隔夜美股科技板块大跌，如何展望后续科技叙事走向？ 20260205 摘要 特朗普提名沃什引发市场短期冲击，主要源于其对美联储政策的批评和 潜在的缩表主张，但考虑到特朗普的政治诉求和沃什上任的时间，预计 美联储年内仍将维持相对宽松的流动性环境，长期影响有限。 市场风格轮动是短期现象，始于 4,200 点难以突破，成交量下滑背景下 科技成长主题资金流入减弱。技术性量价及风格切换通常持续时间不会 超过一个季度，若宏观矛盾解除及财报指引明确，主线行情将回归。 当前 AI 行情类似 1998 年加速阶段，宏观流动性环境宽松，产业趋势类 似，估值因盈利消化较好。若硬件不断兑现并传导至应用端，则类似 1998-1999 年；若应用难以兑现且流动性收紧，则类似 1999-2000 年 泡沫尾部风险暴露阶段。 生成式 AI 产业存在泡沫但尚未达到危险程度，2027、2028 年电子板 块增速最快且估值最低。长期视角看，AI 产业仍处于发展中段，硬件成 本下降速度与推理收费标准下降速度之间的 PK 是关注重点。 Q&A 近期市场对 AI 科技的应用及其对传统 SaaS 业务的冲击产生了较大波动，您 如何看待这种情况？ 近期市场对 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a strong performance in AI application stocks, with notable gains from companies such as Zhizhu (up over 16%), Yuedu Group (up over 9%), and Fubo Group (up over 8%) [1] - The AI video generation model Seedance 2.0, launched by ByteDance on its Dream platform, has garnered significant attention and positive reviews within the AI industry for its impressive capabilities [1] - Seedance 2.0 supports various input types including text, images, videos, and audio, and has achieved breakthroughs in key areas such as self-camera and multi-camera narrative capabilities [1] Group 2 - Zhizhu's stock price increased by 16.26% to 321.800, with a total market capitalization of 143.472 billion and a year-to-date increase of 176.94% [2] - Yuedu Group's stock rose by 9.38% to 41.300, with a market cap of 42.187 billion and a year-to-date increase of 25.23% [2] - Fubo Group's stock climbed by 8.75% to 4.970, with a market cap of 12.637 billion and a year-to-date increase of 20.92% [2]

AI应用、文生视频板块再度高开，中文在线、风语筑逼近涨停，博纳影业、视觉中国、当虹科技纷纷 高开。消息面上，字节跳动旗下AI视频生成模型Seedance2.0在小范围内测阶段便席卷海内外互联网， 凭借"文本/图片生成电影级视频"的突破性能力成为行业内外焦点。（来源：同花顺） ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月10日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2026-02-09 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 4123.08 | 14208.43 | 4719.05 | 15487.40 | 4173.83 | 1458.16 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 1.41 | 2.16 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 2.66 | 2.51 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 9497.26 | 12997.46 | 5227.57 | 4454.52 | 6392.92 | 729.09 | 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 策略周报:杠杆资金和外资流出额增加——2 月第 1 周立体投资策略周报 行业与公司 食品饮料周报（26 年第 6 周）：白酒春节动销渐起，预制菜国标公开征 求意见 海外市场专题:AI Agent 专题：Opus 4.5 开启 AI Agent 拐点，CPU 需 求迎高增 房地产行业快评：如何看 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the power equipment sector [4][15]. Core Insights - North American CSP companies are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, with Meta's Q4 2025 capex reaching $22.14 billion and projected to rise to $115-135 billion in 2026. Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are also increasing their capex, indicating a robust demand for AI training and inference [3][12][13]. - Domestic AI applications are entering a commercialization inflection point, with companies like Tencent and Alibaba launching significant promotional campaigns to stimulate user engagement and application usage [12][13]. - The AI industry is transitioning from a focus on computational power to a collaborative expansion involving infrastructure and application ecosystems, benefiting sectors such as servers, power equipment, data centers, and liquid cooling systems [14]. Summary by Sections Investment Views - The report suggests focusing on the IDC sector, highlighting companies like Kehua Data and Jinpan Technology due to their growth potential. It also recommends monitoring high-voltage circuit breakers and power supply sectors, with specific mentions of companies like Liangxin and Sunshine Power [4][14]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the domestic data center sector is beginning to expand and upgrade, with significant opportunities in direct current power supply equipment. The power equipment sector is expected to benefit from these trends [4][17]. - The report highlights that the State Grid's fixed asset investment grew by over 35% year-on-year in January, indicating strong infrastructure investment [18][19]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report provides earnings forecasts for several companies, including Kehua Data, Liangxin, and Sunshine Power, with specific EPS and PE ratios outlined for 2024 to 2026 [7][16].

