Core Insights - The Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index has increased by 0.50% as of August 20, 2025, with leading stocks including Yuntianhua, Mould Technology, Mulinsen, Jiejia Weichuang, and Baiyin Nonferrous Metals [1] - The Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) has risen by 0.55%, with a latest price of 1.09 yuan, and has seen a turnover rate of 1.76% with a transaction volume of 68.6096 million yuan [1] - Over the past week, the Free Cash Flow ETF has averaged a daily transaction volume of 343 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Fund Performance - As of August 19, 2025, the Free Cash Flow ETF has achieved a net value increase of 8.74% over the past six months [2] - The ETF's highest single-month return since inception is 3.62%, with the longest consecutive monthly gain being three months and a maximum increase of 9.05% [2] - The ETF has a monthly profit percentage of 80.00% and a historical six-month holding profit probability of 100.00% [2] Fund Metrics - The management fee for the Free Cash Flow ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [2] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.040%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [2] - The ETF closely tracks the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index, which reflects the price changes of listed companies with high and stable free cash flow levels [2] Top Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index account for 57.66% of the index, including SAIC Motor, China National Offshore Oil, Midea Group, and Gree Electric [2][4] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: SAIC Motor (10.18%), China National Offshore Oil (9.81%), Midea Group (9.28%), and Gree Electric (7.56%) [4]

各位老铁周三好！我是帮主郑重，在财经圈摸爬滚打了20年，见过太多市场风浪。盘前咱们聊聊大宗商品——原油、黄金突然跳水，伦铜也跟着走低， 但背后的玄机比表面看到的更值得琢磨。 先说原油：停火预期升温，价格坐上过山车 特朗普最近像个"和平使者"，又是撮合普京和泽连斯基会晤，又是推动美俄乌三方会谈，市场一下子燃起停火预期，油价直接被按下去了。WTI原油跌了 1.7%，布伦特也跌超1%。不过有个细节得注意：俄罗斯的原油出口其实一直没断过，真正影响油价的是制裁放松的预期。就像BOK Financial的专家说 的，现在市场乐观情绪占上风，但欧洲派兵计划卡在德、意等国反对上，普京又要求乌方承认领土现状，这停火协议能不能落地，还得打个问号。要是 谈崩了，油价随时可能反弹，毕竟美国还威胁要制裁俄罗斯的"影子船队"呢。 再看黄金：避险情绪退潮，但长期支撑仍在 黄金跌了0.5%，白银、铂金也跟着走低，表面看是俄乌局势缓和，但更深层的博弈在美联储。鲍威尔周五要在杰克逊霍尔讲话，市场押注9月降息25个基 点的概率超过83%。不过特朗普新搞的407类钢铁铝关税，可能把通胀重新点燃——钢铁涨价会传导到下游产品，到时候黄金的避险属性反而会 ...

Core Insights - The report focuses on the opportunities and challenges for Chinese AI companies entering the South African market by 2025, highlighting the political, economic, cultural, and business environments in South Africa [1][9]. Group 1: Political and Economic Understanding - South Africa is the second-largest economy in Africa, characterized by a well-developed infrastructure, legal system, and open financial market, making it a unique emerging market with institutional guarantees [8]. - The South African government is actively promoting the development of the digital economy, clean energy, and high-end manufacturing to diversify its economy away from traditional mineral and energy exports [8]. - In 2024, South Africa's GDP growth is projected at 0.6%, the lowest since 2020, with a nominal GDP of approximately $399 billion, reflecting a 1.5% decline year-on-year [49][49]. Group 2: Cultural and Business Environment - South Africa's cultural landscape is diverse, comprising multiple ethnic groups, which presents both opportunities and challenges for foreign businesses in terms of cultural adaptation [1]. - The report provides ten strategic recommendations for Chinese companies looking to expand into South Africa, emphasizing the importance of local policy alignment, management optimization, and cultural adaptation [1][8]. Group 3: Key Events and Developments - Significant events in South Africa during Q2 2025 include a dispute between U.S. President Trump and South African President Ramaphosa, a surprise interest rate cut by the South African Reserve Bank, and the commencement of commercial operations at the Redstone Concentrated Solar Power Plant, which will provide 785.8 GWh of clean electricity annually [18][19][22]. - The report also mentions the approval of offshore drilling by Total Energy in South Africa, indicating ongoing foreign investment in the region [21]. Group 4: Chinese Companies in South Africa - The report highlights the presence of various Chinese companies in South Africa, such as Pushang Medical, which aids in tuberculosis treatment, and DJI, which applies drone technology in agriculture, showcasing the diverse applications of Chinese AI technology in the local market [1].

