央行明确2026年七大重点工作。 1月5日至6日，2026年中国人民银行工作会议召开，部署全年七大重点工作，围绕货币政策实施、金融 服务实体经济、风险防控、金融改革开放等核心领域，明确行动路径。 其中，在货币政策方面，会议强调，把促进经济高质量发展、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量， 灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具。 业内专家认为，适度宽松的货币政策将兼顾总量调节与结构优化，人民币汇率有望维持温和升值态势， 但考虑到潜在的不确定性，也不宜押注单边行情。 2026年适度宽松的货币政策将有两个主要方向。首先是总量政策，其次是结构性政策。 央行会议明确，2026年继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，将促进经济高质量发展、物价合理回升作为核心 考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充裕，保持社会融资条件相对宽松，引 导金融总量合理增长、信贷投放均衡，使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长和价格总水平预期 目标相匹配。 这一取向与此前中央经济工作会议精神一脉相承。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青分析，综合考虑岁末年初经济增长动能变化，以及2025年一季度经济增速 基数偏高，着眼于稳定2026年的一季度 ...

近期召开的中央经济工作会议提出，创新科技金融服务。多位业内人士表示，科技金融服务的难点在于，如 何提升金融服务与科技型企业需求的适配度，以及如何在此基础上实现收益与风险均衡。为此，金融服务要 从看财报转向看人才看技术，从看过去转向看未来，充分挖掘人才和技术的成长潜力，凝聚多方合力，构建 科技金融服务生态圈。 挖掘人力资本价值 金融服务科技型企业，难点之一是如何准确评估企业的成长性。对于债务融资来说，还涉及如何评估企业的 偿债能力、信用风险等问题。科技型企业大多具有轻资产特征，抵押物普遍不足，加上部分行业的研发周期 长、资金投入量大，部分企业的现金流也不充裕。怎么办？当前，部分金融机构正在探索挖掘企业的人才资 源价值，从人才的成长性看企业的成长性。 "金融服务科技创新，一要看人才，二要看技术，通过一套专属的评级模型，将这些软信息转变为能够为企业 增信的硬指标。"浙商银行公司银行部副总经理李林表示，该行持续探索以"人才银行"为底座的科技金融服务 体系，尤其是今年以来，将科技金融作为全行的战略性业务，迭代推出"善科陪伴计划"，为科技型企业提供 全生命周期的综合金融服务。截至2025年11月末，浙商银行已服务科技型企 ...

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 白丽斐）2026年1月，一批新规将施行，哪些新规将影响你我生活？ 对特定历史时期的个人小额逾期记录实施有条件、一次性的信用修复 中国人民银行发布一次性信用修复政策，自2026年1月1日起，对特定历史时期的个人小额逾期记录实施 有条件、一次性的信用修复。该政策主要有以下四个适用条件。适用对象为个人在央行征信系统中展示 的信贷逾期信息；适用时间区间为2020年1月1日至2025年12月31日产生的逾期记录；适用金额为单笔逾 期金额不超过1万元；适用前提是逾期债务须在2026年3月31日前足额还清。 进一步规范上市公司董事、高级管理人员和控股股东、实际控制人行为 中国证监会修订发布《上市公司治理准则》，进一步规范上市公司董事、高级管理人员和控股股东、实 际控制人行为，提升上市公司治理水平。此次《治理准则》的修订主要包括完善董事、高级管理人员监 管制度；健全董事、高级管理人员激励约束机制；规范控股股东、实际控制人行为；做好与其他规则的 衔接四方面内容。自2026年1月1日起施行。 经纪机构应当实时、完整、准确对外披露最优经纪报价行情 中国人民银行发布的《银行间市 ...

