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【2025年中报点评/地平线机器人-W】智驾平权最大受益方,芯片出货高增驱动业绩超预期
Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic intelligent driving solution market, with significant revenue growth and a strong market presence, driven by product optimization and strategic partnerships [4][6][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.552 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 8.047 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve from a loss of 6.739 billion yuan in 2023 to a profit of 403.52 million yuan by 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to transition from a loss of 0.49 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 0.03 yuan in 2027 [2]. Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [4]. - The revenue from product solutions grew by 250%, while licensing and service revenue increased by 7% [4]. Product Development - The company saw a doubling of overall chip shipments to 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold to 980,000 units [5]. - The average price per chip rose by 106% to 393 yuan, attributed to an improved product mix favoring higher-end products [5]. - The J6B chip has secured international model designations from overseas automakers, with expected lifetime shipments exceeding 7.5 million units [5]. Market Position - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 designated models, leading to a market share of 45.8% in the Chinese OEM ADAS/AD market [6]. - The company maintains a strong competitive position, with its market share in intelligent driving solutions continuing to rise [6]. Research and Development - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness and establishing technological barriers [7]. - Despite significant R&D investments, the adjusted net profit was a loss of 1.33 billion yuan, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [7]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 3.66 billion yuan for 2025, 5.37 billion yuan for 2026, and 8.05 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 respectively [8].
亏损超7亿,国产智驾第一股掉队了
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-01 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the challenges faced by Hezhima Intelligent, the leading Chinese smart driving chip company, due to increasing competition from self-research initiatives by major automotive manufacturers and a lack of significant high-quality clients compared to competitors like Momenta and Horizon Robotics [1][4][10]. Company Performance - Hezhima reported a net loss of 760 million RMB for the first half of 2025, a 169% increase year-on-year, despite a revenue of 250 million RMB, which represents a 40.4% increase compared to the previous year [4][5]. - The company had previously warned of expected losses not exceeding 800 million RMB for the same period, attributing the losses to employee stock-based compensation, R&D expenses, and reduced fair value gains on financial instruments [5][12]. Industry Context - The Chinese assisted driving industry continues to grow, with L2 and above assisted driving function installation rates in passenger vehicles increasing from 66.4% to 82.6% year-on-year, a rise of 16.2 percentage points [5]. - Major competitors like Momenta and Horizon Robotics are advancing their self-research chip capabilities, with Momenta's chip set to compete with high-performance chips from NVIDIA and Qualcomm [8][10]. Competitive Landscape - Hezhima's client base is relatively weak compared to competitors, with significant clients like BYD and Geely not fully leveraging Hezhima's chips in their popular models [11][15]. - The performance of Hezhima's A1000 chip, with a computing power of 58 TOPS, is significantly lower than competitors like Horizon's 128 TOPS and NVIDIA's 254 TOPS, making it less attractive to automakers [19][20]. Future Outlook - The trend of automotive manufacturers developing their own chips poses a significant threat to all chip suppliers, including Hezhima, as companies like Tesla, Huawei, and various domestic automakers are increasingly integrating their hardware and software solutions [22][23][24]. - Hezhima's revenue for 2024 is projected to be under 500 million RMB, raising concerns about its ability to survive in a rapidly evolving market [25].
