Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points and achieving a historical 16 consecutive days of gains, driven by sectors such as commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, brain-computer interfaces, humanoid robots, and resource stocks [1][11]. Group 1: Market Trends - The current market rally is attributed to concentrated inflows from previously cautious funds, with a notable focus on thematic stocks and small-cap stocks rather than traditional allocation strategies [3][13]. - Short-term market sentiment remains high, with no signs of weakening emotional indicators, suggesting that the upward trend in thematic and small-cap stocks may continue until after the Two Sessions [3][13]. - The market is currently characterized by a high level of trading activity, with a significant increase in transaction volume, indicating strong investor confidence [16]. Group 2: Sector Recommendations - Analysts recommend focusing on sectors with high cost-performance ratios, particularly those benefiting from external demand recovery, such as gaming, duty-free, batteries, engineering machinery, and agricultural chemicals [4][14]. - The commercial aerospace sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of continued upward momentum despite potential short-term profit-taking pressures [19]. - The resource sector, particularly traditional manufacturing, is advised for increased allocation, with a focus on enhancing pricing power [3][13]. Group 3: Future Outlook - February is anticipated to be a favorable period for the market, with historical data suggesting that significant trading volumes often lead to sustained upward trends [16]. - The market is expected to enter a phase of basic performance evaluation after the annual report disclosures in January, which may provide opportunities for investors to capitalize on growth potential [17]. - The overall sentiment indicates that the upward potential in the market outweighs the risks, with a focus on sectors that align with long-term growth trends, such as AI and semiconductor industries [20].

Group 1 - The recent improvement in market liquidity has driven the A-share market's rise, with a notable increase in margin trading balance by over 125 billion yuan in just half a month, leading to a more than 35% increase in trading volume [2][8] - Historical data indicates that similar market conditions have occurred six times in the past decade, with a high probability of continued strength in the A-share market over the next 10, 20, and 250 trading days following such volume increases [9][12] - However, there are signs of structural overheating, particularly in the commercial aerospace index, which has seen a significant increase in turnover rate and trading volume share, indicating a need for fundamental support for such rapid trading concentration [2][9] Group 2 - The negative impact of AI on the U.S. employment market is becoming evident, with December's non-farm payrolls falling short of expectations and a cumulative reduction of 340,000 jobs in sectors heavily affected by AI [3][15] - The ongoing concerns about a prolonged interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve are alleviating fears of a second inflation wave, benefiting commodity prices as the demand-supply gap becomes more pronounced [3][23] - The geopolitical tensions are altering inventory behaviors among market participants, leading to increased stockpiling and a significant rise in copper and silver inventories since 2025 [24][27] Group 3 - Domestic policies aimed at reducing "involution" are being implemented, with industrial PPI showing a positive trend, indicating a shift from price drag to support for corporate revenues [4][35] - The recent regulatory focus on the photovoltaic industry has raised concerns about the commitment to anti-involution policies, but the overall direction remains focused on improving corporate profitability through reasonable policy guidance [4][40] - The market is expected to see improvements in corporate earnings as the anti-involution policies take effect, with a focus on preventing monopolistic practices while fostering innovation [4][42] Group 4 - The report maintains an optimistic outlook for the A-share market, suggesting that the ongoing liquidity improvements and fundamental changes will drive future performance [5][43] - Recommendations include focusing on industrial resource products that resonate with AI investments and global manufacturing recovery, as well as sectors benefiting from domestic consumption recovery [5][43]

Core Viewpoint - The 35th International Table Tennis Federation-Asian Table Tennis Union Asian Cup will be held in Haikou from February 4 to 8, marking a significant event for the global table tennis community and promoting Haikou as a vibrant tourist destination [1] Group 1: Event Details - The event will take place at the Wuyuanhe Sports Center, showcasing top-level table tennis matches [1] - Haikou is actively developing into an international tourism consumption center, enhancing its appeal to global visitors [1] Group 2: Fan Benefits - Tickets for the Haikou Asian Cup serve as a "Coconut City Welfare Card," offering fans various discounts on flights, hotels, and transportation [1] - The "City-wide Courtesy" initiative will involve over 100 businesses and merchants, providing more than 300 exclusive benefits across various sectors including food, accommodation, transportation, shopping, and entertainment [1]

