major companies like Sinopec, PetroChina, and Shanghai Electric already making advancements in the production and supply of green marine fuels [2] - Domestic ports such as Shanghai Yangshan Port and Ningbo Zhoushan Port have the capability to refuel vessels with LNG and green methanol [2] Group 3 - The transition to green energy in the shipping industry faces challenges in terms of cost and technology, but the global trend towards green shipping is expected to continue [3] - Industry experts recommend that relevant departments and companies gradually improve their industrial layout to effectively respond to future challenges [3]

Report Information - Report Title: High - frequency Economic Weekly (2025.10.12 - 2025.10.18) [3] - Date: October 18, 2025 [1] - Analysts: Huang Weiping, Lv Qiang, Wang Zheyi [1] 1. Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents an analysis of the economic situation from multiple aspects during the period of 2025.10.12 - 2025.10.18, indicating that the industrial production shows a seasonal rebound, personnel flow increases while freight prices decline slightly, consumption has mixed performance, construction investment is weak but the real - estate market rebounds seasonally, and export port throughput decreases with differentiated shipping indices. Also, various major policy events have occurred during this period [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Large - Scale Assets - This week, bond indices generally rose, stock indices generally fell, most commodities declined, and foreign currencies generally appreciated. The ChinaBond 7 - 10 - year China Development Bank Bond Index had the largest weekly increase of 0.33%. The STAR 50 Index had the largest weekly decline of 6.16%. The Nanhua Precious Metals Index had the largest increase of 10.76%, and the Nanhua Energy and Chemicals Index had the largest decline of 3.43%. The Japanese yen had the largest increase against the RMB with a weekly increase of 1.22%, and the US dollar appreciated against the RMB with a weekly increase of 0.05% [3]. 3.2. Industrial Production - Production showed a seasonal rebound. From the upstream, the weekly coal consumption in the national power plant sample area decreased by 1.27% week - on - week. The petroleum asphalt plant operation rate increased by 1.30 percentage points to 35.80% week - on - week, the blast furnace operation rate remained the same as last week at 84.25%, and the crude steel output increased by 7.57% week - on - week. In the real - estate chain, the rebar operation rate increased by 1.35 percentage points to 41.33% week - on - week, the float glass operation rate increased by 0.34 percentage points to 76.65%, and the mill operation rate decreased by 0.49 percentage points to 37.89% week - on - week. In the consumer goods chain, the polyester filament operation rate decreased by 0.03 percentage points to 91.06% week - on - week, the PTA operation rate decreased by 1.92 percentage points to 75.56%, and the methanol operation rate increased by 4.00 percentage points to 84.38% week - on - week. In the automobile chain, the automobile semi - steel tire operation rate increased by 26.21 percentage points to 72.72% week - on - week, and the automobile all - steel tire operation rate increased by 20.56 percentage points to 64.52% week - on - week [3]. 3.3. People and Goods Flow - Personnel flow increased, and freight prices declined slightly. The 7 - day moving average (7DMA) of the national migration scale index increased by 3.25% week - on - week. The 7DMA of the number of domestic flights decreased by 0.66% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of international flights decreased by 0.11% week - on - week. The subway passenger volumes in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou all decreased. The 4 - week moving average (4WMA) of the road logistics freight rate index decreased by 0.02% week - on - week, and the total volume was higher than the same period in previous years [3]. 3.4. Consumption - Automobile retail sales declined, and prices showed a mixed performance. The previous - period automobile wholesale decreased by 1.00% year - on - year, and retail increased by 7.00% year - on - year. Both the 4WMA of the wholesale year - on - year growth rate and the 4WMA of the retail year - on - year growth rate declined. The weekly box office of movies decreased by 73% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of movie - goers decreased by 73% week - on - week. Agricultural product prices showed a mixed performance. The pork price decreased by 2.38% week - on - week, and the vegetable price increased by 0.13% week - on - week [3]. 