地平线征程芯片累计出货突破千万套
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-09-01 01:56
Group 1 - Horizon Robotics announced that its Journey series vehicle-mounted intelligent chips have exceeded 10 million units in cumulative production and shipment, becoming the first domestic intelligent driving computing solution company to cross this threshold [1] - The acceptance of domestic chips in the industry is continuously increasing, with the penetration rate of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in the domestic passenger car market expected to rise rapidly by mid-2025 [1] - The penetration rate of mid-to-high-level ADAS functions is projected to increase from 20% at the end of 2024 to 32% by the end of June 2025, driving a shift in chip demand structure [1] Group 2 - The Journey 6 series chips, which support highway NOA and urban NOA, shipped approximately 980,000 units, representing a sixfold year-on-year increase and accounting for nearly 50% of total shipments in the first half of the year, contributing over 80% of related business revenue [1] - The increase in shipment volume has also led to a 70% year-on-year rise in average value per vehicle, driven by the upgrade of intelligent driving assistance functions from basic L2 to higher-level applications like urban NOA [1] - The company anticipates that the price range for models equipped with urban assistance driving solutions will drop to around 150,000 yuan, further promoting the popularization of intelligent driving in the mass market [1] Group 3 - Horizon Robotics is continuously advancing the research and development of the full-scene urban assistance driving system (HSD), which is based on the Journey 6P and employs an end-to-end architecture and reinforcement learning mechanism [2] - The HSD system has already been designated for over 10 vehicle models, with the first model, the Xingtu E05, expected to begin mass production by the end of the year [2] - The industry generally views achieving a million-level shipment as a significant milestone for the commercialization of domestic automotive-grade chips, although the intelligent driving chip industry faces rapid technological iteration and substantial ecological investment [2]
地平线2025年上半年营收增长67.6% 征程芯片累计出货突破千万套
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-30 08:06
Core Insights - Horizon (9660.HK) has achieved a significant milestone by surpassing 10 million units of its Journey series automotive intelligent chips, becoming the first domestic company to reach this threshold in the smart driving computing solutions sector [1] - The acceptance of domestic chips in the industry is increasing, with the penetration rate of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in the domestic passenger car market expected to rise rapidly in the first half of 2025 [1] - The CEO of Horizon, Yu Kai, highlighted that over 60% of passenger cars sold in China are now equipped with ADAS [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Horizon reported a revenue of 1.567 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, primarily driven by substantial growth in product and solution business revenue [3] - The revenue from this segment reached 778 million yuan, which is 3.5 times that of the same period last year, with a shipment volume of 1.98 million units, reflecting an approximate 100% year-on-year growth [3] - The advanced ADAS solutions are becoming the core driver of the company's performance, with the Journey 6 series chips supporting high-speed NOA and urban NOA contributing over 80% of related business revenue [3] Technological Advancements - Horizon is advancing its full-scene urban ADAS system, Horizon SuperDrive (HSD), based on the Journey 6P chip, utilizing an end-to-end architecture and reinforcement learning mechanisms [4] - The HSD system has already been designated for over 10 vehicle models, with the first model, the Xingtu E05, expected to enter mass production by the end of the year [4] Challenges and Market Outlook - Despite significant revenue growth, Horizon faces profit challenges, with an adjusted operating loss of 1.11 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 34.8%, primarily due to high R&D investments [6] - R&D expenditures reached 2.3 billion yuan, a 62% increase year-on-year, focused on the HSD system and cloud service resources [6] - Horizon has secured nearly 400 model designations, with over 100 supporting high-speed NOA and above functionalities, and has entered the supply chains of two Japanese automakers, with an expected delivery of 7.5 million units [6] - The market for intelligent driving chips is anticipated to expand further as urban NOA functionalities penetrate vehicles priced around 150,000 yuan, although competition is expected to intensify [6]
地平线机器人-W(9660.HK):25H1产品收入实现强劲增长 关注高阶智驾方案HSD上车进展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-29 07:19
Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by increased product delivery and robust demand for algorithm software, despite facing challenges with operating losses and declining gross margins [1][2]. Revenue Growth - In 25H1, the company achieved revenue of 1.567 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, primarily due to higher product delivery volumes and strong demand for algorithm software [1]. - The revenue from product solutions reached 778 million RMB, a significant increase of 250.0% year-on-year, driven by the doubling of chip shipments [2]. - The company's licensing and service business generated 738 million RMB in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.9% due to stable IP licensing and increased customer demand [3]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit for 25H1 was 1.024 billion RMB, up 38.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 65.4%, which is a decline of 13.6 percentage points compared to the previous year [1]. - The adjusted operating loss expanded to 1.592 billion RMB, with a net loss of 5.233 billion RMB, largely due to changes in the fair value of preferred shares and other financial liabilities [1]. Product Solutions and Market Position - The company has established a leading position in the Chinese OEM ADAS market with a market share of 45.8% for front-view integrated machines and 32.4% for overall ADAS solutions [2]. - The shipment of mid-to-high-end intelligent driving chips reached 980,000 units, accounting for 49.5% of total shipments, significantly increasing the average selling price (ASP) of automotive products and solutions [2]. - The Horizon Superdrive (HSD) solution has been upgraded to a more advanced architecture and is set to be launched in vehicles, indicating potential growth in the Robotaxi supply chain [2]. Non-Automotive Solutions - The revenue from non-automotive solutions was 50 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 134.5%, with expectations for growth in the "embodied intelligence" sector through the "Xuri" series of robotic chips [3]. Future Outlook and Valuation - The company is projected to benefit from the ongoing growth in intelligent driving demand and strategic partnerships with global leaders, with revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 3.56 billion, 5.36 billion, and 7.936 billion RMB respectively [3].
