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【关注】新茶饮产品高度同质化,上市效益普遍下滑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The new tea beverage industry is experiencing a significant differentiation among leading companies following a series of IPOs, indicating a shift into a more competitive phase characterized by homogenization and over-expansion issues [1][10]. Company Performance - Companies like Gu Ming and Mi Xue Group have seen substantial stock price increases post-IPO, with Gu Ming rising by 149.50% and Mi Xue Group by 137.93% as of May 9 [2][3]. - In contrast, companies such as Nai Xue's Tea and Cha Bai Dao have faced significant declines in stock prices, with Nai Xue's Tea down 94.39% and Cha Bai Dao down 44.51% since their respective IPOs [2][7]. - The stock performance of Ba Wang Cha Ji and Hu Shang A Yi has also been weaker compared to their peers, with Ba Wang Cha Ji showing a modest increase of 14.29% and Hu Shang A Yi at 27.74% [3][5]. Market Trends - The new tea beverage market is projected to reach a scale of 354.72 billion yuan in 2024, with a stable growth forecast of 6.4% year-on-year, potentially exceeding 400 billion yuan by 2028 [14]. - The industry is transitioning from a growth phase focused on market share acquisition to a more mature phase emphasizing differentiation and refined strategies [14][16]. Challenges and Issues - The industry faces challenges such as product homogenization, excessive store expansion, and declining operational efficiency, leading to a "impossible triangle" scenario where companies struggle to balance scale expansion, cost control, and brand differentiation [10][12][16]. - Some companies have reported significant drops in net profit, with Cha Bai Dao experiencing a 58.55% decline in 2024, while Nai Xue's Tea reported substantial losses [8][12]. Strategic Directions - Companies are increasingly focusing on differentiation strategies, with Mi Xue Group leveraging its supply chain capabilities to gain competitive advantages [16]. - Expansion into overseas markets is a key strategy for many leading new tea beverage companies, with Ba Wang Cha Ji already testing its first North American store shortly after its IPO [17].
沪上阿姨上市后股价过山车:资本狂欢下的新茶饮生存样本
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-06-13 09:14
Core Viewpoint - The rapid rise and fall of Hu Shang A Yi's stock price post-IPO reflects a significant shift in the new tea beverage industry from aggressive expansion to a more rational approach, highlighting the challenges faced by the company and the sector as a whole [1][2]. Group 1: IPO and Market Reaction - Hu Shang A Yi's IPO was highly successful, with an oversubscription rate of 3616.83 times and over 940 billion HKD in frozen funds, marking it as the highest new stock subscription in Hong Kong after regulatory changes [2]. - On its first trading day, the stock price surged by 74.68% to 197.6 HKD, but subsequently dropped by 8.78% the following day, leading to a cumulative decline of over 20% within a week [1][2]. - By early June, the stock price had fallen to around 125 HKD, representing a nearly 37% decrease from its peak [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - In 2024, Hu Shang A Yi reported a revenue of 3.285 billion HKD, a year-on-year decline of 1.9%, and a net profit of 329 million HKD, down 15.2% [4]. - The company's business model heavily relies on a franchise system, with 99.7% of stores operated by franchisees, leading to a significant drop in single-store GMV from 1.559 million HKD in 2023 to 1.37 million HKD in 2024, a decrease of 12.12% [4][5]. - The closure rate of franchise stores increased to 12.7% in 2024, with over 1,000 stores shutting down, significantly higher than the industry average of 4% [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Market Dynamics - The new tea beverage industry is experiencing a slowdown, with a projected growth rate of only 8.2% in 2024 and further decline to 7.5% in 2025, leading to intense price wars among leading brands [6]. - Hu Shang A Yi faces challenges in both low-price and mid-to-high-end markets, struggling against competitors like Mi Xue Bing Cheng and Xi Tea, which have established stronger market positions [6]. - The company's reliance on third-party suppliers and inadequate cold chain coverage hinder its ability to reduce costs, making it difficult to compete on price with rivals [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Considerations - The company must focus on optimizing its supply chain and digital commitments, potentially allocating 60% of its IPO proceeds to these areas to regain growth momentum [6]. - Reducing food waste to levels comparable to competitors and leveraging scale procurement could help Hu Shang A Yi improve its cost structure and competitive positioning in the market [6].
每经热评|港股“三朵金花”估值迭创新高 “悦己消费”为破内卷提供新思路
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-13 08:13
在资本市场,以"三朵金花"为代表,包括宠物经济、医美化妆、疗愈经济、新饮品等行业或细分领域, 被统一称为"悦己消费",即相关消费行为通常以满足消费者情感价值、个性化需求及自我提升为核心。 过去一年时间,"三朵金花"股价均实现翻倍甚至数倍增长,整个"悦己消费"也成为资本市场最火热的概 念。 每经评论员杜恒峰 在混杂着不解、怀疑、惊叹、遗憾的声音中,6月12日泡泡玛特盘中股价摸高至283.4港元,再创历史新 高,总市值一度突破3800亿港元;同为港股"三朵金花"的老铺黄金,收盘价上涨5.66%至914港元,总市 值1578亿港元,将周大福这样的老牌巨头甩在了身后;另一朵"金花"蜜雪集团收盘价也维持在历史高 位,总市值2023亿港元。 事实上,"悦己消费"也为企业摆脱"内卷式"竞争提供了新的思路,泡泡玛特不需要卷价格,蜜雪集团也 不是想要通过低价垄断新茶饮市场。正是对自身市场清晰的定位、对产品和服务的极致打磨,由此形成 的竞争力不仅仅适用于中国市场,也能在国际市场闯出一片天地。 契合年轻消费者需求、有增长、不内卷、有国际化潜力,这是"悦己消费"估值迭创新高的定价逻辑。消 费市场竞争残酷,消费者偏好、预算分配也随时在 ...
