Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's container shipping profits have significantly increased, demonstrating strong performance resilience, while the oil shipping business shows potential for flexibility [4][7] - The company is expected to benefit from a dual business resonance due to the upward fundamentals in oil and bulk shipping [5] Financial Summary - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 6.437 billion, 7.450 billion, and 7.993 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.03%, 15.75%, and 7.28% respectively [5] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 7.40, 6.39, and 5.96 respectively [5] - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 5.595 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.53%, while the net profit was 0.865 billion RMB, down 37.07% year-on-year [7] - The container shipping segment saw a net profit increase of 222.12% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the oil tanker segment experienced a net profit decline of 44.02% [7] Market Performance - The oil and bulk shipping markets are gradually recovering, with container shipping profits showing significant growth [7] - The company has expanded its container shipping capacity by 35% year-on-year in Q1 2025 and is developing high-value-added services [7] - The OPEC+ production increase is expected to positively impact oil shipping rates, while the dry bulk market is anticipated to see demand growth due to new mining projects [7]

Group 1 - Qingdao Port's closing price on April 30 was 8.68 yuan, up 1.05%, with a rolling PE ratio of 10.59 times and a total market value of 56.343 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the shipping and port industry is 13.00 times, with a median of 14.04 times, placing Qingdao Port at the 10th position in the industry ranking [1] - As of the first quarter of 2025, 31 institutions held shares in Qingdao Port, including 22 funds, 6 others, 1 insurance company, 1 brokerage, and 1 social security fund, with a total holding of 492,844.41 million shares valued at 48.397 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. specializes in the loading and unloading of various goods such as containers, metal ores, coal, and crude oil, along with logistics and port value-added services [2] - The company has received numerous honors, including the National Quality Management Award and recognition as a "Green Port," and has been identified as one of the five exemplary world-class ports by the Ministry of Transport [2] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.807 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, and a net profit of 1.402 billion yuan, up 6.51%, with a gross profit margin of 38.57% [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The oil transportation industry is facing short-term pressure on performance, but the OPEC+ production increase is favorable for the oil transportation market [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 22,091 million RMB - 2024: 23,244 million RMB (growth of 5.22%) - 2025E: 25,911 million RMB (growth of 11.48%) - 2026E: 27,856 million RMB (growth of 7.51%) - 2027E: 28,891 million RMB (growth of 3.72%) [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as: - 2023: 3,351 million RMB - 2024: 4,037 million RMB (growth of 20.47%) - 2025E: 5,035 million RMB (growth of 24.73%) - 2026E: 6,412 million RMB (growth of 27.36%) - 2027E: 7,020 million RMB (growth of 9.49%) [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecast: - 2023: 0.70 RMB - 2024: 0.85 RMB - 2025E: 1.06 RMB - 2026E: 1.34 RMB - 2027E: 1.47 RMB [7] Key Financial Ratios - Return on Equity (ROE) is expected to improve: - 2023: 9.74% - 2024: 11.25% - 2025E: 12.95% - 2026E: 15.00% - 2027E: 14.95% [7] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio forecast: - 2024: 12.34 - 2025E: 9.89 - 2026E: 7.77 - 2027E: 7.09 [7] Market Data - Closing price as of April 29, 2025: 10.44 RMB - Market capitalization: 49,806.91 million RMB - Total shares outstanding: 4,770.78 million [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Port, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [4][6][27]. Core Views - Qingdao Port is positioned as the largest foreign trade port in northern China, with a strong growth trajectory in cargo throughput and a robust dividend policy [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the adjustment of its restructuring plan, which involves a cash acquisition of high-quality oil product assets, enhancing its earnings per share (EPS) by 6.07% [2][4]. - The financial metrics indicate a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.7, coupled with a high return on equity (ROE) of 13%, suggesting significant long-term investment value [3][4]. Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 18,173.13 million yuan in 2023 to 21,259.96 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.02% [5][21]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 4,923.32 million yuan in 2023 to 5,915.14 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trend [5][21]. - The report anticipates a stable growth in cargo and container throughput by 2025, driven by the company's strategic initiatives and external demand resilience [1][2]. Valuation Metrics - The report highlights that Qingdao Port's P/B ratio is projected to decrease from 1.38 in 2023 to 1.05 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to its peers [5][21]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, averaging 44% from 2018 to 2024, which supports its investment attractiveness [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Port, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [4][6][28]. Core Views - Qingdao Port is positioned as the largest foreign trade port in Northern China, with a strong growth trajectory in cargo throughput and a robust dividend policy. The company is expected to benefit from the construction of a Northeast Asia international shipping hub and resilient external demand [1][3]. - The adjusted restructuring plan involves a cash acquisition of high-quality oil product assets, which is projected to enhance the company's earnings per share (EPS) by 6.07% despite a slight dilution in return on equity (ROE) [2][4]. - The company exhibits a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.7, which is below many peers, combined with a high ROE of 13% and a consistent dividend payout ratio averaging 44% from 2018 to 2024, highlighting its long-term investment value [3][4]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 18,173.13 million yuan in 2023 to 21,259.96 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.02% [5][21]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 4,923.32 million yuan in 2023 to 5,915.14 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trend [5][21]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 11.33 in 2023 to 9.43 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [5][21]. Market Position and Performance - Qingdao Port's cargo and container throughput is anticipated to maintain stable growth through 2025, supported by ongoing port integration and a favorable cargo structure [1][2]. - The company has a strong financial position with a low debt-to-asset ratio of 26.03%, indicating a solid balance sheet and capacity for future growth [6][21].

Group 1 - As of April 30, 2024, 5,402 A-share listed companies have disclosed their annual reports, with total revenue of 71.92 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.21 trillion yuan, down 2.98% year-on-year [1] - Among the companies that disclosed their annual reports, 4,029 achieved profitability, accounting for 75% [1] - The top ten companies in terms of planned dividend amounts include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Mobile, China Construction Bank, and China Merchants Bank, with Kweichow Moutai leading the per-share dividend at 276.24 yuan (including tax) [2] Group 2 - Over 500 companies have a per-share dividend exceeding 0.5 yuan (including tax), and about 160 companies have a per-share dividend exceeding 1 yuan (including tax) [2] - Industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, non-bank financials, electronics, transportation, and automotive have shown significant performance recovery in their annual reports [2] - The recovery in these industries is closely related to the rebound in market demand and optimization of industry structure [2] Group 3 - A total of 3,645 out of 5,317 companies that announced profit distribution plans intend to carry out cash dividends, accounting for 68.55% [4] - Many companies have introduced share transfer plans alongside their dividend proposals, with 335 companies planning to conduct share transfers, and companies like New Aluminum Era and Huihan Shares leading in transfer ratios [2] - High dividend payouts combined with profit growth signal positive market sentiment and enhance investor confidence [3]