地平线机器人-W(09660):2025中期业绩点评:25H1产品收入实现强劲增长,关注高阶智驾方案HSD上车进展
EBSCN· 2025-08-28 07:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved strong revenue growth in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.567 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, driven by higher product delivery volumes and strong demand for algorithm software [1]. - The gross profit for H1 2025 was 1.024 billion RMB, reflecting a 38.6% increase year-on-year, although the gross margin decreased by 13.6 percentage points to 65.4% due to a significant rise in the proportion of automotive product solutions [1]. - Adjusted operating losses widened to 1.592 billion RMB in H1 2025, compared to 820 million RMB in H1 2024, with a net loss of 5.233 billion RMB primarily due to changes in the fair value of preferred shares and other financial liabilities [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The company's product solutions segment saw revenue of 778 million RMB in H1 2025, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 250%, with a gross margin of 45.6% [2]. - The "Zhengcheng" series chips achieved a shipment volume of 1.98 million units in H1 2025, doubling year-on-year, with a cumulative shipment exceeding 10 million units by August 2025 [2]. - The company holds the leading market share in China's OEM ADAS market at 45.8% and 32.4% in the overall OEM autonomous driving solutions market [2]. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are projected at 3.560 billion RMB, 5.358 billion RMB, and 7.936 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-sales ratios of 28x, 19x, and 13x based on the stock price of 7.94 HKD as of August 27 [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing growth in intelligent driving demand and strategic partnerships with leading global firms, which will enhance its product pricing and brand strength [4].
地平线机器人-W(09660):2025H1营业收入高速增长,HSD量产在即打开全新成长空间
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-28 07:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [2][4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.567 billion, a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, while operating losses expanded to 1.59 billion [1] - The upcoming mass production of the HSD advanced driver assistance product is expected to open new growth opportunities, with initial deployment on the Chery Xingji Yuan E05 [1] - The company has made significant progress in overseas expansion, securing model designations from two Japanese OEMs for markets outside China, potentially leading to over 7.5 million units in lifetime shipments [1] Financial Performance - Revenue from product solutions increased significantly by 249.97% to 778 million, with hardware shipments doubling to 1.98 million units [7] - The adjusted operating loss for the first half of 2025 was 1.11 billion, reflecting an increase in R&D expenses to 2.3 billion, up 62% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 65.36%, a decrease of 13.76 percentage points year-on-year due to changes in revenue structure [7] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 3.52 billion, 5.48 billion, and 8.02 billion respectively, with growth rates of 47.6%, 55.8%, and 46.3% [2][9] - The target market capitalization is set at 123.2 billion RMB, with a target price of 9.66 HKD [2]
上海科创金融服务形成“飞轮效应”
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-01 03:13
Core Insights - The article discusses the initiatives taken by the People's Bank of China Shanghai Headquarters to support the development of a globally influential technology innovation center in Shanghai through a diversified financial ecosystem for technology enterprises [1][2][6]. Group 1: Financial Ecosystem Development - The Shanghai Financial Innovation Alliance aims to provide a comprehensive financial service model for technology enterprises, targeting a total investment of 2 trillion yuan over three years through various financial instruments [2][6]. - The "stock-loan-debt-guarantee" linkage model is emphasized as a core strategy to support technology enterprises throughout their lifecycle, ensuring that financial services are not interrupted by changes in business stages or financial needs [2][3]. Group 2: Customized Financial Solutions - Financial institutions like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) have tailored financial products for startups, including a 5 billion yuan special financing quota and 2 billion yuan in equity investment for participants in innovation competitions [1][4]. - The Bank of China has developed a "stock-loan linkage" business model, providing equity financing and other financial services to unicorn companies facing significant funding needs due to long R&D cycles [2][4]. Group 3: Collaborative Financial Services - Various banks, including China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China, have launched integrated financial service models that combine investment, loans, and guarantees to create a comprehensive support system for technology enterprises [3][5]. - The Shanghai Financial Innovation Alliance has established strategic partnerships with local incubators and industry parks to create an ecosystem that integrates capital, technology, and resources [7][8]. Group 4: Innovative Financial Products - The "New Power Loan" product is designed for new productivity enterprises, offering diversified financing options and utilizing central bank monetary policy tools to provide low-cost funding [7]. - The "Innovation Loan" product, developed by ten banks in Shanghai, aims to meet the financing needs of technology enterprises at different stages through a "investment-loan linkage" credit package [7].
