Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "Guiding Opinions" issued by the Shanghai Municipal State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and the Shanghai Federation of Industry and Commerce, aimed at promoting collaboration between state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and private enterprises (PEs) in Shanghai, enhancing mutual empowerment and development. Group 1: Talent Exchange and Governance - The "Guiding Opinions" support qualified outstanding private enterprise executives to serve as external directors of state-owned enterprises [1][9]. Group 2: Collaborative Development - The document encourages SOEs and PEs to engage in mutual entry and cross-shareholding, optimizing corporate equity structures to develop a mixed-ownership economy [3]. - It promotes the establishment of joint laboratories between SOEs and PEs, particularly in key industries, to deepen cooperation through technology sharing and joint innovation [4]. Group 3: Asset Management and Resource Utilization - The "Guiding Opinions" advocate for the joint development of existing housing and land resources, with SOEs creating platforms for PEs to participate in urban renewal and renovation projects [6]. - It encourages collaboration in operating existing assets, including participation in asset securitization and the establishment of venture capital and acquisition funds [7]. Group 4: Financial Support and Innovation - The document emphasizes the need for state-owned financial enterprises to enhance support for PEs, including tailored credit products and insurance offerings for technology-driven enterprises [8]. - It encourages the establishment of CVC funds and acquisition funds focusing on core business areas [8]. Group 5: Ecosystem Development - The "Guiding Opinions" propose building a cooperative platform for SOEs and PEs to promote deep integration of innovation, industry, finance, and talent [10]. - It aims to protect the legitimate rights and interests of all parties involved in SOE-PE cooperation, fostering a positive environment for collaboration [11]. Group 6: Implementation and Future Steps - The Shanghai Municipal State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and the Shanghai Federation of Industry and Commerce will jointly promote the implementation of the "Guiding Opinions" to facilitate broader and deeper cooperation between SOEs and PEs [14].

Group 1 - The State Council of China, led by Premier Li Qiang, is promoting the replication of pilot measures from the China (Shanghai) Free Trade Zone and is reviewing new models for real estate development [2] - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline, with major indices falling over 1%, including the Dow Jones down 1.79% and the Nasdaq down 1.3% [2] - International gold prices rose, with spot gold increasing by 1.4% to $3433.35 per ounce, while oil prices also surged, with WTI crude oil up 7.55% to $73.18 per barrel [3] Group 2 - The European stock indices all fell, with Germany's DAX down 1.07% and France's CAC40 down 1.04% [4] - As of the end of May, China's M2 money supply reached 325.78 trillion yuan, growing by 7.9% year-on-year, while M1 increased by 2.3% [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has issued new regulations for the management of algorithmic trading in the futures market, effective from October 2025 [6] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is seeking public opinions on the "Automobile Data Export Security Guidelines (2025 Edition)" [7] - The Chinese defense ministry has expressed strong dissatisfaction with Japan's recent military provocations and has called for an end to such actions [8] - The official report on the "Luo Mouyu Fall Incident" indicates that the case was ruled a suicide, with investigations ongoing [8] Group 4 - Guizhou Moutai announced an adjustment to its profit distribution plan for 2024, increasing the cash dividend per share from 27.624 yuan to 27.673 yuan [14] - Tencent has clarified that it is not considering acquiring Nexon, dispelling market speculation [15] - Ant Group has changed its legal representative to CEO Han Xinyi, while the core management team remains unchanged [16] Group 5 - Huaxia Happiness's debt restructuring has faced challenges, with a significant portion of shareholders opposing a key proposal [19] - Zijin Mining reported that its largest copper mine, Kamoa-Kakula, is expected to see a production decrease of over 22% year-on-year due to operational suspensions [25] - The company Chasing has denied rumors regarding a failed bet and is actively addressing false information spread about it [27]

