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12.4犀牛财经晚报:银价年内暴涨超90% 飞天茅台最新批价跌至1545元/瓶
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 10:30
Group 1: Private Equity and Investment Trends - In November, the number of newly registered private equity products surged by nearly 30%, marking the second-highest monthly registration this year, with a total of 1,285 products registered [1] - Stock strategy products dominated the private equity market, accounting for 66.07% of the total, with the top firms being Shiji Qianyan and Xing Shi Investment [1] Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have increased by over 90% this year, driven by strong demand from cultural and industrial sectors, alongside tight supply conditions [2] - India, the largest consumer of silver, has seen a significant rise in demand, with approximately 4,000 tons consumed annually, primarily for jewelry and artifacts [2] - The global silver supply has been under pressure, with a decline in silver mine production over the past decade, leading to a forecasted price of $100 per ounce by the end of next year [2] Group 3: DRAM Market and AI Impact - A new storage chip price surge is driven by AI and server applications, with predictions that 70% of DRAM capacity will be consumed by AI-related demands by 2027 [3] - The price of DDR4 memory chips has been rising, with a reported increase of 10.73% for a specific type, while NAND market prices are also experiencing upward adjustments [3] Group 4: Polysilicon Production Trends - Major polysilicon manufacturers are reducing production as year-end approaches, with November output at 114,600 tons, a decrease of 14.48% from October [4] - The anticipated production for December is expected to decline further, indicating a potential inventory accumulation pressure in the market [4] Group 5: Mobile Robotics and AI Integration - The mobile robotics industry is experiencing accelerated growth due to advancements in AI and wireless charging technologies, enhancing operational efficiency and expanding application scenarios [5] Group 6: Pig Farming Market Conditions - Pig farmers are facing significant losses, with reported losses of approximately 200 yuan per pig sold, driven by cyclical market pressures [6] - Analysts predict a potential decline in pig prices post-Spring Festival due to reduced demand, although a temporary price increase may occur around the winter solstice [6] Group 7: Domestic HPV Vaccine Launch - The first domestically produced nine-valent HPV vaccine has been launched in Beijing, providing a more comprehensive and cost-effective option for cervical cancer prevention [7] Group 8: Real Estate Market Developments - Beijing Lianjia has been deregistering multiple branch companies, indicating potential restructuring or downsizing within the real estate brokerage sector [8] Group 9: Automotive Technology Innovations - Li Auto has launched its first AI glasses, enhancing its product offerings and marking a significant step in diversifying from smart vehicles to wearable technology [9] Group 10: Financial and Investment Activities - LeEco plans to invest 180 million yuan in stock trading to generate additional revenue, despite facing significant debt levels [10] - Godson Technology is set to establish a semiconductor industry fund with a total scale of no less than 200 million yuan, focusing on critical equipment and materials [11]
鄂尔多斯:公司多晶硅产能2.8万吨
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-04 10:02
鄂尔多斯(600295.SH)12月4日在投资者互动平台表示,公司多晶硅产能2.8万吨。 (记者 王晓波) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:公司的多晶硅产能有多少? ...
冠通期货早盘速递-20251204
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 03:24
早盘速递 2025/12/4 热点资讯 1.美国11月"小非农"创两年半来最大降幅,美联储降息预期进一步升温。最新公布的ADP就业数据显示,11月私营企业减少 3.2万个工作岗位,为2023年3月以来最大降幅,远不及市场预期的增加1万个。据CME"美联储观察",美联储12月降息25个基 点的概率接近90%。 2.据硅业分会,展望12月,根据各企业排产计划,国内多晶硅产量预计仍将维持在12万吨以内,环比小幅回升,增量主要来自 通威等企业的检修复产以及其他企业的复产爬坡。 冠通期货研究咨询部 王 静,执业资格证号F0235424/Z0000771 联系方式:010-85356618 第 3 页,共 3 页 板块表现 重点关注 尿素、沪铜、碳酸锂、沪锡、PVC 夜盘表现 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 板块涨跌幅(%) -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% -2.00% -1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 商品期货主力合约夜盘涨跌幅 涨跌幅 增仓 ...