央行公开市场周四逆回购操作转为净投放，加上中期借贷便利（MLF）净增千亿助力，银行间市场资金面维持稳中偏宽，DR001加权平均利率小降并运行 于1.26%下方，DR007因跨年原因上行超10bp。匿名点击（X-repo）系统上，隔夜报价在1.24%有充足供给。 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为3.66%。 // 债市综述 // 1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，12月25日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了1771亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量1771亿元，中标量1771亿元。Wind数据显 示，当日883亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放888亿元。 此外，央行12月24日公告称，12月25日将开展4000亿元MLF操作，期限为1年期。鉴于当日有3000亿元MLF到期，央行12月通过MLF净投放1000亿元，这 是央行连续10个月加量操作MLF。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 （IMM） 3. 同业存单 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.64%附近，较上日持平。 （*数据来源：Wind-同 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial data for November indicates a notable improvement in corporate financing demand, with the initial effects of policy financial tools becoming evident. However, the residential sector remains a significant shortcoming, primarily due to the ongoing adjustments in the real estate market [4][11]. Group 1: Social Financing and Credit - In November, social financing increased by 2.49 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations of 2 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 159.7 billion yuan. The stock growth rate of social financing remained stable at 8.5% [1][5]. - The increase in real credit was 405.3 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 116.3 billion yuan, marking the fifth consecutive month of decline. The decline was primarily driven by a reduction in residential loans [6][7]. - Corporate loans remained strong, aligning with the high BCI corporate financing environment index for November, indicating a shift in bank assessments towards corporate sectors due to weak residential loan demand [2][7]. Group 2: Government and Corporate Bonds - Government bond financing amounted to 1.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 104.8 billion yuan, with expectations for December financing to remain around 1.2 trillion yuan [8]. - Corporate bond financing increased by 416.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 178.8 billion yuan, driven by policy encouragement for technology finance and lower financing costs [8][9]. Group 3: Trust and Other Financing Instruments - The amount of undiscounted bank acceptance bills increased by 149 billion yuan, reflecting a significant expansion in bank bill issuance, likely influenced by lower interest rates [9]. - Trust loans increased by 84.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 75.3 billion yuan, partly due to the spillover effects of policy financial tools on infrastructure financing [9]. Group 4: Monetary Supply and Growth Rates - M1 grew by 4.9% year-on-year, a decline of 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a continued downward trend following a peak in September [10]. - M2 growth was recorded at 8.0%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points, primarily due to reduced credit generation [10]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The main highlight of the November financial data is the improvement in corporate financing demand, with a need to monitor the impact of policy financial tools in the upcoming quarters, especially in the construction sector [4][11].

Core Viewpoint - The trend of phasing out five-year deposits indicates the end of an era where banks relied on high-interest, long-term deposits for easy profits, signaling a shift in the banking landscape [1]. Group 1: Historical Context of Five-Year Deposits - Five-year deposits have been a staple since the establishment of the banking system in New China [2]. - In the early 1990s, five-year deposit rates peaked at 13.9%, allowing significant interest earnings [3][4]. - The economic environment during that time was characterized by high growth and inflation, leading to a strong demand for bank loans [6][7]. Group 2: Current Banking Environment - The current financial landscape has shifted to an "asset shortage" era, where there is an abundance of money but a scarcity of viable investment opportunities [11]. - Banks are facing dual challenges: declining interest rates and a decrease in loan demand from both individuals and businesses [13]. - The low-interest environment is expected to persist, affecting the viability of long-term, high-yield deposit products [14]. Group 3: Changes in Investment Products - The availability of safe investment options like deposits, government bonds, and insurance products is diminishing, with yields decreasing significantly [21][23]. - Trust products, once favored by wealthy individuals, are facing a crisis due to defaults linked to the real estate sector [25]. - Bank wealth management products have transitioned to a net value model, requiring investors to accept the risk of potential losses [27]. Group 4: Global Comparisons and Strategies - In mature markets, the trend is towards shorter deposit terms, with banks encouraging shorter-term savings [17][18]. - The U.S. and Japan have seen their citizens adapt to low-interest environments by shifting investments towards equities and other assets [35][46]. - Japanese citizens have historically maintained a high proportion of savings in deposits, but this has limited their investment opportunities [46]. Group 5: Future Investment Strategies - With the end of the "no-risk, high-yield" era, investors must either accept higher risks or find alternative ways to secure current interest rates [32][33]. - Strategies from other countries, such as embracing equity investments or utilizing savings insurance to lock in rates, may offer insights for domestic investors [35][45]. - The current environment suggests that long-term savings insurance products may still provide reasonable returns, but investors should be cautious about liquidity needs [56][58].

（原标题：南财早新闻｜事关2026年经济工作，中央政治局会议重磅定调） 1、12月8日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。会议强调，明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，继续实施更加积极的 财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升宏观经济治理效能。详情>> 2、12月8日，《中共广东省委关于制定广东省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》正式印发。规划建议系统总结了"十四五"时期广东 发展取得的重大成就，并对未来5年发展作出顶层设计和战略擘画。详情>> 1、中国信托业协会将于近期就《家族信托业务指引》征求意见。征求意见稿明确，单纯追求保值增值不属于家族信托。监管评级过低将暂停新增 家族信托业务，严禁低价内卷、商业诋毁等不正当竞争行为。 2、中船集团与中国远洋海运集团在上海完成了新造船项目的合作签约，金额超500亿元，这是我国船企签订的国内单次合作签约最高金额的订 单。 3、天孚通信：正在香港联交所发行H股上市事项。 2、海关总署：2025年前11个月，我国货物贸易进出口总值41.21万亿元人民币，同比增长3.6%。其中，出口24. ...