智通财经APP讯，昆仑能源(00135)公布，将于2025年10月23日派发中期股息每股17.91港仙。 ...

Group 1 - The report focuses on the effectiveness and impact of government policies aimed at benefiting enterprises in Shanghai, utilizing interviews and surveys to analyze the perspectives of policy makers, implementers, and users [5] - The first article examines the basic content, composition, nature, and objective impact of the enterprise benefit policies [5] - The second article presents and analyzes how the policies are communicated and implemented, detailing the roles of policy-making departments, the "Shuishen Dui" platform, parks/buildings, and service intermediaries [5] Group 2 - The North Bund business district is identified as a core area for Shanghai's development as an international consumption center, forming a "golden triangle" with the Bund and Lujiazui [9] - The report reviews the transformation of the North Bund from an industrial functional area to a central business district and then to a central activity area, based on interviews with 34 consumers including tourists, local residents, and business professionals [9] - Recommendations for enhancing the business district's capabilities are provided based on consumer demand and satisfaction evaluations, as well as data analysis and expert interviews [9] Group 3 - Shanghai is advancing its green transition plan, which includes promoting green fuel certification services and enhancing international cooperation to strengthen its influence in the global green shipping fuel market [12] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is set to approve global shipping net-zero emissions regulations by April 2025, linking mandatory emission reduction targets with greenhouse gas pricing for the shipping industry [12] - As the world's largest container port, Shanghai Port is a key node in the construction of green shipping corridors [12]

ESG正成为新商业文明时代主战场，绿色转型与技术创新密切相关。吕建中指出，ESG为绿色低碳发展提供框架，推动社会与 商业价值融合，转型升级应聚焦更具韧性和可持续的高质量发展。 8月16日，由南方财经全媒体集团指导，21世纪经济报道联合东方证券主办、上海环境（601200）能源交易所战略支持的第三届 21世纪"活力.ESG"创新论坛在上海隆重举办。 作为以"绿色转型与技术创新的平衡术"为主题的圆桌对话环节主持人，管理学专著《可持续商业战略与实践》作者、中国科学 管理学会可持续专委会副主任吕建中谈到，在全球能源变革的背景下，绿色转型已经成为能源行业发展的核心方向，ESG以及 技术创新与绿色转型有着相互作用、相互影响的密切关系。 吕建中在剖析绿色转型、技术创新以及ESG建设三者之间的关系时指出，"ESG正成为新商业文明时代中商业进化阶段的主战 场，由此带来了更加聚焦社会价值和商业价值融合的创新空间。" 吕建中认为，技术和商业模式的创新，是推动绿色低碳高质量可持续发展的关键力量。"ESG为这一转型升级提供了可参照的框 架性对标路径，比如产品多元脱碳、产业协同减碳、全球经营零碳。" 吕建中也强调："我们必须清醒地认识到 ...

