Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant market downturn in the U.S. stock market, driven by fears of a trade war initiated by President Trump, leading to a reassessment of economic outlooks, inflation trends, interest rates, and corporate earnings [3]. Economic Data Focus - Key economic data to watch includes the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March, which is expected to influence market volatility if it exceeds expectations [3][4]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also be released, with particular attention to inflation expectations [3][4]. Company Earnings Reports - The earnings season is approaching, with major companies like JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, and Delta Air Lines set to report their results, which will provide insights into consumer and corporate demand [5]. Cal-Maine Foods - Cal-Maine Foods is expected to report a significant increase in earnings, with estimates suggesting a rise of over 250% year-over-year, driven by a shortage in egg supply and strong demand [6][8]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for Cal-Maine is $10.75, up from $3.01 in the same quarter last year, with quarterly revenue expected to grow by 102% to $1.42 billion [8]. - Despite recent declines in egg prices due to softening consumer demand, the company remains optimistic due to ongoing supply issues from avian influenza [8][10]. Delta Air Lines - Delta Air Lines faces a challenging outlook, with analysts downgrading earnings forecasts due to a weakening economy affecting consumer spending [11][13]. - The expected EPS for Delta is $0.44, reflecting a slight decline of 2% year-over-year, with revenue anticipated to grow by 7% to $13.6 billion [13]. - The airline's stock has seen a significant drop of 38.4% year-to-date, and concerns about its financial health are reflected in a moderate rating of 5.9 out of 10, primarily due to issues with its balance sheet and cash flow [15].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing theme in the banking industry is the "clean-up of non-performing assets," as evidenced by the annual reports and management statements from listed banks for 2024 [1] Summary by Sections Non-Performing Asset Transfer Trends - In 2024, the total amount of non-performing loans (NPLs) listed for transfer reached 286.19 billion yuan, an increase of 80.2% compared to 2023, with the number of listed projects growing over 40% [4] - The banking industry is expected to see significant growth in non-performing asset disposal, driven by an increase in participating institutions and market demand [2] Key Participants in NPL Transfers - Joint-stock banks accounted for nearly half of the total transaction volume, with a total of 112.54 billion yuan in non-performing loans, representing 49.83% of the total [4] - Consumer finance companies and state-owned banks followed, with transaction volumes of 41.44 billion yuan and 35.25 billion yuan, respectively [4] Characteristics of NPL Transactions - The bulk of personal business transactions, including personal consumption loans, accounted for 70% of the total NPL transaction volume, with personal consumption loans making up 66.6% of this category in Q4 2024 [4] - The average discount rate for NPLs decreased to 4.8%, down 20 basis points year-on-year, while the average principal recovery rate fell to 7.3%, down 50 basis points [7] Role of Local Asset Management Companies (AMCs) - Local AMCs have become the primary buyers of non-performing loans, acquiring 163.95 billion yuan, which constitutes 70% of the total transaction volume [8] - The active participation of local AMCs is often backed by local government support, enhancing their capacity to manage and acquire distressed assets [9] Market Expansion and Future Outlook - Over 20 commercial banks have announced NPL transfers in 2024, with total uncollected principal and interest exceeding 60 billion yuan, significantly higher than the previous year [11] - The number of institutions involved in NPL transfer has reached 1,015, indicating a broadening market landscape [11] Challenges and Innovations in NPL Management - The need for innovation in traditional business models is pressing, as the sources of non-performing assets are expected to diversify, leading to longer disposal cycles [12] - Local AMCs must enhance their risk management capabilities and explore new methods for asset recovery, such as digital collection and asset securitization [12][13]

导语： 卡尼承诺将继续对美国商品征收报复性关税，直到"美国人向我们展示出尊重，并做出 可信且可靠的自由公平贸易承诺。" "美国不是加拿大。加拿大永远不可能以任何方式、任何形式成为美国的一部分。"卡尼在周日的胜 选演讲中表示。 "我们没有主动挑起这场斗争，但加拿大人总是准备好应对挑战。当有人挑战我们时，我们从不退 缩。所以美国人应该清楚：在贸易中，就像在冰球场上，加拿大会赢。" 卡尼承诺将继续对美国商品征收报复性关税，直到"美国人向我们展示出尊重，并做出可信且可靠 的自由公平贸易承诺。"他表示，所有关税收入将用于保护工人。 他还承诺进行关键投资，将加拿大经济打造成七国集团（G7）中最强大的经济体，其中包括与可靠 的贸易伙伴建立新的贸易走廊，并将加拿大打造成一个"能源超级大国"。 危机管理者 马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）赢得了加拿大新一任总理的竞选，将在加拿大面临美国总统唐纳德·特朗 普（Donald Trump）政府威胁其经济未来之际，接掌这个国家的领导权。 这位前加拿大银行（Bank of Canada）和英格兰银行（Bank of England）行长在自由党党内选举中 获得了接近86%的选票，成功 ...

淘天称今年双 11 投入力度近年最大。 包括 300 亿元消费券及红包和 30 亿元商家支持补贴，流量投入超百亿。 阿里（9988.HK）集团副总裁、天猫事业部总裁、天猫总裁家洛在媒体沟通会上说，今年国庆假 期，很多大型国际品牌的线下销售并不好，有的同比下滑十几个百分点，但同样的品牌却在线上和 天猫增长很好；消费环境也带来一些明显的消费特征变化，比如大家日常的消费没那么自如随意， 更愿意在优惠大的时候集中囤货，加之政府补贴首次被引入双 11，让今年双 11 背负更多商家和平 台期待。 今年双 11 的另一大变化是简化了红包、消费券的计算规则，将商品实际到手价直接显示在消费者 浏览的商品页，消费者不用再算数学题，方便网购不熟练的用户，也方便直接比价。家洛称比价和 "贵必赔" 是希望把定价权还给商家，让各个平台的价格稳定、齐平，不形成行业的额外 "内卷"。 全球最大药企礼来投资 15 亿元增产苏州工厂。 全球最大市值药企礼来公司宣布，将投资约 15 亿元人民币用于其苏州工厂的产能升级，扩大 2 型 糖尿病和肥胖创新药物的生产规模，以满足中国患者需求，并支持未来管线产品的生产。自 2022 年起，礼来在 2 型糖尿 ...