Market Overview - The market experienced a strong rebound yesterday, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising nearly 1% to reclaim the 4000-point level. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.06 trillion yuan, an increase of 182.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.84% [1]. Aluminum Supply and Demand - CITIC Securities indicated that the global supply and demand for electrolytic aluminum will remain balanced over the next three years, contingent on China's full production and the timely release of new overseas electrolytic aluminum capacity. Any supply disruptions could lead to a supply shortage. The high price and profit margins create a foundation for price increases, especially as the AI investment race in Europe and the U.S. faces electricity supply constraints, potentially threatening over 4 million tons of existing supply and accelerating aluminum prices upward [1]. Power Grid Equipment Performance - Huatai Securities reported significant performance differentiation in the power grid equipment sector for Q3. The revenue growth rates for various segments were as follows: non-UHV main grid at 38.2%, UHV main grid at 5.2%, distribution at -23.6%, and electric meters at -28.4%. The non-UHV main grid performed well due to strong overseas demand and ongoing domestic construction needs, with projected bidding amounts for 2024 and 2025 showing year-on-year increases of 8.2% and 19.5%, respectively. In contrast, the distribution segment faced challenges from domestic price reductions and weakened demand, while electric meter companies struggled with declining prices and increased competition in overseas markets [2]. Quantum Computing Development - CICC noted that quantum computing is transitioning from experimental validation to commercial application, marking a critical turning point. With advancements from global tech giants like Google, IBM, and Microsoft, and China's progress with prototypes, the global quantum computing market is expected to grow from $5 billion in 2024 to over $800 billion by 2035, with a CAGR exceeding 55%. The hardware segment is anticipated to benefit first, with core devices like measurement control systems and dilution refrigerators entering mass production soon [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Overseas macro: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% in October and announced to end balance - sheet reduction and fully renew Treasury bonds and agency MBS from December, transitioning the liquidity environment from contraction to stability. - Domestic macro: Domestic policy support has been strengthened, and economic resilience has been maintained. The manufacturing industry slowed down in October, but the construction and service industries remained in expansion. Policy - based financial instruments and special bonds are being implemented faster, and investment recovery is accelerating. - Asset views: With the Fed's actions, Sino - US summit results, and policy announcements, market sentiment has improved. It is recommended to maintain a balanced allocation strategy. Non - ferrous metals perform relatively well, black commodities have rebound opportunities, bonds are in a slightly stronger oscillation pattern, and precious metals have medium - to - long - term allocation value [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Highlights - Overseas: The Fed's actions aim to manage risks during the economic data vacuum period, balancing growth and liquidity stability. - Domestic: Policy emphasis on "science and technology self - reliance, anti - involution, and expanding domestic demand" has strengthened the focus on economic construction. The economy continues to stabilize. - Asset Allocation: Adopt a "balanced allocation, structural offensive" strategy, with different asset classes having different performance characteristics and investment opportunities [6]. 3.2 View Highlights 3.2.1 Financial - Stock index futures: Driven by technology events, the growth style is active, but there is a risk of overcrowding in small - cap stocks. Expected to oscillate and rise. - Stock index options: Market turnover has slightly declined, and the option market liquidity may be lower than expected. Expected to oscillate. - Treasury bond futures: The bond market remains weak, affected by policy, fundamental, and tariff factors. Expected to oscillate [7]. 3.2.2 Precious Metals - Gold/silver: Due to the easing of geopolitical and trade tensions, precious metals are in a phased adjustment. Expected to oscillate, affected by US fundamentals, Fed policy, and global equity market trends [7]. 3.2.3 Shipping - Container shipping to Europe: The peak season in the third quarter has passed, and there is a lack of upward momentum. Expected to oscillate, with attention on the rate of freight decline in September [7]. 3.2.4 Black Building Materials - Steel products: The market is weak, and attention should be paid to cost support. Expected to oscillate, affected by special bond issuance, steel exports, and iron - water production. - Iron ore: Market sentiment is weak, and attention should be paid to demand changes. Expected to oscillate, affected by overseas mine production, domestic iron - water production, and other factors. - Other products in this sector, such as coke, coking coal, etc., are also expected to oscillate, each affected by different factors [7]. 3.2.5 Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials - Most non - ferrous metals are expected to oscillate, with different influencing factors for each metal. For example, copper is affected by trade frictions, and aluminum is affected by inventory changes [7]. 3.2.6 Energy and Chemicals - Most products in this sector are in a situation of weak supply - demand and are expected to oscillate. Some products, such as ethylene glycol and styrene, are expected to oscillate and decline, affected by factors such as supply - demand, cost, and trade [9]. 3.2.7 Agriculture - The agricultural sector shows a differentiated trend. Some products, such as protein meal, are expected to oscillate and rise, while others, such as natural rubber and sugar, are expected to oscillate and decline, affected by factors such as weather, supply - demand, and policies [9].