3.5. Investment - Construction showed weak performance, and the real - estate market rebounded seasonally. The cement storage capacity ratio increased by 1.6 percentage points week - on - week, the cement price index increased by 0.01% week - on - week, and the cement shipment rate decreased by 2.1 percentage points week - on - week. The rebar inventory decreased by 2.4% week - on - week, the proportion of profitable steel mills nationwide decreased by 0.9 percentage points week - on - week, and the apparent demand for rebar decreased by 39.4% week - on - week. Overall, the terminal demand for construction was weak. The 7DMA of the commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities increased by 171.0% week - on - week. By city - tier, the commercial housing transaction areas in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities all increased. The 7DMA of the second - hand housing transaction area in 16 cities increased by 165.6% week - on - week, and the national second - hand housing listing price index decreased by 0.1% week - on - week. The land transaction area in 100 large and medium - sized cities increased, and the land transaction premium rate decreased week - on - week [3]. 3.6. Export - Port throughput decreased, and shipping indices showed a mixed performance. The weekly port cargo throughput decreased by 8.4% week - on - week, and the container throughput decreased by 6.1% week - on - week. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increased by 6.87% week - on - week, the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) increased by 12.92% week - on - week, and the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) decreased by 4.11% week - on - week [3]. 3.7. Major Policies/Events - On October 13, the year - on - year export in September 2025 was 8.3%, exceeding expectations. On October 14, China imposed countermeasures on 5 US subsidiaries of South Korea's Hwa Ocean Co., Ltd. On October 14, the central bank announced a 6 - month repurchase of 600 billion yuan on October 15. On October 15, the year - on - year growth rates of CPI and PPI improved moderately. On October 15, the year - on - year growth rate of the stock of social financing decreased. On October 17, the central government allocated 500 billion yuan from the local government debt balance limit to local governments [3].

Core Viewpoint - The ESG China Innovation Annual Conference (2025) and the first ESG International Expo will be held in Beijing from October 24 to 26, aiming to stimulate ESG innovation among Chinese enterprises and promote the construction of a Chinese-style ESG system [2][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The annual conference is co-hosted by the China Enterprise Reform and Development Research Association and Shougang Group, focusing on "full-chain innovation leading green transformation for the future" [2]. - The event aligns with national strategies such as Chinese-style modernization and green low-carbon development, serving as a key practice to advance China's ESG initiatives [2]. Group 2: Conference Structure - The main forum will include leadership speeches, the release of seven core outcomes, industry leader presentations, and roundtable discussions, featuring the "2025 Annual ESG Practice Report" and China's first ESG large model [3]. - Fifteen parallel sessions will cover topics like "theoretical innovation driving development in Chinese-style ESG" and "ESG innovation and new opportunities in green finance," creating a comprehensive logical chain from concept to practice [3]. Group 3: International Expo - The first ESG International Expo is the world's first international expo focusing on Chinese-style ESG practices, featuring three innovations: bilateral exchange of local achievements and international experiences, precise zoning by state-owned enterprises, local state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, and financial sectors, and interactive formats like VR experiences [3][4]. - The expo has attracted over 70 participating organizations, including 15 central enterprises, 14 local state-owned enterprises, 10 private enterprises, 18 foreign enterprises, one local government, nine international organizations, and four public welfare organizations, showcasing diversity, internationalization, and public welfare characteristics [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the Chinese stock market and gold prices, analyzing the driving forces behind these trends and providing investment advice for ordinary investors. Stock Market Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index is approaching the 4000-point mark, indicating a ten-year high in the stock market [3] - The stock market's momentum is attributed to various factors, including improvements in listed companies' fundamentals, declining interest rates, and policy stimuli [10][12] - The market is characterized by high turnover rates, leading to elevated valuations, making it challenging for investors to profit [6][7] - The concept of a "slow bull" market is discussed, suggesting that a sustained upward trend over three to five years would be necessary to confirm this classification [9][10] Investment Psychology - Investors often struggle with greed and fear, which can lead to poor investment decisions [4] - The importance of understanding the fundamentals of listed companies and avoiding herd mentality is emphasized [5][6] Gold Market Insights - Gold prices have surged, recently surpassing $4300 per ounce, raising concerns about potential