Group 1 - Foreign investment in Chinese assets is increasing, with major international banks like Goldman Sachs and HSBC recommending an "overweight" position on A-shares [1][2] - HSBC's recent survey indicates that over half of the respondents are optimistic about the A-share market, a significant increase from about one-third in June [2] - Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month target for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index from 1370 to 1480 points, indicating a potential upside of approximately 10% [2] Group 2 - The overall confidence of investors in Chinese investments has been steadily increasing this year, with a growing willingness to allocate to non-USD assets [3] - Multiple factors, including policy support and positive economic fundamentals, are boosting investment confidence in the Chinese stock market [4] - China's economic fundamentals remain solid, with rapid industrial upgrades and the emergence of new productive forces in sectors like renewable energy and AI [4] Group 3 - Long-term capital inflows are a key reason for foreign investors' positive outlook on Chinese assets, supported by domestic institutions like insurance and pension funds [5] - The liquidity in the A-share market has improved, attracting participation from emerging market and Asia-Pacific mutual funds [5] Group 4 - Investor sentiment towards the A-share market has significantly improved, driven by ample liquidity and accelerated technological innovation [6] - The influx of additional household savings, which accounts for 5% of GDP, is expected to further boost market valuations, particularly in innovative sectors [6] Group 5 - The ongoing reforms and opening-up of the capital market are expected to accelerate, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets to foreign investors [7][8] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to implement key measures to improve cross-border investment and financing convenience [8]

曾被全球公认最健康的企业，一度是"安全"的绝对代名词，却在48小时内成为绑定全球经济的定时炸弹。 救与不救，成为美联储史上最艰难的决策。看懂这家企业的坍塌脉络，或许能提前预判下一个可能倒下的行业巨头。 这家企业便是发源于中国上海、后成长为全美最大保险公司的美国国际集团（AIG）。 2008年以前，AIG是全美最安全的企业之一，业务覆盖140个国家和地区，1.2万亿美元总资产超中国当年外汇储备六成，平安、国寿等国内品牌规模远不及 它。 2006年英超曼联巅峰期，AIG每赛季斥上千万英镑将Logo印在曼联球衣上，C罗、鲁尼胸口的AIG标志，彼时是金融稳定的象征。 2008年9月15日"黑色星期一"，AIG危机全面爆发。 凌晨1点，美国五大投行老四雷曼兄弟破产，多数人视其为金融海啸起点，但更大风险在AIG酝酿。 9月15日7时10分，时任财长保尔森接到总统小布什电话，明确政府不再救助华尔街企业。 这既是政府立场，也顺应民意，民众不满金融巨头"盈利私享、亏损公补"，当时正值美国大选，政党需顾及选票。 但AIG并非普通企业，它是美国金融体系的"心脏"。 全球11.5万员工，体量是雷曼10倍；美国1/3人口（1.06亿人 ...

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs strategists indicate that the European IPO market remains in a "sluggish state" despite a full restart in the third quarter, lagging behind the United States [1] - The team, including Jimal Jasion, notes that the third quarter was the strongest for the U.S. market in years, while the European market continues to struggle [1] Summary by Category - **Market Performance** - The third quarter marked the strongest performance for the U.S. IPO market in years [1] - In contrast, the European IPO market is still experiencing low activity levels [1] - **Strategic Insights** - Goldman Sachs highlights the disparity between the recovery of the U.S. IPO market and the ongoing challenges faced by the European market [1]

Core Viewpoint - International investors' interest in Chinese stocks has reached its highest level in recent years, as indicated by feedback from roadshows conducted in the US and Asia [1] Group 1: Investor Sentiment - Recent roadshows in the US and Asia revealed a strong interest among investors in Chinese stocks, with many aligning with a more optimistic market outlook [1] - The positive sentiment is attributed to recent strong market performance and potential inflows from individual investors [1] Group 2: Market Position - International investors are unlikely to reduce their positions in Chinese stocks in the short term, given the current market dynamics [1]

