2月25日，国盛证券涨1.26%，成交额2.94亿元。两融数据显示，当日国盛证券获融资买入额6571.21万 元，融资偿还2628.27万元，融资净买入3942.94万元。截至2月25日，国盛证券融资融券余额合计7.42亿 元。 分红方面，国盛证券A股上市后累计派现2.64亿元。近三年，累计派现0.00元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，国盛证券十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流 通股东，持股2962.45万股，相比上期增加390.77万股。国泰中证全指证券公司ETF（512880）位居第九 大流通股东，持股1500.23万股，相比上期增加599.19万股。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 融资方面，国盛证券当日融资买入6571.21万元。当前融资余额7.36亿元，占流通市值的2.82%，融资余 额低于近一年50%分位水平，处于较低位。 融券方面，国盛证券2月25日融券偿还1 ...

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月25日，中信证券涨0.40%，成交额28.24亿元。两融数据显示，当日中信证券获融资买入额5.11亿 元，融资偿还4.11亿元，融资净买入1.01亿元。截至2月25日，中信证券融资融券余额合计190.74亿元。 融资方面，中信证券当日融资买入5.11亿元。当前融资余额190.55亿元，占流通市值的5.64%，融资余 额超过近一年80%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，中信证券2月25日融券偿还2.62万股，融券卖出2.73万股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 75.73万元；融券余量69.45万股，融券余额1926.54万元，低于近一年30%分位水平，处于低位。 截至9月30日，中信证券股东户数66.94万，较上期增加1.64%；人均流通股18192股，较上期减少 1.61%。2025年1月-9月，中信证券实现营业收入558.15亿元，同比增长20.96%；归母净利润231.59亿 元，同比增长37.86%。 分红方面，中信证券A股上市后累计派现930.02亿元。近三年，累计派现263.06亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中信证券十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位 ...

- The report discusses the methodology for calculating dividend points in stock indices, which is crucial for accurately estimating the premium or discount in stock index futures contracts. The calculation considers the dividend impact of index constituent stocks, which naturally causes the index level to drop in price indices but is reinvested in total return indices[12][42][45] - The dividend points are calculated using the formula: $$\text{Dividend Points} = \sum_{n=1}^{N} \frac{\text{Dividend Amount of Stock}_n}{\text{Total Market Value of Stock}_n} \times \text{Weight of Stock}_n \times \text{Index Closing Price}$$ Here, \(N\) represents the number of constituent stocks, and the calculation only includes stocks with ex-dividend dates between the current date and the futures contract expiration date[42][45] - The methodology for estimating key parameters includes: 1. **Constituent Stock Weights**: Adjusted daily using the formula: $$W_{n,t} = \frac{w_{n0} \times (1 + r_n)}{\sum_{i=1}^{N} w_{i0} \times (1 + r_i)}$$ where \(w_{n0}\) is the weight of stock \(n\) on the last disclosed date, and \(r_n\) is the non-adjusted return of stock \(n\) since that date[46] 2. **Dividend Amounts**: Estimated as the product of net profit and dividend payout ratio. If not disclosed, net profit is predicted using historical profit distribution patterns, and the payout ratio is estimated using historical averages[48][51] 3. **Ex-Dividend Dates**: Predicted using historical patterns and linear extrapolation based on the stability of the time interval between announcement and ex-dividend dates[52][57] - The accuracy of the dividend point estimation model is evaluated by comparing predicted and actual dividend points for indices like SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000. The model shows high accuracy, with errors generally within 5 points for SSE 50 and CSI 300, and within 10 points for CSI 500 and CSI 1000[58][62][65]

Core Conclusions - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-end equipment and new materials that align with national industrial upgrading trends, while monitoring market liquidity and the impact of main board hot spots on the capital flow of the Beijing Stock Exchange [1][5]. Domestic Market Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,147.23, up by 0.72% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14,475.87, up by 1.29% - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,735.89, up by 0.60% - The Shanghai 180 Index closed at 10,405.99, up by 0.53% - The SME Index closed at 8,787.92, up by 1.12% - The ChiNext Index closed at 3,354.82, up by 1.41% [2]. Industry Review - On February 24, the trading volume of the Beijing Stock Exchange A-shares reached 16.379 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.057 billion yuan from the previous trading day - The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index closed at 1,535.432, up by 0.37%, with a PE_TTM of 64.51 times - The specialized and innovative index closed at 2,566.43, up by 0.36% - Among 294 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, 242 saw their stock prices rise, 4 remained flat, and 48 experienced declines [3]. News Summary - The report highlights a potential price increase in MLCCs, with major manufacturers like Murata and Samsung Electronics considering double-digit price hikes due to rising demand from AI infrastructure investments - The Ministry of Commerce has placed 20 Japanese entities under export control to safeguard national security [4]. Investment Recommendations - The market is currently driven by "resource price increases" and "technology growth," with cyclical sectors like oil, petrochemicals, and precious metals leading the gains - Companies in the phosphorus chemical and industrial metal supply chains on the Beijing Stock Exchange may benefit from price elasticity - The technology sector shows divergence, with AI computing hardware performing well ahead of the NVIDIA GTC conference, while AI applications face challenges post-Spring Festival - The report suggests focusing on high-end equipment and new materials that align with national industrial upgrading, while keeping an eye on market liquidity and the rotation of main board hot spots affecting capital flow to the Beijing Stock Exchange [5].

