General Information - The company is named "CNSIG Anhui Hongsifang Fertilizer Co., Ltd." and was established in accordance with the Company Law of the People's Republic of China [2][4] - The registered capital of the company is RMB 260 million [2][6] - The company is located in Hefei City, Anhui Province, with a postal code of 231602 [2][5] - The company was approved for registration by the China Securities Regulatory Commission on February 2, 2024, and plans to issue 50 million shares to the public [2][3] Corporate Governance - The chairman represents the company in executing its affairs and is the legal representative [3][4] - The company has established a Party Committee to oversee major operational decisions [4][5] - The company is committed to creating value for shareholders, employees, and society through compliance and responsible management [5][6] Share Structure - The company has issued a total of 260 million shares, all of which are ordinary shares [6][21] - The issuance of shares follows principles of openness, fairness, and justice, ensuring equal rights for all shareholders of the same class [6][17] - The company may provide financial assistance for others to acquire its shares, but the total amount cannot exceed 10% of the issued capital [7][8] Shareholder Rights and Responsibilities - Shareholders have the right to receive dividends and participate in decision-making processes [12][34] - Shareholders are obligated to comply with laws and regulations and cannot withdraw their capital except as legally permitted [41][42] - The company must maintain a shareholder register, which serves as proof of share ownership [32][33] Shareholder Meetings - The company holds annual and extraordinary shareholder meetings, with the annual meeting occurring within six months after the end of the fiscal year [20][50] - Shareholder proposals must be submitted in writing and can be made by shareholders holding at least 1% of the shares [58][59] - Decisions at shareholder meetings require a majority or two-thirds majority vote, depending on the nature of the resolution [80][81] Financial Management - The company is required to disclose financial information and ensure transparency in its operations [12][19] - The company must seek shareholder approval for significant financial decisions, including capital increases or decreases and major asset transactions [46][47] - The company is committed to maintaining financial independence and integrity in its operations [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to maintain a growth rate above 5% in the first half of 2024, demonstrating resilience despite external uncertainties and internal challenges [1][2][4]. Economic Performance - In Q1 2024, China's economy grew by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [2][4]. - The retail sales of consumer goods in May 2024 increased by 6.4% year-on-year, marking the highest monthly growth since 2024 [1][3]. - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of retail sales for the first five months of 2024 was 5% [3]. External Trade - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of imports and exports in the first five months was 1.3%, with exports growing by 6% [2]. - Factors contributing to export growth include increased non-U.S. exports, "export grabbing" effects, and "price-for-volume" strategies in U.S. exports [2][4]. Consumer Policies - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has significantly boosted retail sales, with furniture, communication, and home appliance retail sales growing over 20% [3]. - In 2024, the central and local governments allocated approximately 170 billion yuan for the "old-for-new" policy, expected to raise retail sales growth by over 1 percentage point [3]. Investment and Consumption Outlook - There is a need to stimulate both consumption and investment in high-tech sectors and productive services [5]. - The focus should be on stabilizing domestic consumption and investment, with an emphasis on the real estate market and capital market stability [5]. Structural Reforms - The current economic strategy emphasizes the need to shift from investment and export-driven growth to consumption and innovation-driven growth [6][7]. - Reforms in fiscal and tax systems are necessary to enhance local governments' incentives to boost consumption [7]. Monetary Policy - There is still room to lower the reserve requirement ratio, and stabilizing asset prices should be included in monetary policy considerations [7].

Group 1: Corporate Announcements - Huasheng Co. plans to acquire 100% of Yixin Technology's shares and will resume trading on June 24, 2025 [1] - Guotou Zhonglu is planning a major asset restructuring and will suspend trading starting June 24, 2025, for up to 10 trading days [1] - Baotailong intends to transfer 55% of its subsidiary Jixi Investment Company for a total transaction price of 300 million yuan [1] Group 2: Investment Projects - Guiguan Electric plans to invest approximately 395 million yuan in the Matian photovoltaic project with a capacity of 100MW [2] - Guangzhou Port's subsidiary intends to invest 14.5 billion yuan in the fifth phase of the Nansha Port project, with a capital increase of 2.809 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Stock Buybacks and Changes - Cambrian has raised its share repurchase price limit to 818.87 yuan per share due to stock price increases [4] - Inspur Information plans to repurchase shares worth 200 million to 300 million yuan at a price not exceeding 75.59 yuan per share [6] Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions - Hailianxun is planning a share swap to absorb and merge with Hangqilun, with the application accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [5] - Tianyima intends to acquire 100% of Xingyun Kaiwu's shares, with the specific transaction price yet to be determined [11] Group 5: Listings and Stock Changes - Yaoshi Technology's associate company Yaojie Ankang has been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, issuing 15.281 million shares at a price of 13.15 HKD per share [9] - Sanhua Intelligent Control's 414 million H-shares were listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 23 [10] - Changan Automobile's controlling shareholder has changed its name to "Chen Zhi Automobile Technology Group Co., Ltd." [8]