Corporate Announcements - China Aluminum announced the election of He Wenjian as chairman and the appointment of Zhang Ruizhong as general manager, with Zhang holding 147,100 shares of A-shares [4] - Jiangbolong reported that its self-developed main control chip deployment exceeded 100 million units by the end of Q3, with ongoing rapid growth [5] - Asia-Pacific Pharmaceutical received a notice of disapproval for the consistency evaluation application of Diltiazem Hydrochloride Tablets, which will not significantly impact current performance [6] - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical successfully passed the FDA's cGMP inspection, marking the third successful inspection, enhancing its qualification for international market supply [7] - Biaobang Co. terminated its control change planning due to failure to reach consensus on core terms, leading to stock resumption [8] - Jingjin Equipment announced the release of its actual controller and chairman from detention, allowing normal operations [9] - Sand Membrane reported that part of its fundraising account was frozen, amounting to 11.74 million yuan, related to a contract dispute [10] - Renfu Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for clinical trials of HWH217 tablets for treating pulmonary arterial hypertension [12] - Wanye Enterprises will change its stock name to "Xian Dao Ji Dian" effective November 12 [13] - Huahai Pharmaceutical's subsidiary passed the FDA inspection, ensuring compliance with international standards [14] Performance Metrics - Daqin Railway reported a cargo transport volume of 32.51 million tons in October, a decrease of 4.7% year-on-year [19] - Jingji Agriculture announced sales of 233,300 pigs in October, generating revenue of 317 million yuan [20] - Baiyun Airport reported a passenger throughput of 7.64 million in October, a year-on-year increase of 12.04% [21] - Dongfeng Motor's total vehicle production decreased by 23.4% year-on-year in October, with significant declines in commercial vehicle categories [22] - Hongyang Real Estate reported a contract sales amount of 202 million yuan in October [23][24] Shareholding Changes - Xintonglian announced that a shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% [25] - Tonghua Dongbao conducted its first share buyback, acquiring 0.01% of its shares for 1.29 million yuan [26] - Guoci Materials plans to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 30 yuan per share [27] - Xili Technology announced multiple shareholders plan to reduce their stakes [28] Major Contracts - Dayu Water announced a pre-bid win for a 310 million yuan water conservancy project in Hainan [29] - Zhongjian Technology signed a significant sales contract worth 563 million yuan [30] - Longjian Co. won a bid for a 441 million yuan project for road construction in Heilongjiang [31] - Chongqing Construction's subsidiary won a bid for a 781 million yuan project in Chongqing [32]

Group 1 - The phosphoric chemical sector is experiencing a bullish trend, with significant stock price increases among key players such as Qing Shui Yuan and Yun Tian Hua, both reaching their daily limit up [3][4] - The yellow phosphorus index rose by 4% on November 5, with a cumulative increase of over 7% in the past two weeks, driven by reduced production and recovering demand for downstream electrolytic liquid raw materials [4][5] - The average stock price of phosphoric chemical concept stocks has increased by 37.35% this year, with notable performers including Chengxing Co., Jin Chengxin, and Chuan Jin Nuo, which saw increases of 87.07%, 81.4%, and 68.91% respectively [6][8] Group 2 - The domestic yellow phosphorus spot price reached 22,200 yuan per ton on November 5, up 264 yuan from the previous trading day, marking a 2.36% increase compared to the same period last month [5] - The phosphoric chemical industry is expected to maintain its favorable conditions, with phosphate rock prices remaining high due to supply constraints and increasing demand from downstream sectors such as fertilizers and renewable energy [5][6] - Companies like Ba Tian Co. reported a 56.5% increase in total revenue to 3.809 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with net profit soaring by 236.13% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum sector in China is experiencing a significant surge, with China Aluminum's stock hitting a 15-year high, driven by a systemic rise in aluminum stocks and favorable market conditions [1][3][4]. Company Performance - China Aluminum's stock price reached 10.86 CNY, marking a new high since 2011, with over 2.2 million buy orders on November 6 [1]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of this year showed a slight increase, with a net profit of 10.872 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 21% [9]. - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 17.3%, up by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable increase in the third quarter to 18.4% [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The aluminum sector has seen a "high-low switch" in market sentiment, with funds flowing into aluminum stocks as other sectors like precious metals and rare earths faced declines [4][19]. - The aluminum industry index rose by 5.06%, outperforming other sectors, indicating a shift in investor preference towards aluminum stocks [3]. Historical Context - Over the past 15 years, China Aluminum has reached similar stock price levels twice, in April 2015 and September 2021, but the current market conditions are supported by both market sentiment and industry dynamics [6]. - The company is expected to exceed its historical net profit high of 12.4 billion CNY in 2024, with current forecasts suggesting annual profits could reach 14 billion CNY or more [12]. Comparative Analysis - Historically, aluminum stocks have been undervalued compared to other sectors, with some trading at price-to-earnings ratios below 10 [4][14]. - The aluminum sector's performance has lagged behind other metal sectors, with a year-to-date increase of only 35.39% compared to over 69% for other segments [16][19].

