Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant decline in net profit and revenue for the first half of 2025 compared to the same period last year, primarily due to ongoing challenges in the liquor industry and reduced consumer demand [1][9][10]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 105.41 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 137.01 million yuan or 56.52% year-on-year [3][9]. - The expected operating revenue for the same period is 1.4978 billion yuan, down 220.72 million yuan or 12.84% compared to the previous year [3][9]. - Sales volume is projected to increase by 543 thousand liters, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.54%, with all sales coming from mid-to-high-end liquor [3][9]. Group 2: Previous Year’s Performance - In the same period last year, the company reported a total profit of 329.50 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 242.42 million yuan [5]. - The net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 228.03 million yuan [5]. - The operating revenue for the previous year was 1.71852 billion yuan, with a sales volume of 3.735 million liters [7][8]. Group 3: Reasons for Performance Changes - The liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment phase, with traditional consumption scenarios like business banquets facing significant pressure, leading to a slowdown in market recovery [9]. - The overall consumption performance during the Spring Festival was below expectations, resulting in higher-than-expected channel inventory levels, which affected shipment volumes in the following months [10]. - The trend of weak consumer demand further intensified in the second quarter, impacting the inventory reduction process and slowing down the recovery of shipments [10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the liquor sector is showing signs of recovery, particularly with the sentiment around high-end liquor brands improving as major companies stabilize their pricing strategies [5][7]. - The beer segment is experiencing marginal demand improvement, with cost reductions expected to enhance profit margins [5]. - The snack food sector is noted for its high growth potential, driven by strong product categories and new distribution channels [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on new product categories and channels to uncover alpha opportunities within the food and beverage industry [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The food and beverage sector rose by 0.84% last week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.03 percentage points, ranking 26th among 31 sectors [12]. - Notable performers included liquor and health products, which increased by 1.41% and 1.37%, respectively [12]. 2. Key Consumption and Raw Material Prices - As of July 13, 2025, the price of 2024 Flying Moutai (original) is 1950 CNY, down 150 CNY from the previous month [21]. - The beer production for May 2025 was 3.584 million kiloliters, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.3% [26]. - The average price of fresh milk is 3.04 CNY per kilogram, remaining stable for a month [28]. 3. Industry Dynamics - In June, liquor prices decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing market adjustments [53]. - The report notes a slight increase in the national white liquor price index in early July, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [54]. 4. Core Company Updates - Yanjing Beer expects a net profit of 1.062 to 1.137 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, representing a growth of 40% to 50% [55]. - Wuliangye announced a cash dividend of 31.69 CNY per 10 shares, totaling 12.301 billion CNY [55].

今天权益市场的表现，继续不错，如果横向对比来看的话，我们昨晚说过，因为周五美股盘后，川宝给欧盟和老墨发了30%的关税 加征函，因此 全球风险偏好可能会被短期压制 ，从实际情况来看，金价今天突破3370美刀，这还是6月23日以来的首次，而全球股 市，除了A股和港股之外，主要市场里，也就已经确认最低关税的英国没跌，而还没开盘的美股那边，主要股指期货也是下跌的状 态。 因此，A股和H股，应该说，表现是相当有韧性的。 目前的权益市场，核心还是风险偏好较高，以及资金驱动的逻辑，两个数据比较有代表性： 其一，是 两融 这边，最近15个个交易日，有14个，融资盘都是净买入的，余额来看，持续创对等关税以来的新高； 其二，是 私募 那边，排排网披露，截至7月4日，股票私募的平均仓位已经突破77%，环比上一周提高了2个点以上，其中，百亿私 募的平均仓位突破了83%，单周环比提升了3个点以上，这个仓位，创最近93周，也就是差不多2年以来的新高了。 这就导致，整个A股和港股， 基本都处于题材股，一点就着的状态 ，比如，周末的时候，宇树科技、智元机器人，中标了中国移动 的人形双足机器人采购项目，金额一共1.2亿，今天，机器人板块就再次 ...

半年度净利润续亏，*ST岩石（600696）"保壳"之路又蒙上一层阴影。 7月14日晚间，*ST岩石发布业绩预告，预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为亏损 5000万元~7500万元，与上年同期相比，减亏了3.07%~35.38%。尽管净利润实现减亏，但*ST岩石退市 风险却在悄然变大。 三大因素致净利润续亏 根据*ST岩石业绩预告，公司上半年净利润亏损5000万~7500万元，减亏了3.07%~35.38%；扣非净利润 亏损3000万~4500万元，同比减亏了42.60%~61.73%。 对于业绩持续亏损的原因，*ST岩石表示，2025年上半年白酒行业复苏未达预期，加之政策影响较大， 行业整体承压。消费增长动能不足导致终端动销放缓，产品价格倒挂成为行业普遍现象。白酒产业仍处 于去库存周期，产业向优势产区、优势企业、优势品牌集中的趋势明显，中小品牌酒企愈加受到挤压。 公司亦受此行业环境的影响。 另一方面，从2023年年末开始，受多方面因素影响，公司资金承压，返利返货无法兑现，市场投放减 少。同时叠加公司实际控制人被公安机关采取强制措施、控股股东及其一致行动人所持公司股票被司法 冻结等一系列事件 ...