地平线机器人-W(09660):高端辅助驾驶行业核心受益者,首次覆盖给予“买入”评级
Huajing Securities· 2025-06-23 09:27
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics, setting a target price of HK$8.60, representing a potential upside of 33% from the current price of HK$6.46 [1][6][10]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a key beneficiary in the high-end assisted driving industry, with a strong market share exceeding 40% in China's OEM advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market as of 2024 [7][29]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the global growth potential of smart driving, with projections indicating that global and Chinese smart vehicle sales will reach approximately 80 million and 30 million units by 2030, respectively [7][29]. - The unique BPU (Brain Processing Unit) architecture of Horizon Robotics provides a competitive edge by optimizing hardware and software collaboration, achieving higher computational efficiency at lower power consumption [30][42]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Horizon Robotics are projected at RMB 3.43 billion, RMB 5.41 billion, and RMB 7.46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 43.7%, 57.9%, and 37.9% [9][31]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in 2027, with a projected net profit of RMB 901 million, following losses in the preceding years [9][31]. Market Comparison - The report compares Horizon Robotics with peers such as NVIDIA, ARM, Mobileye, and Black Sesame Intelligence, applying a 20x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio to derive the target price [32][71]. - The competitive landscape indicates that Horizon Robotics has established itself as a leader in the mid-to-low-end smart driving hardware market, with plans to penetrate the high-end market further with the launch of the Journey 6 series chips [71][72]. Product Solutions - Horizon Robotics offers three main smart driving solutions: Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive, catering to different levels of driving assistance [44][60]. - The Journey 6 series chips, set to launch in 2025, will cover a wide range of smart driving needs, enhancing the company's product matrix [62][67].
光大证券晨会速递-20250527
EBSCN· 2025-05-27 01:12
Group 1: TMT Industry Insights - The report highlights that with the improvement of L3 level regulations by 2025, L2+ and above intelligent driving technologies are expected to accelerate penetration, benefiting third-party SoC manufacturers [1] - The trend of "chip embedding" is anticipated to bring high growth certainty to the industry, with recommendations for leading global and domestic SoC companies such as Nvidia and Horizon Robotics [1] Group 2: Real Estate Market Analysis - In the first four months, the total area of residential land transactions in 100 cities reached 56.67 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, with an average transaction floor price of 7,738 yuan per square meter, up 20.2% year-on-year [2] - The 30 core cities saw a total residential land transaction area of 27.74 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%, with an average transaction floor price of 13,318 yuan per square meter, up 28.5% year-on-year [2] - The overall premium rate for residential land transactions in the 30 core cities was 17.2%, an increase of 11 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a rise in market activity [2] Group 3: Internet Media Company Overview - The report covers Multi-Point Intelligence, a SaaS company focusing on the digital transformation of local retailers, which possesses significant industry experience and data barriers [3] - Revenue growth projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 16.7%, 17.2%, and 16.4% year-on-year, with corresponding PS valuation multiples of 3.4x, 2.9x, and 2.5x [3] - The forecasted Non-IFRS net profits for the company are 122 million, 271 million, and 408 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027 [3] Group 4: Software and Robotics Sector - The report discusses the launch of the Kaihong Bot series by China Software International, emphasizing the ongoing development of the open-source Hongmeng ecosystem [4] - The net profit forecasts for China Software International from 2025 to 2027 are 640 million, 750 million, and 870 million yuan, respectively [4] Group 5: Pharmaceutical Company Insights - The report indicates that the company Lao Bai Xing is focusing on optimizing store layouts and expanding its franchise business while integrating a digital system [6] - The projected net profits for Lao Bai Xing from 2025 to 2027 are 702 million, 841 million, and 955 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 35%, 20%, and 14% [6] Group 6: Travel Industry Performance - Tongcheng Travel reported a revenue of 4.377 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, with an adjusted net profit of 788 million yuan, up 41.1% year-on-year [7] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for Tongcheng Travel for 2025 to 2027 are 3.393 billion, 4.060 billion, and 4.647 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 11, and 10 times [7]