数据来源：国家金融监督管理总局，智研咨询整理 上市企业：天茂集团（000627），中国平安（601318），中国人保（601319），新华保险（601336）， 中国太保（601601），中国人寿（601628） 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国保险行业发展分析及投资前景预测报告》 2025年1-11月吉林省原保险保费收入共计794.18亿元，同比增长4.53%，吉林省累计原保险保费收入不 同险种类别中寿险占比最高，为452.2亿元，占比56.94%。 2020年-2025年1-11月吉林省累计原保险保费收入统计图 ...

Macro Strategy - The report suggests that despite expectations of a slowdown in marginal fiscal funding for 2026, fiscal spending may still exceed expectations due to two main factors: a rebound in prices leading to increased fiscal revenue and a significant amount of fiscal "surplus" carried over from 2025. Specifically, a 1.8 percentage point increase in PPI could generate approximately 260 billion yuan in additional tax revenue, equivalent to a 0.2 percentage point increase in the deficit ratio. Additionally, the fiscal surplus may exceed 500 billion yuan, potentially enhancing the growth rate of general public budget expenditure by about 2.6 percentage points [1][19]. Industry Insights Electronic Industry - The report highlights that the domestic computing power industry is expected to experience significant growth, particularly in 2026, with domestic computing chip leaders likely entering a performance realization phase. The demand for domestic GPUs is anticipated to benefit from capacity releases due to advanced process expansions. The competition among domestic computing chip participants for market share is expected to drive the importance of AI ASIC service providers within the supply chain. Key recommendations include companies like Cambricon and Shengke Communication [9]. 3D DRAM - The report indicates that 2026 will be a pivotal year for 3D DRAM, driven by the rapid increase in storage demand from AI hardware deployment. The technology is expected to support various applications, including robotics, AIoT, and automotive sectors. The report recommends companies such as GigaDevice and Beijing Junzheng as key players in this space [10]. Insurance Industry - The insurance sector is projected to see improvements in both liabilities and assets, with significant upward valuation potential. The demand for insurance remains strong, and the shift towards dividend insurance is expected to optimize liability costs. The report notes that the current valuation of the insurance sector is at historical lows, suggesting a "buy" rating for the industry [12]. Environmental Industry - The report emphasizes the value of the waste incineration sector, driven by declining capital expenditures and improving operating cash flows. The acceleration of national subsidies is expected to enhance cash flow, with projections indicating that the sector's dividend potential could increase significantly as capital expenditures normalize [16]. Computer Industry - The report discusses the intersection of state-owned enterprise reform and local revenue enhancement, predicting that 2026 will see intensified management of local state-owned enterprises, leading to accelerated capital operations [13][14]. Space Computing - The report identifies the space computing industry as a rapidly evolving field, crucial for addressing global computing resource bottlenecks. It highlights the strategic importance of this sector and recommends focusing on companies with technological advantages in key areas [15]. Green Bonds - The report tracks the issuance of green bonds, noting an increase in issuance and a decrease in trading volume in the secondary market. This reflects the growing interest in sustainable finance and the potential for investment opportunities in this area [4][8]. Capital Market Trends - The report outlines trends in the capital markets, including the performance of various commodities and the impact of macroeconomic factors on pricing. It notes that the copper market is experiencing upward pressure due to supply constraints and demand fluctuations, while aluminum prices are also on the rise due to production capacity increases [11]. AI and Technology - The report forecasts that 2026 will mark the beginning of a new era for AI terminals, with major tech companies expected to launch innovative products. The integration of AI into consumer electronics is anticipated to create new market opportunities [9][18].

Core Viewpoint - The integration of financial support and technological advancements in the agricultural sector, particularly in Heilongjiang, is enhancing grain collection efficiency and ensuring food security through a comprehensive financial support system for the entire agricultural supply chain [1][2][9]. Financial Support for Agricultural Supply Chain - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) in Heilongjiang is guiding banks to provide precise financial support for rice procurement, ensuring timely funding during the harvest season, which has led to an increase in agricultural loans from 929.61 billion yuan at the beginning of 2023 to 1,029.43 billion yuan by the end of November 2025 [1]. - Agricultural Development Bank of China (ADBC) in Heilongjiang maintains a stable loan scale of around 400 billion yuan, supporting the entire grain supply chain and introducing innovative loan models like "Value Preservation Loan" and "Supply Chain Loan" [2]. - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) is implementing a "5+7" service action plan to support key agricultural industries, with a loan balance exceeding 35 billion yuan, focusing on brand agriculture and innovative credit models [3]. Risk Management in Agricultural Finance - Financial institutions are increasingly focusing on risk management as they enhance support for agricultural entities, addressing the transmission of agricultural risks to financial operations [6]. - The "Insurance + Futures" model has been explored since 2016 to mitigate risks associated with agricultural price fluctuations, benefiting numerous farmers and stabilizing income [7]. - Sunshine Agricultural Mutual Insurance Company has provided comprehensive cost insurance for major crops, covering 47.03 million acres and offering risk protection of 43.73 billion yuan, significantly increasing the coverage compared to previous models [8]. Modern Agricultural Financial Ecosystem - Heilongjiang's approach to building a modern agricultural financial service ecosystem represents a significant structural reform in financial supply, enhancing the resilience of the grain industry against various shocks [9].

