Group 1 - The number of newly established foreign-invested enterprises in China increased by 11.7% year-on-year in the first half of the year [11] - The Southwest Oil and Gas Field achieved a record high in natural gas production in the first half of the year [13] - A series of key energy and transportation projects under the "14th Five-Year Plan" are steadily advancing [5] Group 2 - The third Chain Expo reached over 6,000 cooperation intentions [10] - The typhoon "Wipha" made landfall in the coastal area of Guangdong [9] - The first batch of "good housing" construction experience lists has been released [12]

- The report identifies the market's uptrend by analyzing the distance between the 120-day and 20-day moving averages of the WIND All A index, which has expanded from 3.04% to 4.04%, indicating a continued uptrend[2][10][17] - The core observation variable for the market's uptrend is the "profitability effect," which is currently positive at 3.76%, suggesting that incremental funds are likely to continue entering the market[2][4][11] - The industry allocation model recommends sectors such as Hong Kong innovative drugs, Hong Kong securities, and Hang Seng consumption, with additional opportunities in the photovoltaic sector due to anti-involution benefits[3][4][11] - The TWO BETA model continues to recommend the technology sector, with a focus on military and AI applications[3][4][11] - The valuation indicators show that the WIND All A index's overall PE is at the 70th percentile, indicating a moderate level, while the PB is at the 30th percentile, indicating a relatively low level[3][11] - Based on the short-term trend judgment and the position management model, the report suggests an 80% position for absolute return products with the WIND All A index as the main stock allocation[3][11] Model Backtesting Results - The distance between the 20-day and 120-day moving averages of the WIND All A index is 4.04%, indicating a continued uptrend[2][10][17] - The profitability effect value is 3.76%, which is significantly positive, suggesting that the market is likely to continue its uptrend despite short-term fluctuations[2][4][11]

Global Macro Environment - The US economy shows positive data, but inflation risks remain, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates twice in 2025 at a slower pace [2] - China's economic recovery is weak, with limited effects from policy stimulus, facing challenges from a real estate market crisis and external tariff pressures [3] - Other countries, including the EU and emerging economies, are following the Fed's rate cuts but must balance the pressure from a strengthening dollar, while geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine persist [3] Vietnam Economic and Stock Market Outlook - Vietnam's economic growth is projected at 7% for 2024 and between 6.0%-6.5% for 2025, driven by trade, FDI, manufacturing, and consumption, with significant long-term potential from government reforms and infrastructure projects like the North-South high-speed railway [4] - The VN-Index has opportunities for breakthroughs amid volatility, with a positive scenario potentially pushing it above 1450 points, supported by GDP growth, an expected 20% increase in EPS, market upgrade expectations (such as FTSE potentially upgrading Vietnam to emerging market status), and easing geopolitical risks [4]

Group 1 - The major industry ETFs in the US stock market are mostly rising, with the utilities ETF increasing by over 1% and the consumer discretionary ETF showing the highest gains [1] - The utilities ETF (US XLU) is priced at 83.43, up by 1.06 (+1.28%) with a trading volume of 1.8687 million shares [2] - The consumer discretionary ETF (US XLY) is priced at 221.67, up by 1.45 (+0.66%) with a trading volume of 398,400 shares [2] Group 2 - The regional banks ETF (US KRE) is priced at 63.49, up by 0.32 (+0.51%) with a trading volume of 1.7887 million shares [2] - The gold ETF (US GLD) is priced at 308.87, up by 1.28 (+0.42%) with a trading volume of 714,600 shares [2] - The energy sector ETF (US XLE) is priced at 86.96, up by 0.30 (+0.35%) with a trading volume of 3.8263 million shares [2] Group 3 - The semiconductor ETF (US SMH) is priced at 292.52, up by 0.81 (+0.28%) with a trading volume of 381,900 shares [2] - The technology sector ETF (US XLK) is priced at 261.75, up by 0.69 (+0.26%) with a trading volume of 442,500 shares [2] - The financial sector ETF (US XLF) is priced at 52.59, up by 0.08 (+0.15%) with a trading volume of 2.6215 million shares [2] Group 4 - The consumer staples ETF (US XLP) is priced at 81.19, up by 0.08 (+0.10%) with a trading volume of 1.4676 million shares [2]