Core Points - The central report highlights significant air pollution issues in Inner Mongolia's Ulaanbaatar and Shandong's Zibo and Dezhou cities, with inadequate implementation of pollution control measures [1][4] - Ulaanbaatar's industrial parks and mining areas have severe pollution, with PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations ranking at the bottom in the region since 2022 [1] - Zibo and Dezhou, as key cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, have also shown poor air quality rankings, with Dezhou having the highest proportion of heavily polluted days in 2024 [1] Group 1: Ulaanbaatar's Pollution Issues - Ulaanbaatar's coal coking industry has lagged in upgrades, with over 2.2 million tons of illegal coking capacity added since 2021 [1][2] - Companies like Junzheng Chemical have operated coking projects without proper approvals, leading to significant environmental violations [1] - The city has failed to complete the transformation of 10.3 million tons of coking capacity for dry quenching and ultra-low emissions on time [1] Group 2: Zibo and Dezhou's Pollution Problems - Zibo's lime production facilities have malfunctioning pollution control systems, leading to direct emissions of smoke and dust [3] - Dezhou has seen illegal construction of steel production facilities, adding 1.37 million tons of annual capacity without proper approvals [3] - Both cities have been criticized for inadequate emergency response measures during heavy pollution events [3] Group 3: Regulatory Failures - There are serious issues with vehicle emission testing agencies in both cities, with many found to be falsifying inspection results [3] - The report indicates a lack of strict daily supervision and accountability in pollution control efforts across the regions [4] - The inspection team plans to conduct further investigations and follow-up inspections to address these issues [4]

Group 1 - The central ecological environmental protection inspection highlighted inadequate air pollution prevention efforts in Inner Mongolia's Ulaanbaatar and Shandong's cities such as Zibo and Dezhou, with significant issues in compliance and enforcement [1][2] - Ulaanbaatar's industrial park and mining areas are characterized by widespread resource-based and structural pollution, with PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations ranking at the bottom among 12 leagues in the region since 2022 [1] - The coal coking industry in Ulaanbaatar has lagged in upgrading, with over 2.2 million tons of illegal coking capacity added since 2021, including a 3 million tons/year project by Junzheng Chemical that was not compliant with capacity indicators [1][2] Group 2 - In Shandong, Zibo and Dezhou are identified as key cities for air pollution prevention, with both cities ranking low in air quality indices for 2023 and 2024, and Dezhou having the highest proportion of heavy pollution days in the province for 2024 [2][3] - Numerous enterprises in Zibo and Dezhou have been found to have serious violations in pollution control, including improper operation of pollution control facilities and significant emissions from lime production and casting industries [2][3] - The failure to complete coal-fired boiler elimination tasks and unauthorized construction of steel production facilities in Dezhou has led to the production of over 670,000 tons of crude steel since 2022, indicating a lack of compliance with environmental regulations [3]

Core Insights - The Chinese economy is entering a phase focused on developing new quality productivity over the next 5-10 years, emphasizing both new strategic emerging industries and the transformation of existing manufacturing through green, low-carbon, and digital intelligence [1][6] Group 1: Importance of Productive Services Industry - The productive services industry is crucial for enhancing manufacturing technology and efficiency, serving as a key component throughout the entire industrial chain [1][2] - It consists of ten major categories, including technology development, logistics, financial services, market services, green services, digital services, trade, branding, consulting, and talent training [2][3] - The productive services industry is a growth driver for GDP, with its share in the U.S. rising from 10% in 1950 to 50% in 2024, while China's share has increased from just over 10% in 1980 to 27%-31% recently [3][4] Group 2: Economic Impact and Growth Potential - The productive services sector is a breeding ground for high-quality manufacturing and unicorn companies, with significant contributions to the capital market [3][4] - It enhances industrial profit margins and adds high-end value to manufactured goods [5] - A developed productive services industry can significantly increase total factor productivity by focusing on knowledge, talent, and innovation rather than traditional resource inputs [6][8] Group 3: Current Challenges in China - China's productive services industry accounts for only 27%-30% of GDP, lower than the 40%-50% seen in developed countries [8] - The service trade's share in China is only 12%, compared to 30%-40% in Europe and the U.S. [8][9] - Profit margins in China's industrial manufacturing are around 7%, below the global average of 10%, indicating a need for improvement [9] Group 4: Development Strategies - Key strategies for developing the productive services industry include fostering small and medium-sized enterprises, nurturing leading companies, and establishing industry internet platforms [10] - By 2040, it is projected that the productive services sector could account for 35% of GDP, with manufacturing remaining at around 27%, optimizing the industrial structure [10]

2025 年 6 月 23 日 供给或有扰动 镍价小幅反弹 核心观点及策略 一、 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 zhao.kx@jygh.com. cn 从业资格号：F03112296 投资咨询号：20021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 8 镍周报 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F3084165 投资咨询号：Z0016301 赵凯熙 ⚫ 宏观面，美国经济软数据有走弱迹象，劳动力市场整体平 稳。美联储议息会议维持现有政策利率不变，但仍强调未来 经济的不确定性，并在上调通胀预期的同时下修经济增速。 ⚫ 基本面：镍矿价格维持高位，印尼大多数镍铁厂已处于成本 倒挂状态，部分镍铁厂传减产检修计划。传统终端延续弱 势，不锈钢价 ...

