Group 1: A-Share Market - The A-share market showed a mixed performance this week, with value sectors being relatively strong. Major indices like the Shanghai 50 and CSI 2000 saw slight increases, while the ChiNext index fell by 2.26%. Value performance was notable across large, mid, and small-cap stocks, with sectors such as retail, consumer services, and non-bank financials leading the gains. The average daily trading volume was 1.76 trillion, down 9.86% week-on-week [6][7]. - The market experienced a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery, indicating structural hotspots. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) chairman emphasized the need to deepen the capital market's 14th Five-Year Plan and expand high-level opening-up to boost market confidence. The Central Financial Office highlighted that expanding domestic demand is a primary task for the coming year, aiming to stimulate consumption through supply and demand-side efforts [6][7]. - Looking ahead, the A-share market is expected to remain structurally active due to ongoing policy support for capital markets and consumption. Despite a decline in trading volume, support from emerging industries like technology and new energy, along with the push for domestic demand, will provide market backing. Investors are advised to focus on sectors benefiting from policy support, such as consumption upgrades, technological innovation, and high-end manufacturing [7]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market faced overall pressure this week, with major indices recording declines. The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.1%, 1.96%, and 2.82%, respectively, with the technology index experiencing the largest drop. Essential consumer and financial sectors rose against the trend, while most sectors, including information technology and non-essential consumer goods, showed weakness [8]. - Despite the overall pressure, the market was supported by expectations of improved liquidity due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In 2025, the Fed has already cut rates three times, with potential for further easing, which may optimize the debt side for Hong Kong stocks. Additionally, a rebound in U.S. tech stocks provided some uplift to the Hong Kong technology sector [8]. - In the future, while the Hong Kong market may experience volatility due to external factors, the expected improvement in liquidity from the Fed's easing cycle will have a positive impact. Strong performance from the mainland economy and ongoing policy support, particularly in high-level opening-up, will provide a solid foundation for the Hong Kong market. Investors are encouraged to focus on sectors benefiting from Fed easing and mainland economic recovery, as well as technology sectors with growth potential amid the AI wave [8].

证券研究报告 | A 股策略周报 | 中国策略 中线方向三天两变，一颗红心、两手准备 ——A 股市场运行周报第 72 期 核心观点 ❑ 本周行情归因 （1）日本央行加息靴子落地，风险偏好压制因素解除；（2）美国 CPI 数据低于市 场预期，为美联储货币宽松政策提供了更多想象空间。 ❑ 下周行情展望 经历本周区间震荡后，市场在中线上仍处于"未分胜负"的状态，目前仍无法判 断"春季攻势"是否已经启动。但值得注意的是，本轮最晚见顶的上证、创业板 指已经分别整理 6 周、8 周，而最早见顶的恒生科技、科创 50 则已经调整 11 周，其中恒生科技指数本周新低后还出现日线 MACD 底背离迹象。这意味着， A 股本轮中线调整结构正在逐渐完善，而部分港股指数已经落入"击球区"。展 望后市，在"棋眼"券商拉出大阳线、确定大盘中线方向之前，市场或维持胜负 难分、区间震荡的格局。但考虑到全市场调整逐渐充分，未来交易策略的重点将 从"防波动、降弹性"，逐渐转变成为"找买点、伺机动"，对于调整充分的指数 或行业，一旦落入"击球区"，则应积极对待。 配置方面，基于"区间震荡方向难测，一颗红心两手准备"的判断：择时方面， 建议持仓等待 ...

$\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}$ $\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}\mathbf{k}_{i}$ 证券研究报告 | 2025年12月19日 2025年12月20日 市场表现：20251219 大部分指数处于上涨状态，规模指数中中证 2000 指数 表现较好，板块指数中北证 50 指数表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 价值指 数表现较好。消费者服务、商贸零售、轻工制造、综合、纺织服装行业表现 较好，银行、煤炭、电子、石油石化、家电行业表现较差。海南自贸港、土 地流转、钒钛、汽车胎压监测、乳业等概念表现较好，光模块(CPO)、光刻 机、半导体硅片、存储器、磁电存储等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20251219 收盘时有 84 只股票涨停，有 7 只股票跌停。昨日涨停 股票今日高开高走，收盘收益为 3.21%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 -3.35%。今日封板率 73%，较前日提升 4%，连板率 2 ...