Report Information - Report Type: Fixed Income Report - Release Date: August 19, 2025 - Analysts: Liang Weichao, Cui Chao [2] Core Views - The overall heat of the production end is rising, with the operating rates of blast furnaces and semi-steel tires decreasing, and those of coke ovens, asphalt, PX, PTA, and all-steel tires increasing [2][29] - The real estate market is weakening marginally, with both the transaction volume of commercial housing and the land supply area decreasing [2][29] - The price trend is diverging. Crude oil, non-ferrous metals, and rebar prices are decreasing, while coking coal prices are slightly increasing. Agricultural product prices are generally rising, at the beginning of the seasonal upward trend, with pork and fruit prices decreasing and egg and vegetable prices increasing [2][29] - Shipping indices are declining, including SCFI, CCFI, and BDI, indicating potential pressure on global foreign trade. Short-term focus should be on the implementation of a new round of stable growth stimulus policies, the recovery of the real estate market, and the impact of international geopolitical changes [2][29] Production - Coke ovens: The capacity utilization rate increased by 0.38 pct. On the week of August 15, the capacity utilization rate of coke ovens was 74.13%, up 0.38 pct from the previous week [7] - Blast furnaces: The operating rate decreased by 0.16 pct. On the week of August 15, the operating rate of blast furnaces was 83.59%, down 0.16 pct from the previous week [7] - Rebar: The output decreased by 0.73 tons. On the week of August 15, the output of rebar was 220.45 tons, down 0.73 tons from the previous week, and the inventory increased by 4.06 tons [7] - Petroleum asphalt: The operating rate increased by 1.2 pct. On the week of August 13, the operating rate of petroleum asphalt was 32.9%, up 1.2 pct from the previous week [7] - Chemical industry: The operating rate of PX increased by 2.28 pct, and that of PTA increased by 1.91 pct. On August 14, the operating rate of PX was 84.63%, up 2.28 pct from the previous week, and the operating rate of PTA was 76.7%, up 1.91 pct from the previous week [7] - All-steel tires: The operating rate increased by 2.09 pct. On the week of August 14, the operating rate of all-steel tires was 63.09%, up 2.09 pct from the previous week [8] - Semi-steel tires: The operating rate decreased by 2.28 pct. On the week of August 14, the operating rate of semi-steel tires was 72.07%, down 2.28 pct from the previous week [8] Demand - Real estate: The transaction area of commercial housing decreased marginally, and the inventory-to-sales ratio increased. The land supply area decreased, and the transaction premium rate of residential land decreased. On the week of August 10, the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium-sized cities was 129.45 million square meters, down 35.64 million square meters from the previous week. The inventory-to-sales ratio of commercial housing in 10 large cities was 119.01, up 3.95 from the previous week. The land supply area in 100 large and medium-sized cities was 1168.53 million square meters, down 214.86 million square meters from the previous week. The transaction premium rate of residential land in 100 large and medium-sized cities was 2.45%, down 1.49 pct from the previous week [12] - Movie box office: It decreased by 137 million yuan. On the week of August 10, the total box office revenue of movies in China was 1615.24 million yuan, down 137.3286 million yuan from the previous week [12] - Automobiles: The daily average retail sales of automobile manufacturers decreased by 52,000 units, and the daily average wholesale sales decreased by 132,000 units. On the week of August 10, the daily average retail sales of passenger cars were 45,207 units, down 52,284 units from the previous week, and the daily average wholesale sales were 40,253 units, down 131,503 units from the previous week [14] - Shipping indices: SCFI decreased by 1.98%, CCFI decreased by 0.62%, and BDI decreased by 0.34%. On the week of August 15, SCFI was 1460.19 points, down 29.49 points from the previous week. CCFI was 1193.34 points, down 7.39 points from the previous week. BDI was 2044 points, down 7 points from the previous week [17] Prices - Energy: The price of Brent crude oil decreased by 1.11% to $65.85 per barrel. On August 15, the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures was $65.85 per barrel, down $0.74 per barrel from the previous week [19] - Coking coal: The futures price increased by 0.33% to 1223.5 yuan per ton. On August 15, the settlement price of coking coal futures was 1223.5 yuan per ton, up 4 yuan per ton from the previous week [19] - Metals: The futures prices of LME copper, aluminum, and zinc changed by -0.08%, -0.46%, and -1.32% respectively, and the domestic rebar futures price decreased by 1.0%. On August 15, the closing price of LME copper futures was $9760 per ton, down $8 per ton from the previous week. The closing price of LME aluminum futures was $2603 per ton, down $12 per ton from the previous week. The closing price of LME zinc futures was $2796.5 per ton, down $37.5 per ton from the previous week. The settlement price of domestic rebar futures was 3183 yuan per ton, down 32 yuan per ton from the previous week [20] - Agricultural products: The overall price