Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report Macro and Financial Futures - The implementation of domestic service - consumption stimulus policies may form a synergistic effect with commodity - consumption boosting measures to support the growth of total retail sales of consumer goods, but the actual effect needs further observation. Overseas, the CPI data rebounded in August, and the weakening of the US employment market has increased the market's bet on the Fed's interest rate cut. The Fed's interest rate dot - plot will be the focus of the market [1]. - The US dollar index is in a volatile range. The US dollar - RMB exchange rate is likely to fluctuate between 7.10 - 7.16 this week. Export enterprises are advised to lock in forward exchange settlement in batches at the upper edge of the exchange - rate range, and import enterprises can adopt a rolling foreign - exchange purchase strategy near the 7.10 mark [2][3]. Stock Index - The sentiment and capital situation of the stock index have improved, and it is expected to be strong in the short term. However, if the stock index continues to rise rapidly, there will be a need for adjustment due to over - heated sentiment [4]. Treasury Bonds - The bond market rebounded due to rumors of the central bank restarting bond purchases. The central bank's attitude needs to be closely watched, and it is recommended to wait and see for the time being [4][5]. Shipping - The new weekly opening quotes of Maersk are lower than the previous values, and CMA CGM and Evergreen have also followed up and lowered their quotes for European routes, which is likely to drive down the futures price valuation. It is recommended to operate with a quick - in - and - quick - out strategy [8]. Commodities Precious Metals - Precious metals are in a high - level shock. In the medium and long term, they may be bullish. In the short term, gold and silver are in a high - level consolidation. It is advisable to maintain the idea of buying on dips [9][11]. Copper - US inflation - related data are lower than expected, which increases the expectation of interest rate cuts and causes the copper price to strengthen slightly. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options [12]. Aluminum Industry Chain - For aluminum, the macro environment is favorable, and the short - term trend is expected to be strong, but investors should be cautious about chasing high prices. For alumina, the supply is in excess, and the price is expected to be weak. For cast aluminum alloy, the cost provides support, and it is advisable to consider arbitrage operations [13][14][15]. Zinc - In the short term, the zinc price is in a bottom - strengthening shock. It is advisable to continue to observe the LME inventory approaching the extreme value or sell out - of - the - money put options [16]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - They maintain a shock trend, with limited downward space [17][18]. Tin - Affected by US PPI data, the tin price has risen slightly. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options [19]. Lithium Carbonate - The "Golden September and Silver October" downstream peak - season demand provides support for the lithium - carbonate price, and short - term supply - side disturbances do not change the fundamental support logic [20][21]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - In the short term, the Inner Mongolia meeting has a positive impact on sentiment. In the long term, the industry is under structural pressure. The polysilicon market is affected by news and policy expectations, and investors are advised to be cautious [22][23]. Lead - The lead price is in a narrow - range shock. It is advisable to consider selling out - of - the - money call options or using a double - selling strategy [24]. Black Metals Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - The supply of crude steel has recovered, but the overall supply of the five major steel products has decreased. The steel inventory pressure is large, and the steel price is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly [26][27]. Iron Ore - The iron - ore price is difficult to rise unilaterally. It is recommended to take profit on long positions [28]. Coking Coal and Coke - A second - round price cut is expected. The coal - coke market is expected to maintain a wide - range shock pattern in the short term [29]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - Their trends mainly follow the coking - coal price. It is recommended to lightly try long positions on the main contracts, but beware of the risk of a sharp fall after a rise [30][31]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - Production increase dominates the oil - price trend. It is recommended to short on rallies [33]. LPG - It maintains a shock trend. The domestic supply is controllable, and the demand is slightly weakened [34][35]. PTA - PX - The industrial profit is under pressure, but the support is strengthening. It is recommended to expand the processing margin below 260 