Group 1 - The fund aims to capture investment opportunities in the modern service sector as China transitions its economic development model, targeting stable returns that exceed the performance benchmark while strictly controlling investment risks [2][10]. - The fund's investment strategy includes asset allocation, industry selection, and stock picking within the defined modern service theme, with a focus on sectors such as consumer services and emerging consumption trends [2][10]. - The fund's performance benchmark is a combination of 70% of the CSI Service Industry Index return and 30% of the Shanghai Government Bond Index return [4][10]. Group 2 - As of the end of the reporting period, the total fund shares amounted to 156,994,467.89, with the A share net value at 1.7061 RMB and a growth rate of 13.91%, while the C share net value was 1.6845 RMB with a growth rate of 13.74% [2][10]. - The fund's asset allocation at the end of the reporting period consisted of 87.66% in stocks and 5.56% in bonds, indicating a strong focus on equity investments [12][10]. - The fund's performance over the past three months showed a net value growth rate of 13.91% for A shares and 13.74% for C shares, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 2.13% [4][10]. Group 3 - The fund manager, Galaxy Fund Management Co., Ltd., has committed to managing the fund with principles of honesty, diligence, and responsibility, ensuring compliance with relevant laws and regulations [8][10]. - The fund has not engaged in any significant abnormal trading activities or conflicts of interest during the reporting period, maintaining fair treatment across different investment portfolios [9][10]. - The fund's investment portfolio did not include any stocks subject to trading restrictions or any significant holdings in convertible bonds or precious metals during the reporting period [13][10].

Market Overview - On July 17, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.08%, closing at 24,498.95 points, with a total net inflow of HKD 1.855 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading was HKD 134.723 billion, with a net buy of HKD 1.855 billion [1] Southbound Trading Details - In the Shanghai Stock Exchange southbound trading, the total trading amount was HKD 85.121 billion, with a net buy of HKD 1.668 billion [1] - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange southbound trading, the total trading amount was HKD 49.602 billion, with a net buy of HKD 0.187 billion [1] Active Stocks - The most actively traded stock in the Shanghai Stock Exchange southbound trading was Xiaomi Group-W, with a trading amount of HKD 38.09 billion, despite a closing price drop of 2.01% [1][2] - Other notable stocks included Guotai Junan International and Alibaba-W, with trading amounts of HKD 37.54 billion and HKD 34.26 billion, respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange southbound trading, Xiaomi Group-W also led with a trading amount of HKD 26.80 billion [2] Net Buy/Sell Analysis - The highest net buy was for Xiaomi Group-W at HKD 6.06 billion, while the highest net sell was for Pop Mart at HKD 4.78 billion, which closed down by 0.87% [1][2] - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Meituan-W had the highest net buy at HKD 3.30 billion, closing up by 1.13%, while Tencent Holdings had the highest net sell at HKD 3.79 billion, closing up by 0.10% [2]

Group 1 - The current market is characterized as a "slow bull" phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuating around 3500 points, indicating a lack of potential for a "crazy bull" market [1][2][8] - The market is in the sixth cycle since 2005, showing a disconnection between the Shanghai Composite Index and macroeconomic short cycles, reflecting a weak macroeconomic backdrop [10][20] - The management is actively working to prevent a repeat of the brief "crazy bull" markets seen in 2006-2007 and 2014-2015, which could lead to prolonged bear markets [10][20] Group 2 - The outlook for 2025 suggests a prolonged "slow bull" market, with a focus on time over height, influenced by long-term capital inflows, particularly in dividend-related sectors like banking and insurance [4][20] - The investment logic for upstream industries is challenging due to weak PPI, while downstream industries are expected to perform better, aligning with domestic consumption policies [4][20] - The consumer sector may face significant differentiation, with new consumption segments likely to attract more capital, depending on the strength of policy support [20][21] Group 3 - The 2025 market is expected to operate under a combination of the new "National Nine Articles" and a "four trillion" investment trend, with a high probability of a "slow bull" market [21] - Key areas of focus for 2025 include technology, green initiatives, consumption, and infrastructure, as highlighted in the government work report [21] - The market is anticipated to experience slight upward fluctuations in July, supported by long-term capital inflows, particularly in dividend sectors [21]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance today, with the Hong Kong Innovative Drug 50 ETF (513780) rising over 3% and achieving a three-day consecutive increase [1] - The premium rate for the Hong Kong Innovative Drug 50 ETF is -0.57%, with a trading volume of 178 million yuan, which is an increase of 62.07% compared to the same time yesterday [1] - The fund supports T+0 trading, and the trading volume has decreased by 36.5 million units over the past month [1] Group 2 - Other related ETFs also showed positive performance, with the Hong Kong Consumer ETF (159735) increasing by 0.24%, the Hong Kong Automobile ETF (520600) rising by 0.66%, the Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) up by 0.72%, and the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513260) gaining 0.14% [1]

