天眼查工商信息显示，近日，浙商中拓集团股份有限公司出资20000万元成立浙商中拓（浙江自贸区） 资源有限公司，持股100%，所属行业为房地产业。 资料显示，浙商中拓（浙江自贸区）资源有限公司成立于2025年4月25日，法定代表人为杨威，注册资 本20000万人民币，公司位于舟山市，金属材料销售、金属矿石销售、非金属矿及制品销售、建筑材料 销售、煤炭及制品销售、化工产品销售（不含许可类化工产品）、专用化学产品销售（不含危险化学 品）、供应链管理服务、光伏设备及元器件销售、光伏发电设备租赁、光伏设备及元器件制造、电子元 器件与机电组件设备销售、建筑用钢筋产品销售、高品质特种钢铁材料销售、高品质合成橡胶销售、新 材料技术研发、建筑装饰材料销售、有色金属合金制造、有色金属合金销售、铁合金冶炼、有色金属压 延加工、金属制品销售、金属链条及其他金属制品销售、金属链条及其他金属制品制造、建筑用金属配 件销售、机械零件、零部件销售、机械零件、零部件加工、电子产品销售、软件销售、软件外包服务、 计算机软硬件及辅助设备批发、计算机软硬件及辅助设备零售、基础化学原料制造（不含危险化学品等 许可类化学品的制造）、日用玻璃制品制造、日 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint presented by Fuyao Glass founder Cao Dewang is that the value of real estate is significantly overestimated, with construction costs being only 2,000 to 3,000 yuan per square meter, while prices exceed 10,000 to 20,000 yuan [1] - Cao Dewang argues that high housing prices attract excessive social capital into the real estate sector, hindering the development of the real economy due to a lack of capital inflow [1] - Independent economist Ma Guangyuan counters that dismissing real estate as merely "bricks and cement" overlooks its substantial contributions to GDP and employment, with the sector's contribution to GDP declining from nearly 30% to 22% [3][5] Group 2 - Ma Guangyuan emphasizes that the real estate sector supports over 56 related industries, providing employment for more than 50 million people, and a downturn in the market could lead to increased unemployment [3][5] - He warns that portraying housing as worthless could mislead the public, as housing demand remains rigid, and even renting incurs living costs [5] - The discussion highlights the need for a balanced approach to real estate, avoiding excessive financialization while recognizing its short-term economic contributions [9] Group 3 - Cao Dewang's perspective aligns with the idea that housing prices should reflect true value to avoid economic bubbles, citing that in cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, the price-to-income ratio is as high as 40 [7] - Ma Guangyuan argues for the importance of maintaining a prosperous real estate market for GDP growth and employment, suggesting that the economy is overly reliant on real estate [7] - The urgent need is to stabilize the real estate market to allow for a gradual transition towards high-end manufacturing and high-tech industries, reducing dependency on real estate investment [9]

4月28日，记者从人民银行广西区分行获悉，广西精准有效落实适度宽松的货币政策，引导金融机 构提升服务实体经济质效，金融总量保持合理增长。一季度，广西社会融资规模增量为2365.08亿元， 同比多增83.46亿元，贷款增速持续高于全国平均水平。 广西引导金融机构加大对房地产企业合理融资和城中村改造等"三大工程"的金融支持力度，3月 末，广西房地产贷款余额1.17万亿元，连续9个月保持正增长。 在降低社会综合融资成本方面，广西引导金融机构强化风险定价理念，健全科学定价机制，畅通利 率传导渠道，推动企业和个人融资成本稳中有降。 一季度，广西新发放各项贷款加权平均利率3.26%，同比下降54个基点。其中，企业贷款加权平均 利率3.34%，同比下降36个基点。贷款利率下行叠加住房贷款利率调整、货币政策工具支持，广西企业 融资和居民信贷成本累计降低超37亿元。（谭卓雯 农宇） 在全区新增社会融资规模中，贷款保持主要支柱地位。一季度，全区金融机构向实体经济发放的本 外币贷款增加1600.97亿元，占社会融资规模增量的67.7%，比全国高4.5个百分点。3月末，广西各项存 款、贷款余额分别为4.85万亿元、5.57万亿元，同 ...