最近，小米汽车的爆火印证了一个市场真理：真正的现象级产品，必然在"硬核实力"与"情绪价值"间找 到完美平衡。 对于白酒行业而言，这一逻辑同样适用。高端酱酒市场长期被"天价包装"与"概念营销"裹挟，因此消费 者亟需一款剥离浮华、回归本质的诚意之作。 珍酒发布的战略级新品——"大珍·珍酒"，正用极致性价比与深厚文化底蕴，重新定义高端酱酒的价值 标杆，有望成为酒业新的 "超级符号"。 品质、美学与技术的全面创新 高端酱酒的核心竞争力始终是酒体本身。据了解，"大珍·珍酒"精选超过两百种不同轮次、不同典型体 的优质基酒，由大师团队精心勾调，确保每一滴酒的酿造时间不晚于2020年，更以20年珍稀老酒调味， 集经典酱陈香、醇厚曲香、烘焙焦香、花果香于一体，具有酱香突出、香气幽雅特点，能带来惊喜 的"跳跃感"。 "这款光瓶酒以真实年份为主要品质表达方式，我认为是非常合理的。也只有像珍酒这样具有产能基础 的企业，才可以做到品质体系可追溯。"酱酒专家权图如此评价。 珍酒的产能与储能为大珍的品质稳定性提供了坚实保障。2024年下沙季，珍酒投产规模高达4.4万吨， 优质基酒储备已突破10万吨大关，产能规模稳居贵州白酒企业前三。 在包 ...

在科技创新债券的三类发行主体中，曹媛媛着重介绍了股权投资机构发行的科技创新债券。 股权投资机构是投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技的重要力量，但是这些机构往往是轻资产的机 构，同时投资周期比较长，以前这类机构较少通过发行债券进行融资，投资人对于这些股权投 资机构发行的债券也比较审慎，他们的融资成本实际上也相对比较高。 曹媛媛强调，这次为支持股权投资机构发行债券，人民银行专门创设了科技创新债券风险分担 工具，提供低成本再贷款资金，与地方政府、市场化信用增进机构一道，为股权投资机构发债 提供担保、创设信用风险缓释凭证等一系列增量的支持。此外，风险分担工具也通过直接投资 方式，支持科技创新债券的发行。 记者丨 唐婧 编辑丨周炎炎 今日下午3时，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行副行长邹澜，人民银行调查统计司司长 闫先东、信贷市场司司长彭立峰、金融市场司副司长曹媛媛介绍2025年上半年金融统计数据情 况答记者问。 在媒体提问环节，21世纪经济报道记者向曹媛媛提问：今年中国人民银行出台了支持科技金融 的一系列增量政策，创新推出了债券市场"科技板"，目前进展和成效如何？下一步有何考虑？ 曹媛媛表示，做好科技金融工作是落实创新驱 ...

投资快报记者注意到，在上市初期曾被热炒至超过1800元/瓶的茅台1935，现市场售价已跌破 600元/瓶。 电商平台的一些店铺的售价与1188元/瓶的零售指导价相比，已经腰斩，较曾经的 高位1899元/瓶，更是暴降68.93%。 7月14日，在京东，茅台1935在一些店铺的售价仅590元/瓶，页面显示有已售400+、买家评价 200+、好评率达100%；另有店铺双瓶装售价1175元，折合每瓶仅587.5元，页面显示有官方正 品、100%保真、京东快递等。投资快报记者观察到，京东上，茅台1935在不少的店铺售价都 600元以下。即便是京东"自营"，在"补贴价"下也只要681.12元。 不过， 在其他的电商平台上，茅台1935仍普遍在600元之上。 如在拼多多，一些店铺售价低 见630元/瓶、634.79元/瓶、636.5元/瓶、637元/瓶……，但多数在650元-670元/瓶左右；在天 猫，不少店铺售价仍在700元之上；值得一提的是，在"I茅台"上，茅台1935售价仍为1188/ 瓶。 据茅台时空公众号消息，茅台1935上市首年销售50亿元；2023年销售至110亿元；2024年再上 一步，完成销售120亿元， ...