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum sector is experiencing a systemic rise, with China Aluminum's stock hitting a 15-year high, driven by improved market sentiment and performance metrics [1][3][9]. Market Performance - As of November 6, China Aluminum's stock price reached 10.86 CNY, marking a significant increase with over 2.2 million buy orders [1]. - The aluminum industry index rose by 5.06%, outperforming other sectors [3]. - Other aluminum stocks, such as Minfa Aluminum and Chang Aluminum, also saw price surges, indicating a broader trend in the aluminum market [3]. Valuation and Market Sentiment - Historically, aluminum companies have been undervalued compared to other metals like rare earths and gold, with many trading below a P/E ratio of 10 [5][14]. - Recent shifts in market dynamics, particularly a decline in international gold prices, have made aluminum stocks more attractive, leading to a "high-low switch" in investment preferences within the non-ferrous metals sector [5][18]. Financial Performance - China Aluminum's revenue for the first three quarters of the year showed a slight increase, with net profit reaching 10.872 billion CNY, a 21% year-on-year growth [10]. - The company's gross profit margin improved to 17.3%, with a notable increase in the third quarter, where the margin rose to 18.4% [11]. - Forecasts suggest that the company's annual net profit could exceed 14 billion CNY, potentially surpassing the historical high of 12.4 billion CNY in 2024 [12]. Price Trends and Future Outlook - The price of aluminum has increased, with LME aluminum up by 12.28% and domestic futures up by 9.44% year-to-date [11]. - The stock price movements of China Aluminum align closely with its earnings trajectory, indicating strong performance support for the recent price increases [12]. - The aluminum sector's performance has lagged behind other non-ferrous metals earlier this year, but recent trends suggest a potential turnaround [16][18].

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas, the Fed's "rate cut + halt to balance - sheet reduction" signals a major shift in post - pandemic monetary policy. A December rate cut is likely, but future policies will be more flexible and uncertain. Domestically, China's economy in the first three quarters was in line with expectations, with strong resilience. Despite challenges like weak consumption and investment, policies will support the economy to achieve the annual growth target [4][56][57]. - For aluminum, the Fed's expected December rate cut and domestic fiscal support are macro factors. Fundamentally, the Guinea rainy - season impact on ore shipments may support alumina prices, but the alumina supply remains loose. Demand is transitioning to the off - season, and inventory accumulation pressure is increasing. The monthly price has a support level around 20,500 yuan/ton and a pressure range of 21,500 - 21,800 yuan/ton [4][105]. - For zinc, the external - strong and internal - weak pattern will continue. In November, zinc prices are expected to fluctuate in the range of 21,500 - 23,000 yuan/ton. Supply may decline, and the domestic refined zinc surplus may ease. Demand is entering the off - season, with the real estate sector weak and the auto and home - appliance sectors providing support [8][9]. - For tin, the supply at the mine end remains tight, and the recovery of production in Myanmar is slow. The semiconductor and auto industries support tin demand. The supply - demand situation is weak on both sides, and tin prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [9][10]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro: The Fed Cuts Rates as Expected, and Domestic Demand Still Faces Pressure Market Operation Logic - **US**: In October, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points and ended balance - sheet reduction. Manufacturing was in a slump, service industry growth slowed, the labor market cooled, and the CPI fell more than expected. Future policies are expected to be more flexible and uncertain, and a December rate cut is likely [19][20][24]. - **Eurozone**: In October, the economy showed "enhanced stage expansion and intensified structural differentiation." The service industry PMI reached a 1 - and - a - half - year high, inflation fell slightly, but the manufacturing recession continued. The labor market was stable, and inflation showed "overall cooling and core stability" [26][28][29]. - **China**: In the first three quarters, the economy grew steadily. Investment declined, consumption slowed, and exports showed strong resilience. The price index showed some repair, and the PMI indicated overall stable production and operation but a weak manufacturing demand [34][44][50]. Market Trend Judgment - Overseas, the Fed's policy shift is significant, and future policies are uncertain. The eurozone economy depends on the service industry in the short - term and needs to solve multiple challenges in the long - term. - Domestically, the economy in the first three quarters was in line with expectations. In the fourth quarter, Sino - US relations are easing, and fiscal policies will support the economy to achieve the annual target [56][57][58]. Later Concerns/Risk Factors Overseas economic trends, monetary policy changes, US tariff policy evolution, domestic incremental policies, and terminal demand [60]. 