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【光大研究每日速递】20250923
光大证券研究· 2025-09-22 23:07
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced wide fluctuations last week, with large-cap stocks outperforming. Trading sentiment has turned cautious, with a reduction in trading volume for major indices. The financing increase remains positive, and stock ETFs have shifted to net inflows, indicating an overall optimistic funding environment. The market has transitioned from a high slope increase to wide fluctuations, with a focus on thematic trading, favoring growth sectors. Long-term outlook remains a market upward trend amidst fluctuations [4]. Real Estate Sector - Continuous policy support in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai has led to a significant increase in new home transactions in Shanghai. The average daily net signed units from August 26 to September 19 increased by 62.5% compared to the period from August 1 to August 25 [4]. Steel Industry - Iron ore prices reached a six-month high during the week, indicating a potential recovery in the steel sector's profitability to historical average levels. The steel sector's price-to-book ratio (PB) is expected to recover accordingly [5][6]. High-end Manufacturing - In August, domestic sales of excavators showed resilience during the off-season, with significant recovery in non-excavator categories. Policy support from the Two Sessions is expected to sustain mid-term demand recovery in the construction machinery sector. Exports of excavators continued to grow, and the trend towards electrification in construction machinery is anticipated to accelerate [6]. Medical Devices - The National Medical Products Administration released the first industry standard for medical devices using brain-computer interface technology on September 15. This standard establishes a unified "technical language" for the industry, laying a foundation for high-quality development [6]. Company Analysis - Xianglou New Materials (301160.SZ) is positioned as a high-tech enterprise in the customized precision stamping materials sector. The company employs a collaborative innovation model, focusing on self-research and cooperative development. Its main products include customized precision stamping special steel materials for automotive and industrial applications [7].
钢材产业期现日报-20250922
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-22 05:28
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Steel Industry - Steel prices are affected by weak demand and expected coal supply contraction, with limited downward space and expected to trade in a range. Suggest light - position long attempts and short the January hot - rolled coil to rebar spread [1]. Iron Ore Industry - Iron ore is in a balanced and tight pattern. Unilateral trading should be viewed as bullish with a trading range of 780 - 850. Suggest long the iron ore 2601 contract on dips and an arbitrage strategy of long iron ore and short hot - rolled coil [4]. Coal Industry - For coke, suggest long the coke 2601 contract on dips within the range of 1650 - 1800 and an arbitrage of long coking coal and short coke. For coking coal, suggest long the coking coal 2601 contract on dips within the range of 1150 - 1330 and an arbitrage of long coking coal and short coke [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar spot prices in East China, North China, and South China are 3250, 3210, and 3370 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of +10, 0, and - 20 yuan/ton. Hot - rolled coil spot prices in East China, North China, and South China are 3410, 3320, and 3370 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of +10, - 10, and - 20 yuan/ton [1]. Cost and Profit - Steel billet price is 3040 yuan/ton with no change, and slab price is 3730 yuan/ton with no change. Profits of hot - rolled coil in East China, North China, and South China decreased by 20, 10, and 10 yuan/ton respectively [1]. Production - Daily average hot - metal output increased by 0.4 to 241.0 tons, a 0.2% increase. Five major steel products' output decreased by 1.8 to 855.5 tons, a 0.2% decrease. Rebar output decreased by 5.5 to 206.5 tons, a 2.6% decrease, and hot - rolled coil output increased by 1.4 to 326.5 tons, a 0.4% increase [1]. Inventory - Five major steel products' inventory increased by 5.1 to 1519.7 tons, a 0.3% increase. Rebar inventory decreased by 3.6 to 650.3 tons, a 0.5% decrease, and hot - rolled coil inventory increased by 4.7 to 378.0 tons, a 1.3% increase [1]. Transaction and