Core Insights - The low-alcohol beverage market is rapidly growing, with major companies like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yanghe investing heavily in this segment, while Luzhou Laojiao has been a pioneer in this area for over a decade [1][3][4] - Luzhou Laojiao's 38-degree Guojiao 1573 has achieved sales exceeding 10 billion, positioning it as the leading product in the low-alcohol market, with plans to introduce additional lower-alcohol products [1][3][4] - The company has successfully leveraged its early investments in low-alcohol beverages and innovative marketing strategies to capture the attention of younger consumers [5][30] Company Performance - Luzhou Laojiao reported revenue of 31.196 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.19%, and a net profit of 13.473 billion yuan, growing by 1.71% [4] - The company has regained its position as the fourth largest in the industry, closing in on the top three, which includes Moutai, Wuliangye, and Fenjiu [3][4] Market Strategy - The company has adopted a "product + scene marketing" strategy, targeting the younger demographic's preference for casual drinking environments, which has led to increased sales [5][16] - Luzhou Laojiao has initiated a "low-alcohol revolution," focusing on low-alcohol products and eliminating 80% of traditional offerings to cater to modern consumer preferences [16][23] Technological Advancements - The production of low-alcohol beverages is supported by advanced techniques, such as adsorption filtration, which preserves flavor while reducing alcohol content [10][12] - Luzhou Laojiao has a long history of innovation in low-alcohol production, dating back to the 1980s, and continues to develop new products with varying alcohol levels [9][14] Consumer Trends - The shift in drinking culture among younger generations has led to a preference for low-alcohol beverages in social settings, which Luzhou Laojiao has capitalized on [16][22] - The company has introduced products like the 28-degree variant aimed at bars and camping, and plans to launch even lower-alcohol options [18][20] Marketing Innovations - Luzhou Laojiao has embraced digital marketing and social media to engage younger consumers, utilizing platforms like Xiaohongshu and Douyin for targeted campaigns [23][28] - The company has also explored cross-industry collaborations, creating unique products that resonate with younger audiences, such as tea-infused wines and fruit-flavored options [26][30] Future Outlook - The success of Luzhou Laojiao's low-alcohol products positions it well for potential growth in the competitive landscape, but it must continue to strengthen its high-end offerings to maintain market relevance [34][35] - The company aims to leverage its technological expertise and market positioning to navigate the evolving industry dynamics and consumer preferences [33][36]

上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到 先得！ 近日，沪深交易所官方数据披露最新北向资金数据，上半年外资持仓情况浮出水面，外资连 续两个季度加仓A股。 外资连续两个季度加仓A股 数据显示，截至今年二季度末，北向资金共持有2907只个股，持股数合计1232亿股，持仓市 值合计约为2.29万亿元。相较于2024年末，北向资金持仓市值增加871亿元；相较于2025年 一季度，北向资金持仓市值增加超500亿元。 按照申万二级行业分类，北向资金持仓市值超百亿元的行业有53个，持仓市值最高的五大行 业分别为电池、半导体、白酒、股份制银行和白色家电，持仓市值分别为1754亿元、1349亿 元、1341亿元、1234亿元、1036亿元。 与2024年末相比，持仓市值前五大行业排名稍有变化。电池行业仍居榜首，北向资金持仓市 值超10亿元的电池行业公司共计7家；宁德时代、亿纬锂能、先导智能居前三。二季度，北向 资金集中加仓半导体板块，行业排名从第五位升至第二位，白色家电和白酒行业排名有所下 降。 与此同时，北向资金加仓出现结构性调整。一季度加仓标的主要有两大类：科技和消费。二 ...

文|数字光年 张扬 编辑|陈实 谁会是第一个百亿冲线的豫酒品牌？ 过去，这个问题答案可能是：仰韶。身为豫酒龙头，连续多年保持高速增长，仰韶酒业曾对外宣称其在 2023便已突破50亿元营收的大关，独立豫酒潮头。 作为豫酒的"门面担当"，仰韶承载着豫酒振兴的希望。无论是政府层面，还是企业自身，都曾喊出了仰 韶酒业要在2025年营收突破百亿的口号。 但现在，前景变得愈发不明朗——在面临行业周期性节点的关头，叠加酒类消费政策等一系列不确定因 素的影响，白酒行业整体承压明显，中小区域酒企的日子，只会愈发艰难。 仰韶的百亿梦，还能如约实现吗？ 距离百亿，还有多远？ 2022年，河南省印发《河南省酒业振兴发展行动方案（2022-2025年） 》，仰韶酒业被重点"关照"。方 案中专门提到，到2025年，仰韶酒业要力争突破100亿元。 到了2023年，被寄予厚望的仰韶再度摸高，其在公开活动中透露，2023年该企业营收冲上50亿元。 当时有评论称，仰韶酒业跑出了豫酒振兴的"仰韶速度"。一切，都在向着更好的方向发展。 此间，有一个小插曲。2024年，在河南省工商联开展的2023年度河南民营企业百强榜调研活动中，根据 企业自愿填报的 ...