and try to lay out long positions on TA01 below 4650 [35][38]. MEG - Bottle Chip - There is a pre - expected inventory build - up. It is recommended to wait and see and look for opportunities to short on rallies [39][40]. PP - The cost provides support, and it is expected to be stronger than PE in the short term [41][43]. PE - The current driving force is weak. It is expected to be in a shock pattern, and further demand increase signals need to be awaited [44][45]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - They follow the cost - end fluctuations. Pure benzene is expected to be weak in the short term, and styrene is in a shock state and it is advisable to wait and see [45][47]. Fuel Oil - It follows the cost fluctuations. It is recommended to wait to short the cracking spread [46][47]. Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - It is recommended to wait to go long on the cracking spread [48]. Asphalt - The demand is affected by rainfall, but the inventory is improving. It is advisable to try long positions after the crude - oil price stabilizes [49][50]. Rubber and 20 - Number Rubber - The downstream operating rate has increased, and the domestic demand is resilient. It is recommended to consider short - term long positions [50][52]. Glass, Soda Ash, and Caustic Soda Soda Ash - The supply is expected to remain high in the medium and long term. The supply - demand pattern is one of strong supply and weak demand, and attention should be paid to cost and supply expectations [53]. Glass - The supply is expected to be stable or slightly increase. The market is in a weak - balance to weak - surplus state. Attention should be paid to supply, cost, and demand factors [54]. Caustic Soda - The near - end spot price is strong, and the inventory is decreasing. Attention should be paid to the spot rhythm, peak - season performance, and downstream stocking enthusiasm [55][56]. Pulp - The fundamental improvement is not obvious. It is recommended to wait and see and not chase short positions [56][57]. Logs - There are no new factors, and it is in a shock state. It is advisable to wait and see [57]. Summaries According to the Catalog Financial Futures - **Macro**: Domestic service - consumption stimulus policies are expected to be introduced, and overseas, the US employment market is weakening, increasing the expectation of Fed interest rate cuts [1]. - **RMB Exchange Rate**: The US dollar - RMB exchange rate is expected to fluctuate between 7.10 - 7.16 this week. Different strategies are recommended for export and import enterprises [2][3]. - **Stock Index**: The sentiment and capital situation have improved, and it is expected to be strong in the short term, but there is a risk of adjustment [4]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The bond market rebounded, and the central bank's attitude is the focus. It is recommended to wait and see [4][5]. Shipping - Maersk's new quotes and the follow - up actions of other shipping companies drive down the futures price valuation. A quick - in - and - quick - out strategy is recommended [8]. Commodities Precious Metals - The inflation data are in line with expectations, and the employment market is cooling. Precious metals are in a high - level shock, and a long - on - dips strategy is recommended [9][11]. Copper - US inflation data increase the expectation of interest rate cuts, and the copper price strengthens slightly. Selling out - of - the - money put options is recommended [12]. Aluminum Industry Chain - For aluminum, the macro and fundamental factors are favorable, but investors should be cautious. For alumina, the supply is excessive. For cast aluminum alloy, the cost provides support [13][14][15]. Zinc - The supply is in excess, and the demand is average. The short - term trend is a bottom - strengthening shock [16]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - They maintain a shock trend, with limited downward space [17][18]. Tin - Affected by US PPI data, the tin price rises slightly. Selling out - of - the money put options is recommended [19]. Lithium Carbonate - The downstream peak - season demand supports the price, and short - term supply disturbances do not change the fundamentals [20][21]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - The short - term sentiment is supported, but the long - term industry is under structural pressure. The polysilicon market is affected by news and policies [22][23]. Lead - The lead price is in a narrow - range shock. It is advisable to consider option - selling strategies [24]. Black Metals Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - The crude - steel supply has recovered, but the overall supply of the five major steel products has decreased, and the inventory pressure is large [26][27]. Iron Ore - The price is difficult to rise unilaterally due to weak demand. Taking profit on long positions is recommended [28]. Coking Coal and Coke - A second - round price cut is expected, and the market is in a wide - range shock in the short term [29]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - Their trends follow coking coal. Lightly trying long positions is recommended, but beware of risks [30][31]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - Production increase leads to a decline in oil prices. A short - on - rallies strategy is recommended [33]. LPG - It maintains a shock trend, with controllable supply and slightly weakened demand [34][35]. PTA - PX - The industrial profit is under pressure, but the support is strengthening. Processing - margin expansion and long - position layout strategies are recommended [35][38]. MEG - Bottle Chip - There is a pre - expected inventory build - up. It is recommended to wait and look for short - on - rallies opportunities [39][40]. PP - The cost provides support, and it is expected to be stronger than PE in the short term [41][43]. PE - The current driving force is weak, and it is in a shock pattern, awaiting demand increase signals [44][45]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - They follow cost fluctuations. Pure benzene is expected to be weak, and styrene is in a shock state [45][47]. Fuel Oil - It follows cost fluctuations. Waiting to short the cracking spread is recommended [46][47]. Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - Waiting to go long on the cracking spread is recommended [48]. Asphalt - The demand is affected by rainfall, and the inventory is improving. Trying long positions after crude - oil price stabilization is advisable [49][50]. Rubber and 20 - Number Rubber - The downstream operating rate has increased, and the domestic demand is resilient. Short - term long positions can be considered [50][52]. Glass, Soda Ash, and Caustic Soda Soda Ash - The supply is expected to remain high, and the supply - demand pattern is one of strong supply and weak demand [53]. Glass - The supply is stable or slightly increasing, and the market is in a weak - balance to weak - surplus state [54]. Caustic Soda - The near - end spot is strong, and the inventory is decreasing. Spot rhythm and demand need to be watched [55][56]. Pulp and Logs Pulp - The fundamental improvement is not obvious. It is recommended to wait and not chase short positions [56][57]. Logs - There are no new factors, and it is in a shock state. It is advisable to wait and see [57].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The overall driver remains downward as shipping companies' loading rates are low during the spot price decline period. The 10 - contract on the futures market dropped significantly as the spot price broke through the previous low of the year, showing signs of shipping companies' price competition. The valuation space below the 10 - contract has significantly decreased, and investors can consider reducing their positions. The 12 - contract followed the decline, and the 10 - 12 spread changed little and is relatively reasonable. Currently, the spot price has little change [1][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Information - **Yesterday's Closing Price and Changes**: EC2510 closed at 1203.8, down 5.02%; EC2512 at 1609.1, down 3.88%; EC2602 at 1497.4, down 1.75%; EC2604 at 1242.0, down 0.32%; EC2606 at 1430.6, down 0.92% [1]. - **Basis**: EC2510's basis is 362.7; EC2512's is - 42.6; EC2602's is 69.1; EC2604's is 324.5; EC2606's is 135.9 [1]. - **Yesterday's Trading Volume and Open Interest**: EC2510's trading volume is 32766, and open interest is 49507; EC2512's trading volume is 10045, open interest is 19025 with a change of 1417; EC2602's trading volume is 1268, open interest is 6001 with a change of 59; EC2604's trading volume is 919, open interest is 7791 with a change of 279; EC2606's trading volume is 67, open interest change is 6 [1]. - **Monthly Spread**: EC2510 - 2512 spread is - 405.3, with a daily increase of 1.3 and a weekly decrease of 5.0; EC2512 - 2602 spread is 111.7, with a daily decrease of 38.3 and a weekly decrease of 61.9 [1]. 3.2 Spot Index Information - **SCFIS (European Line)**: On September 8, 2025, it was 1566.46 points, down 11.68% from the previous period; on September 5, 2025, it was 1773.60 points, down 10.88% from the previous period [1]. - **CCFI**: On September 5, 2025, it was 1638.77 points, down 2.79% from the previous period [1]. - **NCFI**: On September 5, 2025, it was 855.93 points, down 7.92% from the previous period [1]. 3.3 Recent European Line Quotation Situation - **Week 37**: The average quotation was 2100 US dollars (equivalent to 1450 points on the disk), among which MSK was 1900 US dollars (later rose to 1950), PA was 2100 - 2150, and OA was 2100 - 2300 [2]. - **Week 38**: The average quotation was 1800 US dollars (equivalent to 1260 points on the disk), among which MSK was 1700 US dollars (later rose to 1760), PA&MSC was 1800 - 1950, and OA was 1650 - 2020 [2]. - **Week 39**: The average quotation was 1660 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the disk), among which MSK opened at 1550 US dollars, PA dropped to 1600 - 1700 US dollars, and OA quoted 1650 - 1700 US dollars [2].