overvaluation [3][41] - The article suggests caution in investing in gold at current high prices, advocating for a more strategic approach to asset allocation [36][40] Economic Context - The article highlights the disconnect between stock market performance and economic growth, noting that corporate profit growth remains low despite rising stock prices [16][19] - The potential for a shift in asset allocation from real estate to the stock market is discussed, as traditional investment avenues become less viable [28][29] Future Outlook - The article posits that for a sustainable "slow bull" market, corporate earnings growth must exceed 10% [16] - The need for a more mature capital market that embraces value investing and improves corporate governance is emphasized [8][12]

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - The gold market is experiencing a surge, with signs of increasing market enthusiasm, including rising implied volatility and domestic gold premiums [1] - There is a concern about the possibility of a short-term peak in gold prices, despite the long-term bullish trend [1] - Historical patterns suggest that if the current environment is indeed a super bull market for gold, prices may continue to rise for another 2-3 years [1] Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - The current silver market is characterized by a significant short squeeze, differing from earlier market conditions influenced by tariffs [2] - The arbitrage mechanism between New York and London is crucial, with the current situation involving a reverse arbitrage strategy [2][3] - The complexity and risk of the reverse arbitrage mechanism are higher than the traditional arbitrage, as it requires holding physical silver [3] Group 3: U.S. Trade Policies Impact - The U.S. has implemented new port fees for Chinese shipping companies, increasing costs significantly for both West and East Coast routes [4] - A 100% tariff on imports from China is set to take effect in November, which may weaken demand in the short term but the impact is expected to be limited [5] Group 4: Copper Market Outlook - Recent U.S. tariffs have heightened concerns about global economic prospects, impacting copper demand expectations [11] - Supply constraints are emerging, particularly with the Grasberg mine facing significant production cuts, leading to a projected copper supply deficit [11][12] - Global copper inventories have increased recently, but ongoing supply tightness may lead to further inventory depletion [12] Group 5: Macro Economic Trends - The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts and the domestic "anti-involution" trend may lead to a structural bull market in commodities [13] - The Chinese economy is showing signs of weak recovery, with internal demand issues exacerbated by real estate sector challenges [14][16] - The market is closely monitoring the execution of anti-involution policies and their impact on economic recovery [17]

Core Points - The ESG China Innovation Annual Conference (2025) and the first ESG International Expo will be held from October 24 to October 26 in Beijing, focusing on "full-chain innovation leading green transformation" [1] - The conference aims to stimulate ESG innovation actions among Chinese enterprises and promote the construction of a Chinese-style ESG system, responding to national strategies such as modernization and green low-carbon development [1][3] - This year's conference marks a transition from the previous focus on ESG concept popularization and industry chain collaboration to a deeper emphasis on full-chain innovation and transformation [1][2] Event Structure - The conference will adopt a "1+15+1" structure, featuring one main forum, fifteen parallel sessions, and one ESG international expo, serving as a "showcase, connector, and accelerator" for ESG practices in China [2] - The main forum will include leadership speeches, the release of seven core outcomes, industry leader presentations, and roundtable discussions, with key outcomes such as the "2025 Annual ESG Practice Report" and the first ESG large model [2] - The fifteen parallel sessions will cover topics like "theoretical innovation driving development," "new opportunities in ESG innovation and green finance," and "digital technology empowering ESG innovation," ensuring a comprehensive discussion from concept to practice [2] Participation and Impact - The conference is expected to gather over a thousand representatives from government, various enterprises, international organizations, and academic institutions across dozens of key industries, including energy, manufacturing, finance, and technology [3] - The first ESG International Expo has attracted over 70 participating organizations, including central enterprises, local state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, foreign enterprises, and international organizations, highlighting the diversity and internationalization of the event [3] - Notably, over 37% of the participating organizations are from overseas, showcasing the global influence of China's ESG practices and facilitating efficient connections between domestic and international ESG systems [3]