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on December 30, with a fixed rate and a total amount of 312.5 billion yuan, at an interest rate of 1.40% [1] - On the same day, 59.3 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net injection of 253.2 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Liquidity Conditions - The central bank's continuous net injection has led to a stable and slightly loose liquidity in the interbank market, with the overnight repo weighted average rate (DR001) slightly decreasing to around 1.24% [3] - The overnight quotes in the anonymous X-repo system remained at 1.23%, with supply exceeding 100 billion yuan [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is reported at 3.76% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.64%, unchanged from the previous day [7] Group 4: Government Bond Futures - The 30-year main contract rose by 0.17%, while the 10-year main contract fell by 0.02%, the 5-year main contract fell by 0.01%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.01% [11] Group 5: Key Economic Meetings and Policies - The Central Rural Work Conference held from December 29 to 30 emphasized stabilizing grain and oil production and enhancing agricultural disaster prevention capabilities [12] - A new VAT implementation regulation will take effect on January 1, 2026, detailing taxable transactions and taxpayer classifications [12] - The core value added of the digital economy in 2024 is projected to be 14,089.1 billion yuan, accounting for 10.5% of GDP, with the highest contribution from digital technology applications [13] Group 6: Global Economic Insights - Axis International, controlled by billionaire Pankaj Oswal, has filed for arbitration with the World Bank, seeking at least $28.9 billion from Guinea for the alleged illegal revocation of mining rights [15] - Barclays Bank reports a decline in UK consumer spending via debit and credit cards by 0.2% in 2025, marking the first annual drop since the COVID-19 pandemic [15] Group 7: Bond Market Developments - GCL Group has led the first fire power holding-type real estate ABS listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [17] - CITIC Construction Investment plans to pay interest on a 2.05% perpetual subordinated bond amounting to 2.1 billion yuan [17]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - On December 29, overnight funds were abundant, but the contradiction of cross - year stratification still existed. The concern over ultra - long bond supply and cross - year fund fluctuations led to a significant weakening of the bond market. The main indexes of the convertible bond market closed down collectively, and most convertible bond issues declined. Yields of U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally decreased, and yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies also generally declined [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News** - The People's Bank of China issued an action plan for digital RMB, and a new generation of digital RMB measurement framework, management system, operation mechanism, and ecosystem will be officially launched on January 1, 2026 [4]. - From January to November, the total operating income of state - owned enterprises was 756257.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1%; the total profit was 37194.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 3.1%; the payable taxes were 52803 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.2%. As of the end of November, the asset - liability ratio of state - owned enterprises was 65.2% [4]. - Starting from January 1, 2026, the State Council Tariff Commission will adjust the import tariff rates and tariff items of some commodities, including implementing temporary import tariff rates lower than the most - favored - nation rates for 935 commodities and canceling the temporary import tariff rates of some commodities [5]. - As of the end of November, the net asset value of public funds in China reached 37.02 trillion yuan, an increase of about 60 billion yuan from the end of October, breaking through the 37 - trillion - yuan mark for the first time and setting a new high for eight consecutive months [6]. - **International News** - The minutes of the December meeting of the Bank of Japan suggested more interest rate hikes as many members thought the real interest rate was still very low. The meeting raised the benchmark interest rate to 0.75%, a 30 - year high. Economists expect another rate hike in about six months, with most believing the terminal rate of this hiking cycle will be 1.25% [7]. - **Commodities** - On December 29, WTI February crude oil futures rose 1.84% to $58.08 per barrel; Brent February crude oil futures rose 2.14% to $61.94 per barrel; COMEX gold futures fell 4.47% to $4349.20 per ounce; NYMEX natural gas prices fell 10.81% to $3.943 per ounce [8]. 3.2 Funding Situation - **Open Market Operations** - On December 29, the central bank conducted 4823 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate and quantity - tender method, with an operating rate of 1.40%. The net investment of funds on the day was 4150 billion yuan [10]. - **Funding Rates** - On December 29, the central bank increased the net investment scale. Overnight funds were abundant, but the cross - year stratification contradiction still existed. DR001 decreased by 1.39bp to 1.242%, and DR007 increased by 7.07bp to 1.594%. Other funding rates also showed different changes [12][13]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - rate Bonds** - The local bond issuance plan announced by Shandong on December 29 triggered concerns about ultra - long bond supply, and combined with cross - year funding fluctuations, the bond market weakened significantly. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury active bond 250016 rose 2.25bp to 1.8580%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB active bond 250215 rose 3.30bp to 1.9395% [15]. - **Credit Bonds** - One industrial bond, "H0 Zhongnan 02", had a trading price deviation of over 10% on December 29. There were also announcements from many real - estate and other companies regarding bond repayment, resumption of trading, debt restructuring, etc. [18][19]. - **Convertible Bonds** - On December 29, the three major A - share indexes showed different trends. The convertible bond market followed the equity market and adjusted. The main convertible bond indexes closed down collectively, and most convertible bond issues declined. Shenyu Convertible Bonds will be listed on December 30 [20][21]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - **U.S. Bond Market**: Yields of U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally decreased on December 29. The 2 - year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 1bp to 3.45%, and the 10 - year yield decreased by 2bp to 4.12%. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread narrowed by 1bp to 67bp; the 5/30 - year yield spread remained unchanged at 113bp. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury (TIPS) break - even inflation rate decreased by 1bp to 2.22% [22][23][24]. - **European Bond Market**: Yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally decreased on December 29. The 10 - year German government bond yield decreased by 3bp to 2.83%, and those of France, Italy, Spain, and the UK also decreased [25][26]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - funded U.S. Dollar Bonds**: The report shows the daily price changes of some Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds as of the close on December 29, including the daily and monthly changes in yields and prices of different bonds [27].

