Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of rising international oil prices and the decline in prices of vitamins and nylon [2] - Key areas of focus for September include the effects of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies, undervalued industry leaders, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][12] Industry Dynamics - The basic chemical industry experienced a decline of 0.95% in the week of September 22-28, ranking 17th among 31 primary industries [9] - The oil and petrochemical industry saw a smaller decline of 0.12%, ranking 10th [9] - Among 100 tracked chemical products, 25 saw price increases, 43 saw declines, and 32 remained stable [9] - The average price of 34% of products increased month-on-month, while 52% decreased [9] - The report notes significant fluctuations in the prices of various chemicals, with liquid ammonia and anhydrous hydrofluoric acid showing notable price increases [9] Price Trends - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude futures closing at $65.72 per barrel, a weekly increase of 4.85%, and Brent crude at $70.13 per barrel, up 5.17% [9] - The report indicates a potential for oil prices to remain high due to geopolitical risks and OPEC+ interventions, despite pressures from tariff policies and increased production [9] - The report also notes a decline in vitamin prices due to weak downstream demand, with vitamin A and E prices dropping significantly compared to last year [9][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the oil and gas sector, particularly those with stable dividend policies and strong performance in the upstream capital expenditure [12] - It recommends monitoring developments in new materials, especially in electronic materials and renewable energy sectors, which are expected to see significant growth [12] - Specific companies recommended for investment include China Petroleum, China Oilfield Services, and several technology firms in the semiconductor and electronic materials sectors [12]

Group 1 - As of September 28, 154 public fund institutions participated in A-share market research activities, covering 28 industries and involving 605 listed companies with a total of 4,275 research instances [1] - From September 1 to 28, 70 listed companies saw stock price increases exceeding 20%, with 19 companies experiencing gains over 40%. The mechanical equipment sector stood out, with World achieving a remarkable increase of 113.77%, attracting attention from 30 public fund institutions [3] - During the same period, 44 listed companies were researched by public fund institutions at least 20 times, with Crystal Machine Electric leading with 81 instances of research [3] Group 2 - The research activities of public fund institutions were primarily concentrated in 18 industries, with the mechanical equipment sector being the most focused, involving 90 listed companies. Key companies included Huichuan Technology, Zoomlion, and Jepter [4] - The electronics sector ranked second, with 83 listed companies and a total of 702 research instances, highlighting companies like Shenzhen South Circuit, Jingchen Co., and Juguang Technology as focal points [4] - Other industries with high research activity included electric power equipment, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses investment opportunities and risks in the A-share market, emphasizing the importance of identifying sectors beyond the high-consensus growth areas like AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals, especially as the market enters a phase of volatility [2]. Group 1: Market Overview - Since late June, A-share indices have experienced accelerated growth, primarily driven by high-consensus sectors, contributing significantly to overall index returns [2]. - Over 70% of industries underperformed the Wind All A Index, which rose by 24% from June 23 to September 24, indicating that low exposure to high-consensus sectors may hinder excess returns [2]. Group 2: Capacity Cycle Insights - The article highlights the significance of identifying turning point industries and elastic sectors from a capacity cycle perspective, noting that this strategy has yielded good excess returns during market downturns [4]. - Key industries identified for 2023 include communication equipment, commercial vehicles, and marine equipment, with consumer electronics and components expected to perform well in early 2024 [4]. Group 3: Capacity Cycle Phases - The capacity cycle is divided into six phases, ranging from supply-demand imbalance to industry expansion, with most sectors currently in the third phase of deep capacity reduction [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate significant progress in capacity reduction among listed companies, with non-financial corporate capital expenditure declining for five consecutive quarters, suggesting a move towards supply-demand balance [6]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Analysis - In the energy and raw materials sector, coal mining is projected to see a 141% increase in capital expenditure from 2022 to 2024, despite weak demand, indicating a shift towards phase one of supply-demand imbalance [8]. - Industrial metals and minor metals are favored due to their current capacity clearing status and demand growth driven by AI and global geopolitical factors [8]. Group 5: High-End Manufacturing - High-end manufacturing has shown significant improvement in capacity cycle positions, with automotive parts and communication equipment meeting supply clearing conditions [10]. - The battery sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with strong growth in demand and a reduction in capital expenditure across the industry [10]. Group 6: Traditional Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing - Traditional manufacturing sectors like marine equipment and motorcycles have begun new capital expenditure cycles, but demand growth remains crucial for future performance [11]. - Newly identified sectors for potential investment include engineering machinery, aquaculture, and feed, which have shown signs of capacity clearing and demand improvement [11].