Group 1 - China aims to be a promoter of mutually beneficial global industrial and supply chains, emphasizing collaboration and openness [1] - The country is committed to ensuring the stability of global supply chains and contributing to world economic recovery [1] - China will focus on the digital, intelligent, and green transformation of global supply chains [1] Group 2 - The State Council is working on policies to strengthen domestic circulation as a strategic move for stable economic growth [2] - Key actions include boosting consumer spending, optimizing policies for consumption, and increasing investment in emerging sectors [2] - The government aims to enhance the internal dynamics of domestic circulation by addressing existing bottlenecks [2] Group 3 - The government is focusing on high-quality development in the new energy vehicle sector, addressing irrational competition [3] - Measures include cost investigations, price monitoring, and ensuring compliance with payment commitments by major manufacturers [3] - The goal is to establish a long-term mechanism for fair competition and promote innovation and quality improvement [3] Group 4 - China has made significant progress in establishing international standards for quantum dot light conversion films, marking a breakthrough in the nano-display field [4] - The implementation of these standards is expected to accelerate the large-scale production and application of quantum dot films [4] - This development is set to invigorate the trillion-yuan display industry [4] Group 5 - The People's Bank of China in Guangdong has introduced special funding measures to support innovation, consumption, and foreign trade [5] - The "Three 100 Billion" initiative has facilitated loans amounting to 92.9 billion yuan in key sectors [5] - This reflects a commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy to stimulate economic activity [5] Group 6 - Heilongjiang Province has introduced 21 measures to support the development of the ice and snow economy, aiming for high-quality growth [6] - The focus is on developing a modern ice and snow industry system, enhancing sports, culture, equipment, and tourism [6] - The policies are designed to leverage the effects of the Asian Winter Games and position the province as a leading destination for ice and snow tourism [6] Group 7 - There is a growing enthusiasm for foreign debt financing in China, with a significant increase in panda bond registrations [7] - In the first half of the year, panda bond registrations surged by 165%, with total issuance reaching 84.4 billion yuan [7] - This trend indicates strong interest from foreign entities in the Chinese market [7] Group 8 - Guangdong Province is prioritizing the development of embodied robotics and low-altitude economy as key industries [8] - The province aims to enhance traditional industries through digital and green technologies while fostering innovation in new sectors [8] - This strategic focus includes advancements in new energy vehicles and emerging technologies like AI and quantum science [8] Group 9 - Nvidia's CEO highlighted China's unique advantages in developing humanoid robots, citing strong AI capabilities and a robust manufacturing base [9] - The combination of advanced technology and manufacturing strength positions China favorably in the robotics sector [9] - This optimism reflects the potential for significant advancements in robotics technology within the country [9] Group 10 - Beijing's Economic Development Zone has launched funding support policies for 6G technology and industry innovation [10] - The initiative includes financial backing for enterprises involved in major 6G technology projects, with support up to 30 million yuan [10] - The measures aim to enhance competitiveness in core 6G technologies through targeted actions [10]

Group 1 - The upcoming Japanese Senate elections may lead to the ruling coalition losing its majority, which could negatively impact the country's $6.8 trillion stock market [1] - The Japanese stock market has underperformed compared to the MSCI global index this month, raising concerns about the potential governance capabilities of a weak minority government [1][4] - Political uncertainty is eroding investor confidence, as evidenced by a 1.2% decline in the Tokyo Stock Exchange index after three months of gains [4] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that if the ruling party loses in elections, the market may take 35 to 75 days to bottom out, with an average total decline of about 8% [4] - Analysts warn of a potential "triple whammy" in the Japanese financial market, affecting stocks, bonds, and currency if extreme political factions gain power [6] - A weaker yen could benefit exporters affected by U.S. tariffs, while opposition parties' proposals to cut food consumption taxes may boost consumer stocks [6] Group 3 - The election may have profound implications for corporate governance reforms, a key driver of recent stock market gains in Japan [7] - The potential coalition formation by the ruling party could alter its stance on corporate governance, which investors may not be fully aware of [8] - Rising populism in Japan is reflected in increasing support for new political parties advocating for changes in profit distribution models [8]