Group 1: Company Listings and Financial Performance - Zhiyuan officially listed on January 8, 2026, becoming the world's first publicly traded company focused on general artificial intelligence (AGI) with a market capitalization of HKD 52.83 billion at opening[10] - Zhiyuan's annual recurring revenue (ARR) from its GLM coding plan exceeds RMB 100 million (approximately USD 14 million), with over 150,000 paid developer users acquired in just three months[12] - MiniMax listed on January 9, 2026, with an issue price of HKD 165, raising HKD 4.189 billion and achieving a market valuation exceeding HKD 70 billion[20] Group 2: Revenue and User Growth - MiniMax's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 reached USD 5.343 million (approximately RMB 37.6 million), a 175% increase from the previous year[22] - MiniMax's paid user count grew from approximately 119,700 in 2023 to about 1,771,600 by September 30, 2025[24] - Zhiyuan's revenue from 2022 to 2025 showed a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 130%, with revenues of RMB 57.4 million, RMB 125 million, and RMB 312 million respectively[17] Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Zhiyuan's GLM technology is recognized as one of the few domestic models that can compete directly with the GPT system, excelling in robustness and controllability[2] - MiniMax's overseas market revenue contribution exceeded 70% in the first nine months of 2025, indicating strong international demand[23] - Zhiyuan's flagship model GLM-4.7 ranked first in both global open-source and domestic model evaluations, surpassing GPT-5.2 in a global coding assessment[16] Group 4: Strategic Investments and Future Outlook - Zhiyuan attracted significant investment from 11 cornerstone investors, raising a total of HKD 2.98 billion prior to its IPO[11] - Alibaba plans to continue substantial investments in Taobao Flash Purchase in 2026, aiming for market share growth and improved operational efficiency[25] - The Chinese instant retail market is projected to exceed RMB 1 trillion in 2026, with Alibaba increasing its focus on high-value user engagement and non-food retail[29]

Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a high level of enthusiasm, with a focus on theme stocks and small-cap stocks, while traditional investment funds are more cautious [2] - The expectation is that the market will continue to show a pattern of oscillation and upward movement until the National People's Congress, driven by improved domestic demand expectations [2] - There is a recommendation to focus on resources and traditional manufacturing sectors, as well as to increase allocation in non-bank financials to reduce portfolio volatility [2] Group 2 - A-share valuations are expected to continue to rise, with a potential rebound in overall ROE by 2026, influenced by factors such as increased profits from emerging industries and a slowdown in PPI [3] - The influx of certain types of funds, including regulatory, insurance, and bank wealth management funds, is seen as a solid foundation for the A-share market [3] - The market is likely to see a continuation of the spring rally, with a focus on small-cap stocks and potential adjustments providing good entry points for investors [3] Group 3 - The current market environment suggests limited downside risk and significant potential for upward movement, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector, which is experiencing positive changes [5] - The market is characterized by a concentration of themes and strong trading sentiment, with upcoming earnings reports expected to drive structural adjustments [5] - There is a focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductor, and resource price increases as key areas for investment [9] Group 4 - The spring rally is supported by improved liquidity and a favorable economic environment, with expectations of continued strong performance in the A-share market [6] - The focus on technology and growth sectors is expected to provide significant investment opportunities, particularly in AI applications and commercial aerospace [11] - The market is likely to remain strong leading up to the Spring Festival, with a focus on sectors benefiting from policy support and economic recovery [14]