Group 1: AI Applications and Seedance 2.0 - The launch of Seedance 2.0 by ByteDance is expected to catalyze a rebound in AI applications, as market sentiment is currently at a low point [6][7] - Seedance 2.0 significantly enhances video generation capabilities, addressing key pain points in controllability, coherence, expressiveness, and production thresholds in the AI video generation field [7][10] - The model allows users to provide multiple inputs (up to 9 images, 3 videos, and 3 audio segments) to specify video generation effects, which can maintain consistency across multiple shots and enable complete narrative segments [10][11] - The improved usability rate of videos generated by Seedance 2.0 is projected to reach 90%, a significant increase from the previous industry average of about 20%, which could drastically lower production costs [10][11] Group 2: Animation Industry Development - The advancements brought by Seedance 2.0 are anticipated to accelerate the development of the AI animation market, with production costs and technical barriers significantly reduced [9][11] - The user base for domestic animation dramas is expected to grow from approximately 120 million in 2025 to 280 million in 2026, indicating a robust market potential [11] - The release of Seedance 2.0 is likely to enhance the production quality and efficiency of animation dramas, leading to a rapid industry expansion [11] Group 3: Computer Industry Breakthroughs - Significant breakthroughs in the technology sector include the launch of the world's first brain-machine acupuncture rehabilitation equipment, marking a substantial advancement in medical applications of brain-machine interfaces [13][14] - Shanghai has prioritized brain-machine interfaces and semiconductors in its future industrial planning, providing policy support for technological commercialization [15] - The University of Science and Technology of China has achieved major breakthroughs in quantum networking, laying the groundwork for long-distance quantum communication [16] Group 4: Autonomous Driving Developments - Waymo has completed a $16 billion financing round, becoming the largest single financing in the autonomous driving sector in recent years, with plans to expand services to over 20 cities [17] - The company reported a more than twofold increase in order volume year-on-year, with cumulative orders exceeding 20 million [17] - The financing is expected to propel the autonomous driving industry from testing to large-scale commercial applications [17] Group 5: Social Services Sector Insights - The social services sector experienced a decline of 3.44% in the first two trading weeks of 2026, ranking 24th among 31 industries [20][21] - The upcoming Spring Festival holiday, lasting 9 days, is expected to boost travel demand significantly, with an estimated 9.5 billion people expected to travel, setting a historical record [22][23] - Companies in the travel and tourism sector are anticipated to benefit from the concentrated release of travel demand during the holiday period [23]

Group 1 - Dingdong Maicai announced that its business and team are operating normally and will continue to provide high-quality products and services [2][4] - Dingdong Maicai will implement its ninth consecutive year of uninterrupted service during the Spring Festival, ensuring a stable consumer experience [4] - Meituan announced plans to acquire Dingdong Maicai for $717 million (approximately 4.978 billion RMB) [4] Group 2 - Alibaba's new generation model Qwen3.5 is expected to be released soon, featuring a new mixed attention mechanism and potential visual understanding capabilities [6] - The model may include at least a 2 billion parameter dense model and a 35 billion parameter MoE model, with expectations of open-sourcing during the Spring Festival [6] - Xiaohongshu is developing an AI video editing product called OpenStoryline, which allows users to generate videos through conversational prompts, enhancing content creation efficiency [8][9] Group 3 - Elon Musk stated that SpaceX aims to build a self-sustaining city on the Moon within the next 10 years, with a faster construction timeline compared to Mars [12] - Musk emphasized that lunar missions can occur every 10 days, while Mars missions are limited to every 26 months [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant impact of ByteDance's AI video generation model Seedance 2.0, which has gained attention for its ability to create high-quality videos from text or images, marking a potential turning point in the AI video industry [1][6]. Group 1: Technology Breakthroughs - Seedance 2.0 utilizes a dual-branch diffusion transformer architecture, enabling simultaneous video and audio generation, allowing users to create multi-scene videos with native audio in just 60 seconds [6]. - The model has achieved breakthroughs in four key capabilities: self and split camera movement, comprehensive multimodal thinking, audio-visual synchronization, and multi-scene narrative ability, providing users with director-level control precision [6]. - The model's unique features include the ability to generate coherent multi-scene sequences and maintain character and visual style consistency without manual editing [8]. Group 2: Market Impact - The launch of Seedance 2.0 has energized the media sector in the A-share market, with stocks like Zhongwen Online and Zhangyue Technology experiencing significant price increases [3]. - Industry experts believe that as AI video technology matures, the content production chain will undergo a transformation, with AI playing a crucial role in all stages from creative planning to distribution [7]. - Seedance 2.0 is expected to find widespread application in short content areas such as AI dramas and short films, addressing challenges like high costs and long production cycles in traditional methods [7]. Group 3: Industry Challenges - The rapid advancement of Seedance 2.0 has raised concerns regarding the sources and authorization of training data, highlighting a common issue in the AI industry where technological progress outpaces legal frameworks [11][12]. - The use of publicly available data for training large models is a widespread practice, but the specificity of audio and video data raises more significant concerns regarding privacy and copyright [12][13]. - ByteDance has implemented risk control measures for Seedance 2.0, including functionality limitations to prevent misuse of the technology, indicating a responsibility to balance innovation with compliance [13].

Core Insights - GBT Technologies, Inc. is expanding its subsidiary Cube Wellness Technologies into the digital wellness sector, focusing on modernizing access to wellness solutions for university environments [1][5] - Cube Wellness has made its first major investment in smart health-and-wellness AI machine platforms, which will provide 24/7 access to wellness and pharmaceutical products for students [1][2] Group 1: Company Expansion and Strategy - Cube Wellness has acquired 13 next-generation digital wellness machines, which are being prepared for deployment across universities in the U.S. [2] - The initiative aims to position Cube Wellness at the intersection of wellness product delivery and an AI-driven digital retail marketplace, catering to the needs of higher education institutions [3] - The expansion reflects a commitment to innovation in wellness delivery, combining physical presence with digital infrastructure for data-driven insights and adaptive product offerings [4] Group 2: Leadership and Future Plans - CEO Patrick Bertagna has been appointed to the Board of Directors as part of the expansion strategy, with plans to add industry leaders to guide rapid growth [5] - The initial deployment of wellness machines is seen as a foundation for a nationwide rollout aligned with university wellness initiatives and student health priorities [4]

Core Viewpoint - GBT Technologies, Inc. is strategically expanding its subsidiary, Cube Wellness Technologies, into the digital wellness sector, focusing on AI-driven health solutions for university environments [1][4]. Group 1: Company Expansion and Investment - Cube Wellness Technologies has made its first major investment by acquiring 13 next-generation digital wellness machines, which are designed for deployment across universities [2][5]. - The initiative aims to provide 24/7 access to wellness and pharmaceutical products tailored for students, integrating digital technology and intelligent inventory systems [2][3]. Group 2: Market Positioning and Strategy - The acquisition of these machines positions Cube Wellness at the intersection of wellness product delivery and an AI-driven digital retail marketplace, catering to the evolving needs of higher education institutions [3][4]. - The company is committed to innovation in wellness delivery, combining physical presence with digital infrastructure to support data-driven insights and adaptive product offerings [4][5]. Group 3: Leadership and Future Plans - CEO Patrick Bertagna has been appointed to the Board of Directors, with plans to enhance the board with industry leaders to facilitate rapid growth [5]. - The initial deployment of wellness machines is seen as a foundation for a nationwide rollout aligned with university wellness initiatives and student health priorities [4].