Group 1 - The ESG China Innovation Conference 2025 and the first ESG International Expo will be held in Beijing from October 24 to 26, focusing on "full-chain innovation leading green transformation" [1] - The conference aims to stimulate ESG innovation actions among Chinese enterprises and promote the construction of a Chinese-style ESG system, responding to national strategies such as modernization and low-carbon development [1][3] - This year's conference marks a key transition in China's ESG development from concept to practice, emphasizing deep transformation through full-chain innovation [1] Group 2 - The conference will feature a "1+15+1" structure, including one main forum, fifteen parallel sessions, and one ESG international expo, serving as a showcase, connector, and accelerator for ESG practices in China [2] - The main forum will include leadership speeches, the release of seven core results, and roundtable discussions, with key outcomes such as the 2025 ESG Practice Report and China's first ESG large model [2] - The first ESG International Expo will highlight bilateral exchanges between local achievements and international experiences, with over 70 participating institutions, showcasing a diverse and international character [3] Group 3 - The conference will gather over a thousand representatives from government, various enterprises, international organizations, and academic institutions across key industries such as energy, manufacturing, finance, and technology [3] - The expo will feature more than 37% of overseas participating institutions, demonstrating the global influence of China's ESG practices and facilitating efficient connections between domestic and international ESG systems [3] - The event aims to enhance the sustainable development capabilities and international competitiveness of Chinese enterprises, contributing Chinese wisdom and solutions to global ESG governance [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - The A - share market is expected to experience continued volatility due to the escalation of Sino - US trade disputes, high valuations in the technology sector, and high uncertainty in end - of - month negotiations. Short - term strategies can include arbitrage (long large - cap blue - chips and short small - cap growth stocks) and reducing positions. Attention can be paid to defensive sectors and policy - beneficial sectors [13]. - The bond market is expected to stabilize in October, but a counter - offensive may require a resurgence of easing expectations. The short - term stock - bond seesaw is significant, and the bond market's safe - haven sentiment is boosted by the frictions in the external environment. The sustainability of the bond market's strength is questionable, and it is advisable to wait patiently for better bond - market allocation opportunities, which may appear in the second half of the fourth quarter [100][110]. - For the shipping index, the spot freight rates are currently falling, but the shipping companies are raising prices for the second half of October and November, and there is an expectation of a price increase in the far - month contracts. The December contract has the opportunity for an oversold correction [130]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Stock Index 3.1.1 Market Review - Since the beginning of the year, the A - share market has shown a trend of short - term correction followed by a strong run, a sharp decline after external shocks and then a rebound and continuous upward movement, and consolidation after the realization of positive news and a stalemate in negotiations. The market has been affected by various factors such as technological trends, economic concerns, trade policies, and policy stimuli [7]. - From October 13 - 17, 2025, the A - share market declined with reduced trading volume. The futures market was generally weaker than the spot market. The market is expected to continue to fluctuate due to Sino - US trade disputes and high valuations in the technology sector [10][13]. 3.1.2 Transaction and Position Analysis - Stock index trading volume increased. The average daily trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased compared to the previous week. The overall position of the stock index also increased [14]. 3.1.3 Basis, Inter - period Spread, and Inter - variety Spread Analysis - Basis trends were divergent. The basis of CSI 300 widened, SSE 50 changed from premium to discount, CSI 500 basis widened, and CSI 1000 basis narrowed [18][19]. - The inter - period spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM all showed negative values and widened. The same was true for the spreads between the current - quarter and the current - month contracts [25]. - Large - cap blue - chips performed relatively better. The ratios of different indices were at different historical percentile levels and changed compared to the previous period [27]. 