除了入场与出场时的理由要相互一致外，入场时，对于时间的要求，也要以始为终。入场时，只是想做 个短线，那出场时，就不能拖太久，不要短线做成长线，长线做成股东。 ——笔记哥《应对》 【笔记20250613— 世界最近太乱了（+中东局势升级+股市下跌-上午资金面收敛+金融数据偏弱+央行 4000亿买断式逆回购=微下)】 | | | | 银行间资金 | (2025.06.13) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 回购代码 | 加权利率 | 变化 | 利率走势 | 最高利率 | 变化 | 成交量 (亿 | 变化量 | 成义童占 | | | (%) | (bp) | (近30天) | (%) | (bp) | 元) | (亿元) | 比 (%) | | R001 | 1.46 | | VV | 1.74 | -30 | 70663. 67 | -2608. 13 | 89. 89 | | R007 | 1.58 | 10 | | 2.05 | 0 | 7431. 20 | -1142.96 | 9.45 | | R014 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges facing the US dollar as a traditional safe-haven currency amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, highlighting cracks in the dollar's global dominance in the financial markets this year [1][3]. Group 1: Dollar's Performance and Market Reactions - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has fallen approximately 8% this year, primarily due to concerns over the US economy's potential growth and the impact of Trump's trade policies [3]. - Following the news of Israel's airstrikes on Iran, the dollar initially dropped but later strengthened against most major currencies, coinciding with a 10% surge in WTI crude oil futures [1][3]. - On Thursday, the Bloomberg Dollar Index hit a three-year low, driven by fears of tariff increases and a deteriorating economic outlook for the US [1][3]. Group 2: Analysts' Insights - Analysts from Vantage Markets and the National Australia Bank express concerns that the dollar's status as a safe-haven asset is weakening due to issues related to economic stability, liquidity, and creditworthiness [1][3]. - The geopolitical implications of the Israeli attacks suggest that the US may be retreating from its leadership role, potentially allowing other nations to pursue their agendas [3][4]. - Market strategist Mark Cudmore notes that the recent dollar rebound is more related to the US's position as the largest oil producer rather than a traditional safe-haven flow [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Wall Street investment banks have increasingly adopted a bearish outlook on the dollar, citing pressures from potential interest rate cuts and slowing economic growth [3]. - Macro hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones predicts a significant depreciation of the dollar, estimating a 10% decline within a year due to anticipated rate cuts [3].

Group 1 - The US stock market experienced a slight decline, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 42865.77, down 1.10 points, and the Nasdaq Composite Index at 19615.88, down 99.11 points, indicating a cautious market sentiment [2][3] - The latest US core CPI for May was reported at 2.8%, slightly below the market expectation of 2.9%, suggesting that the ongoing trade war has not significantly impacted US prices [3] - Following the CPI data release, market expectations shifted towards two potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year, with President Trump advocating for a more aggressive rate cut of 1% [3] Group 2 - The A-share market opened lower and showed weak fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index struggling to maintain above 3400 points, while banks reached new highs [4] - The A-share market's trading volume has stabilized around 1.2 trillion, significantly lower than the levels seen since last year, indicating a decrease in incremental capital [6] - The number of new individual and institutional accounts opened in the A-share market has slowed down, reflecting a decrease in new capital inflow, while southbound capital has continued to flow in, nearing 700 billion this year [8] Group 3 - The market sentiment appears cautious, with a notable number of stocks declining, as 2868 stocks fell while only 2327 rose, and only 74 stocks hit the daily limit up [7] - The Hang Seng AH premium index has dropped below the critical level of 128, indicating a divergence in performance between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [9][11] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high, but the ChiNext and Shenzhen Composite Index have not yet formed a clear top structure, suggesting potential market volatility ahead [13]

Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market has experienced a significant price decline, with carbon emission allowances (CEA) dropping to 68.48 yuan/ton, a decrease of approximately 35% from the historical high of around 105 yuan/ton reached in November of the previous year. This decline is attributed to weakened demand, increased supply expectations, and deteriorating market sentiment. However, long-term prospects suggest that carbon prices may stabilize and rise due to tightening policies, industrial upgrades, and deeper international linkages [1][2][4]. Group 1: Price Decline Factors - The primary demand side for carbon market is thermal power, which has seen a decrease in generation, directly impacting the motivation to purchase carbon allowances. From January to April, total electricity generation, including thermal power, grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, significantly lower than the 6.1% growth in the same period last year [2]. - The manufacturing PMI fell below 50 after April due to trade frictions, leading to a slowdown in industrial electricity growth. Additionally, higher temperatures this year have reduced residential electricity consumption, further impacting demand for carbon allowances [2]. - The introduction of a "zero gap" for new industry allowances and the restart of the voluntary emission reduction market (CCER) have also contributed to downward pressure on prices [3]. Group 2: Long-term Market Outlook - Despite the current price decline, there is a consensus that the long-term upward trend of carbon prices remains intact. The total allowance will tighten annually in line with the "dual carbon" goals, leading to increased scarcity [4]. - The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), set to impose a "carbon tax" in 2026, is expected to align domestic carbon prices with major markets [4]. - The transition of high-emission industries will require higher carbon price signals, supporting the long-term price increase [4]. Group 3: Financial Innovations and Risk Management - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has proposed the development of carbon futures, which will help companies manage carbon price volatility through hedging strategies [5]. - The establishment of a well-functioning carbon futures market is seen as essential for stabilizing carbon costs and avoiding adverse impacts on business operations due to price fluctuations [5][6]. - The future development of a carbon futures market is viewed as an opportunity for gaining international pricing power in major energy commodities [6].

Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-U.S. economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, where both sides reached a consensus on key economic issues and measures to implement the important consensus from the June 5 call between the two heads of state [1][2] - The Chinese side expressed hope that the progress made in the London talks would enhance trust between China and the U.S. and promote stable and healthy development of bilateral economic relations, contributing positively to global economic growth [2] - The Shenzhen Municipal Committee emphasized the need to deepen reforms and expand openness, focusing on integrating education, technology, and talent systems to drive high-quality development of the real economy [2] Group 2 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange held a meeting to discuss the "Science and Technology Innovation Board" one year after its launch, aiming to enhance the market mechanisms and attract more social capital into key national support areas [2] - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported that from January to May, automobile production and sales reached 12.826 million and 12.748 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 12.7% and 10.9% [2] - New energy vehicles accounted for 44% of total new car sales, with production and sales of 5.699 million and 5.608 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45.2% and 44% [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment emphasized the need for a special rectification action against illegal dumping of solid waste, aiming to comprehensively investigate and rectify issues related to illegal waste disposal [3] - Beijing Yizhuang announced the world's first embodiment intelligent robot 4S store, set to debut during the 2025 World Robot Conference, with over 100 companies expressing interest in joining the robot industry park [3] - The Yunnan Provincial Government issued a three-year action plan to cultivate specialized and innovative enterprises, focusing on developing new products and industries in key areas such as non-ferrous metals and digital information [3] Group 4 - The Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce and 17 other departments issued measures to support the overseas expansion of the gaming industry, including increased financial support for game exports [4] Group 5 - The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.4% year-on-year in May, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 2.8% [5] Group 6 - Investment firms are focusing on sectors with improving conditions, particularly in resource products and information technology, with recommendations for sectors like semiconductors, integrated circuits, and automotive [7] - The integration of AI and finance is expected to enhance efficiency and customer engagement in the financial sector, leading to growth in both existing and new business areas [8]

在政策支持加力与市场热度上涨的双重驱动下，债券市场正不断提升对科技创新支持的适配性。近日， 科技部、中国人民银行等7部门联合制定《加快构建科技金融体制有力支撑高水平科技自立自强的若干 政策举措》（以下简称《政策举措》）提出，健全债券市场服务科技创新的支持机制。 记者从中国人民银行获悉，自5月7日科技创新债券推出以来，截至5月28日已有119家市场机构发行科技 创新债券，总发行量为3391亿元。业内普遍预计，未来我国科技创新债券市场或将迎来较高增速的增 长，引导资金加速流向科技创新领域。 政策力度加大 "做好科技金融工作既是支持科技强国建设的内在要求，同时也是金融机构战略转型的需要，更是金融 管理部门的职责所在。"中国人民银行副行长、国家外汇管理局局长朱鹤新在日前举行的国新办新闻发 布会上表示，近年来，中国人民银行和相关的金融管理部门以及科技部，采取了很多积极措施，健全政 策框架，科技金融的"四梁八柱"已经基本搭建完成，多元金融体系初步形成。 此外，多家银行已成功发行不同规模的科技创新债券，发行的科技创新债券普遍为3年期，票面利率主 要在1.65%至1.67%，其中建设银行、交通银行还分别发行5年期科技创新债券 ...

Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Opinions on Deepening Reform and Innovation in Shenzhen's Comprehensive Reform Pilot" aims to enhance financial services for the real economy, particularly focusing on technology and industry integration in finance [2][5]. Financial Services and Innovations - Shenzhen has been recognized as a significant financial center, with the "Opinions" emphasizing the need to improve mechanisms that incentivize financial services for the real economy [2]. - The "Technology Industry Financial Integration Pilot" is designed to empower technological innovation and industrial development, facilitating financial resources to support research and entrepreneurship [2][5]. - New financial products such as "Tengfei Loan" and "Technology Startup Loan" have been introduced to support small and micro enterprises [2]. Credit and Financing Mechanisms - The "Yuanqu Loan," a no-collateral credit product, has been launched to assist small and micro enterprises by leveraging various data points from industrial parks [3]. - As of April 2024, the Shenzhen "Specialized, Refined, Unique, and Innovative" board has listed 301 companies, with 80.73% being small and medium enterprises [3]. - The total loan balance for technology enterprises in Shenzhen reached 1.23 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.23% as of March 2025 [4]. Knowledge and Intellectual Property Financing - Shenzhen leads the nation in knowledge property asset-backed securities (ABS) issuance, with a total of 99 issuances amounting to 21.906 billion yuan, accounting for over half of the national total [6]. - The "Opinions" highlight the need to optimize the connection between debt and equity financing for technology enterprises, addressing challenges such as asset collateralization and risk assessment [7]. Support for Listing and Investment - The "Opinions" allow companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, promoting financial connectivity within the Greater Bay Area [8]. - There is a push for more long-term capital to support high-tech companies, especially those returning from overseas listings to the domestic market [9].

Core Insights - The establishment of new policy financial tools aims to transform policy dividends into development momentum, with an expected scale of around 500 billion yuan, potentially leveraging 6 to 6.5 trillion yuan in effective investment [1][9]. Group 1: Project Acceleration - Multiple provinces, including Anhui, Henan, and Hunan, have quickly responded to the new policy financial tools by holding meetings to interpret policies and plan projects [2]. - In Hunan, a meeting emphasized the importance of policy banks in facilitating project approvals and ensuring timely implementation of land consolidation projects [2]. - Anhui's meetings focused on key sectors such as industry, culture, agriculture, and urban construction, aiming to systematically identify and plan projects [2]. Group 2: Investment Direction - The new policy financial tools are expected to diversify investment directions, particularly towards strategic emerging sectors like technology innovation and consumer infrastructure, differing from traditional tools that mainly focused on infrastructure [4]. - The tools are designed to address capital shortages in key project areas, with a focus on digital economy, artificial intelligence, and low-altitude economy [4][6]. Group 3: Financial Mechanism - The new tools are characterized as "quasi-fiscal" instruments, primarily initiated by policy banks to address capital shortages in project construction, with a maximum capital injection of 50% of total project capital [7]. - The operational model of these tools is designed to enhance funding efficiency while minimizing fiscal burdens, as they rely on financial bond issuance and fiscal subsidies to lower financing costs [7][8]. Group 4: Expected Impact - The anticipated impact of the new policy financial tools includes a significant investment leverage effect, with projections suggesting they could drive 6 to 6.5 trillion yuan in effective investment, representing about 12% of the expected fixed asset investment in 2024 [9]. - Historical data indicates that previous policy financial tools have successfully mobilized substantial investments, demonstrating the potential effectiveness of the new tools [9].