2025年港股IPO市场迎来爆发式增长，募资规模登顶全球主要交易所的同时，上市排队企业数量也持续攀升，形成一定程度的"堰塞湖"现象。 最新数据统计显示，截至12月17日，处于港股IPO聆讯处理中阶段的企业多达298家，其中12月半个多月内新增28家，远超11月同期的 18家，排队企业增速明显，后续节奏变化备受市场关注。此外，从市场格局来看，年内港股IPO已完成102家上市，募资额达2724.76亿 港元，同比激增226.62%，创下四年以来新高。 港股IPO"堰塞湖"现象背后，是市场对热度与潜在风险的担忧，港股监管层已针对申报质量下滑发出联合关切，投行人手短缺、文件粗糙等问题引 发关注；而二级市场"抽血"担忧虽持续发酵，但卖方研究显示一二级市场弱正相关，短期压力难改长期产业赋能逻辑，港股在规模扩张与风险防控 的平衡中持续前行。 近300家企业排队港股IPO Wind数据统计显示，科技与创新驱动的行业主导上述拟上市项目中，软件服务与硬件设备占比最高，合计约35%；医药生物行业多达6 家企业，聚焦创新药、肿瘤治疗、自身免疫疾病等高壁垒赛道，政策支持与市场需求双重驱动。 消费者服务与日常消费零售占比约25%，传统消 ...

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3900.5 points, down 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.29% to 13316.42 points [1][7] - Among 30 first-level industries, 24 experienced gains, with real estate, consumer services, and retail leading the increases, while banking, computer, electric equipment, and new energy sectors saw significant declines [1][7] - The total trading volume of the A-share market was 1791.6 billion, a decrease from the previous day [1][7] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, while the core CPI rose by 1.2% [8][12] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, with a year-on-year decline of 2.2% due to a high base effect [8] - A total of 2435 stocks rose, while 2844 fell, indicating a broad market fluctuation [8] International Market Overview - The U.S. stock market indices all closed higher, with the Dow Jones rising by 1.05% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.67% [2] - Notable gains were seen in Nike, which rose nearly 4%, and Caterpillar, which increased over 3% [2] - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with Canadian Solar gaining over 5% and JinkoSolar increasing by more than 3% [2] Key News - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for China's economic growth to 5% for 2025, up by 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates [11][12] - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.5% to 3.75% [14][15] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange confirmed a joint letter with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to IPO sponsors regarding concerns over the quality of recent listing applications [10]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (subscription code: 513723) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index, which selects 30 listed companies involved in internet-related businesses within the Hong Kong Stock Connect scope to reflect the overall performance of the internet theme in Hong Kong stocks [1][10] - The index focuses on companies whose main business involves internet software, internet retail, internet services, mobile internet, and even home entertainment software, thus breaking the limitations of traditional industry indices [1][10] Industry Distribution - The top three industries in the CSI secondary industry distribution are Media, Retail, and Consumer Services [1][10] - Major holdings include well-known companies such as Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, and SenseTime, with JD Health and Alibaba Health also appearing in the top ten holdings [1][3] Top Holdings - The top ten holdings by weight are as follows: - Alibaba-W (9988 HK): 18.92% in Retail - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK): 16.34% in Media - Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK): 10.16% in Electronics - Meituan-W (3690.HK): 8.07% in Consumer Services - SenseTime-W (0020.HK): 3.91% in Computers - Bilibili-W (9626.HK): 3.76% in Media - JD Health (6618.HK): 3.58% in Healthcare - Alibaba Health (0241.HK): 3.02% in Healthcare - Kuaishou-W (1024.HK): 2.81% in Media - Meitu Inc. (1357.HK): 2.58% in Media [3] Market Capitalization Distribution - Stocks with a market capitalization of over 200 billion account for 56% of the index, indicating a significant presence of large-cap stocks [3][10] - There are 15 mid-cap stocks with market capitalizations between 20 billion and 60 billion, reflecting a balanced sample distribution [3][10] Detailed Industry Breakdown - The top three weighted industries in the CSI tertiary industry distribution are Digital Media, Internet Retail, and Electronic Terminals and Components [8] - Digital Media includes familiar areas such as interactive media and video media, while Internet Retail corresponds to online shopping needs [8] Comparison with Other Indices - The index has a higher weight in Media and Retail, exceeding 50%, compared to traditional technology indices [15] - Unlike conventional technology indices, this index focuses on internet-related companies and excludes sectors like semiconductors and passenger vehicles, which have lower correlation with internet company performance [15][16]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月09日 社会服务行业双周报（第 120 期） 优于大市 湖北国资入主君亭酒店，关注首都、上海机场免税招标进展 板块复盘：消费者服务板块报告期内上涨 2.38%，跑输大盘 0.56pct。报 告期内（2025 年 11 月 24 日-12 月 7 日），国信社服板块涨幅居前的股票为 君亭酒店（14.27%）、中教控股（12.73%）、金沙中国有限公司（12.22%）、 中国东方教育（11.89%）、同道猎聘（11.71%）、同庆楼、美高梅中国、东 方甄选、华住集团-S、广州酒家。国信社服板块跌幅居前的股票为云南旅游 （-6.68%）、凯撒旅业（-6.00%）、希教国际控股（-5.52%）、新高教集团 （-4.72%）、大连圣亚（-4.58%）、兰生股份、百胜中国、长白山、宇华教 育、呷哺呷哺。 行业与公司动态：市场监管总局发布外卖平台管理国家标准，要求通过"一 镜到底"视频核验商户资质，并设定配送员接单时长上限，优化算法时电动 自行车时速按 15 公里/小时计算，并强调用工合作企业须落实社会保障等责 任等。蜜雪冰城在大连、西安等四城试点早餐业务，试点门店上线五红奶等 四款 5 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：华泰证券研究所） 策略: 港股正在进入布局区(2025-11-23) ▽ 点击一键直达 ▽ 近期市场波动率上升,流动性、情绪和风险偏好是 主要原因。港股本轮调整相对A股更早、跌幅也更 深,当前位置已经开始具备性价比。1)短期资金避 险和高低切可能延续,建议关注今年以来表现排名 靠后的消费者服务、建筑、纺织服装、家电。2)8月以 来的第三轮重估中,部分行业涨幅有限但近期跌幅 反而较大,有更大被"错杀"概率,关注电子、医药、 汽车、轻工制造等。3)港股科技近期回调较多,在风 险偏好回落下对正面催化敏感度下降,流动性环境 改善后仍有重估机会。 策略: 高低切下哪些行业还有补涨空间? (2025-11-16) ▽ 点击一键直达 ▽ 上周行业间高低切演绎较为极致,今年以来相对滞 涨的板块上周涨跌幅排名靠前。在盈利数据并未明 显改善的情况下资金提前切换,或因当前流动性承 压、主线不清晰等交易性因素。若资金高低切持续, 短期建议关注今年以来表现排名靠后的消费者服 务、建筑、纺织服装、家电以及具有防御属性的红利 方向。此外,12月开始港股流动性压力边际暂缓,切 换或难一帆风顺,依然建议均衡配置。 策略 ...

