二、公司前次使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理赎回的情况 2025年11月17日，公司使用部分闲置募集资金在招商银行股份有限公司哈尔滨南岗支行（以下简称"招 商银行"）购买了60,000万元单位定期存款。 2025年11月18日，公司使用部分闲置募集资金分别在中信建投证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信建投 证券"）购买了30,000万元的"看涨宝906期"收益凭证（以下简称"看涨宝"），在中国银河证券股份有限 公司（以下简称"银河证券"）购买了22,000万元的"银河金山"收益凭证14110期（以下简称"银河金 山"），在中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"）购买了18,000万元的"节节升利4205期"收益凭 证（以下简称"节节升利"）。 证券代码：603202 证券简称：天有为 公告编号：2026-002 黑龙江天有为电子股份有限公司 关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理 到期赎回的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、募集资金进行现金管理的基本情况： 黑龙江天有为电子股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential "migration" of bank deposits as a significant portion of household wealth matures in 2026, influenced by low deposit rates and an increasingly active capital market [1][7]. Group 1: Financial Asset Structure - As of the end of 2022, the financial assets of Chinese households were composed of cash and deposits (50.2%), bonds (8.8%), stocks and equity (19.5%), securities investment funds (11.7%), and insurance (9.8%) [2][8]. - The choice of whether to "migrate" deposits is fundamentally about the selection of financial assets based on risk, return, and liquidity considerations [2][8]. Group 2: International Comparisons - Research indicates that by 2024, the financial asset structure of U.S. households will be significantly different, with cash and deposits at 11.2%, bonds at 4.5%, stocks and investment funds at 55.3%, and insurance and pensions at 27.8% [3][9]. - The comparison with developed countries shows that cash and deposits in countries like the UK, Japan, and Germany remain above 30%, suggesting that the U.S. model may not be applicable to China [3][9]. Group 3: Demographic and Economic Influences - Aging population trends in China are expected to increase the preference for low-risk assets, as older individuals tend to favor safer investments [4][10]. - Low interest rates are prompting households to seek higher returns, but the method of achieving this—whether through direct stock investments or indirect methods like insurance and funds—remains uncertain [4][10][11]. Group 4: Market Performance Correlation - Historical data shows that the proportion of household stock holdings correlates with long-term stock market performance, with increases in stock fund holdings observed in the U.S., Japan, and Germany from 2013 to 2024 [5][11]. - The stability of stock and equity holdings among Chinese households is crucial for achieving a sustained bullish market [5][11].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 资讯早班车-2026-02-25 期货研究报告 二、商品投资参考 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-19 | 2025/12 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.4 | | 2026-01-31 | 2026/01 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.3 | 49.0 | 49.1 | | 2026-01-31 | 2026/01 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活动 | % | 49.4 | 50.1 | 50.2 | | 2026-02-14 | 2026/01 | 社会融资规模:当月值 | 亿元 | 72208 | 8178 | 70546 | | 2026-02-13 | 2026/01 | M0:同比 | % | 2.7 | 10.6 | 17.2 | | 2026-02-13 | 2026/01 | M1:同比 | ...