Application Scenarios - The solution is applicable to traditional hotel industry, especially for hotels facing issues like high asset investment, serious capital lock-up, poor liquidity, and a single membership system [1] - It aims to digitize and tokenize future revenue rights of hotels, achieving asset lightweighting, rapid capital recovery, and flexible circulation of user rights [1] Core Algorithms and Mechanisms - The asset packaging and issuance mechanism involves bundling hotel operational costs and revenues for a certain period (e.g., 5 years) into an "asset package" [3] - Limited digital rights certificates (NFG) are issued based on blockchain, with each certificate corresponding to a fixed amount (e.g., 2000 yuan per certificate), representing usage and benefit rights [5] - The profit-sharing rules and calculation model include a service fee of 10% on room rates for users using NFG rights [6] - Each NFG certificate's value is calculated as total hotel revenue divided by total issued NFG certificates, exemplified by a total revenue of 63.5 million yuan divided by 20,000 certificates, resulting in 3,175 yuan per certificate [6] - The annualized return calculation formula is provided, showing an example of an 11.75% annualized rate based on the increase in certificate value over 5 years [6] Problem Resolution - For hotels, the solution allows for the packaging of future revenues, enabling quick capital recovery (e.g., issuing 20,000 certificates can recover 40 million yuan) [10] - It reduces asset lock-up pressure, shifting towards "light asset operation" [10] - The design binds user rights to enhance repurchase and loyalty [10] - For users/investors, it offers low-threshold ownership of hotel asset shares (e.g., 2000 yuan per share) [10] - It combines consumption rights with investment returns, allowing for the transfer and appreciation of rights, breaking the traditional prepaid card "funds lock-up" dilemma [10] Design Rationale - The design is based on a trusted blockchain infrastructure (Tencent Cloud TBaaS), ensuring rights confirmation, transaction transparency, and immutability [11] - It digitizes asset revenue rights, aligning with policy advocacy for "digital transformation" and enhancing asset liquidity [11] - The dual rights design (usage rights + benefit rights) meets consumer needs while possessing investment attributes, expanding the user base [11] - The tradable rights resolve the rigidity of traditional membership cards, forming a secondary market and activating the ecosystem [11] Example Illustration - A hotel issues 5-year NFG rights, with each share priced at 2000 yuan, totaling 20,000 shares [12] - The hotel can recover 40 million yuan upfront for operational upgrades, while users become "co-investors," sharing in the hotel's profits [12] - Users can utilize their rights for 10 nights, with the hotel charging a 10% service fee on room rates, while also holding a benefit right to share in hotel operating profits [12]

Group 1: Market Liquidity and A-Share Performance - The improvement in market liquidity has been a direct catalyst for the recent rise in A-shares, with margin trading balances increasing by over 125 billion yuan in just half a month, leading to a more than 35% increase in trading volume across the A-share market [3][13][22] - Historical data shows that similar situations, where the A-share market rose by nearly 10% over 16 trading days with trading volume expanding by over 30%, have occurred six times in the past decade, predominantly at the beginning of the year [3][18][22] - The recent surge in the commercial aerospace index has led to a significant increase in turnover rates and trading volume proportions, indicating a potential structural overheating in the market [3][22] Group 2: AI Impact on Employment and Economic Policy - The U.S. job market continues to face pressure, with December's non-farm payrolls adding only 50,000 jobs, below expectations, and a downward revision of 76,000 jobs for October and November [4][26][33] - The adoption of AI by large U.S. companies has significantly suppressed employment growth, particularly in the information, finance, and professional services sectors, which have collectively lost 344,000 jobs over the past three years [4][26][33] - The Federal Reserve's extended rate-cutting cycle is expected to benefit commodity markets, as inflation concerns related to AI investments are easing [4][40][41] Group 3: Domestic Economic Recovery and Policy Optimization - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial enterprises in December showed a year-on-year increase, indicating a shift from price drag to price support for corporate revenues [5][56] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has also risen, with the core CPI maintaining its highest level in five years, reflecting a smoother transmission of prices from enterprises to consumers [5][56] - The ongoing anti-involution policies are expected to enhance corporate profitability, with regulatory measures aimed at preventing monopolistic practices and promoting fair competition [5][62] Group 4: Rebalancing and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for A-shares, driven by improved liquidity and favorable domestic and international economic conditions [6][63] - Recommended investment areas include industrial resource products like copper, aluminum, and lithium, as well as sectors benefiting from the recovery of domestic manufacturing and consumer spending [6][63] - The report emphasizes the importance of capturing opportunities