rebounded, with the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index increasing by 0.82%. The prices of pork, eggs, vegetables, and fruits changed by -1.76%, +1.07%, +2.37%, and -1.85% respectively compared with the previous week. On August 15, the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index was 114.88, up 0.94 from a week ago. The average wholesale price of pork was 20.05 yuan per kilogram, down 0.36 yuan per kilogram from a week ago. The average wholesale price of eggs was 7.59 yuan per kilogram, up 0.08 yuan per kilogram from a week ago. The average wholesale price of 28 key monitored vegetables was 4.75 yuan per kilogram, up 0.11 yuan per kilogram from a week ago. The average wholesale price of 7 key monitored fruits was 6.91 yuan per kilogram, down 0.13 yuan per kilogram from a week ago [22][23] Logistics - Subway passenger volume: It increased in Beijing and decreased in Shanghai. On August 15, the seven-day moving average of subway passenger volume in Beijing was 10.5208 million person-times, up 283,300 person-times from the previous week. The seven-day moving average of subway passenger volume in Shanghai was 10.6857 million person-times, down 62,900 person-times from the previous week [25] - Flight volume: Domestic flight volume increased, while international flight volume decreased. On August 16, the seven-day moving average of domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume was 14,822.57 flights, up 204 flights from the previous week. The seven-day moving average of domestic (Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume was 377.57 flights, down 9.14 flights from the previous week. The seven-day moving average of international flight volume was 1891.29 flights, down 4.86 flights from the previous week [27] - Urban traffic: The peak congestion index in first-tier cities increased. On August 16, the seven-day moving average of the peak congestion index in first-tier cities was 1.68, up 0.01 from the previous week [27]

Group 1: Domestic Market Insights - The A-share market reached a total market value exceeding 100 trillion yuan for the first time, with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting a nearly 10-year high, driven by policy benefits and industrial upgrades [4] - The trading volume in the stock market surpassed 2.8 trillion yuan, indicating strong market activity [4] - The major indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, saw significant increases of 11.23%, 13.64%, and 21.69% respectively [4] Group 2: Government Policy and Economic Outlook - Premier Li Qiang emphasized the need to enhance the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies during the State Council's ninth plenary meeting, aiming to stabilize market expectations and boost domestic consumption [2] - The government plans to take strong measures to stabilize the real estate market and promote innovation and reform to drive economic growth [2] Group 3: Bond Market Developments - The bond market showed weakness with rising yields, as the 10-year government bond yield increased by 2.50 basis points to 1.7700% [11] - The trading of credit bonds exhibited significant price deviations, with some industrial bonds experiencing price increases exceeding 31% [14] - The China Bond Market Association initiated self-regulatory investigations into institutions misusing funds raised through debt financing tools [3] Group 4: International Trade and Economic Relations - The EU's exports to the US fell by 10% year-on-year in June, marking the lowest level in two years, largely due to the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [6] - The decline in exports has significantly affected the EU's overall trade surplus, which dropped from 12.7 billion euros to 1.8 billion euros [6] Group 5: Commodity Market Trends - International crude oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude oil futures increasing by 0.99% to $63.42 per barrel [7] - Natural gas prices, however, saw a decline, with NYMEX natural gas prices falling by 0.58% to $2.906 per million British thermal units [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 3700-point mark, indicating strong market enthusiasm and a notable increase in the number of companies in the trillion-yuan market capitalization club [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 18, the total trading volume of the two markets reached 2.76 trillion yuan, with margin financing and securities lending balances exceeding 2 trillion yuan for the fourth consecutive trading day since August 13 [1]. - The number of companies in the trillion-yuan market capitalization club has increased from 8 at the beginning of the year to 11 as of August 18, highlighting the growing core strength of the capital market [2][3]. Group 2: Key Players in the Trillion-Yuan Club - The leading company in market capitalization is Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) with a market value of 2.50 trillion yuan, followed by Agricultural Bank of China (2.36 trillion yuan) and China Construction Bank (1.88 trillion yuan) [3]. - The financial sector dominates the trillion-yuan club, with seven out of eleven members being financial institutions, including China Life Insurance (1.06 trillion yuan) and Ping An Insurance (1.03 trillion yuan) as new entrants [3][7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The market shows a clear divergence in performance among companies with market capitalizations above 500 billion yuan, with Industrial Fulian leading with a remarkable increase of 104.65% since January 1 [5]. - Some consumer and energy giants, such as Kweichow Moutai and China Petroleum, have faced declines, indicating a structural differentiation in market performance [5]. Group 4: Central State-Owned Enterprises' Dominance - Central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) dominate the trillion-yuan market capitalization club, accounting for over 80% of the members, with only two non-SOEs present [6]. - The expansion of SOEs is driven by favorable policies and strategic resources, while private enterprises are leveraging technological advantages in sectors like batteries and new energy vehicles [6]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The market is keenly observing which company will be the next to join the trillion-yuan club, with potential candidates like China Shenhua Energy, which is undergoing significant mergers and acquisitions [6][9].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Overall, the report presents a comprehensive analysis of various financial and commodity markets, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping futures, non - ferrous metals, black metals, and agricultural products. Different markets show diverse trends and are influenced by a variety of factors such as policy, supply - demand relationships, and international events. For example, the stock index futures market is boosted by TMT sectors and policy expectations; the treasury bond futures market is under pressure due to multiple negative factors; the precious metals market fluctuates with geopolitical events; and various commodity markets are affected by their own supply - demand fundamentals [2][5][8] 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: A - share major indices rose significantly on Monday, with TMT sectors leading the gain. The four major stock index futures contracts also increased, and their basis was further repaired. Policy expectations and market sentiment are positive, but near the interim report performance period, profit improvement needs data verification. It is recommended to sell put options on MO2509 at the strike price of around 6600 with a mild bullish view [2][3][4] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures closed down across the board, and bond yields rose significantly. Affected by multiple negative factors such as the central bank's monetary policy report, the rising stock market, and tax - period capital convergence, the bond market sentiment weakened. It is recommended to stay on the sidelines in the short term and focus on market sentiment and key interest rate support levels [5][7] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices fluctuated. The meeting of leaders from the US, Ukraine, and Europe brought hope for easing the Russia - Ukraine conflict, increasing risk appetite. Gold prices closed slightly down, and silver prices closed slightly up. It is recommended to build a bullish spread strategy through gold call options when the price corrects, and maintain a low - buying strategy for silver or build a bullish spread option strategy [8][9][10] Container Shipping Futures (EC) - The spot prices of major shipping companies vary, and the container shipping index shows a mixed trend. The market is in a weak - shock state. Due to high container growth and weak European demand, it is expected that the price of the October off - season contract will be lower than last year. It is recommended to hold short positions in the 10 - contract [11][12] Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The spot price of copper is high, suppressing downstream procurement. The short - term trading focus is on interest - rate cut expectations. The supply of copper concentrate is slightly relaxed, and domestic electrolytic copper production is expected to decline slightly in August. The inventory shows a mixed trend. It is expected that the copper price will fluctuate in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade between 78000 - 79500 [13][15][16] - **Alumina**: The spot price shows a north - south differentiation. The production capacity is expected to increase slightly in August. The inventory of ports decreases, and the registered warehouse receipts increase. It is expected that the price will fluctuate widely between 3000 - 3300 in the short term, and it is recommended to short at high prices in the medium term [17][18] - **Aluminum**: The spot price of aluminum decreases. The production capacity is stable, and the proportion of molten aluminum decreases, leading to an increase in inventory. Affected by the expansion of US import tariffs, the price is under pressure. It is expected that the price will be under high - level pressure in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade between 20000 - 21000 [20][21] - **Aluminum Alloy**: In the off - season, terminal consumption is weak, and the social inventory in major consumption areas is close to full. The supply is affected by the shortage of scrap aluminum, and the demand is suppressed by the off - season. It is expected that the price will fluctuate widely, and the main contract is expected to trade between 19600 - 20400 [22][23] - **Zinc**: The spot price of zinc decreases. The supply of zinc ore is in a loose cycle, and the production of refined zinc increases. The demand is in the off - season, and the inventory shows a mixed trend. It is expected that the zinc price will fluctuate, and the main contract is expected to trade between 22000 - 23000 [23][24][26] - **Tin**: The spot price of tin decreases. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the import volume is low. The demand is weak after the end of the photovoltaic installation rush and the entry of the electronics off - season. It is recommended to wait and see, and the price is expected to fluctuate widely. Pay attention to the import situation of Burmese tin ore [27][28][29] - **Nickel**: The spot price of nickel increases slightly. The production of refined nickel is at a high level, and the demand is generally stable. The overseas inventory is high, and the domestic inventory increases slightly. It is expected that the price will fluctuate in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade between 118000 - 126000 [29][30][31] - **Stainless Steel**: The spot price of stainless steel increases slightly. The cost is supported, but the demand is weak. The production is expected to increase in August, and the inventory is slowly decreasing. It is expected that the price will fluctuate strongly in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade between 12800 - 13500 [32][33][35] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The spot price of lithium carbonate increases. The supply is affected by disturbances, and the demand is optimistic. The inventory decreases slightly. It is expected that the price will be strong in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade between 86000 - 92000. It is recommended to wait and see cautiously and try to go long lightly at low prices [36][37][39] Black Metals - **Steel**: The steel futures price fell, and the basis strengthened. The cost increased, and the steel mill's profit improved. The supply increased, and the demand decreased, with inventory accumulating mainly in traders. Considering the expected production restrictions in the middle and late August, it is expected that the price will remain high and fluctuate, and the support levels for hot - rolled coils and rebar are around 3400 and 3150 respectively [40][41][42] - **Iron Ore**: The spot price of iron ore decreased slightly. The global shipment increased, and the port arrival volume decreased. The demand from steel mills was high, and the inventory increased slightly. Considering the production restrictions of Hebei steel mills in the late period, it is recommended to short at high prices [43][44] - **Coking Coal**: The coking coal futures price fell. The supply from domestic mines decreased slightly, and the import of Mongolian coal was stable. The demand from downstream industries was high but slowed down. The inventory was at a medium level. It is recommended to short at high prices for speculation and conduct a 9 - 1 reverse spread for arbitrage [45][47][48] - **Coke**: The sixth round of price increase for coke was implemented, and the seventh round was initiated. The supply increased slightly, and the demand was still resilient. The inventory decreased. It is recommended to short at high prices for the 2601 contract and conduct a 9 - 1 positive spread for arbitrage [49][50] Agricultural Products - **Meal (Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal)**: The spot price of soybean meal increased slightly, and the trading volume increased. The开机 rate of oil mills decreased slightly. The fundamental news shows that the US soybean crushing volume increased, and the EU's oilseed import decreased. The USDA report supported the US soybean price, but there was still upward pressure. It is recommended to take long - term long positions at low prices [51][52][53] - **Pigs**: The spot price of pigs fluctuated at a low level. The profit of pig farming varied, and the average weight of pigs increased slightly. With the expected increase in group - farmed pig sales in August and the need for small - scale farmers to sell large - weight pigs, the future pig price is not optimistic. It is not recommended to short blindly for far - month contracts [54][55] - **Corn**: The spot price of corn was mixed. The supply pressure was obvious, and the demand was weak. The inventory in Guangzhou ports decreased. It is expected that the corn price will be weak and fluctuate, and attention should be paid to the growth of new - season corn [56][57][58] - **Sugar**: The international raw sugar price oscillated at the bottom, and the domestic sugar price oscillated at a high level. The Brazilian sugar production increased, and the Indian sugar production was expected to increase. The domestic sugar import in July was expected to be much higher than last year. It is recommended to maintain a short - on - rebound strategy [59] - **Cotton**: After the cotton price stabilized in early August, the industrial downstream improved slightly. The inventory of cotton yarn decreased slightly, and the spinning mill's operation rate remained stable. The cotton price has support at low levels, and it is expected to oscillate, paying attention to the traditional peak - season demand [60]