Group 1 - The central viewpoint of the report emphasizes the importance of maintaining ample liquidity and relatively loose social financing conditions, as stated in the central bank's monetary policy report for Q4 2025 [9][10] - The report indicates that the anticipated early quota for local government bonds in 2026 is projected to be 3.12 trillion yuan, based on 60% of the new local bond quota for 2025, which is 5.20 trillion yuan [16][44] - The report highlights that the total issuance of local government bonds is expected to reach 20.216 trillion yuan by February 28, 2026, with a significant portion being long-term bonds [17][45] Group 2 - The report notes that the net financing scale of local government bonds in March is expected to decrease to around 500 billion yuan unless the new bond quota announced during the two sessions exceeds market expectations [18][45] - It is mentioned that the implied tax rates for various bond maturities are around 4% for 10Y, 4% for 15Y, 5% for 20Y, and 4.5% for 30Y, indicating a favorable value proposition for these bonds [19][47] - The report discusses the behavior of institutions, noting that various entities, excluding insurance, have shifted to net buying of local bonds before the Spring Festival, with a focus on longer maturities [18][47]

区域宏观经济观察及信用债分析系列专题之二 地方经济发展有什么抓手 glmszqdatemark [Table_Author] | 分析师 | 徐亮 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书： S0590525110037 | | | 邮箱： | xliang@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 | 梁克淳 | | 执业证书： S0590525110038 | | | 邮箱： | liangkechun@glms.com.cn | 2026 年 02 月 24 日 国家部委为今年地方经济发展提供"充足弹药"：央行、财政部、发改委持续在政 策端发力、在资金端提供协同支持，目标就是为了更好激励地方政府积极落实与 "投资于物、投资于人"相关的项目建设，并秉持"因地制宜"原则而做好有效 投资；鼓励有较好就业基础、技术实力、出口优势的各类企业持续经营、扩大规 模，带动重点产业链及上下游产业发展，形成"产业集群"而保证当地居民连续 就业与区域经济稳健发展。与此同时，发改委正在研究制定"2026-2030 年扩大 内需战略实施方案"与"研究设立国家级并购基金"，或将利于地方政府使用地方 产业基金来布局更多新质生产力， ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report This year's Spring Festival holiday had unique advantages, including the longest duration in history and a consumption - stimulating activity. It showed excellent performance in multiple dimensions, especially in travel and consumption. The real - estate market showed signs of hitting the bottom, while the film market was dismal. Overseas capital markets had various trends due to factors like Fed's FOMC meeting minutes, geopolitical conflicts, and AI industry development [2][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Travel - The Spring Festival travel rush saw a continuous increase in long - distance travel. The total cross - regional passenger flow from February 2nd to 21st this year increased by 5.4% compared to the same period in 2025 and 26.3% compared to 2019, reaching a record high. The number of passengers in various transportation modes increased by about 5% - 6%. The self - driving travel enthusiasm was significantly boosted, with the national population migration scale index from the 15th day of the twelfth lunar month to the fifth day of the first lunar month increasing by 22.2% this year compared to 2025 [3][9][12]. - The difference in growth rates between the data from the Ministry of Transport and Baidu Migration was likely due to statistical methods. The non - operational passenger volume on roads accounted for 81.3% of the total cross - regional passenger flow, indicating that self - driving was the main mode of travel during the Spring Festival [16][17]. Consumption - Retail, catering, and service consumption were active. The average daily sales of key retail and catering enterprises in the first four days of the holiday increased by 8.6% compared to the same period in 2025, higher than the growth rates during the May Day and National Day holidays in 2025. The consumption of domestic tourism on key platforms increased by 4.5% in the first three days of the holiday. The rental car order volume on key platforms increased by 26%, and the north - south cross - region orders increased by 196% [4][19][22]. - The "trade - in" policy continued to release consumer demand. By February 19th, the trade - in of consumer goods benefited 28.88 million people, driving sales of 198.02 billion yuan. Smart devices maintained high growth, and Hainan's duty - free sales increased rapidly [22]. Film Market The film market continued its dismal performance since 2025, hitting a new low in the Spring Festival season in the past 7 years. As of the afternoon of the sixth day of the first lunar month, the cumulative box office of this year's Spring Festival season was 4.91 billion yuan, and it was unlikely to exceed 6 billion yuan. The number of screenings reached a new high, but the number of movie - goers hit a new low, mainly due to the lack of high - quality works [25]. Real - Estate Market The real - estate market showed a weak rebound at the bottom, with first - tier cities having a stronger rebound than second - and third - tier cities. From the first to the fifth day of the first lunar month, the average daily sales volume of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 1.04 million square meters, a 24.9% increase compared to the same period last year. The transaction and listing prices of second - hand houses in January also showed signs of stabilization. If the trend in the past 1 - 2 months continues, the real - estate sales may have hit the bottom [5][29]. Overseas Capital Markets - Most overseas bond yields declined. The 10 - year US Treasury yield