3.2 Aluminum: Off - season Downstream Start - up Cools, but High - level Support Remains Market Operation Logic - **Cost Side**: In October, domestic bauxite prices rose slightly, and overseas prices fell. The supply of domestic bauxite was tight, and the impact of the Guinea rainy season on imports was still being felt. In 2025, the supply of imported bauxite may increase, but the spot resources may still be tight. In October, the output of alumina increased, but the profit was compressed. In November, the market is expected to remain in surplus, and prices will be under pressure. In October, the cost of electrolytic aluminum decreased, and it is expected to continue to decline slightly in November [64][72][77]. - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: In October, production increased, and the aluminum - water ratio rose. In November, winter environmental protection restrictions may affect production, and the aluminum - water ratio is expected to decline. Import losses are large, and the net import volume may exceed last year [80][82]. - **Scrap Aluminum**: In October, the refined - scrap price difference widened, and the PMI of the recycled aluminum industry declined but remained above the boom - bust line. In November, demand is expected to be boosted, and the industry PMI may continue to expand. The substitution of recycled aluminum for primary aluminum is gradually emerging [86]. - **Demand Side**: In October, the aluminum processing PMI fell below the boom - bust line. Different sectors have different performances. Demand is transitioning to the off - season. The real estate market is still weak, but the auto market is growing well. In November, the State Grid's order bidding may accelerate, but terminal demand needs to be released [88][91][98]. - **Supply - Demand Balance and Inventory**: Near the end of October, the supply increased, and demand was weak. In November, the inventory may change from de - stocking to stocking, which will have a negative impact on prices [100]. Market Trend Judgment The Fed is likely to cut rates in December, and domestic fiscal policies will support the economy. Fundamentally, the Guinea rainy - season impact may support alumina prices, but the supply is still loose. Demand is in the off - season, and inventory accumulation pressure is increasing. The monthly price has a support level around 20,500 yuan/ton and a pressure range of 21,500 - 21,800 yuan/ton [105]. Later Concerns/Risk Factors Macro - policy games, overseas events, ore - end resumption and shipment, inventory trends, and actual terminal demand [107]. 3.3 Zinc: The External - strong and Internal - weak Pattern Continues, Pay Attention to the Upper Pressure Market Operation Logic - **Market Trend in October**: Zinc prices fluctuated higher after a correction. Overseas prices were stronger than domestic ones. The market was boosted by overseas rate cuts and low LME inventories in the short - term, but faced long - term surplus pressure [110]. - **Zinc Concentrate**: Domestic zinc concentrate production is expected to decline in the fourth quarter. Overseas production increased significantly in the first half of 2025 and is expected to continue to increase in the second half. In October, processing fees declined, and import losses increased. Port inventories are at a high level in recent years, and the raw - material inventory days of smelters have decreased [113][115][122]. - **Refined Zinc**: In October, production increased but was lower than expected. In November, production is expected to decline due to factors such as raw - material shortages and profit compression. Zinc ingot imports are at a low level, and the domestic inventory increase pressure may ease. Overseas LME inventories are at a low level, supporting prices [124][127][130]. - **Zinc Consumption**: The traditional consumption season was under - performing. Galvanized sheet exports may decline in October. The real estate market is still weak, and the impact on zinc demand is limited. The auto market is growing well but may cool slightly in the fourth quarter [132][137][139]. Market Trend Judgment The external - strong and internal - weak pattern will continue. In November, zinc prices are expected to fluctuate in the range of 21,500 - 23,000 yuan/ton [9]. Later Concerns/Risk Factors No relevant content provided. 3.4 Tin: The Probability of Overseas Supply Increase Rises, and the Price Center of Gravity Faces Downward Risk Market Operation Logic - **Mine End**: The supply at the mine end is still tight, and the resumption of production in Myanmar is slow. The arrival volume from Congo (Kinshasa) and Australia will increase in October. - **Smelting**: After the September shutdown and maintenance, refined tin production increased in October, but raw - material shortages in some provinces led to low processing fees. - **Downstream Demand**: The semiconductor industry supports tin demand, and the auto market has grown rapidly but may slow down at the end of the year. Market Trend Judgment The supply - demand situation is weak on both sides, and tin prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [9][10]. Later Concerns/Risk Factors No relevant content provided.