2月25日，上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、市公积金管理中心等五 部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》，自2026年2月26日起施行。 业内人士认为，"新七条"政策充分体现上海综合施策、因城施策、发挥好存量和增量政策集成效应的导 向，亦符合2026年住房消费工作的相关要求。2023年以来，上海出台多轮房地产优化政策，综合性和系 统性较强，涉及限购、土地、金融、财税等多领域政策调整，也包括当前动迁安置房票试点以及国企收 购二手房等创新举措。此类政策发挥了非常好的组合拳效应。结合此次"新七条"新政，我们认为，其在 持续降低购房成本的同时，也将进一步促进住房消费需求积极释放和供求关系平衡，亦进一步巩固当前 楼市稳中向好的态势。 债市要闻 【上海楼市新政"沪七条"出台，进一步调减住房限购政策，对债市影响几何？】 此次7项政策，围绕多项住房需求展开。其既涉及非沪籍和沪籍家庭，也包括从事城市基础服务的相关 人员、多孩家庭等，具有惠及面广、精准施策的特点。综合来看，其体现了对各类住房需求的进一步支 持，尤其包括职住平衡、宜居安居、刚需改善等需求维度。对于即将到来的小阳春关键时间 ...

长期以来，对内幕交易和操纵市场处罚主要以行政责任和刑事责任为主。尽管证券法明确规定了内幕交 易和操纵市场的民事赔偿责任，但由于缺乏具体司法解释，相关民事赔偿案件落地较少。 内幕交易民事赔偿案件尤为罕见，除"光大证券乌龙指"案中部分投资者成功获赔外，多数相关案件以原 告败诉或撤诉告终。 汤欣分析称，早期部分判决中原告败诉的主要原因是"无法证明损失与内幕交易行为之间存在因果关 系"。如何认定因果关系、界定适格原告范围（如"同时反向交易"投资者）以及如何计算损失，是内幕 交易民事赔偿案件审理的难点，也是司法解释制定的重点。 2月24日，最高人民法院民二庭庭长王闯在新闻发布会上表示，将制定证券市场内幕交易、操纵市场民 事赔偿司法解释。此消息引发市场关注。 在市场人士看来，出台上述两部民事赔偿司法解释，有助于补齐内幕交易、操纵市场立体化追责体系的 最后一块"短板"。这不仅能够统一司法裁判尺度，畅通投资者权利救济渠道，还将显著提高违法成本， 净化市场生态。 清华大学法学院教授汤欣对《证券日报》记者表示，最高法多次表示，制定上述两部司法解释旨在落实 证券法关于内幕交易、操纵市场民事赔偿的相关规定，相关工作已在学理分析和调查 ...

随着资本市场深化改革持续推进，证券行业正迎来高质量发展的新周期。2026年2月26日，华泰柏瑞中 证全指证券公司ETF（扩位简称：证券ETF华泰柏瑞）启动发售，认购代码560403，基金代码560400。 该产品跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，覆盖A股市场49只核心券商股，为投资者提供一键布局券商板块的 便捷工具。 "证券ETF华泰柏瑞"的管理人华泰柏瑞基金是国内指数投资领域的先行者，拥有超过19年的被动投资管 理经验。公司旗下沪深300ETF华泰柏瑞（510300）、A500ETF华泰柏瑞（563360）等产品规模居同类 前列，在行业主题ETF方面也打造了多个精品投资工具。截至2025年底，华泰柏瑞基金累计八次荣 获"被动投资金牛基金公司"，在被动投资领域累计摘得18座金牛奖，展现出较强的指数运作实力。本次 证券ETF华泰柏瑞的推出，旨在为投资者提供一个透明、便捷、高效的券商板块配置工具，助力把握资 本市场深化改革与行业整合带来的制度红利。 奖项备注：华泰柏瑞于25年12月/23年12月/22年8月/21年9月/20年3月/19年4月/17年4月/16年3月八次荣获 中证报"被动投资金牛基金公司"；沪深300ET ...