Group 1 - Company plans to issue A-shares to raise up to 8 billion yuan for the construction of 6 VLCCs, 2 LNG carriers, and 3 Aframax tankers to optimize fleet structure and enhance competitiveness [1] - The average age of the company's tanker fleet is projected to reach 14 years by the end of July 2025, indicating an urgent need for fleet renewal [1] - The stock price of the company increased by over 8% in early trading, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the announcement [1] Group 2 - OPEC+ has confirmed a new production increase plan, signaling a focus on market share rather than price, which may lead to lower oil prices [1] - The decision by OPEC+ to maintain production levels despite low oil prices is expected to stimulate effective demand and drive an upward cycle in tanker transportation demand [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) plans to raise up to 8 billion yuan through A-share issuance to enhance its fleet capacity and competitiveness amid an aging fleet and increasing oil transportation demand [1] Company Summary - China Cosco Shipping Energy's stock rose over 8% in early trading, currently at 8.74 HKD with a trading volume of 1.33 billion HKD [1] - The company announced plans to construct 6 Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs), 2 LNG carriers, and 3 Aframax oil tankers to optimize its fleet structure [1] - The average age of the company's tanker fleet is projected to reach 14 years by the end of July 2025, indicating an urgent need for fleet renewal [1] Industry Summary - OPEC+ has confirmed a new production increase plan, which, although lower than previous increments, signals a commitment to maintaining market share over price [1] - This decision by OPEC+ is expected to further lower oil prices, potentially stimulating effective demand and driving an upward cycle in oil transportation demand [1]

Group 1: Enhanced Index Funds - Public fund institutions are increasingly favoring enhanced index funds, with over 100 new funds issued this year, surpassing the total for 2023 and 2024 combined [1] - The newly issued enhanced index funds have a combined issuance of 61.097 billion units, indicating strong market interest and performance [1] - In comparison, 42 and 59 enhanced index funds were issued in 2024 and 2023, with total issuance of 21.427 billion and 26.59 billion units respectively [1] Group 2: Bond Market Regulations - A total of 28 bond issuers have received disciplinary actions for failing to disclose periodic reports accurately and timely [1] - The focus of the regulatory bodies is on the compliance of fund usage and the responsibilities of senior executives in ensuring accurate information disclosure [1] Group 3: China Pacific Insurance - China Pacific Insurance has issued zero-coupon convertible bonds amounting to 15.556 billion HKD, achieving a premium issuance [2] - This issuance is noted as the largest zero-coupon convertible bond in history and the largest overseas refinancing project in the Asia-Pacific financial sector since 2025 [2] Group 4: A-Share Market - The A-share refinancing market has seen a significant increase, with total funds raised exceeding 800.214 billion CNY, a 258.7% increase from last year's total of 223.12 billion CNY [2] - The rise in refinancing activity is attributed to policy reforms and increased demand for capital in strategic sectors like new energy and semiconductors [2] Group 5: Power Equipment Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has outlined a growth plan for the power equipment industry, targeting a 6% annual revenue growth for traditional power equipment [3] - The plan emphasizes the need for increased production and export of new energy equipment, with a goal of 7% annual revenue growth for advanced manufacturing clusters in the sector [3] Group 6: Wearable Devices Market - IDC forecasts that global shipments of wearable devices will reach 49.2 million units in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3% [4] - Major manufacturers like Huawei, Xiaomi, and Apple continue to dominate the market, although their growth rates vary significantly [4] Group 7: Robotics Industry - There has been a surge in the registration of companies related to embodied intelligence, with 86 new companies established in the last three months [5] - The registration of humanoid robot companies has exceeded 105 in the first half of this year, marking a 183.78% increase compared to the same period last year [5] Group 8: Banking Sector Consolidation - The consolidation of village and town banks is accelerating, with recent approvals for mergers, indicating a trend towards enhancing risk resilience and regional competitiveness [5] - This consolidation is driven by both policy guidance and the banks' own development motivations [5] Group 9: Corporate Governance and Legal Issues - West Restaurant's CEO has announced plans to sue a public figure for defamation regarding claims about their use of pre-prepared dishes [6] - The company aims to maintain its reputation by publicly showcasing its menu to counter the allegations [6] Group 10: Market Performance - The U.S. stock market indices have risen, with the S&P 500 up 0.85% and the Dow Jones up 1.36%, driven by favorable economic data [10] - The rebound in Chinese concept stocks has also been notable, with the index rising nearly 3% [11]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The container shipping index (European Line) is under pressure. The 2510 contract is currently pricing in the downward trend of freight rates in the first half of October and the potential upward risk in the second half, and is short - term weak. The 2512 contract should not be over - estimated due to potential negative factors. The 2602 contract may not show a discount to the 12 contract in years with a late Spring Festival [10][13] - This week, consider taking profits on the 2510 contract at low prices. In the medium - to - long - term, consider going long on the 02 - 04 and 12 - 04 calendar spreads [14] Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The main 2510 contract of the container shipping index (European Line) closed at 1,203.8 points, down 5.28%, with an increase of 2,187 lots in positions; the second - main 2512 contract closed at 1,609.1 points, down 4.07%, with an increase of 1,417 lots in positions [1][10] Freight Rates - The 38 - week freight rate center has further declined to around $1,650/FEU. Conservatively estimated, the cumulative decline in the 39th and 40th weeks is $100/FEU, and the center may fall to around $1,550/FEU. Different alliances have different pricing and adjustment situations [11] Supply - Side Fundamentals - In October, the weekly average capacity has been slightly revised down from 276,000 TEU/week to 267,000 TEU/week. The year - on - year growth rate of capacity in October is 1.1%, a significant decline compared to July - September. The suspension of sailings by shipping companies during the National Day holiday is relatively strong. In November, there are 6 pending voyages, 3 blank sailings, and 1 additional sailing. Without considering the pending voyages, the current weekly average capacity is 302,000 TEU/week [12] Contract Analysis - The 2510 contract may mainly reflect the freight rate quotes from the 40th to 42nd weeks. The current price may have priced in the downward trend of freight rates in the first half of October and the potential upward risk in the second half, and is short - term weak. The 2512 contract should not be over - estimated due to potential negative factors such as the late Spring Festival in 2026 and increasing over - capacity pressure. The 2602 contract may not show a discount to the 12 contract in years with a late Spring Festival [13] Strategy - This week, consider taking profits on the 2510 contract at low prices. In the medium - to - long - term, consider going long on the 02 - 04 and 12 - 04 calendar spreads [14] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of the container shipping index (European Line) is 0, indicating a neutral trend [15]