2025年12月24日，廊坊金融监管分局发布批复称，《富德生命人寿保险股份有限公司河北分公司关于三 河支公司变更营业场所的请示》(富保寿冀〔2025〕109号)收悉。经审核，现批复如下： 一、同意富德生命人寿保险股份有限公司河北分公司三河支公司将营业场所变更为：三河市区西外环路 东侧永安路西侧新天地（301277）二期35-117、35-118商业。 二、富德生命人寿保险股份有限公司河北分公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The global economic and financial markets are experiencing significant fluctuations, with various industries showing different trends. For example, the metal market has seen extreme price swings, the energy market has supply - related changes, and the stock and bond markets have their own performance characteristics [4][10][30] - China is implementing a series of economic policies, such as tariff adjustments and promoting the development of digital RMB, which will have an impact on domestic and international trade and the financial system [2][15] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew by 4.8% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter's 5.2% [1] - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, and the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 49.5%, both showing certain trends compared to the previous month and the same period last year [1] - Social financing scale, M0, M1, M2, and other monetary indicators also had corresponding changes in November 2025 [1] Commodity Investment Comprehensive - From January 1, 2026, China will implement import provisional tax rates lower than the most - favored - nation rates for 935 commodities to enhance resource linkage and expand high - quality supply [2] - On December 29, 2025, 40 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 26 had negative basis [2] Metal - Precious metals had a volatile "Black Monday". Silver first soared and then plunged, dragging down other precious metals. International and domestic metal prices and futures contracts showed significant declines [4][5] - On December 29, 2025, CME Group raised metal futures trading margins, triggering price drops [5] - In 2025, silver prices broke a 45 - year record and were higher than crude oil prices, driven by industrial and investment demand [5] Coal, Coke, Steel, and Ore - Bauxite miner Axis has filed a $29 billion claim against Guinea [9] Energy and Chemicals - U.S. refineries are expected to have capacity outages in the coming weeks, with the scale increasing [10] - India's oil imports from Russia in December 2025 are expected to exceed 1 million barrels per day [10] Agricultural Products - China's grain output in 2025 was 1.43 trillion jin, a 1.2% increase from the previous year, mainly due to the increase in corn production [12] - As of December 2025, the autumn grain purchase volume exceeded 200 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 32 million tons [13] Financial News Open Market - On December 29, 2025, the central bank conducted 482.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 415 billion yuan [14] Important News - The Chinese military conducted the "Justice Mission - 2025" exercise around Taiwan [15] - China will start to pay interest on digital RMB from January 1, 2026 [15] Bond Market - The bond market was generally weak, with treasury bond futures falling and bond yields rising [21] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.0098 on December 29, 2025, down 13 points from the previous trading day [26] Research Report Highlights - Xingzheng Fixed Income believes that in the short term, the bond market carry strategy is relatively certain, and there is room for the repair of long - end bonds [27] - CITIC Securities suggests paying attention to high - grade state - owned enterprise perpetual bonds in industries such as public utilities, transportation, and construction [27] Stock Market - A - shares showed a divergence between large and small indexes. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell [30] - Hong Kong stocks fluctuated, with the Hang Seng Index falling 0.71% [30]