Demand - Building materials trading volume increased by 2.6 to 11.4 tons, a 29.6% increase. Five major steel products' apparent demand increased by 7.0 to 850.3 tons, an 0.8% increase. Rebar apparent demand increased by 12.0 to 210.0 tons, a 6.0% increase, and hot - rolled coil apparent demand decreased by 4.3 to 321.8 tons, a 1.3% decrease [1]. Iron Ore Prices and Spreads - Spot prices of different iron ore powders in Rizhao Port increased by 7 - 9 yuan/ton. The 01 - contract basis of different iron ore powders decreased significantly, with a decline of 44.5% - 50.2% [4]. Supply - Global iron ore shipments increased by 816.9 to 3573.1 tons, a 29.6% increase, and 45 - port arrivals decreased by 85.7 to 2362.3 tons, a 3.5% decrease [4]. Demand - 247 steel mills' daily average hot - metal output increased by 0.4 to 241.0 tons, a 0.2% increase. 45 - port daily average ore - clearing volume increased by 7.9 to 339.2 tons, a 2.4% increase [4]. Inventory - 45 - port inventory decreased by 3.3 to 13801.08 tons, a 0.0% decrease. 247 steel mills' imported ore inventory increased by 316.4 to 9309.4 tons, a 3.5% increase [4]. Coal Coke - Futures prices of coke contracts increased, with the 01 - contract rising by 1.7% and the 05 - contract rising by 1.9%. Steel - union coking profit increased by 11 yuan/ton. Coke total inventory increased by 8.9 to 915.2 tons, a 1.0% increase [6]. Coking Coal - Futures prices of coking coal contracts increased, with the 01 - contract rising by 2.4% and the 05 - contract rising by 3.0%. Sample coal - mine profit increased by 17 yuan/ton, a 4.2% increase. Total coking coal inventory increased slightly [6].
华宝期货晨报成材-20250922
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-09-22 02:51
Group 1: Report's Overall Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is mentioned in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The prices of finished steel products showed a slight differentiation last week, with rebar performing slightly better than hot-rolled coils. Steel prices rebounded last week, and the main trading logic remains the industry's fundamentals. Currently, the weak situation of downstream demand has not improved, and prices are moving in a low position [1][2] - The raw material market is expected to operate at a low level [2] Group 3: Summary of Each Section (Based on the General Logic) Steel Production Capacity Utilization - The blast furnace ironmaking capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.35% last week, a week-on-week increase of 0.17 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 6.29 percentage points. The daily average hot metal output was 2.4102 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 4,700 tons and a year-on-year increase of 171,900 tons [2] - The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 54.35%, a week-on-week decrease of 0.91 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 14.68 percentage points. The average operating rate was 70.63%, a week-on-week decrease of 1.29 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 9.59 percentage points [2] Steel Market Conditions - Finished steel products rebounded last week, and steel prices closed positively on the weekly line driven by raw materials. The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, in line with market expectations, and the macro-driving force weakened [2] - Rebar and hot-rolled coils showed differentiation last week. Rebar production and inventory decreased slightly, and apparent demand increased; hot-rolled coil production and inventory increased slightly, and performance declined, resulting in rebar being stronger than hot-rolled coils in terms of price trends [2] Raw Material Market - The raw material market is expected to operate at a low level [2] Factors to Watch - Macro policies and downstream demand conditions should be focused on in the later stage [3]
推动城市发展绿色低碳转型(现代化人民城市这样建·美丽)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-09-18 21:45
Group 1: Environmental Performance and Innovations - Hebei Wuan Steel Group has achieved ultra-low emissions across its production chain, with real-time monitoring from 1,766 environmental monitoring points [1] - The company was rated as an A-level enterprise for environmental performance by the end of 2023, indicating the highest level of environmental governance in the industry [2] - The city of Wuan has seen a transformation in its steel, coking, and cement industries, with 84% of key industry enterprises achieving A-level ratings [2] Group 2: Emission Reduction Efforts - Wuan has accelerated the elimination of inefficient production capacity, shutting down all small blast furnaces and converters [2] - The transition from long-process to low-carbon, energy-saving short-process steelmaking has resulted in a reduction of 1.6 tons of CO2 and 75% of pollutant emissions per ton of steel produced [2] - New technologies, such as carbon monoxide catalytic oxidation, have been implemented, leading to a daily reduction of approximately 51 tons of emissions [3] Group 3: Air Quality Improvements - In 2024, the average concentration of carbon monoxide in Wuan was 2.1 mg/m³, a decrease of 12.5% year-on-year [4] - PM2.5 concentration in Wuan dropped to 37.2 µg/m³ in the first half of 2025, marking a 31.27% decrease compared to the previous year [4] - The number of days with good air quality reached 133, an increase of 30 days year-on-year, achieving the best air quality levels recorded [4]
利好预期支撑,双焦大幅上涨
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-16 00:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that both coking coal and coke prices have surged over 4% due to multiple factors, including production halts and rising expectations of demand during the traditional peak season [1][2] - A coal mine in Shanxi province has halted production, with a capacity of 1.2 million tons and a normal daily output of approximately 3,000 tons, contributing to supply concerns [1] - The recovery in iron and steel production has led to increased demand for coking coal and coke, with the national coking plant operating rate reaching 75.92%, the highest level this year [1][2] Group 2 - Despite a slight recovery in the coal production, coal inventories have decreased by 13.56 million tons to 254.52 million tons, driven by rapid recovery in downstream steel production [2] - The overall demand for steel remains weak, with apparent consumption of the five major steel products at 8.43 million tons, a year-on-year decline of 459,400 tons [2] - The profitability of steel mills is under pressure due to high production and low demand, with current profits for long-process rebar and hot-rolled coils near breakeven [2][3] Group 3 - The market for finished steel products has not recovered as quickly as expected, with overall demand still insufficient despite some recovery in export volumes [3] - Coking plants have reduced their inventory levels to 8.84 million tons, with coking coal inventory days dropping below 10 days, indicating a shift towards consumption rather than replenishment [3] - Future price trends for coking coal may not be overly pessimistic, as potential supply reduction policies and macroeconomic factors could provide support [4]
2元以下低价股,仅剩24只
财联社· 2025-09-15 13:14
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing an upward trend, with the average stock price approaching previous highs, while the number of low-priced stocks continues to decline, indicating a shift towards higher-priced stocks in the market [2][12][13]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of September 15, the average stock price in the A-share market reached 26.13 yuan, nearing the previous high of 26.27 yuan recorded on September 1 [2]. - The number of stocks priced below 2 yuan has decreased to 24, a significant drop of nearly 27% compared to the end of last year [12]. - The number of stocks priced below 5 yuan has also reduced to 525, reflecting a decline of approximately 30% since the end of last year [2]. Group 2: Low-Priced Stocks Analysis - Among the stocks priced below 2 yuan, the real estate and steel sectors have the highest proportions, accounting for 21% and 13% respectively [4]. - Compared to the end of last year, the steel and real estate sectors still dominate the low-priced stock category, with respective proportions of 18% and 15% [7]. - A total of 21 stocks have successfully risen above the 2 yuan mark since the end of last year, with notable increases in stocks like Jishi Media and ST Xintong, which saw price increases of 228.34% and 233.52% respectively [11]. Group 3: High-Priced Stocks Expansion - The number of stocks priced above 50 yuan has increased to 570, a growth of nearly 78.7% from 324 stocks at the end of last year [13]. - The number of stocks priced over 100 yuan has reached 142, marking a growth of approximately 97.2% [13]. - The electronics sector has the highest average stock price among the 31 major sectors, with an average exceeding 50 yuan, while sectors like real estate and steel have lower average prices, failing to reach 10 yuan [13].
南钢职工角逐游泳比赛
Nan Jing Ri Bao· 2025-09-15 00:02
Group 1 - The event marks the first employee swimming competition held at the newly constructed South Steel Sports Park swimming pool [2] - The competition includes six events, featuring men's and women's 50-meter freestyle and four fun events, attracting over 100 employees from various units of South Steel [2] - The participation reflects the positive and active sports culture among the employees of South Steel [2]
宏观经济周报:警惕预期兑现和风险共振-20250912
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-09-12 12:02
Group 1: US Economic Indicators - August non-farm employment data was weaker than expected, with previous months' employment figures revised down[1] - The unemployment rate remains stable due to a significant increase in household survey employment, but the job market shows signs of prolonged weakness[1] - Inflation indicators show a mild increase in overall CPI, but the super core CPI excluding housing and used cars has slowed down, raising concerns[1] Group 2: European Economic Outlook - The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its current policy stance, showing confidence in future inflation and economic growth in the Eurozone[1] - Market expectations for another rate cut before mid-2026 have dropped below 50%[1] Group 3: Domestic Economic Conditions - August export growth declined year-on-year due to a high base effect from last year, with exports to non-US countries outperforming those to the US[4] - PPI year-on-year growth has narrowed due to low base effects and "anti-involution" policies, while CPI growth is significantly impacted by food and energy prices[4] - The Ministry of Finance plans to implement more proactive fiscal policies to strengthen domestic circulation and enhance fiscal-financial coordination[4] Group 4: Market Trends and Prices - Real estate transactions remain sluggish, while wholesale prices of agricultural products have rebounded[4] - Steel prices are stable, cement prices have slightly increased, and coal prices have decreased, while non-ferrous metal prices have risen[4]
螺纹钢市场周报:终端需求低迷,螺纹期价震荡偏弱-20250912
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 09:55
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Views of the Report - The terminal demand for rebar is sluggish, and the futures price is oscillating weakly. The RB2601 contract may fluctuate within the range of 3080 - 3160. It is recommended to buy out - of - the - money call options when the opportunity arises [2][9][60] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Week - on - Week Summary Market Review - As of September 12, the closing price of the rebar main contract was 3127 yuan/ton (-16), and the spot price of Hangzhou Zhongtian rebar was 3250 yuan/ton (-10). Rebar production continued to decline to 211.93 million tons (-6.75), with a year - on - year increase of 24.01 million tons. Apparent demand decreased again to 18.07 million tons (-4), a year - on - year decrease of 51.85 million tons. Total rebar inventory was 653.86 million tons (+13.86), with a year - on - year increase of 160.23 million tons. The steel mill profitability rate was 60.17%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.87 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 54.11 percentage points [7] Market Outlook - **Macro aspect**: Overseas, the US non - farm payrolls in August increased by only 22,000, far less than the expected 75,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. Mexico plans to raise import tariffs on about 1400 items from countries without free - trade agreements. Domestically, multiple ministries and commissions will promote capacity management in key industries and implement policies to support employment and foreign trade. - **Supply - demand aspect**: Rebar weekly production continued to decline, capacity utilization was 46.46%, and the EAF steel operating rate declined again. Terminal demand was weak, inventory increased for seven consecutive weeks, and apparent demand decreased. - **Cost aspect**: Iron ore was firm due to lower shipments and a significant increase in hot metal. Coke spot prices were lowered, but coking coal futures prices were oscillating strongly. - **Technical aspect**: The RB2601 contract oscillated downward, with a bearish arrangement of daily K - line moving averages. The MACD indicator showed that DIFF and DEA were below the 0 - axis, and the green bars slightly shrank. - **Strategy suggestion**: Considering the macro and industrial aspects, the RB2601 contract may fluctuate within the 3080 - 3160 range. Pay attention to operation rhythm and risk control [9] 2. Futures and Spot Market Futures Price - This week, the RB2601 contract oscillated weakly. The RB2510 contract was weaker than the RB2601 contract, and the spread on the 12th was -92 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 3 yuan/ton [15] Warehouse Receipts and Positions - On September 12, the Shanghai Futures Exchange rebar warehouse receipt volume was 252,249 tons, a week - on - week increase of 21,518 tons. The net short position of the top 20 holders of rebar futures contracts was 222,524 lots, an increase of 38,709 lots from the previous week [22] Spot Price and Basis - On September 12, the spot price of Hangzhou's Grade III rebar was 3250 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 10 yuan/ton; the national average price was 3269 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 10 yuan/ton. This week, the spot price was stronger than the futures price, and the basis on the 12th was 123 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 6 yuan/ton [28] 3. Upstream Market Furnace Charge Prices - This week, the spot price of iron ore increased, while the spot price of coke decreased. On September 12, the price of 61% Australian MacPhearson ore at Qingdao Port was 848 yuan/dry ton, a week - on - week increase of 11 yuan/dry ton. The spot price of first - grade metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1620 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 50 yuan/ton [33] Iron Ore Arrival and Inventory - From September 1st to 7th, the total arrival volume of 47 ports in China decreased. The total inventory of imported iron ore in 47 ports increased by 304,000 tons week - on - week to 14,456,120 tons, and the daily average port clearance volume increased by 140,600 tons [37] Coking Plant Conditions - This week, the capacity utilization rate of coking plants increased, and coke inventory increased. The capacity utilization rate of 230 independent coking enterprises was 75.58%, an increase of 2.97%. Coke daily output was 533,000 tons, an increase of 20,900 tons [41] 4. Industry Situation Supply Side - In July 2025, the national crude steel output was 79.66 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4.0%. From January to July, the cumulative crude steel output was 594.47 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.1%. In August, steel exports decreased, and imports increased [45] - Rebar weekly production decreased. On September 11, the weekly production of 139 building material production enterprises was 21.193 million tons, a decrease of 675,000 tons from the previous week [48] - The EAF steel operating rate decreased. On September 12, the average operating rate of 90 independent EAF steel mills was 71.92%, a week - on - week decrease of 1.29 percentage points [51] - Rebar total inventory increased. On September 11, the in - plant inventory of 137 building material production enterprises was 1.6663 million tons, a decrease of 47,100 tons from the previous week, and the social inventory of 35 cities was 4.8723 million tons, an increase of 185,700 tons from the previous week [54] Demand Side - From January to July 2025, the new housing start - up area decreased by 19.4% year - on - year, and infrastructure investment increased by 3.2% year - on - year [57] 5. Options Market - Currently, the steel market is relatively weak, but as building materials enter the peak season, downstream may have restocking demand. It is recommended to buy out - of - the - money call options when the opportunity arises [60]
热轧卷板市场周报:终端需求韧性较强,热卷期价震荡偏强-20250912
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 09:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The HC2601 contract of hot - rolled coils is expected to be oscillating upward, with strong technical support around 3300. The recommended trading range is 3300 - 3400. The macro - environment has the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation rising and tariff disturbances affecting market sentiment. The industry shows that hot - rolled coil production has increased, terminal demand is resilient, inventory has declined, and apparent demand has rebounded. Cost support has strengthened due to increased iron - water production boosting furnace - charge demand [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Week - to - Week Summary 3.1.1. Market Review - As of September 12, the closing price of the main hot - rolled coil contract was 3364 yuan/ton (+24), and the spot price of Hangzhou Lianggang hot - rolled coils was 3410 yuan/ton (+10). - Hot - rolled coil production increased to 325.14 million tons (+10.9), a year - on - year increase of 22.97 million tons. - Apparent demand rose to 326.16 million tons (+20.8), a year - on - year increase of 12.22 million tons. - Factory inventory increased, while social inventory decreased. Total inventory was 373.32 million tons (-1.02), a year - on - year decrease of 57.89 million tons. - The steel - mill profitability rate was 60.17%, a 0.87 - percentage - point decrease from last week but a 54.11 - percentage - point increase from last year [7]. 3.1.2. Market Outlook - **Macro - aspect**: Overseas, the weak US non - farm payrolls in August increased the Fed's September interest - rate cut expectation, and Mexico planned to raise import tariffs. Domestically, multiple ministries announced work priorities to promote capacity management and support employment and foreign trade. - **Supply - and - demand aspect**: Weekly hot - rolled coil production increased, with a capacity utilization rate of 83.06%. Terminal demand recovered, inventory slightly declined, and apparent demand increased. - **Cost aspect**: Iron ore prices were firm due to lower shipments and increased iron - water production. Coke prices were cut, but coking - coal futures were oscillating upward due to mine shutdowns and increased furnace - charge demand. - **Technical aspect**: The HC2601 contract was oscillating upward, with strong support around 3300 and trading above MA10/MA20. The MACD showed a possible golden cross below the 0 - axis with shrinking green bars. - **Strategy suggestion**: Considering the macro and industrial situations, the HC2601 contract is recommended to be traded in the 3300 - 3400 range, with attention to operation rhythm and risk control [9]. 