Core Points - The establishment of a business environment monitoring point in the Jiangtan Economic and Technological Development Zone aims to address issues affecting enterprises and improve the overall business climate in the region [1][3][5] - The monitoring point has implemented a mechanism to collect and address complaints from enterprises, focusing on issues such as unreasonable fees and inefficient communication with government departments [2][4][6] Group 1: Monitoring Point Implementation - The first business environment monitoring point is set up in Jiangtan Economic and Technological Development Zone, which will serve as a platform for enterprises to report issues and receive support [3] - The monitoring point has published a supervision hotline for 115 enterprises in the zone and distributed over 200 copies of the "Business Environment Service Manual" [5] - The monitoring point has appointed 20 integrity supervisors to enhance oversight and ensure that enterprises can effectively communicate their concerns [5] Group 2: Addressing Enterprise Concerns - The monitoring point has successfully resolved 53 issues related to regulatory bottlenecks and improper fees, demonstrating its effectiveness in improving the business environment [5] - A case involving a gas company charging unreasonable fees was addressed through the monitoring point, resulting in a refund of over 20,000 yuan for a pharmaceutical glass company [5] - The monitoring point conducts regular meetings and feedback sessions with relevant departments to ensure that enterprise concerns are addressed promptly and effectively [6] Group 3: Future Plans and Oversight - The district's disciplinary inspection and supervision agency plans to expand the monitoring point's functions to include individual labor associations and private enterprise associations, extending oversight to all market participants [6] - The agency aims to enhance daily supervision and improve the conduct of party members and officials to further strengthen the business environment [6]

Group 1: Economic Outlook - Experts believe that the foreign trade environment remains uncertain in the second half of the year, emphasizing the need to expand domestic demand as the core policy direction to cultivate more growth momentum and endogenous power [1][5] - The cumulative GDP growth rate for the first half of the year is likely to reach around 5.2%, supported by consumption [1][5] Group 2: Consumption Policies - Suggestions include optimizing holiday arrangements, such as increasing holidays in the second half of the year and implementing paid leave systems to boost service consumption recovery [2][6] - The government has allocated a total of 162 billion yuan in central funds to support the "old-for-new" consumption policy, with an additional 138 billion yuan expected to be distributed in the third and fourth quarters [6] Group 3: Income and Consumption Dynamics - Improving residents' disposable income is crucial for transforming consumption into a new economic engine, with a focus on increasing the proportions of fiscal spending on public services, residents' consumption in total demand, and disposable income in the national economy [9][10] - Wage income constitutes a significant portion of residents' disposable income, and enhancing wage growth is essential for sustained income improvement [9][10] Group 4: Service Consumption Potential - The service retail sector showed a growth rate of 5.0% in the first quarter, indicating the potential for service consumption to be a key driver for boosting overall consumption [11] - The Ministry of Commerce has proposed 48 measures to enhance service consumption, covering various sectors such as dining, tourism, and new business models [11] Group 5: Productive Service Industry - The productive service industry is identified as a key area for development, with a focus on nurturing leading enterprises similar to Huawei and Apple [12][13] - The productive service sector is projected to grow from 27% in previous years to 31% in 2024, highlighting its importance in the modern economy [12][13]

2025年06月22日 国泰君安期货研究周报 观点与策略 | 镍：远端镍矿端预期松动，冶炼端限制上方弹性 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：供需边际双弱，钢价低位震荡 | 2 | | 工业硅：短期仓单去化较快，但上方空间有限 | 11 | | 多晶硅：继续维持空配思路 | 11 | | 碳酸锂：供增需减，关注仓单注销矛盾 | 20 | | 棕榈油：基本面仍需改善，价差表达为主 | 29 | | 豆油：弱现实强预期格局，驱动不足 | 29 | | 豆粕：震荡调整，等待月底美豆面积报告 | 34 | | 豆一：现货稳定，盘面可能震荡调整 | 34 | | 玉米：偏强运行 | 40 | | 白糖：反弹 | 46 | | 生猪：去库路径改变，等待现货印证 | 53 | | 花生：下方有支撑 | 59 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 6 月 22 日 镍：远端镍矿端预期松动，冶炼端限制上方弹性 不锈钢：供需边际双弱，钢价低位震荡 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiy ...