8月5日，新华日报·交汇点记者从省统计局获悉全省各市地区生产总值（GDP）情况。从整体来看，上 半年全省实现地区生产总值66967.8亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长5.7％。 值得关注的是，徐州市GDP达4509.30 亿元，距离5000亿元大关只有一步之遥，作为颇受瞩目的"万亿之 城"后备军，徐州有望成为江苏第六座"万亿之城"。圆满完成"十四五"规划目标任务、扎实朝着万亿城 市迈进，这也正是今年徐州全市工作的鲜明主题。 增速方面，有7个城市增速超全省5.7％的增速，分别为：淮安市、徐州市、宿迁市、盐城市、镇江市、 常州市、南通市。 淮安以6.8％的增速继续领跑全省，延续了一季度增速第一的位次。位列其后的是徐州和宿迁，增速分 别为6.2％和6.1％，全省增速超6％的城市共有以上三家。 作为全国经济强市，苏州市以13002.35 亿元的地区生产总值继续领跑全省，这也是全省唯一的半年GDP 破万亿元的城市。南京市表现也可圈可点，GDP突破9000亿元，达到了9179.18 亿元，位列第二。无锡 市GDP为7735.15 亿元，名列第三。 此外，同样重要的是，淮安市投资增速保持稳定，项目后劲不断增强。上半年，淮安固 ...

Group 1: Consumer Market Performance - Jiangsu's social retail sales reached 2.39 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, ranking first in the nation [3] - The "old for new" policy for major consumer goods contributed 3.7 percentage points to growth, with retail sales of covered goods reaching 384.7 billion yuan [3] - Online retail sales grew by 7.9% to 636.24 billion yuan, ranking third nationally [3] - The top 100 retail enterprises achieved sales of 294.85 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 14.8% [3] Group 2: Foreign Trade Resilience - Jiangsu's total import and export value reached 2.81 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, surpassing the national average [6] - Exports amounted to 1.88 trillion yuan, growing by 9.4% [6] - Trade with Belt and Road countries reached 1.39 trillion yuan, a growth of 9.5%, accounting for nearly half of the total [6] - ASEAN became the largest export market with a growth rate of 28.4% [6] Group 3: Foreign Investment Growth - Actual foreign investment in Jiangsu reached 11.54 billion USD, accounting for 19.5% of the national total, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8 percentage points [7] - The service sector's foreign investment share increased by 0.8 percentage points [7] - Significant growth in foreign investment from Germany (+107.4%), Luxembourg (+222.5%), and Japan (+165.4%) [7] Group 4: International Cooperation and Investment - Jiangsu's outbound investment projects increased by 806, with actual investment of 4.29 billion USD, a growth of 8.1% [8] - 62.3% of projects and 65.2% of investment were directed towards Belt and Road countries [8] - The establishment of the "China-Central Asia Trade Cooperation Platform" enhances regional trade [8] Group 5: Open Platforms and Economic Zones - Jiangsu has 124 provincial-level economic development zones, leading the nation [9] - The implementation of "50 measures for institutional opening" has resulted in over 450 innovative outcomes [9] - The construction of 18 international cooperation parks is accelerating, fostering significant industrial clusters [9] Group 6: Future Initiatives - Plans to organize over 180 overseas exhibitions to expand international markets [10] - Continued efforts to implement the "22 measures" to stabilize foreign investment [10] - Initiatives to enhance night economy through 50 night consumption zones [10]

Core Viewpoint - China's foreign trade has shown resilience with a year-on-year growth of 2.9% in the first half of the year, driven by a significant 7.2% increase in exports despite the challenges posed by U.S. tariffs [1][8]. Group 1: Export Growth and Market Diversification - Yiwu, known as a barometer for foreign trade, has seen businesses adapt by expanding production capacity, with some companies doubling their output [1]. - Companies in Yiwu are focusing on diversifying their markets beyond the U.S., with significant growth in exports to Latin America, Europe, and Africa, with increases of 15.2%, 21.3%, and 24.4% respectively [5]. - The Christmas goods sector in Yiwu has also benefited from early orders as clients anticipate tariff impacts, showcasing a proactive approach to market challenges [2][4]. Group 2: Business Adaptation and Investment - Yiwu merchants are increasingly participating in international trade fairs, with 683 foreign trade enterprises and 1,424 participants attending 91 overseas exhibitions in the first half of the year [5]. - The rental and transfer prices of shops in Yiwu have been rising, indicating a robust demand for commercial space, with some shops seeing rental prices increase from 130,000 to 230,000 yuan over three years [7]. - The upcoming launch of the Global Digital Trade Center in Yiwu has sparked intense competition for shop spaces, reflecting the growing interest in digital and cross-border commerce [7]. Group 3: Overall Trade Resilience - Yiwu's total import and export value increased by 25% year-on-year in the first half of the year, highlighting the resilience of China's foreign trade amidst global uncertainties [8]. - The influx of foreign buyers to Yiwu has increased by 19.6% this year, further supporting the local economy and trade activities [6].

Core Insights - Shaanxi's foreign trade shows a positive trend with a total import and export value of 244.514 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 7.5% [1] - The export of mechanical and electrical products increased by 12.4%, accounting for 85.9% of the province's total exports [1] - The export of new energy vehicles reached 179,000 units, with an export value of 23.92 billion yuan, both doubling compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - Shaanxi's exports amounted to 170.535 billion yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year, while imports were 73.979 billion yuan, a 1.1% increase [1] - The province's trade structure is continuously optimizing, with the "new three samples" products seeing a 37.8% increase in exports [1] Group 2: Policy Support - The government has actively supported enterprises in market expansion, organizing over 120 companies to participate in key overseas exhibitions, resulting in a total transaction amount of 1.85 billion yuan [2] - Financial support has been strengthened, with 15 cooperative projects resulting in a credit amount of 12.13 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Market Diversification - Shaanxi has expanded its foreign trade markets, with significant growth in trade with ASEAN, Central Asia, and Australia, making ASEAN the province's largest trading partner [3] - The trade volume with ASEAN now accounts for one-sixth of Shaanxi's total foreign trade [3] Group 4: Confidence in Future Trade - Despite uncertainties in the international economic landscape, Shaanxi is confident in its ability to respond to risks and challenges, driven by pragmatic policies and innovative products [4]

Group 1 - Jiangsu's open economy has shown resilience and steady growth despite external challenges, contributing significantly to national economic development [1][2] - In the first half of the year, Jiangsu's import and export scale reached a record high of 2.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, driven by structural improvements and strong dynamics [2] - The province's actual use of foreign capital reached 11.54 billion USD, leading the nation, with a notable increase in investments from developed countries [3] Group 2 - Policy measures such as the "12 measures for stabilizing foreign trade and employment" have been implemented to support businesses, with a 5% increase in employment subsidy funds [4][5] - Jiangsu has actively promoted the integration of foreign trade and domestic sales, facilitating over 50 events to help more than 2,200 foreign trade enterprises [6] - The province is focusing on enhancing digital trade and international logistics, aiming to optimize the logistics costs for "Jiangsu manufacturing" to support the open economy [8][9] Group 3 - The province plans to deepen cooperation in digital trade and improve cross-border trade facilitation, targeting efficiency and cost reduction in customs processes [8][9] - Local governments are also taking initiatives to attract foreign investment and support service trade innovation, enhancing the overall business environment [9]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu province maintains steady growth in its open economy amidst complex global economic conditions, showcasing resilience and contributing significantly to national economic development [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - Jiangsu's import and export scale reached a record high of 2.8 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - The province's exports to countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative accounted for half of its total trade for the first time, with high-end equipment exports increasing by 17.6% [2] - Cross-border e-commerce saw explosive growth, with a 79.2% increase in import and export activities [2] Group 2: Foreign Investment - Jiangsu attracted $11.54 billion in actual foreign investment in the first half of the year, leading the nation, with 38.1% of this investment directed towards the manufacturing sector [3] - Notable increases in foreign investment from developed countries, including Japan, Germany, Luxembourg, and Switzerland, all exceeding 100% [3] - The province has 12 foreign investment projects with over $10 million each, ranking first in the country for significant foreign investment projects [3] Group 3: Policy Support and Employment - Jiangsu implemented a series of policies to stabilize foreign trade and employment, including a 5% increase in employment subsidy funds, totaling 9.14 billion yuan [4] - The province's logistics support for open economy development includes new international passenger and cargo routes, enhancing connectivity [4] Group 4: Systematic Measures and Market Expansion - Various departments in Jiangsu have introduced targeted policies to stabilize foreign trade and investment, including financial support and measures to prevent layoffs [5] - The province organized around 50 events to promote foreign trade products to domestic markets, facilitating over 2,200 foreign trade enterprises [5] Group 5: Legal and Financial Services - Jiangsu established a "one-stop" legal service hub for foreign trade enterprises, enhancing support for businesses venturing abroad [6] - The province's foreign trade bank issued over 49.5 billion yuan in loans to support enterprises in the first half of the year [6] Group 6: Future Outlook and Challenges - Jiangsu aims to address structural challenges in its open economy, such as improving the share of general trade and private enterprises [7] - The province plans to continue its supportive policies and market expansion efforts, including enhancing cross-border e-commerce and international trade facilitation [8][9]

