Group 1 - The report highlights that the credit spread for bonds with maturities of 5 years or less is expected to compress further or maintain low volatility, with a focus on the influx of investment into long-duration credit bonds [2][3] - In January, the credit bond market showed strong sentiment, driven by the implementation of new fund fee regulations and strong institutional allocation, leading to a significant compression of credit spreads [12][15] - The report suggests that long-duration credit bonds are currently in a favorable positioning window, but trading should be executed with timely profit-taking [3][4] Group 2 - The strategy for credit bonds emphasizes identifying structural opportunities in the short to medium-term bonds while positioning for long-duration credits and ensuring timely exits [3][4] - The report indicates that the performance of credit bonds typically outperforms interest rate bonds, with credit spreads narrowing during February, influenced by seasonal factors and market dynamics [17][23] - The analysis of the secondary market shows a general decline in credit bond yields and a compression of credit spreads across various categories [8][15] Group 3 - The report discusses specific sector strategies, including opportunities in urban investment bonds, real estate bonds, coal bonds, and steel bonds, highlighting the importance of selecting high-quality issuers and considering market conditions [5][6] - It notes that the net financing of credit bonds has decreased year-on-year but increased month-on-month, with a rising proportion of long-duration issuances [9][22] - The report emphasizes the need for careful selection of bonds based on liquidity, convexity, and market conditions, particularly for long-duration credit bonds [4][5]

Core Insights - The coal industry is expected to see an improvement in supply-demand dynamics starting in 2026 after a generally loose supply in 2025 [1] Group 1: Coal Sector Review - The coal sector outperformed the market in January, with a cumulative increase of 8.3% year-to-date, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 6.7 percentage points [16] - The coal sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is currently at 15.7 times, ranking 5th among all sectors, indicating a relatively high valuation [20][26] - The coal sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 1.51 times, also reflecting a historical high level [24] Group 2: Coal Market Overview - In December, electricity consumption remained flat year-on-year, while coal imports increased by approximately 12% [29] - Domestic coal prices in January showed stability, with power coal prices rising slightly by 2.1% or 14 RMB/ton compared to the end of December [29] - International coal prices saw a notable increase, with Newcastle's 6000 kcal thermal coal price rising by 3.8% to 110.1 USD/ton [45] Group 3: Domestic Demand and Supply - In 2025, domestic coal production increased by 1.2% year-on-year, while coal imports decreased by 9.6% [56] - The total coal production in 2025 reached 483.2 million tons, with significant contributions from Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi [56] - The demand for electricity in 2025 grew by 5.0%, with the industrial sector showing varied growth rates [46] Group 4: Key Companies and Financial Analysis - Key companies in the coal sector include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, and Shaanxi Coal, all rated as "Buy" with robust dividend policies [6][7] - Financial metrics for these companies indicate a favorable outlook, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and attractive valuation ratios [7]

文 | 张阳阳 2月2日，A股三大指数集体下跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌2.48%，深证成指跌2.69%，创业板指跌 2.46%；北证50跌2.03%。沪深两市成交额约25847.65亿元，较前一个交易日缩量约2507.73亿元。涨跌 方面，全市场771只股票上涨、4652只股票下跌。 受资源周期股集体重挫、市场情绪恶化及大盘技术指标弱势的共振效应影响，以资源型产业（煤炭、钢 铁）为核心的山西板块表现显著疲软，整体下跌约3.79%。 涨跌情况方面，山西板块41只个股，仅4只上涨，37只下跌，个股分化明显。 特高压、智能电网、电网设备等行业以及概念涨幅居前。山西板块4只上涨个股中，3只经营范围与电 网、电力相关，分别为晋控电力、华翔股份与金利华电，涨幅分别为3.97%、0.65%,和0.54%。 此外，白酒板块走强，涨幅达2.60%。与行业板块走势一致，山西汾酒上涨1.46%。 贵金属及有色金属大幅下跌。山西板块下跌个股中，与之关联的北方铜业也跌幅显著，跌达10.01%。 同时，煤炭开采板块跌5.61%，煤炭概念板跌4.53%。山西板块多只能源股如安泰集团、山西焦煤、美 锦能源也跌幅居前，分别下跌8.93%、8.6 ...

证券之星消息，2月2日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日下跌5.3%，大有能源领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600397 | 江铝装备 | 10.24 | 2.20% | 68.25万 | | 7.13亿 | | 600395 | 盘江股份 | 5.43 | -0.73% | 158.07万 | | 8.76亿 | | 000571 | 新大洲A | 6.16 | -1.91% | 20.13万 | | 1.25亿 | | 600575 | 淮河能源 | 3.35 | -2.05% | 65.11万 | | 2.20亿 | | 600925 | 赤能股份 | 4.62 | -2.74% | 14.92万 | | 6946.31万 | | 603071 | 物产环能 | 13.34 | -2.91% | 3.10万 | 4195.86万 | ...