adjusted upwards due to the hawkish FOMC meeting minutes and tariff policy fluctuations. European bond markets generally strengthened under the expectation of easing. The 10 - year Japanese government bond yield declined by 10.9bp, while the 10 - year Indian government bond yield increased by 4.8bp [6][32]. - The US dollar index strengthened, and the copper - gold ratio fluctuated weakly. Most overseas commodities rose, with oil and coal prices rising by more than 5%. Precious metals and some agricultural products also had varying degrees of increase [35][37]. - European and American stock markets rose collectively, while Asian stock markets were divided. The US stock market rebounded strongly, and European stock markets followed suit. The South Korean stock market hit a record high, while the Hong Kong and Japanese stock markets were weak. The FTSE A50 index rose 0.3% during the holiday [40].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 短期里利息不变，如果利率下降，往往 对应的就是债券市值上涨。 在2024年9月本轮降息周期开启后,美 股债券指数基金也开始迎来了一轮慢牛 走势。 (2) 对美股的影响 所以，自从2024年9月美元开启降息周 期以来，美股整体也是上涨的。 当然，美元贬值，对美元资产还是会有 一些不利影响的。 再加上美股本身估值相对偏高，所以相 比全球非美股市场，美股涨幅相对会低 一些。 (3) 对人民币资产的影响 美元降息,市场流动性更充裕。 与此同时，美元汇率贬值，全球流动资 金会流向非美元资产。 美元利率下降，会改善市场流动性，对 美股也是有利的。 港股和A股都属于人民币资产。 遇到美元利率、汇率短期降低，对港 股、A股都有利，其中，对港股影响更明 显一些。 风险提示 本文仅为信息分享，不构成任何投资建议。市场有风险，投资需谨慎 。 美元降息,叠加美元汇率出现贬值,对 于非美元资产整体是更加利好的。 2024年9月美元开启降息周期以来，人 民币相对美元升值，资金流入人民币资 产，推动A股、港股向上。 基金投资组合策略过往业绩并不预示其未来表现 为其他客户创造的收益并不构成业绩表现的保 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of Chinese cities, highlighting the rapid urbanization and the emergence of new economic centers, while ranking the development potential of 337 cities in China, with Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and others leading the list [2]. Group 1: Beijing - Beijing is positioned as the political, cultural, international exchange, and technological innovation center of China, with a GDP exceeding 4.1 trillion yuan in 2022, making it the second-largest city after Shanghai [9][10]. - The service sector accounts for 84% of Beijing's economy, with finance, headquarters economy, and technological innovation as key pillars [10]. - Future plans include transforming Beijing into a world-class harmonious city while optimizing population distribution to enhance urban vitality [11][13]. Group 2: Shanghai - Shanghai has established itself as an international economic center, with a GDP of approximately 4.5 trillion yuan in 2022, and aims to rival New York in global economic influence [16][24]. - The city’s industrial structure is supported by the automotive, electronics, and financial sectors, with finance contributing 19.3% to the GDP [17][19]. - Shanghai plans to continue its open policies and develop into a globally competitive city, enhancing the Yangtze River Delta region [24]. Group 3: Shenzhen - Shenzhen's GDP surpassed 3.2 trillion yuan in 2022, marking it as the third-largest city in China, with a significant annual population increase of around 600,000 [25][26]. - The city is recognized as a leading innovation hub, with strategic emerging industries accounting for over 41% of its GDP [26]. - Future initiatives focus on enhancing collaboration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area to solidify its status as a global innovation city [29]. Group 4: Guangzhou - Guangzhou's GDP reached approximately 2.9 trillion yuan in 2022, ranking fifth nationally, with a strong manufacturing base in automotive and electronics [30][31]. - The city faces challenges in innovation capacity and financial sector development, with financial services contributing only 9.2% to the GDP [33]. - Future goals include enhancing its role as a national center city and participating in global economic cooperation [34]. Group 5: Hangzhou - Hangzhou's economy has shown robust growth, with a GDP of around 1.9 trillion yuan in 2022, driven by a vibrant private and digital economy [36][37]. - The city is recognized for its strong digital economy, with core digital industries contributing 27.1% to the GDP [37]. - Plans for the future include improving transportation infrastructure and fostering a more open and innovative business environment [41][42]. Group 6: Chengdu - Chengdu's GDP exceeded 2 trillion yuan in 2022, accounting for 36.7% of Sichuan province's economy, and it is recognized as a key economic hub in Western China [43][44]. - The electronics sector is a major contributor, with a significant portion of the industrial output [44]. - Future strategies involve enhancing its role as a national center city and collaborating with Chongqing to develop the Western economic highland [49]. Group 7: Nanjing - Nanjing's GDP approached 1.7 trillion yuan in 2022, with a per capita GDP of 179,000 yuan, ranking fifth among major cities [50][51]. - The city is focusing on developing its automotive, steel, electronics, and petrochemical industries while nurturing emerging sectors [51]. - Future aspirations include becoming an "innovation city" and enhancing its influence in the Yangtze River Delta region [54]. Group 8: Suzhou - Suzhou's GDP reached nearly 2.4 trillion yuan in 2022, making it the top city among prefecture-level cities in China [56]. - The city is recognized as a global industrial powerhouse, with significant contributions from electronics and manufacturing sectors [56]. - Future plans emphasize its role in the Yangtze River Delta urban cluster and advancing towards a high-tech manufacturing base [59].