针对这个情况，吴亚静结合陈先生的家庭责任和风险承受能力，慢慢帮他分析，"你现在是全家的依靠，比起追求短期资产增值，先把健康保障的底线守 住，才是对家庭最稳妥的打算。投连险的风险和你'求稳'的需求不匹配，而健康险能在你遇到健康问题时，直接覆盖医疗开支、补上收入缺口，避免家里因 为意外陷入经济困境，这才是现阶段最该优先配的保障。"同时，她还依据保险业的消费者风险提示，提醒陈先生：保险配置应遵循"先保障、后增值"的原 则，结合家庭收入水平合理规划保费，避免超出经济承受能力。 精准适配的暖心守护："对的"保障筑起安全盾 陈先生是一家小型装修公司的负责人，曾先后几次参与太平人寿的产品说明会，对公司在资产规划领域的专业度及服务理念逐渐认可。作为家里的"顶梁 柱"，他心里清楚自己的健康直接关系到家庭安稳，一直想配置一款能为家人筑牢"安全防线"的保险。可前段时间，他听说某类投连险"回报周期短、预期收 益不低"，又有些心动，觉得或许能靠这类产品给家庭资产添份"增值保障"，一时间在"保障刚需"和"资产增值"之间犯了难。 消保大使的"对症"沟通：从需求出发厘清方向 消保大使吴亚静和陈先生坐下来细细聊过后，首先聚焦他"家庭顶梁柱"的 ...

Core Insights - Anxin Insurance, once hailed as one of the "Four Little Dragons" of internet insurance, faces severe regulatory penalties as it marks its tenth anniversary, with a risk resolution led by state-owned enterprises now underway [1][11] Regulatory Actions - The National Financial Supervision Administration has imposed a three-year ban on Anxin Insurance from accepting new credit guarantee insurance business, a two-year ban on short-term health insurance, and a six-month ban on vehicle insurance due to violations such as improper use of approved insurance terms and false reporting of claims data [2][12][14] - A total of 77 million yuan in fines has been levied against Anxin Insurance and its responsible personnel, with five senior executives facing industry bans ranging from six to eleven years [5][14] Business Performance - Anxin Insurance experienced rapid growth from 2016 to 2019, with premium income increasing from 0.75 billion yuan to 27.21 billion yuan, but this growth was unsustainable, leading to a dramatic decline in premium income to 3.73 billion yuan by 2021, marking an 86.27% drop [6][16] - The company has faced significant operational challenges, including a negative insurance business income in 2022-2023 and a net asset decline to -735 million yuan by Q3 2024, with solvency ratios plummeting to -871.59% [8][18] Risk Management Failures - Anxin Insurance's aggressive expansion strategy, including the introduction of non-compliant products like "first month free" and "idle time refund," contributed to its downfall, as these innovations violated regulatory standards [7][16] - The company's partnership with Mi Gang Financial for performance guarantee insurance led to substantial liabilities when the latter defaulted, resulting in a significant drop in solvency ratios [6][16] Industry Rescue Efforts - A risk resolution initiative led by state-owned enterprises began as Anxin Insurance faced insolvency, with the company relocating its registration to Suzhou and the establishment of Dongwu Insurance, backed by strong local state-owned financial assets [9][19] - Dongwu Insurance, with a registered capital of 2 billion yuan, has a shareholder structure dominated by local state-owned enterprises, indicating a strategic shift in managing Anxin's legacy issues [19]

Group 1 - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 482.3 billion yuan for 7 days at a fixed rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 415 billion yuan after accounting for maturing reverse repos [1][2] - The interbank market showed structural differentiation in liquidity, with overnight repo rates declining to around 1.24%, while non-bank institutions' rates for seven-day cross-year funding rose above 2% as year-end approaches [3] - The latest one-year interbank certificates of deposit traded at approximately 1.645% in the secondary market [7] Group 2 - The yields on major interbank bonds mostly increased, with specific rates for government bonds and policy bank bonds showing varied changes across different maturities [9][10] - The recent trends in AAA-rated local government bonds indicated fluctuations in yield spreads, reflecting market sentiment and risk perceptions [11] - The government bond futures closed lower across all maturities, with the 30-year contract dropping by 0.91% [11] Group 3 - The State Council announced a tariff adjustment plan effective January 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing the synergy between domestic and international markets, with reduced import tariffs on 935 items to support technological self-reliance and green transformation [12] - The national fiscal work conference emphasized a proactive fiscal policy for 2026, focusing on increasing government spending and optimizing bond tools to support key areas such as consumption and technological investment [12] Group 4 - The U.S. government initiated an investigation into large companies regarding their implementation of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) policies, affecting firms like Google and Verizon [14] - Tianan Life Insurance announced it would be unable to meet the scheduled repayment of its bonds totaling 2 billion yuan, while Sunac China failed to repay debts amounting to 118.33 billion yuan [16]