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market showed a mixed performance on December 4, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3875.79 points, down 0.06%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.4% to 13006.72 points. The STAR 50 Index increased by 1.36%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.01%. The total trading volume of the A-share market was 156.17 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous day [1][4][9] - Among the 30 sectors tracked by CITIC, 9 sectors saw gains, with electronics, defense, and machinery leading the increases. Conversely, sectors such as retail, consumer services, and textiles experienced significant declines. Notably, indices related to concepts like Moore Threads, satellite internet, and semiconductor equipment performed actively [1][4][9] Overseas Market Overview - On December 4, the U.S. stock market exhibited mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 0.07%, the S&P 500 Index rising by 0.11%, and the Nasdaq increasing by 0.22%. Notable declines were seen in 3M Company and UnitedHealth Group, both dropping over 2%. The index tracking seven major U.S. tech companies rose by 0.4%, with Facebook gaining over 3% and NVIDIA increasing by more than 2% [2][4] News Highlights - President Xi Jinping held talks with French President Emmanuel Macron, emphasizing the importance of mutual understanding and support between China and France, regardless of external changes. The two leaders discussed various cooperation agreements in fields such as nuclear energy, agriculture, education, and environmental protection [3][12][15] - The Ministry of Commerce announced that the Chinese government is conducting export controls on rare earth-related items in accordance with the law, ensuring compliance for civilian use applications [17][18] - The State Administration for Market Regulation indicated that new national standards for electric bicycles will be included in the 2026 supervision and inspection plan, focusing on safety inspection items [19] - The National Bio-Manufacturing Industry Innovation Center officially began trial operations, focusing on green low-carbon, bio-agriculture, and healthcare sectors [21]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in 2026 is expected to exhibit characteristics of "multiple lines of attack and blooming at multiple points" from an industry allocation perspective, according to Wang Daji, Chief Strategy Analyst at Zheshang Securities [1] Investment Opportunities - **Consumption and Wealth Effect Line**: The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high importance on "domestic demand." In the context of a systematic market uptrend and the wealth effect of the stock market, attention should be given to relatively lagging sectors such as consumer services, food and beverage, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery [1] - **Prosperity Direction Line**: Focus on industries such as automobiles, pharmaceuticals, electronics, power equipment, and non-bank financials [1] - **Traditional Industry Line**: The "14th Five-Year Plan" prioritizes the "optimization and upgrading of traditional industries." Key areas to watch include basic chemicals, machinery, construction (state-owned infrastructure), coal, and steel [1] - **Dividend Stabilizer Line**: The year 2026 will mark the implementation of new public fund regulations. Considering factors like dividend yield and under-allocation in public funds, sectors such as banking and transportation should be monitored [1]