工业硅:偏弱运行为主,多晶硅:关注消息面发酵情况
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 02:10
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Mainly weak operation [1] - Polysilicon: Pay attention to the fermentation of news [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the fundamentals of industrial silicon and polysilicon, including price, profit, inventory, and raw material cost data. It also reports on a key project milestone in the polysilicon industry. The trend intensity for both industrial silicon and polysilicon is neutral [1][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market**: Si2601 (industrial silicon) closed at 8,920 yuan/ton, down 55 yuan from T - 1, 100 yuan from T - 5, and 220 yuan from T - 22. PS2601 (polysilicon) closed at 57,705 yuan/ton, up 1,280 yuan from T - 1 and 4,390 yuan from T - 5 [1]. - **Basis**: Industrial silicon spot premium (against East China Si5530) was +580 yuan/ton, and polysilicon spot premium (against N - type re - investment) was - 5430 yuan/ton [1]. - **Price**: Xinjiang 99 - silicon was 8,900 yuan/ton, Yunnan Si4210 was 10,000 yuan/ton, and polysilicon - N - type re - investment material was 52,350 yuan/ton [1]. - **Profit**: Silicon factory profit in Xinjiang (new standard 553) was - 2,349.5 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan (new standard 553) was - 3,596 yuan/ton. Polysilicon enterprise profit was 7.7 yuan/kg [1]. - **Inventory**: Industrial silicon social inventory (including warehouse receipt inventory) was 550,000 tons, enterprise inventory was 180,000 tons, and industry inventory was 730,000 tons. Polysilicon factory inventory was 281,000 tons [1]. - **Raw Material Cost**: Silicon ore prices in Xinjiang and Yunnan were 320 yuan/ton and 290 yuan/ton respectively. Wash - cleaned coal prices in Xinjiang and Ningxia were 1,475 yuan/ton and 1,200 yuan/ton respectively [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The 400,000 - volt substation of the Oman United Solar Polysilicon Project, EPC - contracted by China Energy Construction Shanxi Electric Power Engineering Company, was successfully connected to the grid, marking a breakthrough in the project's construction [1]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity for industrial silicon and polysilicon is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [3].
新能源及有色金属日报:下游承压价格走弱,多晶硅基本面表现仍较弱-20251204
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 01:55
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-04 下游承压价格走弱,多晶硅基本面表现仍较弱 工业硅: 市场分析 2025-12-03,工业硅期货价格偏弱震荡运行,主力合约2601开于8955元/吨,最后收于8920元/吨,较前一日结算变 化(-145)元/吨,变化(-1.60)%。截止收盘,2601主力合约持仓193926手,2025-12-03仓单总数为6892手,较前 一日变化108手。 供应端:工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据,昨日华东通氧553#硅在9400-9600(-50)元/吨;421#硅在9700-9900 (0)元/吨,新疆通氧553价格8800-9000(0)元/吨,99硅价格在8800-9000(0)元/吨。昆明、黄埔港、西北、天 津、新疆、四川、上海地区硅价持平,97硅价格持稳。 根据SMM调研,南北地区工业硅开工率分化,川滇硅企继续枯水期减产节奏开工率延续下行趋势。北方个别硅企 有增开或复产开工率上行。增减变化之下预计12月工业硅产量或基本持平于11月。 消费端:据SMM统计,有机硅DMC报价13200-13500(150)元/吨。SMM报道,在单体企业减排和持续挺价预期 背景下,刺激 ...
上方承压:工业硅&多晶硅日评20251204-20251204
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 01:37
| 工业硅&多晶硅日评20251204:上方承压 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近期趋势 2025/12/4 | 指标 | 单位 | 今值 | 变动 | | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#(华东)平均价格 | | 9,350.00 | 0.00% | | 工业硅期现价格 | 期货主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 8,920.00 | -0.61% | | 元/吨 | 基差(华东553#-期货主力) | | 430.00 | 55.00 | | 元/千克 | N型多晶硅料 | | 51.00 | 0.00% | | 多晶硅期现价格 | 期货主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 57,430.00 | 1.98% | | 元/吨 | 基差 不通氧553#(华东)平均价格 | 元/吨 | -6,430.00 9,350.00 | -1,115.00 0.00% | | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#(黄埔港)平均价格 | | 9,350.00 | 0.00% | | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#(天津港)平均价格 | | 9,300.00 | 0.00% | | 元/吨 | ...
光大期货有色金属类日报12.04
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 01:21
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 有色金属类 铜: 隔夜内外铜价大幅拉升,均创历史新高,国内精铜现货进口亏损扩大。宏观方面,美国11月ADP就业人 数减少3.2万人,创2023年3月以来最大降幅,劳动力市场疲软迹象正在显现;但美国11月份ISM服务业 PMI指数升至52.6,创九个月来新高,预期52.0,服务业指数受到供应商交付时间延长以及商业活动进 一步改善的支撑。国内方面,关注即将召开的中央经济工作会议。库存方面,LME库存增加350吨至 162150吨;Comex库存增加2127吨至393979吨;SHFE铜仓单下降1599吨至28969吨;BC铜仓单维系 4879吨。昨晚LME铜注册仓单大量转为注销仓单,被市场认为即将大量被提货的表现,佐证投资者对 未来铜价的看好,也凸显了LME库存紧张和全球显性库存结构性问题,成为内外铜价联袂创新高的理 由。当前来看,短期的宏观和基本面问题已然被精矿短缺、长协高升水和库存流动性问题所取代,市场 情绪也逐渐朝着外盘挤仓演进,表现或持续偏强,关注持续性。 镍&不锈钢: 隔夜LME镍涨0.92%报14875美元/吨,沪镍跌0.02%报117 ...
硅业分会:需求不振量价承压 多晶硅市场维持弱稳格局
智通财经网· 2025-12-03 06:11
智通财经APP获悉,12月3日,硅业分会发布多晶硅周评。本周多晶硅市场继续呈现供需双弱的局面。主流签单企业数量维持在5家左右,但成交结构呈 现分化:头部棒状硅企业和颗粒硅企业签单量和成交价格与前期基本持平,而部分二线企业因下游需求疲软,签单量略有受阻,成交价格在区间不变的 情况下,重心小幅下移。但二线企业成交量占比较小,未对本周整体均价产生实质性影响。 据安泰科统计,本周多晶硅n型复投料成交价格区间为4.9-5.5万元/吨,成交均价为5.32万元/吨,环比持平。n型颗粒硅成交价格区间为5.0-5.1万元/吨,成 交均价为5.05万元/吨,环比持平。 根据硅业分会统计,11月份国内多晶硅产量约11.49万吨,环比大幅减少15.9%。11月尽管有大全、东方希望、丽豪、南玻等部分企业复产带来增量,但 整体供应收缩明显,月度净减量约2.2万吨,主要来自通威、协鑫等头部企业的计划内减产或检修。 注2:"—"表示本周无成交。 参与价格统计企业名单: 四川永祥股份有限公司 协鑫科技控股有限公司 东方希望集团有限公司 新特能源股份有限公司 亚洲硅业(青海) 股份有限公司 青海丽豪清能股份有限公司 新疆戈恩斯能源科技有限公司 ...
[安泰科]多晶硅周评-需求不振量价承压 市场维持弱稳格局(2025年12月3日)
据安泰科统计,本周多晶硅 n 型复投料成交价格区间为 4.9-5.5 万元 / 吨,成交均价为 5.32 万元 / 吨,环比持平。 n 型颗粒 硅成交价格区间为 5.0-5.1 万元 / 吨,成交均价为 5.05 万元 / 吨,环比持平。 本周多晶硅市场继续呈现供需双弱的局面。主流签单企业数量维持在 5 家左右,但成交结构呈现分化:头部棒状硅企业和 颗粒硅企业签单量和成交价格与前期基本持平,而部分二线企业因下游需求疲软,签单量略有受阻,成交价格在区间不变的情 况下,重心小幅下移。但二线企业成交量占比较小,未对本周整体均价产生实质性影响。 根据硅业分会统计, 11 月份国内多晶硅产量约 11.49 万吨,环比大幅减少 15.9% 。 11 月尽管有大全、东方希望、丽豪、 南玻等部分企业复产带来增量,但整体供应收缩明显,月度净减量约 2.2 万吨,主要来自通威、协鑫等头部企业的计划内减产 或检修。 展望 12 月,根据各企业排产计划,国内多晶硅产量预计仍将维持在 12 万吨以内,环比小幅回升,增量主要来自通威等企 业的检修复产以及其他企业的复产爬坡。同期需求端预期更为疲软,硅片、电池片、组件各环节为应对高库存和终 ...
上方承压:工业硅&多晶硅日评20251203-20251203
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-12-03 01:58
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The current silicon market maintains a pattern of weak supply and demand, and there is still pressure on the upside of silicon prices. Attention should be paid to the subsequent registration of new warehouse receipts and the actual start - up of silicon enterprises [1]. - For polysilicon, the downstream replenishment willingness is limited, and there is great pressure for the spot price to continue to rise, which suppresses the upside space of the futures price. Attention should be paid to the implementation of the polysilicon platform and the evolution of macro - sentiment [1]. 3. Summary of Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Price Information**: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained flat at 9,350 yuan/ton compared with the previous day, the average price of 421 (East China) industrial silicon increased by 0.51% to 9,800 yuan/ton, and the closing price of the futures main contract decreased by 1.86% to 8,975 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply - demand Situation**: In terms of supply, the suspension of production of silicon enterprises in the southwest production period has basically been implemented, and the start - up is at a low level within the year. The start - up in the north is relatively stable, and it is expected that the industrial silicon output will fluctuate slightly around 400,000 tons in December. In terms of demand, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production reduction trend, silicone enterprises have reached a joint production reduction mechanism, which may reduce the demand for industrial silicon, and silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed. The overall willingness of downstream enterprises to stock up at a low level is limited [1]. - **Investment Strategy**: The trading strategy is range - bound operation [1]. Polysilicon - **Price Information**: The price of N - type dense material remained flat at 51 yuan/kg compared with the previous day, the price of N - type re - feeding material remained flat at 52.35 yuan/kg, the price of N - type mixed material remained flat at 50.50 yuan/kg, the price of N - type granular silicon remained flat at 50.5 yuan/kg, and the closing price of the futures main contract decreased by 2.41% to 56,315 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply - demand Situation**: On the supply side, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production reduction trend, and some polysilicon plants may have new production capacity put into operation. After offsetting the increase and decrease, it is expected that the output will still increase slightly in October, but the output in November will decrease to about 120,000 tons month - on - month. On the demand side, the prices of the industrial chain are under pressure to decline. Although the polysilicon price is still strong, the market transactions are relatively light, there are few new transactions, and the downstream has a strong resistance to high - price resources [1]. - **Investment Strategy**: The trading strategy is to wait and see for the time being [1]. India's Photovoltaic Market Information - **New - installed Capacity Forecast**: JK Research predicts that India will add about 41.5GW of photovoltaic installed capacity in the fiscal year 2026 (the 12 - month period ending on March 31, 2026), including about 32GW in large - scale power station projects, about 8GW in rooftop photovoltaics, and about 1.5GW in off - grid systems. From January to September 2025, India added about 22.5GW of large - scale photovoltaic installed capacity, a year - on - year increase of 70.3%, and about 5.8GW of rooftop photovoltaic installed capacity, a year - on - year increase of 81.6%. It is expected that about 15.68GW of large - scale photovoltaic projects will be connected to the grid from October 2025 to March 2026 [1]. - **Top Developers**: As of September 30, 2025, the top five developers in India in terms of cumulative installed and under - construction project capacity are Adani (40.5GW), ReNew (22.9GW), NTPC (16.9GW), Greenko (15.4GW), and JSW Energy (15.12GW) [1]. - **Inverter Supply**: In the third quarter of 2025 (July - September), India added 8.06GW of large - scale photovoltaic installed capacity and 2.7GW of rooftop photovoltaic installed capacity. In terms of inverter supply, Sungrow ranked first with a supply of 3.76GW, TBEA followed closely with a supply of 3.1GW, and Sineng ranked third with a supply of 2.6GW [1].