| 代码 | 简称 | 最新融资余额（万 | 较前一个交易日增减 | 当日涨跌幅（%） | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 元） | （%） | | | | 688109 | 品茗科 | 13409.10 | 64.91 | 20.00 | 计算机 | | | 技 | | | | | | 603225 | 新凤鸣 | 11732.27 | 52.55 | 9.43 | 基础化工 | | 301137 | 哈焊华 通 | 16454.81 | 46.52 | 2.53 | 机械设备 | | | 合合信 | | | | | | 688615 | 息 | 46344.71 | 40.43 | -10.10 | 计算机 | | 832662 | 方盛股 | 3568.57 | 37.81 | -5.53 | 机械设备 | | | 份 | | | | | | 688249 | 晶合集 成 | 144961.21 | 37.39 | 16.63 | 电子 | | 301512 | 智信精 密 | 7158.86 | 32.69 | 4.01 | 机械设 ...

Core Insights - Public fund institutions have shown significant interest in A-share market research activities, with 154 institutions participating and covering 605 listed companies, resulting in 4,275 total research instances since September 1 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - From September 1 to 28, stocks researched by public funds exhibited strong performance, with an average increase of 2.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 index's 1.19% increase [1] - 70 listed companies saw stock price increases exceeding 20%, while 19 companies experienced price increases over 40%, indicating strong price elasticity [1] Group 2: Industry Focus - The mechanical equipment sector was particularly prominent, with three companies ranking among the top ten in stock performance, including World, which surged by 113.77% [2] - The electronic industry ranked second, with 83 listed companies and a total of 702 research instances, highlighting the focus on companies like Shenzhen South Circuit and Jingchen Technology [3] Group 3: Research Frequency - 44 listed companies were researched by public funds at least 20 times, with the top company, Crystal Machine, receiving 81 instances of research [2] - The mechanical equipment sector dominated the frequency of research, with five companies in the top ten for research instances [2] Group 4: Institutional Activity - 85 public fund institutions conducted at least 20 research instances, with 28 institutions exceeding 50 instances [3] - Huaxia Fund led with 107 research instances, focusing on mechanical equipment, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and computing sectors [3]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the establishment of a thematic investment database aimed at identifying high-quality price-volume patterns and monitoring the peak rhythm of popular themes and the adjustment levels of leading stocks [2][9]. - The report highlights that there are currently 125 thematic indices showing a bottoming pattern, with key industries being comprehensive, computer, and defense [12]. - The report notes a decline in trading heat for the humanoid robot and Deepseek themes, with trading heat dropping to 80% and 73% respectively, while the leading stocks are positioned above their 60-day moving average [3][20]. Group 2 - The report outlines two main objectives of the thematic database: to find investment opportunities and to provide warnings for potential peaks [9]. - The report indicates that there are 10 thematic indices that have broken out, primarily in the communication sector, and 2 indices in a main rising pattern, mainly in electronics and basic chemicals [12]. - The report mentions that the trading heat for humanoid robots has decreased by 1.8% for Changsheng Bearing, while Daily Interaction's stock price is up by 7.1% [20].

Core Viewpoint - The market continues to show signs of divergence, with the broad indices rising while many individual stocks are experiencing consecutive declines. The current market structure is more fragmented than usual, making it difficult for traditional investment strategies to achieve stable positive returns [3]. Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21% and the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.07% last week, while the CSI 500 Index saw a 0.98% rise. However, a significant number of stocks in the market have shown two consecutive weekly declines [3]. - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) remained unchanged in September, indicating limited room for interest rate cuts in the near term, which may not be favorable for the market's high expectations [3]. - Domestic commodity prices have been performing better than overseas prices since August, largely due to the implementation of the "anti-involution" policy [3]. Investment Strategy - The recommendation is to reduce positions to low levels and focus on avoiding the market, particularly in the small-cap sector, as the market style shifts towards large-cap stocks [2][3]. - The technology sector, which has been active recently, may face macroeconomic headwinds due to the stable LPR and stronger domestic industrial prices compared to overseas [3]. - The financial sector, a key representative of large-cap industries, has already entered a phase of continuous adjustment, raising concerns about when the technology growth sector will no longer support the indices [3]. Technical Analysis - There are indications that the market's upward movement is being driven by retail investors, as institutional funds appear to be distributing shares to them, a common characteristic of market tops [4]. - The short-term momentum model suggests focusing on the basic chemical industry as a potential area of interest [4].

