报告要点： 2025 年 7 月 4 日 A 股冲高回落，大金融领涨。上证指数上涨 0.32%，深 证成指下跌 0.25%，创业板指下跌 0.36%。市场成交额 14283.65 亿元，较上 一交易日增加 1187.78 亿元。全市场 1197 只个股上涨，4160 只个股下跌。 风格上看，各指数涨跌幅排序为：金融>稳定>消费>0>成长>周期；大盘 价值>小盘价值>大盘成长>中盘价值>中盘成长>小盘成长；基金重仓表现优 于中证全指。 分行业看，30 个中信一级行业涨跌互现；表现相对靠前的是：银行 （1.85%），综合金融（1.13%），传媒（0.72%）；表现相对靠后的是：有色金 属（-1.49%），基础化工（-1.38%），轻工制造（-1.14%）。概念板块方面， 多数概念板块下跌，重组蛋白、昨日涨停、退税商店等大幅上涨；噪声防 治、昨日触板、电子烟等大幅走低。 证券研究报告 9[Table_Title] 每日复盘 2025 年 7 月 4 日 2025 年 7 月 4 日 A 股冲高回落，大金融领涨 资金筹码方面，主力资金 7 月 4 日净流出 336.46 亿元。其中超大单净流 出 118.79 亿元， ...

Group 1 - The main point of the news is the net inflow and outflow of funds in various industries and individual stocks on July 4, with a total net outflow of 236.55 billion yuan in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1] - Among the industries, the banking sector saw the highest increase at 1.84%, while the beauty and personal care industry had the largest decline at 1.87% [1] - Five industries experienced net inflows, with the computer industry leading at 20.65 billion yuan, followed by the media industry at 6.63 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Individual stock performance showed that Wolong Materials had the highest net inflow of 11.94 billion yuan, closing up 7.57% [2][4] - The stablecoin concept stock, GCL-Poly Energy, ranked second with a net inflow of 5.24 billion yuan, closing up 7.23% [2][4] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows included Changliang Technology, Sanqi Interactive Entertainment, and Data Port, with inflows of 4.20 billion yuan, 3.89 billion yuan, and 3.55 billion yuan respectively [3][4] Group 3 - On the outflow side, Zhongji Xuchuang led with a net outflow of 5.64 billion yuan, followed by Haoshanghao with 4.94 billion yuan [5][6] - Other stocks with significant net outflows included Dongfang Caifu, Guomai Technology, and Guoxuan High-Tech, with outflows of 4.50 billion yuan, 2.90 billion yuan, and 2.89 billion yuan respectively [5][6] Group 4 - The tail-end trading session saw a net outflow of 34.23 billion yuan, with the ChiNext board experiencing a net outflow of 22.18 billion yuan [7] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows during the tail-end session included Hengbao Co. and Sifang Precision, with inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan [7][8] - Conversely, BYD had the highest net outflow in the tail-end session at 1.04 billion yuan [9][10]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3472.32 points, up 0.32%, with a trading volume of 567.24 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10508.76 points, down 0.25%, with a trading volume of 861.32 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2156.23 points, down 0.36%, with a trading volume of 420.45 billion yuan [1] - The STAR 50 Index closed at 984.80 points, down 0.01%, with a trading volume of 24.52 billion yuan [1] - The total trading volume of both markets was 1428.56 billion yuan, an increase of 118.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Strong sectors included banking, media, public utilities, steel, and insurance [3] - Active concepts included cross-border payments, digital currency, innovative drugs, brain engineering, and low-carbon metallurgy [3] - Weak sectors included beauty care, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, light manufacturing, environmental protection, machinery, defense, and communications [3] Stock Performance - A total of 1143 stocks rose, while 3881 stocks fell, with 115 stocks remaining flat and 11 stocks suspended [3] - Among the stocks, 41 hit the daily limit up, while 13 hit the limit down [3] Fund Flow - The net outflow of main funds in the two markets was 23.655 billion yuan, with the ChiNext seeing a net outflow of 11.352 billion yuan [6] - The computer sector had the highest net inflow of main funds at 2.065 billion yuan, followed by media and building materials [6] - The electronic sector experienced the largest net outflow of main funds at 3.794 billion yuan, followed by non-ferrous metals and power equipment [6] Individual Stock Highlights - 53 stocks saw net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with沃尔核材 leading at 1.194 billion yuan [10][11] - 81 stocks experienced net outflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with中际旭创 leading at 564 million yuan [12][13] Institutional Activity - Institutions had a net buy of approximately 2.2374 million yuan, with神州细胞 receiving the highest net buy of about 1.558 billion yuan [17][18] - The top net sell was盈方微, with a net sell of approximately 714.823 million yuan [17][18]