in sectors such as aviation, duty-free, and food and beverage, which are expected to benefit from increased consumer income and tourism recovery [6][63]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View This week, the China Securities REITs Index rose 1.9% throughout the week, with all sectors posting gains and market trading activity also increasing. From the comparison of the weekly price changes of major indices, China Securities Convertible Bonds > CSI 300 > China Securities REITs > China Securities Aggregate Bonds. As of January 9, 2026, the dividend yield of equity REITs was 59 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - based REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 332 basis points [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market Trends - The weekly price change of the China Securities REITs Index was +1.9%, and the price change since the beginning of the year was +0.4%. As of January 9, 2026, the closing price of the China Securities REITs (closing) Index was 793.05 points. Throughout the week (from January 5 to January 9, 2026), its performance was weaker than the China Securities Convertible Bonds Index (+4.4%) and the CSI 300 Index (+2.8%), but stronger than the China Securities Aggregate Bonds Index (-0.1%). Since the beginning of the year, the order of price changes of major indices was: China Securities Convertible Bonds (+23.9%) > CSI 300 (+20.9%) > China Securities Aggregate Bonds (+0.5%) > China Securities REITs (+0.4%) [2][6]. - In the past year, the return rate of the China Securities REITs Index was -2.0%, and the volatility was 7.7%. The return rate was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index, the China Securities Convertible Bonds Index, and the China Securities Aggregate Bonds Index; the volatility was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the China Securities Convertible Bonds Index, but higher than that of the China Securities Aggregate Bonds Index. The total market value of REITs on January 9 was 223.3 billion yuan, an increase of 3.4 billion yuan from the previous week; the average daily turnover rate for the whole week was 0.60%, an increase of 0.08 percentage points from the previous week [2][8]. 3.2 Sector Performance - All sectors posted gains, with municipal facilities, new infrastructure, and water conservancy REITs leading the gains. From the perspective of different project - attribute REITs, the average weekly price changes of equity REITs and franchise - based REITs were +2.8% and +1.6% respectively. Among specific targets, the top three REITs in terms of weekly price increase were E Fund Biwei Market REIT (+7.84%), GF Chengdu Gaotou Industrial Park REIT (+6.91%), and China Merchants Science and Technology Innovation REIT (+6.24%) [3][16][21]. - New infrastructure REITs had the highest trading activity. In terms of different project types, new infrastructure REITs had the highest average daily turnover rate during the period, with an average daily turnover rate of 1.0%; consumer infrastructure REITs had the highest proportion of trading volume this week, accounting for 22.3% of the total REITs trading volume. In terms of the capital flow of different REIT products this week, the top three in terms of net inflow of main funds were Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT (121.76 million yuan), CICC Anhui Expressway REIT (79.3 million yuan), and Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT (53.82 million yuan) [3][23][24]. 3.3 Primary Market Issuance From the beginning of the year to January 9, 2026, there was 1 REIT product in the "accepted" stage, 1 in the "inquiry" stage, and 2 in the "feedback" stage on the exchange [26]. 3.4 Valuation Tracking - REITs have both bond - like and stock - like characteristics. From the bond - like perspective, under the constraint of mandatory high dividends, the annualized cash distribution rate is concerned. As of January 9, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public - offering REITs was 5.96%. From the stock - like perspective, the relative net value premium rate, IRR, and P/FFO are used to judge the valuation of REITs [28]. - As of January 9, 2026, the dividend yield of equity REITs was 59 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - based REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 332 basis points [1][29][30]. 3.5 Industry News Shanghai Jinjiang Asset Management Co., Ltd. recently announced the short - listed candidates for the fund manager, special plan manager, and financial advisor of its public - offering REIT project. The first short - listed candidate is a consortium composed of Huaan Fund, Huaan Future Asset, and Guotai Haitong Securities, with an issuance - stage fee of 5 million yuan and a 0.2% ongoing fee. The second short - listed candidate is a consortium composed of Dongwu Fund and Dongwu Securities, with the same quotation conditions. The announcement period ends on January 10. As of June 30, 2025, Jinjiang Hotels had over 17,700 contracted hotels, over 1.68 million rooms, and over 200 million members [4][32].