Market Performance - The A-share market showed strong performance on November 6, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising above 4000 points, closing up 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.84% [1][2] - A total of 2880 stocks rose, with 72 hitting the daily limit up, while 2388 stocks declined [2] Sector Highlights - The phosphate chemical sector strengthened, with companies like Qing Shui Yuan hitting the daily limit up [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw significant gains, with China Aluminum hitting the daily limit up and reaching a 15-year high [5] - Robot concept stocks were active, with companies like Fangzheng Electric hitting the daily limit up, following a presentation by Xiaopeng Motors' chairman regarding advancements in robotics [5] Notable Stock Movements - Several stocks experienced notable increases, including: - Hanyu Group up 17.40% to 16.33 CNY - World Group up 11.22% to 56.39 CNY - Fangzheng Shenji up 10.03% to 12.83 CNY [6] - CPO and computing hardware stocks also rose, with companies like Huilv Ecology hitting the daily limit up [7] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector collectively strengthened, particularly storage chip stocks, following a price increase for SK Hynix's HBM4 chips supplied to Nvidia, which rose by 51.35% to approximately 560 USD [7] Regional Focus - Local stocks in Chongqing surged, with Chongqing Construction hitting the daily limit up, alongside other local companies like Shenchi Electric and Yuhua Development [12][14] - Administrative adjustments in Chongqing were announced, aimed at enhancing the city's innovation platform and optimizing urban space structure [15]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced a private placement of 100 million shares, raising 1.28 billion yuan, with a net amount of 1.268 billion yuan after expenses, received on August 2, 2023 [1] Group 1: Fundraising and Allocation - The funds raised will be allocated to the "25,000 tons of new energy battery materials project," which has been modified to the "automotive and green energy aluminum industrial park project" [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the project has utilized 405 million yuan, leaving a balance of 903 million yuan [1] - In 2025, the company plans to reduce the funding for this project by 590 million yuan to invest in new projects [1] Group 2: Regulatory Agreements - On November 6, 2025, the company signed a "fundraising four-party supervision agreement" with Yirui New Materials, Industrial Bank Zhengzhou Branch, and Dongwu Securities, clarifying the rights and obligations of all parties involved [1]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Views - The finished products are expected to move in a range-bound consolidation, with the price center shifting downward and running weakly [2][4]. - The price of aluminum ingots is expected to remain high in the short term, and attention should be paid to macro sentiment and mining news. The high inventory pressure in the domestic aluminum ingot market in November is expected to have a negative feedback effect on the subsequent aluminum price [4][5]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Finished Products - Yunnan and Guizhou regional short - process construction steel enterprises are expected to affect a total construction steel output of 741,000 tons during the Spring Festival shutdown from mid - January. Anhui's 6 short - process steel mills have also scheduled shutdowns, with a daily output impact of about 16,200 tons during the shutdown [3][4]. - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities decreased by 40.3% month - on - month and increased by 43.2% year - on - year [4]. - The finished products continued to oscillate downward yesterday, reaching a new recent low. In the pattern of weak supply and demand, the market sentiment is pessimistic, and the winter storage this year is sluggish, with weak price support [4]. Aluminum Ingots - Macro data shows that the US private employment and non - manufacturing PMI in October were better than expected. The Shanghai aluminum price was high yesterday [3]. - The alumina market is in a state of loose supply and demand, with the spot price under pressure, and the industry's profit margin has shrunk significantly. Although the weekly output of alumina has decreased slightly, the overall operating capacity remains high, and environmental protection policies may bring new constraints to production [4]. - Downstream electrolytic aluminum enterprises have weak procurement willingness, and the raw material inventory has continued to accumulate. The total industry inventory has reached a historical high of 4.599 million tons [4]. - The aluminum processing PMI in October fell below the boom - bust line, and the "Silver October" peak season was lackluster. The comprehensive PMI in November may decline further [4]. - As of November 6, the inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in domestic mainstream consumption areas was 622,000 tons, and the inventory pressure in November has increased [4].