7月4日，A股市场早盘强势，午后调整回落。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3472.32点，上涨0.32%；深证成指收报10508.76点，下跌0.25%；创业板指收 报2156.23点，下跌0.36%。两市合计成交14285.45亿元，较上一交易日增加1188.11亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超230亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出75.26亿元，尾盘净流出34.23亿元，全天净流出236.55亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 人張史臨圖 | 超大单净买入 | | 2025-7-4 | -236. 55 | -75. 26 | -34. 23 | -86. 46 | | 2025-7-3 | -24. 75 | -48. 18 | 4. 10 | 36. 21 | | 2025-7-2 | -331.90 | -120. 22 | -18.91 | -157.53 | | 2025-7-1 | -231.12 | -105.84 | -1.95 | -9 ...

不过，以上只是推测，总得试一下，万一成功了呢？而且马上周末，周五冲破3500，然后周末一宣传，就能吸引场外资金进场了，多好的剧本。 今天可能是因为气氛到位了，也可能是要拉指数出一波货，上午银行板块大涨，指数差3500临门一脚，只要发动券商就能冲过去，于是午盘资金发动券 商尝试冲关，虽然这里放量了1000亿，但远远不够，最后冲高回落。 我看到有些人说午后宽基ETF放量是gjd在买，但我认为更大可能是部分资金借道ETF，理由是gjd基本只托底，而且今天只有一只沪深300ETF放量，之前 gjd买都是多只放量。 周二我跟大家说过，上证指数来到了一个关键节点-冲关3500，我相信年内能冲破3500乃至于挑战前高，但目前条件可能还不成熟。为啥不成熟呢？从去 年国庆节后，A股曾多次冲击3500失败，这里肯定留下了大量套牢盘，而且从4月份涨到现在获利盘也很重。想要成功冲关，场内场外的投资者要形成牛 市的预期，买的资金要量大管饱、卖的资金抛售不能太狠，肯定会爆量。对于A股来说，想要场内场外的资金形成共识，一般都需要强大的政策助力， 比如去年924政策包。 今天这走势肯定挺难看的，三大指数都是放量上影线，周末没大利好的话，下周 ...

| 家用电 | 15.88 | -2.77 | 2.07 | 0.03 | -3.89 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 器 | | | | | | | 社会服 | 13.50 | 11.98 | 2.99 | -0.20 | -4.08 | | 务 | | | | | | | 环保 | 18.96 | 11.58 | 2.12 | -1.03 | -4.59 | | 医药生 物 | 68.04 | -1.48 | 2.49 | 0.39 | -5.73 | | 通信 | 32.51 | 17.15 | 1.87 | -0.85 | -15.10 | | 汽车 | 45.27 | -0.21 | 2.09 | -0.53 | -17.97 | | 基础化 工 | 71.27 | 1.70 | 2.66 | -1.22 | -21.74 | | 机械设 | 65.11 | -6.74 | 2.40 | -0.97 | -28.36 | | 备 | | | | | | | 国防军 | 32.96 | -12.68 | 3.05 | -0.91 | -29.30 | ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.32% to close at 3472.32 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 10508.76 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 0.36% to 2156.32 points [1] - Overall, there were 4118 stocks that declined, 1169 that increased, and 129 that remained unchanged across the market. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 14285 billion yuan, an increase of 1188.11 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as banking, media, comprehensive services, public utilities, steel, and coal led the gains, while industries like beauty care, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, light manufacturing, environmental protection, and machinery equipment experienced declines [1] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors today included cross-border payments, central enterprise banks, digital currency, hydropower, selected banks, vitamins, financial technology, thermal power, and selected electric power stocks. Other notable sectors were "East Data West Calculation," innovative drugs, semiconductor equipment, biotechnology, and online gaming [1]