Group 1 - The recent improvement in market liquidity has driven the A-share market's rise, with historical patterns suggesting a strong performance in the upcoming period [1][5] - The A-share market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, with a 35% growth in total trading volume and a 10% rise in the overall A-share index over the past 16 trading days [2][14] - There is a notable structural overheating in the market, particularly in the commercial aerospace index, which has seen a sharp increase in turnover and trading volume [2][14] Group 2 - AI's negative impact on the U.S. employment market is becoming evident, with December's non-farm payrolls falling short of expectations and a downward revision of previous months' data [3][20] - The prolonged interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve is expected to benefit commodity markets, as the demand for resources related to AI and new energy industries is increasing [3][33] - Geopolitical tensions are altering inventory behaviors among market participants, leading to increased stockpiling and a rise in copper and silver inventories [3][35] Group 3 - Domestic policies aimed at reducing "involution" are being implemented, with industrial prices showing signs of recovery, leading to improved corporate profitability [4][43] - The recent regulatory focus on the photovoltaic industry has raised concerns about the commitment to anti-involution policies, but the overall direction remains focused on improving corporate fundamentals [4][49] - The government is actively working on regulatory frameworks to support innovation while preventing monopolistic practices, which is expected to enhance corporate profitability in the long run [4][51] Group 4 - The report maintains an optimistic outlook for the A-share market, suggesting that the combination of improved liquidity, AI investments, and domestic policy support will lead to a favorable investment environment [5][52] - Recommended sectors include industrial resource products like copper, aluminum, and lithium, as well as equipment exports and consumer sectors benefiting from recovery trends [5][52]

Core Insights - The European stock market started strong in 2026, with major indices, including Germany's benchmark index, reaching historical highs [2][20]. Seasonal Trends - January is typically a favorable month for the European stock market, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index showing an average increase of 0.26% over the past 20 years and a 56% probability of closing higher [3][20]. - The DAX index averages a 0.44% increase in January with a 57% chance of closing higher, while the CAC40 index shows a 0.58% average increase and a 57% closing probability [3][20]. - The Italian FTSE MIB index outperforms with an average increase of 1.23% and a 62% probability of closing higher [3][20]. - Historical data indicates that April and November often yield stronger and more stable returns compared to January [4]. Recent Performance - January 2023 and January 2025 were noted as the best-performing January periods for several European indices on record [5][21]. - The Euro Stoxx 50 index surged by 9.75% in January 2023 and by 7.98% in January 2025, while the DAX index rose by 8.65% in January 2023 and further increased by 9.16% in January 2025, reflecting renewed investor enthusiasm for cyclical and industrial stocks [6][22]. Notable Companies - **Alten SA**: This French engineering consulting firm has shown a significant seasonal increase in January, with an average rise of 4.13% over the past 20 years and a 71% chance of closing higher. In January 2023, the stock rose by 20.46% [10][11][26]. - **Accor SA**: The French hotel group has an average January increase of 4.3% and a 67% chance of closing higher. In January 2023, it experienced a notable surge of 28.1% due to a rebound in travel demand [13][27]. - **Sopra Steria Group SA**: This French IT consulting firm has a stable January performance with an average increase of 5.75% and a 76% chance of closing higher. It recorded a 23.25% rise in January 2012 [14][28]. - **Sartorius AG**: The German life sciences equipment supplier has an average January increase of 5.85% and a 67% chance of closing higher. In January 2025, the stock surged by 30.11% [15][29]. - **Rheinmetall AG**: The German defense giant has an average January increase of 7.74% with a remarkable 90% chance of closing higher. It has achieved double-digit increases in January for the past four years [16][30]. Significance of Seasonal Patterns - Seasonal patterns reflect investor behavior and market expectations, but they are not predictive tools. Major macroeconomic shocks or geopolitical events can disrupt these trends [17][31].