3.2. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - **Futures price**: The HC2601 contract was oscillating upward this week. The HC2510 contract was stronger than the HC2601 contract, with a spread of 31 yuan/ton on the 12th, a week - on - week increase of 5 yuan/ton [15]. - **Warehouse receipts and positions**: Shanghai Futures Exchange hot - rolled coil warehouse receipts increased, and the net short position of the top 20 holders decreased. On September 12, the warehouse - receipt volume was 59441 tons, a week - on - week increase of 34382 tons, and the net short position was 102712 contracts, a decrease of 10791 contracts from last week [21]. - **Spot price**: Spot prices increased. On September 12, the spot price of Shanghai 5.75mm Q235 hot - rolled coils was 3410 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 10 yuan/ton, and the national average price was 3434 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 14 yuan/ton. The basis was 46 yuan/ton on the 12th, a week - on - week decrease of 14 yuan/ton [25]. 3.3. Upstream Market Conditions - **Raw - material prices**: On September 12, the price of 61% Australian Macfarlane ore at Qingdao Port was 848 yuan/dry ton, a week - on - week increase of 11 yuan/dry ton. The spot price of first - grade metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1620 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 50 yuan/ton [31]. - **Arrival volume**: From September 1 - 7, 2025, the total arrival volume at 47 Chinese ports decreased. The global iron - ore shipment volume was 2756.2 million tons, a decrease of 800.6 million tons. The Australia - Brazil iron - ore shipment volume was 2329.6 million tons, a decrease of 572.5 million tons [35]. - **Port inventory**: This week, iron - ore port inventory increased. The total inventory at 47 ports was 14456.12 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 30.40 million tons. The daily average port - clearance volume was 344.39 million tons, an increase of 14.06 million tons. On September 11, the steel - billet inventory in Tangshan, Hebei was 128.95 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 7.58 million tons but a year - on - year increase of 11.82 million tons [39]. - **Coking - plant situation**: This week, the coking - plant capacity utilization rate increased to 75.58% (+2.97%), and coke inventory increased to 43.91 million tons (+3.2). The total coking - coal inventory decreased to 752.00 million tons (-28.95), and the available coking - coal days decreased to 10.6 days (-0.86) [43]. 3.4. Industry Conditions 3.4.1. Supply Side - **Steel production and trade**: In July 2025, national crude - steel production was 7966 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4.0%. From January to July, the cumulative crude - steel production was 59447 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.1%. In August, steel exports were 951 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 32.6 million tons, and imports were 50.0 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8 million tons [46]. - **Blast - furnace operation**: On September 11, the weekly hot - rolled coil production of 37 enterprises was 325.14 million tons, an increase of 10.9 million tons from last week. The blast - furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 83.83% on September 12, a week - on - week increase of 3.43 percentage points, and the blast - furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate was 90.18%, a week - on - week increase of 4.39 percentage points [48][50]. - **Inventory**: On September 11, the in - factory hot - rolled coil inventory was 80.88 million tons, an increase of 0.9 million tons from last week, and the social inventory in 33 cities was 292.44 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.92 million tons. The total inventory was 373.32 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.02 million tons [55]. 3.4.2. Demand Side - **Automobile and home - appliance industries**: From January to August 2025, China's automobile production and sales were 2105.1 million and 2112.8 million vehicles respectively, a year - on - year increase of 12.7% and 12.6%. In August, production and sales were 281.5 million and 285.7 million vehicles respectively, a year - on - year increase of 13% and 16.4%. From January to July, the cumulative production of household air - conditioners was 18345.54 million units, a year - on - year increase of 5.1%; household refrigerators were 5963.15 million units, a year - on - year increase of 0.9%; and household washing machines were 6812.82 million units, a year - on - year increase of 9.4% [58].