美国劳工统计局周二公布报告显示，美国3月JOLTS职位空缺大幅不及预期，较上月显著回落，降至自去年9月以来的最低水平，显示出在经济不确定性加剧 的背景下，劳动力需求趋于疲软。 自2022年3月创下1218万人的纪录以来，由于美联储大幅加息导致需求放缓，JOLTS职位空缺在大部分时间里大体呈现下降的态势。此前几个月伴随着美联 储降息，JOLTS数据一度出现反弹。当前JOLTS职位空缺水平已接近2020年时的水平。 职位空缺与失业人数的比率在下降。衡量劳动力供需平衡的一个关键指标——每名失业者对应的职位空缺数量，下降至1.0，这是自去年9月以来的最低水 平。这一比例是美联储高度关注的。2022年3月时这一比例创下超过2的纪录水平。该比例在新冠疫情前为1.2，目前已经低于疫情前的水平。 分行业来看，大多数行业的职位空缺数量均出现下降，其中建筑业、交通运输业、私立教育和房地产业尤为明显。唯一出现职位空缺增长的是金融和保险 业。 不过，裁员数量有所下降，招聘活动保持稳定，且更多员工自愿辞职，在一定程度上缓解了职位空缺数据的疲软： 美国3月JOLTS职位空缺719.2万人，预期750万人，2月前值从756.8万人下修至7 ...

Core Insights - In the first quarter of this year, Guangxi's social financing scale increased by 236.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.3 billion yuan [1] - The financing structure in Guangxi continues to optimize, with real estate loans maintaining positive growth [1] Financing Growth - As of the end of March, Guangxi's total deposits and loans reached 4.85 trillion yuan and 5.57 trillion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5.7% and 8.0%, where the loan growth rate is 1.1% higher than the national average [1] - Key sectors and weak links in Guangxi saw rapid loan growth, with direct financing increasing in both volume and proportion [2] Manufacturing and Small Business Support - The balance of medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector grew by 16.3% year-on-year, outpacing the overall loan growth rate by 8.3% [2] - Inclusive and small business loans increased by 11.9% and 12.4% year-on-year, respectively, exceeding the overall loan growth rate by 3.9% and 4.4% [2] Real Estate Financing - As of the end of March, the balance of real estate loans in Guangxi reached 1.17 trillion yuan, maintaining positive growth for nine consecutive months [2] Interest Rate and Cost Reduction - The weighted average interest rate for newly issued loans in Guangxi was 3.26% in the first quarter, a decrease of 54 basis points year-on-year [2] - The average interest rate for corporate loans was 3.34%, down 36 basis points year-on-year, resulting in over 3.7 billion yuan in savings for enterprises and residents [2] Support for Private Enterprises - From January to March, Guangxi's central bank system secured 20.78 billion yuan in funds for the private economy, facilitating nearly 44 billion yuan in new loans for the private sector [3] - As of the end of March, the loan balance for Guangxi's private economy reached 1.22 trillion yuan, with steady growth in credit volume [3]

Economic Performance - Singapore's GDP grew by 3.8% year-on-year in Q1, down from 5.0% in the previous quarter [1] - The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) revised the GDP growth forecast for the year from 1.0%-3.0% to 0.0%-2.0% due to uncertainties such as the US's "reciprocal tariffs" [1][3] Sector Performance - Manufacturing output grew by 5.0% year-on-year in Q1, a decrease from 7.4% in the previous quarter, with a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter decline of 4.9% [1] - Construction output increased by 4.6% year-on-year, maintaining the previous quarter's growth rate of 4.4%, but saw a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.3% [1] - Wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and warehousing sectors grew by 4.2% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in the previous quarter [2] External Factors - MTI highlighted that the US's imposition of a 10% "baseline tariff" and increased tariffs on countries with significant trade surpluses will negatively impact global trade and economic growth [3] - The decline in external demand is expected to adversely affect Singapore's economy and the ASEAN region, leading to reduced consumer confidence and domestic investment [3][4] Financial Sector Impact - The financial and insurance sectors are anticipated to experience reduced trading activity due to risk-averse sentiment, negatively impacting net fees and commissions from banking and financial services [5] - The uncertain economic environment may suppress corporate capital investment and limit credit intermediation activities [5] Overall Economic Outlook - MTI expects external demand to weaken significantly by the end of the year, particularly affecting export-oriented sectors like manufacturing and wholesale trade [4] - The economic growth forecast for Singapore is expected to slow from 4.4% last year to between 0.0% and 2.0% this year [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Short - term maintain A - share four major stock index futures (IH/IF/IC/IM) as short - term cautious long; commodities as cautious wait - and - see; treasury bonds as cautious wait - and - see; ranking: stock index > treasury bonds > commodities [2] - Commodity strategy ranking: precious metals > non - ferrous metals > energy > black metals [2] 2. Core Viewpoints - Domestically, in Q1 2025, the economy grew strongly and exceeded market expectations. The US's signal of trade relaxation and the Politburo meeting's indication of new incremental policies supported the domestic market sentiment. Internationally, the US economy slowed due to the decline in service - sector prosperity, but the US released