中原证券认为，周二A股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理，早盘股指低开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在3294点 附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震荡，盘中汽车零部件、机器人、互联网服务以及通用设备等行业表现较 好；电力、保险、航运港口以及贵金属等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡整理的运行特征。 4月是年报和一季报密集披露期，市场将从预期驱动转向基本面验证。预计短期市场仍以区间震荡为 主，但政策托底与经济韧性为结构性机会提供支撑。市场或延续政策与业绩双轮驱动的结构性行情，投 资者需平衡防御与成长，聚焦业绩确定性高、政策催化明确的板块，同时警惕外部风险引发的短期波 动。 东莞证券认为，周二，市场全天震荡调整，三大指数缩量微跌。海外方面，本周美国将公布3月核心 PCE和4月非农就业等重要经济数据，或将一定程度上影响美国经济预期走势及贸易谈判进程。国内方 面，五一假期将近，节前资金避险情绪有所提升，部分资金选择在短期获利离场，市场继续缩量。随着 本周财报披露季结束，叠加海外冲击逐渐减弱，A股市场将进入一个相对均衡的阶段。但另一方面，指 数目前处于相对纠结的位置，指数上方有压力，同时估值不存在超跌情况，短期缺乏热点催化，市场或 将继续 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 11.36 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 2.83 billion yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.71% [5] - The newly launched game "Wanjian Changsheng" contributed significantly to revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 3.63 billion yuan [6] Group 2: Industry Trends - The eye care industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with the company managing to maintain revenue growth despite external challenges, achieving a revenue of 60 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 16% year-on-year [8][9] - The company is expanding its international presence, with significant revenue contributions from Europe and Southeast Asia, achieving a total revenue of 210 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The chemical industry is seeing a substantial increase in revenue, with the company reporting a revenue of 8.59 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.68% [12][15] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 0.67 billion yuan in Q1 2025, which is a 10.46% increase year-on-year and a remarkable 902.93% increase quarter-on-quarter [12][15] - The net profit margin for the company improved significantly, with a sales net profit margin of 10.80% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points [12] - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 41.27 billion yuan, 48.48 billion yuan, and 55.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [17]

Performance Summary - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 204.688 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.61% year-on-year, and a net profit of 84.156 billion yuan, down 3.99% [3] - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) had Q1 operating income of 185.99 billion yuan, down 4.76% year-on-year, with a net profit of 83.351 billion yuan, also down 3.99% [3] - Agricultural Bank of China (01288.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 186.735 billion yuan, an increase of 0.32% year-on-year, and a net profit of 71.931 billion yuan, up 2.2% [3] - Bank of China (03988.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 164.911 billion yuan, an increase of 2.41% year-on-year, but a net profit of 58.644 billion yuan, down 2.22% [3] - Postal Savings Bank of China (01658.HK) had Q1 revenue of 89.406 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1%, and a net profit of 25.246 billion yuan, down 2.62% [3] - China Merchants Bank (03968.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 83.731 billion yuan, down 3.11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 37.286 billion yuan, down 2.08% [3] - Bank of Communications (03328.HK) had Q1 net operating income of 66.44 billion yuan, down 1.13%, but a net profit of 25.372 billion yuan, up 1.54% [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 17.649 billion USD, down 14.95%, and a post-tax profit of 7.57 billion USD, down 30.15% [3] - China People's Insurance Group (01339.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 156.589 billion yuan, up 12.8%, and a net profit of 12.849 billion yuan, up 43.4% [3] - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 110.177 billion yuan, down 8.9%, but a net profit of 28.802 billion yuan, up 39.5% [3] - New China Life Insurance (01336.HK) had Q1 revenue of 33.402 billion yuan, up 26.1%, and a net profit of 5.882 billion yuan, up 19% [3] - China National Petroleum Corporation (00857.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 753.108 billion yuan, down 7.3%, but a net profit of 46.809 billion yuan, up 2.3% [3] - CNOOC (00883.HK) had Q1 revenue of 106.854 billion yuan, down 4.1%, and a net profit of 36.563 billion yuan, down 7.9% [3] - Huadian International Power (01071.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 26.577 billion yuan, down 14.14%, but a net profit of 1.93 billion yuan, up 3.66% [3] - China International Marine Containers (01880.HK) had Q1 revenue of 16.746 billion yuan, down 10.96%, and a net profit of 1.938 billion yuan, down 15.98% [3] - Air China (00753.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 40.023 billion yuan, down 0.11%, with a net loss of 2.044 billion yuan, an increase of 22.07% [3] - CITIC Securities (06030.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 17.761 billion yuan, up 29.13%, and a net profit of 6.545 billion yuan, up 32% [3] - China Galaxy Securities (06881.