7月4日下午，A股指数异动拉升，银行、非银金融、传媒等行业走强。截至13点29分，A500ETF基金 （512050）涨0.93%，持仓股沃尔核材涨停，巨人网络、健帆生物、沪电股份、三七互娱等表现居前。 截至发文，A500ETF基金（512050）盘中成交额超34亿元，位居同类第一。 均衡宽基A500ETF基金（512050）助力投资者一键布局A股核心资产。该ETF所跟踪中证A500指数，采 取行业均衡配置与龙头优选双策略，细分行业全覆盖，融合价值与成长属性，相比沪深300，超配电 子、医药生物、电力设备新能源等新质生产力行业，具备天然的哑铃投资属性。场外联接（A类： 022430；C类：022431）。 每日经济新闻 消息面上，国务院发文复制推广上海自贸区77条试点措施，涵盖服务贸易、货物贸易、数字贸易、知识 产权保护、政府采购改革、"边境后"管理制度改革、风险防控等7个方面。其中，加强数字人民币试点 应用场景创新等34条措施复制推广至其他自贸区；推进电子支付跨境应用等43条措施复制推广至全国。 中信建投证券表示，在美联储可能进一步降息、中美贸易摩擦缓和的背景下，下半年美元指数或震荡偏 弱，将减轻人民币的外 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with a revenue of 1.159 billion yuan, down 17.73% year-on-year, and a net loss of 243 million yuan, a decrease of 371.58% year-on-year. However, the first quarter of 2025 showed signs of improvement with a revenue of 233 million yuan, up 4.67% year-on-year, and a reduced net loss of 88 million yuan, down 28.45% year-on-year [3][4] - The overseas short drama business is expanding rapidly, contributing to a significant increase in foreign revenue, which reached 303 million yuan in 2024, up 132.41% year-on-year. This growth is expected to lead to scale effects in profitability as the business continues to expand [4] - The launch of the Xiaoyao Overseas Author Platform on June 10, 2025, aims to provide AI-assisted writing and monetization solutions for global creators, enhancing the company's content ecosystem and supporting its globalization strategy [5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 1.4 billion yuan in 2025, 1.52 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.64 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 14 million yuan, 128 million yuan, and 314 million yuan respectively. The expected EPS for these years is 0.02, 0.18, and 0.43 yuan [6][10] - The company's EBITDA is projected to improve significantly from -158.5 million yuan in 2024 to 413.67 million yuan in 2027, indicating a turnaround in operational performance [10][11] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 38.5%, reflecting a stable financial structure [2][11]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has regained upward momentum in July, supported by a low interest rate environment and a recovery in risk appetite, with expectations for incremental policies to potentially break the current sideways trend [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - After breaking through the March high, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations but continued to trend upwards, reaching recent highs [1]. - The market's risk appetite has improved, with sectors like non-bank financials, media, and military industry showing signs of recovery [1]. - The upcoming policy window in July is expected to further support the market's gradual upward trajectory [1]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The market is likely to see a thematic event-driven approach in July, with a high probability of sector rotation between high and low-performing areas [2]. - Key sectors to watch include: 1. Consumer expansion and domestic demand, with a focus on dairy products, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [2]. 2. Robotics, with a trend towards domestic production and integration into daily life, particularly in humanoid and functional robots [2]. 3. Semiconductor localization, emphasizing semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [2]. 4. Military industry, with expectations for order recovery and signs of bottoming out in Q1 reports across various sub-sectors [2]. 5. Innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to reach a turning point in fundamentals after a prolonged adjustment period [2]. Group 3: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a continued upward trend, with electronic and other high-elasticity sectors leading the gains [3]. - Despite some fluctuations, the overall market confidence has strengthened, with over 3,200 stocks rising, indicating a positive earning effect [3]. - Leading sectors included electronics, power equipment, and pharmaceuticals, while sectors like coal, transportation, and banking faced declines [3].