Core Viewpoint - The future strength of the Renminbi (RMB) is essential for its development into a powerful currency, which is a key element for building a strong financial nation [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of a Strong Currency - A strong currency is crucial for a financial power, characterized by its widespread use in international trade, investment, and as a global reserve currency [2]. - The RMB's moderate strength will facilitate its broader use in global trade and encourage international capital to hold RMB for investments [2]. - A weak currency may lead countries to reduce their holdings of that currency in foreign exchange reserves, while a strong RMB could increase its share in global reserves [2]. Group 2: Financial Institutions - Strong financial institutions are necessary for a financial power, defined by their comprehensive services, high operational efficiency, and strong risk management capabilities [3]. - The current global competitiveness of Chinese financial institutions is relatively weak, partly due to the low global usage of the RMB [3]. - Sustained moderate strength of the RMB could enhance the international competitiveness of Chinese financial institutions by increasing their RMB-denominated assets and liabilities abroad [3]. Group 3: International Financial Centers - A strong international financial center is vital for a financial power, capable of attracting global investors and influencing international pricing systems [4]. - Shanghai's international financial center has not yet reached the level of New York or London, partly due to insufficient foreign participation and the RMB's weaker valuation [4][5]. - Historical evidence suggests that a currency must maintain strength over time to support the development of a leading international financial center [5]. Group 4: Central Banks - A strong central bank is essential for effective monetary policy and macro-prudential management, which helps prevent systemic risks [6]. - A weak currency can hinder the internationalization of the RMB and reduce its acceptance and influence globally [6]. - A relatively strong RMB supports the central bank's functions and enhances the credibility of the currency [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - There are sufficient reasons for the RMB to appreciate moderately, despite pressures from external factors [7]. - The RMB's exchange rate should be based on supply and demand, but policy considerations are also necessary to achieve favorable economic and financial development [7].

2月18日，海外股市、黄金、白银集体拉升。 欧洲股市高开高走，英国富时指数涨逾1%，续刷历史新高；法国CAC指数涨0.53%，德国DAX指数涨 0.91%。 土耳其主要银行指数涨幅扩大，上涨超3%；土耳其主要的伊斯坦布尔证交所100指数上涨2%。 国际油价突然拉升，布伦特原油期货涨近2%，WTI原油期货盘中涨幅也扩大至近2%。消息面上，斯洛 伐克政府宣布石油紧急状态，将动用国家石油储备。 国际金属全线走强，截至发稿，现货黄金上涨0.8%，现货白银涨超3%。LME伦铜涨幅扩大至1%。 据央视新闻报道，当地时间2月18日，伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬会见到访的俄罗斯能源部部长齐维廖夫。佩 泽希齐扬表示，伊朗决心迅速准确地落实两国全面战略合作计划，并推动两国合作实现飞跃。他表示， 本地区各国应拓展彼此关系，使其无需借助域外势力干预即可解决本地区事务。 此前，当地时间2月17日，第二轮伊美间接谈判在瑞士日内瓦举行。伊朗外长阿拉格齐当天介绍，目前 双方立场仍存在差距。但是，一个"新的机会之窗"已经打开。美国副总统万斯17日表示，美伊谈判"在 某些方面进展顺利"，但伊方尚不愿意承认美国总统提出的部分"红线"。 另外，在瑞士日内瓦举 ...