王宗豪进一步表示，预计外国资金进一步流入中国股市的机会依然存在。"反内卷"是大多数会议讨论的 重点话题，投资者对中国的AI/技术发展和资本回报发展感兴趣，瑞银超配A股TMT和券商的观点也引 起较多投资者兴趣。 国际资管机构正重新审视中国市场投资价值。瑞银投资银行中国股票策略研究主管王宗豪近日表示，根 据过去一个月在美国和亚洲的多次路演，国际投资者总体对中国股票的兴趣浓厚，越来越多的投资者认 同对市场更乐观的展望。王宗豪表示。考虑到强劲的走势和散户资金的潜在流入，相关投资者应当不会 在短期内减持其中国仓位。 ...

【环球网财经综合报道】美东时间周一，高盛在未来三个月展望中，将全球股票评级从 "中性" 上调至 "增持"，核心依据包括全球经济势头持续改善、资产 估值具备吸引力，以及货币政策与财政政策的支持力度不断增强。 高盛进一步分析指出，历史数据显示，在经济周期末期的放缓阶段，若衰退风险维持低位且政策支持力度充足，股票市场往往会呈现良好表现，这一规律在 20 世纪 90 年代末与 60 年代中期的历史性反弹行情中均得到印证。 不过，高盛对全球信贷市场持谨慎态度，将未来三个月全球信贷前景从 "中性" 下调至 "减持"（即看空），认为经济周期后期的运行特征及估值过高，是当 前市场面临的主要阻力。 与此同时，高盛还将 12 个月展望中的现金评级下调至 "减持"（即看空），并发出警告：若美联储持续实施宽松政策，现金类资产的收益水平很可能在明年 进一步走低。（陈十一） 高盛分析师在报告中明确表示："我们认为，良好的企业盈利增长、美联储实施宽松政策且不会引发经济衰退，加之全球财政政策宽松措施落地，将继续为 全球股市提供支撑。" 近期全球股市显著走高并创下历史新高，背后主要推动力是市场对美联储提前降息以规避经济衰退的乐观预期。当前，全 ...

然而，Mueller-Glissmann写道，在今年年底之前，"金发姑娘"行情可能会受到冲击。他说："金发姑娘 有可能遇到三只熊中的一只。" "金发姑娘"经济，顾名思义，是一种童话般的情景：经济既不太热（导致通胀猖獗），也不太冷（导致 增长放缓）。正如童话故事所表达的，一切"刚刚好"。 高盛警告称，美股"金发姑娘"行情可能在年底前受冲击；该行分析师提出"三只熊"风险：增长冲击、利 率冲击和美元熊市，并强调短期内这些冲击未成现实，但年底前风险仍存。 随着标准普尔500指数接近历史高位，估值接近互联网泡沫时期的水平，有关美股泡沫的相关警告也卷 土重来。高盛（Goldman Sachs）就在最新报告中警告称，今年年底前，美股"金发姑娘"行情可能会遭 遇冲击。 高盛投资组合策略部门资产配置研究主管Christian Mueller-Glissmann和他的团队在一份题为《金发姑娘 继续逃离熊市》（Goldilocks continues to escape the bears）的报告中指出，围绕人工智能（AI ）和科技 公司的乐观情绪继续推高了美国股市。 与此同时，该行指出，投资者正享受着美联储预计今年将至少再推出一 ...

但另一方面，摩根士丹利则警告，A股已出现零星过热迹象，虽然目前尚不普遍，但要尽快看到企业基 本面改善和更强有力政策支持，才能维持涨势。 高盛报告则显示，中国是8月全球对冲基金净买入量最大的市场，对冲基金正以近两个月来最快速度净 买入A股。高盛首席中国股票策略师刘劲津团队还上调沪深300指数目标价，暗示未来一年可能还有 10％上行空间。 高盛团队还分析认为，中国股市估值仍具吸引力，主要指数盈利今明两年仍将维持高个位数增长趋势， 各类投资者仓位也未达到拥挤状态，未来仍有提升空间。 【环球网财经综合报道】伴随着近一段时间A股的强势表现，私募机构大多对节后A股市场走势持乐观 态度，传递出对节后市场的积极预期。最新调研数据显示，65.38%的受访私募机构表示将维持七成以 上仓位；科技成长方向仍是私募机构的主流选择，近六成私募机构看好AI、半导体、人形机器人、智 能驾驶、创新药等科技板块。 另据《联合早报》近日发文称，香颂资本执行董事沈萌接受《联合早报》采访时研判，多元化资金进场 带来的情绪改善，带动A股快速上涨，进一步吸引更多投资者入市。 报道中还提到，中国证监会自去年来持续引导保险资金、社保基金和养老金等长期资金入市 ...