央行"普降甘霖"。 中国人民银行2月24日发布中期借贷便利招标公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2月25日，将以固定 数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元MLF操作，期限为1年期。 财通证券分析指出，1月"存强贷弱"的格局使得银行负债端支撑减弱，节后资金紧张的情况可能阶段性 上升。 这一判断在业内并非个例。天风证券进一步提示，节后流动性紧张具有季节性特征，尤其在"春节+税 期"叠加的背景下表现更为明显。节前非银机构为维持杠杆、持券过节，往往在节后面临短期融资集中 到期，造成市场利率的短暂走高。历史数据显示，类似情况通常在税期结束后才会显著缓解。 鉴于本月有3000亿元MLF到期，央行2月通过MLF净投放3000亿元。这是央行连续12个月加量操作 MLF。 本周2.2万亿元逆回购到期 "2月有3000亿MLF到期，意味着2月MLF续作加量3000亿，为连续第12月加量，加量规模小于上月的 7000亿。不过，2月两个期限品种的买断式逆回购净投放6000亿，意味着2月中期流动性净投放总额达到 9000亿，为连续10个月净投放，净投放规模仅略低于上月的1万亿，继续处于偏高水平。"东方金诚首席 宏观分析师王 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the optimistic outlook of foreign investment banks towards China's economy in 2026, suggesting a favorable environment for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks due to policy support, improving corporate profits, and capital inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market is expected to exhibit a "N" shaped trend in 2026, with a continuation of the upward trend from late last year into the Spring Festival [2] - External liquidity easing may be nearing its end, and while the AI industry shows medium-term promise, short-term discrepancies between reality and expectations may impact the market [2] - Despite potential market fluctuations in the second quarter, the upward trend of the A-share market is likely to remain intact due to the ongoing recovery of domestic demand [2] Group 2: Key Focus Areas - Investors should pay attention to the development of the AI industry, particularly innovations in AI applications, as this is crucial for the A-share market in 2026 [3] - Marginal improvements in China's macroeconomy, including real estate and consumption, are also significant, with indicators showing positive trends [3] - The relationship between global re-inflation and liquidity is important, as the global inflation cycle is ahead of China's, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will be key indicators to watch [3] Group 3: Capital Inflows - The overall upward trend in the market since the "924" rally has created a profit-making effect, attracting more capital recognition towards A-shares due to China's competitive advantages and economic resilience [3] - There is a clear trend of incremental capital inflows into A-shares, with both domestic and foreign investors viewing opportunities as outweighing risks [3] Group 4: Currency and Asset Revaluation - The trend of RMB appreciation is expected to be sustained, positively impacting the capital market [4] - The expectation of RMB appreciation may lead to a return of funds previously allocated to global assets, contributing to a potential "Asset Revaluation 2.0" in China [5] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities are concentrated in three areas: the AI industry, particularly infrastructure and hardware; cyclical sectors with ongoing commodity price increases; and the pharmaceutical sector, which may benefit from AI advancements [6] - The technology sector is highlighted as requiring careful selection for investment, with significant opportunities anticipated in technology, cyclical sectors, real estate, and certain consumer segments [6]

（原标题：券商晨会精华 | 美股分化显著 成长风格有望回归） 昨日，市场冲高回落，创业板指盘中一度涨超2%，沪深两市成交额2.2万亿。全市场超4000只个股上涨，其中109只个股涨停。从板块来看，油气 股、化工、培育钻石、玻纤等概念表现活跃。下跌方面，影视院线、AI应用等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指涨0.87%，深成指涨1.36%，创业板 指涨0.99%。 在今日券商晨会上，华泰证券认为，美将磷系农资列入战略资源影响深远；国泰海通证券认为，美股分化显著，成长有望回归；中金公司认为， 上海调减住房限购，或助力房价局地企稳。 华泰证券：美将磷系农资列入战略资源影响深远 2026年2月18日，特朗普政府援引《国防生产法》发布行政令，正式将磷元素与草甘膦除草剂列为美国战略资源，以保障国内供应链安全。全球近 几年80%的磷资源下游用于磷肥，草甘膦由于转基因抗性种子需求成为全球第一大除草剂，二者是全球农资的核心环节。据USGS，2025年美国磷 矿石进口依存度16%，主要来自秘鲁及摩洛哥。美国草甘膦本土产能充足，但考虑厂商到对欧洲及南美的供应，仍需进口中国产草甘膦。 相对而言，中国磷矿石自给率较高，而草甘膦净出口且产能略 ...