positive signals on tariffs, which affected the dollar and global risk appetite. Overall, the domestic market rebounded in the short term, with the stock index maintained for cautious long, the bond market in high - level short - term oscillation, and the commodity market showing different trends [2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Last Week's Important News and Events - The IMF significantly lowered the global economic growth forecast in its April report, with the US economic growth forecast cut by 0.9 percentage points in 2025 [3] - The US President called for the Fed to cut interest rates, mentioned cryptocurrency regulation, and said the US - China trade tension would ease and might "significantly reduce" tariffs on China [3][4] - The Fed's Beige Book showed that international trade policy uncertainty led to a slowdown in the US economic outlook [4] - US economic data such as PMI, initial jobless claims, durable goods orders, consumer confidence index, and inflation expectations were released, showing a mixed economic situation [4][5] - The European Central Bank's president mentioned the negative impact of tariffs on economic growth, and the ECB's survey adjusted the euro - zone economic growth and inflation forecasts [5][9] - China's 4 - month LPR remained unchanged, and the central bank increased liquidity support through MLF operations. The Politburo meeting proposed a series of economic stimulus policies [7][8][9] 3.2 This Week's Important Events and Economic Data Reminders - From April 28 to May 2, various industrial data, economic sentiment indices, consumer confidence indices, and housing price indices in different regions will be released [10] 3.3 Global Asset Price Movements - Stock markets: Different stock indices showed different daily, weekly, monthly, and year - to - date changes, with some rising and some falling [11] - Bond markets: Yields of 10 - year bonds in different countries changed, with some rising and some falling [11] - Commodity markets: Prices of various commodities such as steel, iron ore, copper, aluminum, oil, and precious metals had different price changes [11] - Exchange rates: The dollar index, exchange rates between major currencies also had corresponding fluctuations [11] 3.4 Domestic High - Frequency Macroeconomic Data - Upstream: Data on commodity price indices, energy prices, coal consumption and inventory, and iron ore prices and inventory were presented through various charts [13][16][23] - Midstream: Information on steel prices, production, and inventory, non - ferrous metal prices and inventory, building material prices and capacity utilization, and chemical product prices and inventory were shown [41][51][57] - Downstream: Data on real estate transaction area, automobile sales and tire production, and agricultural product prices were provided [70][72][79] 3.5 Domestic and Foreign Liquidity - Global liquidity: The US Treasury yield curve and its weekly changes were presented [81] - Domestic liquidity: Central bank's open - market operations, reverse - repurchase maturities, and domestic interest rates such as inter - bank lending rates and bond yields were shown [83][90][94] 3.6 Global Financial Calendar - From April 27 to May 2, important economic indicators such as industrial enterprise profits, economic sentiment indices, consumer confidence indices, housing price indices, GDP, inflation rates, employment data, and central bank policy announcements in different countries and regions will be released [102]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent economic outlook in China, highlighting the effectiveness of domestic policies in stabilizing the stock market and the overall economy amidst external pressures [4][7]. Economic Performance - In the first quarter, China's GDP reached 31.88 trillion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [4][9]. - The retail sales growth rate increased from 3.7% to 4.6% year-on-year in the same period, indicating a positive trend in consumer spending [4][9]. Market Stabilization - The Chinese government has implemented measures to stabilize the stock market, foreign exchange market, and real estate market, with the central bank providing re-loans to support the "national team" in stabilizing the stock market [4][6][7]. - The offshore RMB exchange rate fluctuated but recovered to around 7.3 against the USD, demonstrating resilience in the currency market [7]. Consumer Stimulus - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has effectively boosted sales in various sectors, particularly in electronics, with the inclusion of mobile phones and computers in the program [9][10]. - Future consumption stimulus should focus on service sectors such as tourism, hotels, and dining, as these areas show potential for growth [6][10]. Real Estate Market - The real estate market is under pressure, with both exports and real estate facing simultaneous declines for the first time [7][8]. - While some regions show signs of recovery, a nationwide stabilization in the real estate market has not yet occurred, necessitating continued support for developers [8].