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 7.558 billion yuan, up 4.77%, and a net profit of approximately 3.016 billion yuan, up 84.86% [3] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities (06066.HK) had Q1 operating income of 4.919 billion yuan, up 14.54%, and a net profit of 1.843 billion yuan, up 50.07% [3] - Huatai Securities (06886.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 8.232 billion yuan, up 34.83%, and a net profit of approximately 3.642 billion yuan, up 58.97% [3] - China Railway Construction (01186.HK) had Q1 revenue of 256.762 billion yuan, down 6.61%, and a net profit of 5.151 billion yuan, down 14.51% [3] - China Energy Engineering (03996.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 100.371 billion yuan, up 3.05%, and a net profit of 1.612 billion yuan, up 8.83% [3] - Times Electric (03898.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 4.537 billion yuan, up 14.81%, and a net profit of 631 million yuan, up 13.42% [3] - Midea Group (00300.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 127.839 billion yuan, up 20.49%, and a net profit of 12.422 billion yuan, up 38.02% [3] - WH Group (00288.HK) had Q1 revenue of 6.554 billion USD, up 6.0%, and a profit of 364 million USD, up 20.9% [3] - Suncity Group (00880.HK) reported Q1 total revenue of 7.48 billion HKD, up 8.1%, and a net profit of 31 million HKD, turning profitable [3] - COSCO Shipping Ports (01199.HK) had Q1 revenue of 3.82 billion USD, up 14.7%, and a net profit of 839 million USD, up 33.5% [3] - Flat Glass Group (06865.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 4.079 billion yuan, down 28.76%, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, down 86.03% [3] - Zoomlion Heavy Industry (01157.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 12.117 billion yuan, up 2.92%, and a net profit of 1.41 billion yuan, up 53.98% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 3.772 billion yuan, down 25.43%, with a net loss of approximately 356 million yuan, narrowing by 18.93% [3] - Qingdao Port (06198.HK) had Q1 revenue of 4.807 billion yuan, up 8.51%, and a net profit of 1.402 billion yuan, up 6.51% [3] - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 3.641 billion yuan, up 29.73%, and a net profit of approximately 184 million yuan, up about 11 times [3] - Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical (00874.HK) had Q1 revenue of 22.473 billion yuan, down 2.06%, and a net profit of 1.821 billion yuan, down 6.99% [3] Investment Activities - New China Life Insurance (01336.HK) plans to invest no more than 10 billion yuan to subscribe to a private fund [4] - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) intends to invest 2 billion yuan to establish a partnership [4] Contract Signing - China Metallurgical Group (01618.HK) reported a new contract signing amount of 230.66 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 27.2% year-on-year, with overseas contracts amounting to 12.04 billion yuan, down 35.7% [5] Energy Production - Xin Tian Green Energy (00956.HK) completed power generation of 4.5442 million MWh in Q1, an increase of 10.37% year-on-year [6] - China Power (02380.HK) reported total electricity sales of 30.7477 million MWh in the first three months, up 2.59% year-on-year, with March sales of 10.9617 million MWh, up 3.95% [6] - Qingdao Port (06198.HK) achieved a total cargo throughput of 177 million tons in the first three months, up 2.9% year-on-year [6] Licensing Agreement - Fuhong Hanlin (02696.HK) entered into a licensing agreement with Sandoz AG for the commercialization of HLX13 in specified regions [6] Privatization Offer - Dingsheng Creation (00113.HK) received a privatization offer at a premium of approximately 50.63%, with a maximum cash consideration of about 1.0986 billion HKD [7] Share Buybacks - AIA Group (01299.HK) repurchased shares for 342.6 million HKD, buying back 6.2592 million shares at prices between 54.25 and 55.35 HKD [8] - J&T Express-W (01519.HK) repurchased shares for 9.2485 million HKD, buying back 1.54 million shares at prices between 5.98 and 6.03 HKD [8]

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 祝玉波 S0350523120005 zhouyb01@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 张晋铭 S0350124040003 zhangjm02@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 吞吐量稳健增长，看好成长逐步兑现 ——北部湾港（000582）2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 北部湾港 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 13.8% | | 沪深 300 | -3.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 8.84 | | 当前价格（元） | 8.84 | | --- | --- | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.77-11.50 | | 总市值（百万） | 20,563.04 | | 流通市值（百万） | 15,999.19 | | 总股本（万股） | ...