Group 1 - The Ningbo-Zhoushan Port is experiencing significant activity, with a focus on the progress of an intelligent parking project and infrastructure construction, which faced delays due to land acquisition and approval processes [1] - The local disciplinary inspection and supervision authorities are actively addressing administrative bottlenecks to optimize the port city's layout and support the development of a modern port [1] - Emphasis is placed on the high-quality development of the marine economy, with a commitment to political supervision in key areas related to marine economic development [1] Group 2 - The establishment of an internationally influential shipping center is identified as a key element in developing the marine economy, with ongoing supervision of major projects at the Shanghai International Shipping Center [2] - The Shanghai disciplinary inspection team is focusing on 14 key supervision items related to marine industry development, ensuring accountability and task clarity among responsible parties [2] - Technological innovation is highlighted as a core driver for high-quality marine economic development, with oversight on the implementation of marine research policies and funding usage [2] Group 3 - In Qingdao, the local disciplinary inspection authorities are engaging with research institutions to address urgent issues in hardware and technology, resulting in the resolution of 31 significant problems [3] - A mechanism has been established to integrate technological breakthroughs with policy support and financial innovation in the marine sector [3] - The Weifang municipal authorities are actively identifying and addressing common technological challenges in the marine industry, creating a list of over 100 issues to tackle [4] Group 4 - The protection of the marine ecological environment is crucial for high-quality marine economic development, with ongoing supervision to ensure accountability in ecological protection efforts [4] - The North Sea City is focusing on the protection of mangrove ecosystems, integrating ecological protection into political supervision and addressing corruption related to environmental issues [4] - The local authorities are implementing measures to enhance the management and restoration of mangrove ecosystems, ensuring compliance with ecological protection standards [4]

首席点 评 ： 股指独领风骚，商品蓄势待发 开展北京城市副中心、苏南重点城市、杭甬温、合肥都市圈等10个要素市场化配置综合改革试点。中国商务部：密 切关注墨方提税动向，中方将根据实际情况采取必要措施。美国通胀基本符合预期，8月核心CPI同比增3.1%，环比 增0.3%，持平华尔街预期和7月；美上周首申失业金人数不降反增至26.3万，创近四年新高。欧洲央行连续两次会议 按兵不动，认为通胀压力得到控制；行长拉加德放鹰：欧元区降通胀过程现已结束，贸易不确定性已明显减弱。 重点品种：股指、原油、玻璃纯碱 股指 ： 美国三大指数上涨，上一交易日股指全线反弹，通信板块领涨，市场成交额2.46万亿元。资金方面，9月10 日融资余额增加57.74亿元至23092.69亿元。2025年我们认为国内流动性延续宽松，同时处于政策窗口期，四季度为 提振实体经济可能会出台更多的增量政策，同时外部风险逐步缓和，美联储9月降息概率增加进一步提升人民币资产 吸引力。当前市场处于"政策底+资金底+估值底"共振期，但需适应板块轮动加速与结构分化。科技成长成分居多的 中证500和中证1000指数更偏进攻，波动较大，但可能可以带来更高的回报，而红利 ...

希腊《海运报》9月1日报道，希腊海运和岛屿政策部针对偏远航线的新招标项目为岛屿居民和沿海 航运公司带来了多重利益。该项目为期四年，总资金6.68亿欧元。项目不仅确保了稳定可靠的航线，还 为岛民提供额外的折扣和社会福利，促进当地经济和旅游业的发展。对于沿海航运公司，新的四年期合 同提供了可预测性和财务安全性，使其能够吸引资金用于投资和船队现代化以及遵守环保要求。这些航 线连接小型或偏远岛屿，商业需求有限，如果没有国家资助，航运航线的运营在经济上是不可行的。 （原标题：希腊为偏远岛屿提供6.68亿欧元资金） ...

Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that Huayuan International Land Port Group Co., Ltd., a shareholder holding more than 5% of Phoenix Shipping (Wuhan) Co., Ltd., plans to reduce its shareholding due to operational development needs [1][2]. - Huayuan International Land Port Group holds 59,879,204 shares, accounting for 5.9164% of the total share capital of the company, which were acquired through judicial auction in May 2021 [2]. - The reduction plan will take place from October 13, 2025, to January 12, 2026, with a maximum reduction of 30,362,400 shares, representing 3% of the total share capital [2][3]. Group 2 - The reduction will be executed through centralized bidding and block trading, with a limit of 10,120,800 shares (1% of total share capital) via centralized bidding and 20,241,600 shares (2% of total share capital) via block trading [2]. - The actual implementation of the reduction plan will depend on market conditions and the company's stock price, indicating uncertainty in the timing, price, and quantity of the shares to be reduced [3]. - Huayuan International Land Port Group assures that the reduction will not affect the company's governance structure or ongoing operations, and they will comply with relevant laws and regulations during the process [3].