点击图片▲立即试听 " 我们手中的牌并不多，楼市是其中必须打好的、最重要的一张。 " 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 所有宏大的叙事，最终都会落到一个家庭的起居之间。 2025 年春天，中美贸易摩擦不断加码，中国出口压力与日俱增，从沿海工厂到内陆中小企业，不少人开始重新计算接下来的账本：订单缩水、利 润承压，甚至员工的稳定性也打起了问号。 然而，亮眼成绩单的第二页，一个熟悉的身影却明显掉队了 —— 一季度，我国房地产开发投资同比下降 9.9% 。 这个曾经以一己之力拉动中国经济的 " 大主角 " ，如今似乎正在逐渐淡出聚光灯：不仅在新闻稿标题中失去了位置，甚至在分析师讨论时也被匆 匆带过。 宏观经济的温度计，正在测量每一个家庭最重要的决策之一 —— 买不买房，换不换房？ —— 吴晓波 楼市退场？没那么简单 近日，国家统计局公布了 2025 年第一季度宏观经济的 " 成绩单 " 。在中美贸易摩擦愈演愈烈、全球供应链重新洗牌的紧张氛围下，市场的目光 集中投向了 " 出口 " 和 " 消费 " 这两大被寄予厚望的动能引擎，而它们也的确未让人失望： 一季度，中国出口同比增长 6.9% ，社会消费品零售总额同 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The overall economic performance of Heilongjiang Province in 2024 shows a GDP of 16476.9 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.2% compared to the previous year [8] - The three major industries' contributions to GDP are as follows: primary industry at 3203.3 billion yuan (2.9% growth), secondary industry at 4147.3 billion yuan (-0.2% decline), and tertiary industry at 9126.2 billion yuan (4.7% growth) [8] - The province's population at the end of 2024 is 30.29 million, with an urbanization rate of 68.05%, reflecting a 0.94 percentage point increase from the previous year [14] - The agricultural sector shows a total output value of 5904.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.1%, and a grain production of 8001.7 million tons, maintaining the top position among provinces [20] - Industrial production has seen a decline of 3.1% in the added value of large-scale industries, with notable growth in the petrochemical industry at 7.9% [24][25] - Fixed asset investment increased by 6.0%, with significant growth in infrastructure investment at 11.0% [32][33] - The retail market shows a total social retail sales of 5738.9 billion yuan, growing by 1.9%, with a notable increase in online retail sales by 9.2% [34][35] - The province's foreign trade reached a total value of 3122.8 billion yuan, with exports growing by 14.4% [36] Summary by Sections Economic Overview - Heilongjiang's GDP reached 16476.9 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.2% [8] - The three industries' contributions are 19.4% for primary, 25.2% for secondary, and 55.4% for tertiary [8] Population and Employment - The total population is 30.29 million, with an urbanization rate of 68.05% [14] - Urban employment increased by 37.7 million, exceeding the annual target by 125.5% [17] Agriculture - Total agricultural output value is 5904.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.1% [20] - Grain production is 8001.7 million tons, maintaining the top position nationally [20] Industry - Industrial added value decreased by 3.1%, with the petrochemical sector growing by 7.9% [24][25] - High-tech manufacturing increased by 4.1% [25] Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 6.0%, with infrastructure investment up by 11.0% [32][33] Trade - Total foreign trade value reached 3122.8 billion yuan, with exports increasing by 14.4% [36] Consumer Market - Social retail sales totaled 5738.9 billion yuan, growing by 1.9% [34] - Online retail sales increased by 9.2% [35]