Core Viewpoint - China's economy in 2025 is at a critical juncture, showcasing resilience and a strong foundation for sustainable growth despite global uncertainties [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - The economy achieved a growth rate of 5.2% in the first three quarters, reflecting its ability to navigate challenges and maintain momentum [1] - The focus is on high-quality development, emphasizing the need for vitality, resilience, innovation, and effective empowerment [1] Group 2: Forum Overview - The 19th Huaxia Institutional Investor Annual Conference will be held on December 12, 2025, in Beijing, centered around the theme "Vitality and Resilience, Innovation and Empowerment" [1] - The forum aims to gather insights from various experts to explore how to activate market vitality and enhance collaborative effects within the industrial ecosystem [2] Group 3: Resilience and Innovation - Resilience is defined as the ability to withstand pressure and adapt, stemming from a large domestic market, a complete industrial system, and flexible policy adjustments [3] - The forum will discuss how to build a more resilient financial system and industrial ecosystem to ensure stable long-term development [3] - Innovation is highlighted as a means to break traditional dependencies, with financial technology reshaping the industry and driving new products and services [3] Group 4: Empowerment - Empowerment involves optimizing resources and capabilities to enhance overall value, with financial institutions playing a crucial role in supporting economic growth and structural optimization [4] - The forum will feature high-level dialogues and case studies to analyze practical empowerment strategies and the creation of a new financial and industrial landscape [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - The conference serves as a platform for sharing insights on macroeconomic trends, financial technology, investment strategies, and collaborative value creation [5] - 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for adapting to changes in the global economy while maintaining a commitment to high-quality development and sustainable economic ecosystems [5]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market has shown signs of recovery, with various fixed-income products experiencing an increase in net value, particularly those with embedded options, indicating a favorable investment environment for fixed-income strategies [2][3][11]. Summary by Sections Fixed Income Product Performance Review - Over the past month, the bond market has further recovered, with net values of fixed-income products rising. The performance ranking of products is as follows: - Option-embedded bond funds: 0.83% (previously 0.21%) - Medium to long-term bond funds: 0.35% (previously 0.12%) - Short-term bond funds: 0.22% (previously 0.12%) - High-grade interbank certificate index: 0.15% (unchanged) - Cash management products: 0.10% (unchanged) [3][9][10]. Bond Market Review - The bond market sentiment has improved, with mid to long-term bonds outperforming short-term bonds. The yield curve has slightly flattened, influenced by two main factors: 1. Economic headwinds have increased, with consumption and investment slowing down, which is favorable for the bond market. 2. The central bank has resumed bond purchases, signaling a more accommodative monetary policy, leading to a decline in bond market interest rates [11][12][18]. Market Outlook - **Short-term (1 month)**: - Interbank certificate rates are expected to stabilize and decline slightly. The 10-year government bond yield is projected to fluctuate between 1.7% and 1.9%, with a focus on trading opportunities [11][31]. - **Medium-term (3-6 months)**: - Economic recovery expectations are likely to continue, with funds remaining relatively abundant, leading to a potential range-bound market for bonds. The 10-year government bond yield may face upward pressure but within a limited range [11][31]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - For investors needing liquidity management, it is advisable to maintain cash-like products and consider increasing allocations to stable low-volatility wealth management and short-term bond funds [41][42]. - For conservative investors, it is recommended to continue holding pure bond products, with the possibility of profit-taking if economic pressures increase and monetary easing expectations rise [43]. - For more aggressive investors, it is suggested to consider allocating to fixed-income plus products that include convertible bonds and equity assets, as liquidity is expected to remain relatively ample [45]. Regulatory Developments - Recent regulatory changes include the introduction of guidelines to promote the healthy development of pension wealth management and the asset management trust management measures, which aim to enhance the investment capabilities of institutions and improve the overall market structure [38][39].

Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on November 18, with a fixed rate of 1.40%, totaling 407.5 billion yuan, matching the tender amount [1] - On the same day, 403.8 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net injection of 3.7 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Liquidity Conditions - The interbank market remains tight, with overnight repo rates rising to approximately 1.53%, and anonymous X-repo rates reaching 1.57% due to limited supply [3] - Non-bank institutions are borrowing overnight funds secured by credit bonds, with rates in the range of 1.57% to 1.58% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit is around 1.64%, remaining stable compared to the previous day [8] Group 4: Government Bond Futures - The closing prices for government bond futures show a slight increase, with the 30-year contract up by 0.06%, and the 10-year, 5-year, and 2-year contracts up by 0.03%, 0.03%, and 0.01% respectively [12] Group 5: Real Estate and Financial Support - The People's Bank of China and 12 departments issued a plan to support consumption infrastructure and trade circulation systems in Beijing, encouraging financial institutions to optimize loan conditions and reduce financing costs for key projects [13] - Diyi City Real Estate is expected to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 27, viewed as a strategic optimization during a period of deep adjustment in the real estate sector [13] Group 6: Global Economic Insights - Japan's Prime Minister emphasized the importance of reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio to maintain market confidence, while the Bank of Japan is adjusting monetary support to achieve a 2% inflation target [15] - The Reserve Bank of Australia indicated no need to adjust cash rates at the recent meeting, with potential inflation pressures being greater than previously assessed [15] Group 7: Bond Market Developments - Shenzhen plans to issue 18.603 billion yuan in local bonds on November 24 [17] - Recent negative events in the bond market include downgrades in credit ratings for several companies, indicating potential risks in the bond issuance landscape [17]