Core Insights - Monthly commodity price forecast indicates oil prices are fluctuating, while copper and gold are trending upwards [2] Domestic Demand - New home sales are experiencing a larger decline, while automobile sales are also retreating; however, summer entertainment consumption is showing signs of improvement [2] - In July, new home sales saw a year-on-year decline, while the drop in second-hand home sales narrowed. The market is undergoing adjustments, and the growth rate of passenger car sales is slowing down, with retail sales declining and wholesale sales increasing [2] - The box office revenue for summer films has significantly improved, with total box office surpassing 6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.4% [2] External Demand - The introduction of Tariff 2.0 has seen lower increases in tariffs for major economies like the EU and Japan compared to April, with China's tariffs being postponed for another three months [3] - Additional conditions require major economies to commit to investments in the U.S. and purchase energy products, with an extra 40% tariff on re-exporting countries like Vietnam targeting China [4] - July exports may see a slight decline, with a decrease in shipping weight and a drop in shipping volume to the U.S. [5] Production - The willingness to reduce production remains limited, with steel mill profits continuing to rise, leading to an increase in production [6] - Pork prices have decreased due to increased market supply, while the overall willingness to cut production remains low [7] - The average daily coal consumption of six major power plants is expected to rise in July, despite a temporary decrease due to weather conditions [7] Prices - Commodity prices have generally declined, with domestic rebar, thermal coal, and glass prices continuing to rise, while cement prices have decreased [8] - Gold prices are under pressure due to a softer tariff environment and the Federal Reserve's stance, while oil prices are supported by geopolitical uncertainties and seasonal demand [8] Follow-up Focus - Future attention will be on export data and price data [9]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the extension of the US-China tariff "truce" for an additional 90 days, providing more breathing space for trade between the two countries [1][2] - The recent US-China economic talks in Stockholm aimed to stabilize trade relations and inject certainty into global economic development [1][2] - Chinese exports have shown significant growth, with a record-breaking export scale surpassing 13 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, and the number of enterprises engaged in foreign trade exceeding 600,000 for the first time [2] Group 2 - The trade cooperation with countries involved in the "Belt and Road" initiative has maintained rapid growth, with imports and exports reaching 11.29 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [3] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its economic growth forecast for China, although there are concerns about potential over-reliance on "rush exports" due to ongoing US-China trade tensions [4] - China is expanding its trade partnerships, establishing new trade cooperation groups and memorandums with several countries, enhancing trade fluidity [5] Group 3 - Guangdong province contributed 28% to the national foreign trade growth, while Zhejiang's exports surpassed 2 trillion yuan for the first time, growing by 9.1% [6] - Yiwu, known as a hub for small commodities, reported a 25% increase in total imports and exports in the first half of the year, with significant growth in trade with Africa, Latin America, ASEAN, and the EU [6] - Alibaba Group's cross-border business saw explosive growth, with international digital commerce revenue reaching 132.3 billion yuan, a 29% year-on-year increase [7]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the importance of supporting the real economy and enhancing financial services through targeted policies and measures [1] Group 1: Financial Services Enhancement - The meeting highlights the need for financial institutions to improve the professionalism and precision of their services [1] - It calls for the effective use of technology innovation and re-loan policies to promote rapid growth in loans for technology-oriented small and medium-sized enterprises [1] Group 2: Financing Support for Key Sectors - There is a focus on increasing financing support for critical areas such as "two highs" and "two new" [1] - The meeting aims to address structural contradictions in key industries and promote quality upgrades in these sectors [1] Group 3: Foreign Trade and Risk Management - The meeting stresses the importance of reasonably ensuring the financing needs of foreign trade enterprises [1] - It also emphasizes the need to strengthen the regulation and risk prevention of electronic invoices related to accounts receivable [1]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 正文 2025年7月30日，中共中央政治局会议召开，分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作。 前期回顾和当下形势判断：会议肯定了今年以来的经济工作，表示"我国经济运行稳中有进，高质量发展取得新成效。主要经济指标表现良好，新质生产 力积极发展，改革开放不断深化，重点领域风险有力有效防范化解，民生兜底保障进一步加强，我国经济展现强大活力和韧性"；同时也明确了目前我国 面临的风险和挑战，"要正确把握形势，增强忧患意识，坚持底线思维，用好发展机遇、潜力和优势，巩固拓展经济回升向好势头"，说明对经济现状认识 到位，中央支持政策仍有充实空间。 各个方向政策如何定调？ 此外，本次会议针对外贸和当前宏观环境提出，要求"稳住外贸外资基本盘。帮助受冲击较大的外贸企业，强化融资支持，促进内外贸一体化发展。优化 出口退税政策"，因此在上半年中美关税摩擦以及持续到当前的博弈下，我国目前出口增速仍能保持正增长，预计后续关税影响对实体企业的影响在政策 支持对冲下可能边际削弱。 科技创新引领新质生产力发展，依法依规治理企业无序竞争。会议仍然将科技创新放在第二重要位置。在当下经 ...