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The ultra-luxury market has significant potential for domestic alternatives, with the Jianghuai brand expected to improve profitability through increased sales of the Zun Jie model [4][5] - The ultra-luxury car market has historically sold between 150,000 to 200,000 units annually, with domestic brands currently holding a low market share, indicating substantial future growth opportunities [4] - Jianghuai's Q3 2025 financial report shows a notable improvement in revenue and gross margin, with expectations for continued growth as the Zun Jie model begins larger-scale deliveries [5][6] Group 2: Paper Industry - The price of white cardboard is set to increase by 200 RMB per ton starting March 1, 2026, following a previous increase in January, which is expected to positively impact profitability for leading companies in the sector [7][8] - The average price of white cardboard rose by 291.05 RMB per ton from August 2025 to December 2025, indicating a recovery trend in the industry [8] - The company reported a revenue of 14.45 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.46%, and a production increase of 12.39% in the same period [9] Group 3: Organic Silicon Industry - The demand for organic silicon is steadily increasing, particularly in sectors such as electronics, construction, and renewable energy, with projected consumption growth rates of 8.0% to 8.8% from 2025 to 2027 [11][12] - The expansion of organic silicon supply is slowing, with new capacity expected to be limited in the coming years, which may help stabilize prices [12] - The "anti-involution" consensus among industry leaders is expected to positively influence pricing and market conditions, aiding in the recovery of the industry's profitability [12][13] Group 4: Food Processing Industry - The company anticipates a core operating profit growth of 44.8% to 51.2% for 2025, with projected revenues of approximately 7.75 to 7.85 billion RMB, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year [17][18] - The expansion of store numbers and market penetration in rural areas is driving revenue growth, with a total of 11,566 stores expected by the end of 2025 [19] - The company is focusing on building a membership system and enhancing online sales channels, which are expected to strengthen its market position [19] Group 5: Military Electronics Industry - The company forecasts a net profit of 338 to 388 million RMB for 2025, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses, driven by demand for AI and cloud computing technologies [20][22] - The company is actively collaborating with major tech firms and expanding its product offerings in AI and data center infrastructure, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [23][24] - The company plans to invest in expanding its production capacity in key technology areas, including AI and defense applications, to capitalize on market opportunities [24][25] Group 6: AI and Software Development Industry - The company expects a net profit of 785 to 950 million RMB for 2025, with a growth rate of 40% to 70%, driven by advancements in AI models and increased sales [26][27] - The launch of the new AI model "Xunfei Starfire X1.5" is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge in the AI market, with significant project wins reported [28][30] - The company is expanding its B2B AI applications and has achieved notable sales success in consumer AI hardware, indicating strong market demand [30][31] Group 7: Biopharmaceutical Industry - The ADC drug market is experiencing rapid growth, with global sales expected to reach 66.2 billion USD by 2030, driven by increased R&D efforts from domestic companies [32][34] - Domestic companies are leveraging existing technologies to optimize ADC drugs, with several products showing potential to become best-in-class [33][34] - The increasing number of ADC drug pipelines in China is expected to lead to a significant number of new drug approvals in the coming years, enhancing market competitiveness [35] Group 8: Automotive Components Industry - The domestic electric vehicle market is projected to grow by 28.2% in 2025, with the company focusing on high-voltage power supply solutions for electric vehicles [37][38] - The company has established partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and is expanding its international client base, which is expected to enhance profitability [38][39] - The company anticipates a net profit of 210 to 250 million RMB for 2025, driven by increased demand in the electric vehicle sector and successful capacity expansion [39][41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [9] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 130.5 billion, 132.3 billion, and 137.1 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of -6%, 1%, and 4% respectively [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 10.1 billion, 10.4 billion, and 11.3 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of -30%, 3%, and 9% respectively [7] - The company plans to release the value of marginal assets and enhance operational stability through the transfer of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Xintai Coal, which has a significant increase in assessed net asset value [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total share capital of 10,037.48 million shares and a market price of 14.64 yuan, leading to a market capitalization of approximately 146.95 billion yuan [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.44, 1.01, 1.04, and 1.13 yuan for the years 2024 to 2027 [7] Asset Management - The company is in the process of transferring the 100% equity of its subsidiary, Xintai Coal, with a base price of 670 million yuan, and the highest bid reaching 3.05 billion yuan [7] - The transaction is expected to release hidden asset value and positively contribute to the company's net profit in 2026 [6][7] Market Position - The company is focusing on optimizing its asset structure by concentrating on core mining areas, which is anticipated to improve overall asset quality and capital allocation efficiency [6][7]