3.1.4 Industry Sector Overview - In the CSI 300, the financial, energy, and public sectors led the gains, while the information, communication, and pharmaceutical sectors led the losses. In the CSI 500, the energy sector led the gains, and the information, raw material, and industrial sectors led the losses [30][31]. - At the primary industry level, the banking, coal, and food and beverage sectors led the gains, while the electronics, media, and automobile sectors led the losses [32][34]. 3.1.5 Valuation Comparison - As of October 17, 2025, the rolling price - to - earnings ratios of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were at different levels and historical percentile positions [36]. 3.2 Treasury Bonds 3.2.1 This Week's Market Review - **Treasury Bond Futures Market**: The A - share market's performance affected the bond market. The long - end futures generally outperformed the cash bonds. There were certain positive arbitrage opportunities in each contract, and the basis of 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year bonds was relatively low with potential for upward regression. Due to poor liquidity, it is not recommended to participate in the inter - period strategy of the 2603 contract. A flattening strategy (short short - end and long long - end) can be considered [41][43][58][62]. - **Bond Cash Market**: Most treasury bond spot yields declined this week. A - share adjustments boosted the sentiment of long - term bonds, and long - end yields declined more significantly. US bond yields also declined across the board [71]. - **Funding Situation**: At the beginning of the month, the funding pressure was low, and the central bank mainly conducted net withdrawals. The funding situation returned to a relaxed state, and there was no liquidity stratification between banks and non - banks. Funding rates fluctuated [77][78]. - **Interest Rate Derivatives**: Most yields of interest rate swaps declined this week, and the liquidity expectation was stable [94]. 3.2.2 Market Analysis - **Recent Market Logic**: The bond market is expected to stabilize in October, but a counter - offensive may require a resurgence of easing expectations. The sustainability of the bond market's strength is questionable, and it is advisable to wait patiently for better allocation opportunities [100]. - **This Week's Fundamental Situation**: September's export data was better than expected, but inflation and social financing were still weak. Export growth may face risks in the later period, inflation showed slow recovery, and social financing had both negative and positive signals [101][102]. - **Next Week's Bond Market Outlook**: The short - term stock - bond seesaw is significant, and the bond market's safe - haven sentiment is boosted by the frictions in the external environment. Attention should be paid to next week's economic data [110]. 3.2.3 Next Week's Open - Market Maturities and Important Economic Calendar Next week, there will be a total of 7891 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities in the open market, and there will be important economic data such as September's LPR loan quotes and third - quarter economic data [112]. 3.3 Shipping Index 3.3.1 Market Review The SCFIS continued to decline for 13 consecutive weeks, but shipping companies raised freight rates for the second half of October and November, and China's counter - measures against the US improved the sentiment of far - month contracts [114]. 3.3.2 Container Shipping Market Situation - **Spot Market**: Freight rates on most ocean routes rebounded, and shipping companies raised freight rates for the second half of October and November. Although the full implementation of the price increase may be difficult, a bottom - up trend is likely to form, which is expected to boost the expectations of far - month contracts [120]. - **Supply - Demand Fundamentals of Container Shipping**: On the supply side, the container shipping capacity in Europe in October was at a relatively high level in the off - season, and the potential capacity is expected to continue to grow. The actual capacity decreased slightly, but the supply pressure still exists. The progress of the cease - fire agreement in the Red Sea is uncertain, and it is unlikely to bring additional supply pressure this year. On the demand side, the eurozone's economic indicators showed a slowdown, and the macro - demand continued weak recovery, which may have limited support for container shipping prices [125][126]. 3.3.3 Market Outlook In October, it is the traditional off - season, and the supply pressure still exists. However, shipping companies are raising prices for the end - of - year long - term contract season, and there is an expectation of price increases in far - month contracts. The December contract has the opportunity for an oversold correction [130].

Core Viewpoint - The company, 重塑能源 (02570), announced a share buyback plan, indicating a strategic move to enhance shareholder value through repurchasing shares at a cost of approximately HKD 626,300 for 4,500 shares [1] Summary by Categories - **Company Actions** - 重塑能源 plans to repurchase 4,500 shares at a total expenditure of about HKD 626,300, scheduled for October 17, 2025 [1]