9月26日，*ST宇顺涨停，截至收盘股价为41.31元/股，市值达115.77亿元。值得关注的是，*ST宇顺股价从年初至今，涨幅已超1060%。 据Wind数据统计，年初至今，已有9家ST公司涨幅超100%，覆盖计算机、机械设备、电子等多个行业。 *ST宇顺股价涨幅超10倍 年内62天涨停 9月26日，*ST宇顺再次迎来涨停，公司收盘价41.31元/股，市值为115.77亿元。据Wind数据统计，今年内*ST宇顺涨停天数达62天。 公告显示，*ST宇顺主营业务为液晶显示屏及模组、触摸屏及模组、触摸显示一体化模组等产品的研发、生产和销售。近年来，公司业绩频繁亏损，2025 年上半年公司归母净利润亏损达446.48万元。 在此背景下，*ST宇顺于4月披露了一份跨界收购计划。 *ST宇顺（时称"ST宇顺"）4月22日公告称，公司拟以支付现金方式收购Olive Ida Limited间接持有或控制的中恩云（北京）数据科技有限公司、北京申惠 碧源云计算科技有限公司、中恩云（北京）数据信息技术有限公司（以下简称"标的公司"）100%股权。 据了解，这三家标的公司共同运营中恩云数据中心项目，目前已建设运营约8000个机柜。 ...

◎记者 孔令仪 唐燕飞 9月24日，工业工程企业山东宝盖新材料科技股份有限公司向港交所GEM(创业板)递交招股书，这是今 年第11家向港交所GEM递表的企业。 "今年港股GEM上市申请企业较往年同期更多，主要是因为港股市场流动性改善和估值修复。对于一些 有迫切融资需求的中小企业来说，GEM不失为一种上市路径选择。"毕马威华南区资本市场发展主管合 伙人姜健成在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，"GEM上市审核时间长短，主要与上市公司的自身质 地、申请资料完备程度、申请公司对于监管机构提问回复的速度及质量相关。" 数据显示，2024年共有3家公司向港交所GEM递交招股书，目前均已完成上市；2023年有5家公司向港 交所GEM递交招股书，其中1家公司撤回申请，另外4家公司招股书自动失效。今年以来，尚未有企业 实现在GEM上市，但有一家GEM企业成功转板至港交所主板上市。 中小企业冲刺GEM上市意愿增强 港交所官网显示，截至9月26日，今年11家公司正在冲刺GEM上市，这些公司主要分布在基础化工、教 育、纺织服饰、家居建材、软件与IT服务等领域。 从业绩表现来看，上述11家公司的年收入多数在1亿元（人民币，下同）左右，年 ...

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21% this week, with 40 stocks experiencing a turnover rate exceeding 100% [1] - The electronics sector had the highest number of stocks with turnover rates above 100%, totaling 7 stocks, followed by the computer and machinery equipment sectors, each with 6 stocks [1] High Turnover Stocks - The stock with the highest turnover rate this week was Boliang Optoelectronics, with a turnover rate of 230.74% and a price increase of 6.93%. Institutional investors net sold 189 million yuan, while the stock saw a net outflow of 387 million yuan in main funds [1] - Chuling Information had a turnover rate of 209.40% and a price increase of 20.48%. Institutional investors net bought 6.61 million yuan, with a net outflow of 2.8 million yuan in main funds [1] - Xidian Co. ranked third with a turnover rate of 197.31% and a price increase of 23.07%. Institutional investors net sold 514.15 million yuan, with a net outflow of 4.8 million yuan in main funds [2] Market Performance - Stocks with a turnover rate above 100% averaged a price increase of 5.12% this week, with 23 stocks rising and 17 stocks falling. The top gainers included Xiangrikui, Weiteou, and Jinhua New Materials, with increases of 57.86%, 35.67%, and 29.98% respectively [2] - Among the high turnover stocks, 4 companies released third-quarter earnings forecasts, with C United Dynamics expected to have a net profit of 825 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.16% [2]