易方达沪深300ETF（510310）成立日期2013年3月6日，最新规模3002.2亿。今年以来收益1.76%，同类 排名4465/5579；近一年收益26.54%，同类排名2817/4285；成立以来收益142.53%。 易方达沪深300ETF（510310）基金经理为余海燕、庞亚平。 2月2日，潞安环能跌5.06%，截至发稿，报12.94元/股，成交3.75亿元，换手率0.95%，总市值387.09亿 元。 资料显示，山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司位于山西省长治市襄垣县侯堡镇，成立日期2001年7月 19日，上市日期2006年9月22日，公司主营业务涉及原煤开采、煤炭洗选、煤焦冶炼,开采煤层的主要煤 种为瘦煤、贫瘦煤、贫煤等。主营业务收入构成为：煤炭92.66%，焦炭5.53%，其他1.81%。 从潞安环能十大流通股东角度 数据显示，易方达基金旗下1只基金位居潞安环能十大流通股东。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）三季度 新进十大流通股东，持有股数1472.6万股，占流通股的比例为0.49%。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约 1016.09万元。 易方达中证红利ETF（515180）成立日期2019年11 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several coal companies, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Electricity, and Xinji Energy, while recommending "Hold" for Pingmei Shenma [8][9]. Core Insights - The coal market is expected to focus on overseas opportunities rather than domestic ones, with potential "black swan" events in the international market that could significantly impact coal prices [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with overseas operations, specifically China Qinfa (Indonesia), Power Development (South Africa), and Yancoal Australia (Australia) [1]. - The report highlights that the coal price is expected to remain volatile, driven by pre-holiday stockpiling and tightening supply as the Chinese New Year approaches [10][34]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index rose to 3892.74 points, an increase of 3.98%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.90 percentage points [69]. - China Qinfa's market capitalization reached a historical high of 10.6 billion HKD, reflecting strong market sentiment [1]. Coal Price Trends - As of January 30, 2026, the price of thermal coal at North Port was 695 CNY/ton, up by 4 CNY/ton week-on-week [34]. - The report notes that coal prices are expected to stabilize as supply tightens and demand fluctuates due to the upcoming holiday [34]. Focus on Key Companies - The report recommends focusing on companies like China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Xinji Energy, which are expected to perform well due to their strong fundamentals [9]. - Companies like China Qinfa, which are expanding overseas, are highlighted as having significant growth potential [1][9]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report indicates that coal supply is tightening as some mines halt production for the holiday, while demand is supported by pre-holiday stockpiling [10][34]. - The report also mentions that the inventory levels at major ports are decreasing, which could support price stability [14]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the coal industry will continue to play a crucial role in China's energy landscape, with a focus on high-quality development amid structural reforms [34]. - Long-term prospects for the coal sector remain positive, with expectations of increased concentration and stability in supply-demand dynamics [34].

行 业 及 产 业 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 联系人 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 煤炭开采 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 2026 年 02 月 01 日 节前产地供给偏紧，补库需求支撑 下，预计煤价仍将上涨 看好 ——煤炭行业周报（2026.1.24-2026.1.30） 本期投资提示： ⚫ 动力煤方面，截至 1 月 30 日，据中国煤炭市场网，秦皇岛港口 Q4500、Q5000、 Q5500 动力煤现货价收报 527、609、692 元/吨，环比上涨 13、10、7 元/吨。供给 端，据中国煤炭市场网，环渤海四港区本周日均调入量 159.17 万吨，环比上周增加 0.1 万吨，增幅 0.04%，同比增加 ...

Company Announcements - Fenglong Co., Ltd. received a commitment from UBTECH not to inject assets into the company within 36 months after the acquisition, and the stock will resume trading on February 2 after the completion of a trading suspension investigation [2] - Jerry Holdings signed a sales contract for gas turbine generator sets with a total amount of 1.82 billion USD (approximately 12.65 billion RMB) for a data center application, marking the fourth such contract with a U.S. client since November 2025 [3] - Aoxin plans to invest 1.82 billion RMB in a high-end printed circuit board project, which aims to enhance product competitiveness and meet the growing demand in various sectors [3] Shareholder Changes - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company intends to transfer 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary Xintai Coal [4] - GoerTek increased its share repurchase fund from a minimum of 5 billion RMB to a minimum of 10 billion RMB, with a maximum of 15 billion RMB [4][5] Business Performance - China Mobile and China Telecom will be affected by the adjustment of the VAT tax category for telecom services, which will impact their revenue and profits [3][5] - Leshan Electric Power reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 3.68% for 2025 [5] Stock Price Movements - Jiamei Packaging's stock price surged by 408.11% from December 17, 2025, to January 23, 2026, leading to a trading suspension for investigation, with the stock resuming trading on February 2 [5] - Hunan Gold's stock experienced significant trading fluctuations, with uncertainty regarding the future market price of its gold products [7] - Hongbaoli's epoxy propylene comprehensive technology transformation project has entered the pre-production preparation stage, although there is uncertainty regarding the timeline for producing qualified products [8] Other News - Fushi Holdings' actual controller and chairman Chen Yongliang has been detained [9] - ST United received a notice from the Shanghai Stock Exchange to suspend the review of its application due to the need to update financial documents [9]