（原标题：高盛分析师警告：美国经济可能重新加速 小心美联储货币政策转向） 智通财经APP获悉，9月28日，高盛分析师 Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli 和 Rikin Shah 在最新报告中称，美 国经济面临重新加速的可能性正在上升，这一预期建立在劳动力市场韧性、财政刺激预期以及宽松金融 环境等多重利好因素基础之上。 报告称，这一经济重新加速的前景将对美联储货币政策路径产生重要影响，特别是在美联储选出新主席 人选的背景下。高盛指出，关键问题在于美联储是否会在经济健康运行时仍将利率降至中性水平以下， 以及是否能够在特朗普任期内实施加息政策。 Part.01 多重顺风助推经济 "重新加速" 高盛的分析显示，美国经济在多项关键指标上展现出强劲表现。 据高盛称,其美国宏观经济意外指数 (US MAP surprise index) 近期大幅飙升，本周的初请失业金人数也令 人鼓舞。该行全球投资研究部 (GIR) 预计，美国第三季度 GDP 环比年化增长率将达到 2.6%的健康水 平。 风险资产的良好表现、美联储未来的降息预期以及美元走弱，共同营造了宽松的金融环境。 财政与投资 报告列举了推动这一风险的关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the gradual internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) since the 2015 exchange rate reform, emphasizing that the current level of RMB internationalization does not match China's economic and trade scale. It identifies four new trends in the international monetary system and proposes four main lines of action to accelerate RMB internationalization [2][48]. Group 1: New Trends in the International Monetary System - The article identifies four new trends: cracks in the credibility of the US dollar, the rise of Chinese manufacturing, the restructuring of global trade and monetary systems, and the emergence of digital and tokenized financial ecosystems [3][4][26]. - The credibility of the US dollar is weakening due to persistent fiscal deficits and high inflation, as well as the weaponization of its reserve currency status [9][10]. - Chinese manufacturing has maintained a leading position globally, with a significant share of global output and exports, and is moving up the value chain [16][17]. - The restructuring of global trade relationships is evident as the US imposes tariffs, leading to a decrease in its role as the final consumer and an increase in trade among non-US countries [27][28]. Group 2: Four Main Lines to Promote RMB Internationalization - The article suggests four main lines to promote RMB internationalization: expanding the supply of RMB-denominated safe assets, enhancing the settlement and pricing functions of RMB in commodity trade, coordinating onshore and offshore RMB markets, and utilizing digital RMB and tokenized RMB assets [5][48]. - Expanding the supply of RMB safe assets is crucial, as foreign holdings of Chinese government bonds are currently below 6%, and there is a need for more offshore RMB sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt [50][51]. - Enhancing the settlement and pricing functions of RMB in key commodities, such as lithium and LNG, is essential to increase the share of RMB in trade settlements [54][55]. - Coordinating onshore and offshore RMB markets can improve market stability and liquidity, while expanding the application scenarios for digital RMB can enhance its usage in cross-border transactions [6][63][71]. Group 3: Digital and Tokenized Financial Ecosystem - The rise of digital currencies, particularly central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), is reshaping the financial landscape, providing a bridge between traditional fiat currencies and digital assets [4][43]. - The digital RMB has seen significant adoption, with over 1.8 billion wallets opened and transactions exceeding 7.3 trillion RMB, indicating a growing acceptance of digital currencies [43][72]. - Tokenization of traditional financial assets is on the rise, with initiatives to issue tokenized government bonds and other assets, creating a comprehensive digital financial ecosystem [46][72].