星巴克在华首降价,低至10元逼近瑞幸
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-13 08:13
6月10日,星巴克在中国市场罕见下调饮品价格。 旗下包括星冰乐、冰摇茶、茶拿铁在内的数十款非咖啡饮品集体调价,大杯平均降幅达5元。星巴克中 国表示,这三大系列是其非咖啡产品线的王牌产品。 《IT时报》记者走访上海市中心多家星巴克门店发现,线下门店咖啡品类饮品仍维持原价,数十款非咖啡饮品已经降价。之后,记者在多个外卖平台发 现,星巴克部分饮品已降至10元级。淘宝闪购平台上,星巴克一款"红茶拿铁"售价降至11元,众多消费者在社交平台晒单,称喝到了如此便宜的星巴克饮 品。 两个月前,外卖平台突然"搅局"咖啡、奶茶价格战,将瑞幸、库迪等品牌原本低至9.9元、8.8元的产品价格进一步拉低。但彼时,星巴克尚未加入这场高 强度"内卷"。"现在,9.9元的瑞幸我都觉得贵。我在各大外卖平台轮番比价下单,基本叠加平台红包后,单杯瑞幸5元左右就能买到。"一位网友向记者展 示其在美团外卖的点单记录:一杯"熊猫陨石拿铁"叠加"神抢手"兑换券,价格低至5.9元。 一直以来,星巴克凭借独特的咖啡文化和高价位策略,在市场中占据稳固地位。然而,当前国内咖啡与茶饮市场竞争已趋白热化。瑞幸、库迪等国产品牌 的迅速崛起,以及一系列降价举措,对星巴克 ...
精锐纵横观点|别让品牌栽在流量手里!做内容学霸王茶姬
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 03:44
Core Insights - In the era of scarce attention in digital marketing, content is crucial for brands to establish deep connections with users [1] - A significant challenge arises as brands prioritize short-term ROI, leading to a reduction in brand management efforts [1] - Many brands treat content as a quick fix for traffic anxiety, resulting in fragmented content that disconnects from brand assets [1] Group 1: Brand Management Challenges - In 2023, 90% of CMOs from the top 100 global brands allocated 70% to 80% of their budgets to performance advertising, compromising brand building [1] - Brands are sacrificing brand tone for short-term traffic, leading to a cycle of "traffic frenzy—cognitive confusion—asset depletion" [8] - The case of Anmuxi illustrates the risks of prioritizing traffic over brand consistency, as their content strategy diluted their established brand image [3][6] Group 2: Successful Brand Strategies - Bawang Chaji views every traffic exposure as a building block for brand assets, ensuring that traffic serves brand interests [8] - Their strategy includes three dimensions: 1. Unified expression language to maintain brand tone across all content [8] 2. A dual approach of functionality and emotional storytelling to enhance both sales and brand identity [10] 3. A long-term perspective on content creation, avoiding reliance on viral hits [11] Group 3: Implementation Framework - Strategic level: Establish core assets and content guidelines to ensure all content aligns with brand values [14] - Tactical level: Design pathways for traffic conversion, from exposure to brand recognition [16] - Execution level: Ensure organizational alignment across departments to maintain consistent brand messaging [17] Group 4: Recommendations for Brand Managers - Brand managers should reassess their core asset lists, implement content tone review mechanisms, and set quarterly evaluation metrics for traffic-asset conversion [19]
茶咖日报|美媒:中国咖啡巨头“瑞幸”酝酿向美国强势扩张
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-12 14:14
Group 1: Luckin Coffee Expansion - Luckin Coffee, China's largest coffee chain, is planning to expand into the U.S. market, with its store count in mainland China already more than double that of Starbucks [1] - Despite a previous financial scandal that led to its delisting from NASDAQ, Luckin Coffee has made a strong comeback, leveraging unique flavors and significant discounts [1] - The company is set to open its first store in downtown Manhattan, which is seen as a critical test market for international brand expansion, particularly for Chinese brands [1][2] Group 2: Business Model and Challenges - Luckin Coffee's business model is centered around technology, allowing Chinese consumers to order via WeChat, which enhances efficiency compared to traditional coffee shop experiences [2] - Analysts estimate that while prices in the U.S. will still be lower than Starbucks, the price gap will be smaller than in China [2] - The high cost of labor and the need for diverse payment methods in New York could increase operational costs for Luckin Coffee [2] Group 3: Tea Industry Developments - Tea Baidao launched a new lychee drink series that sold 50,000 cups within an hour of release, showcasing strong consumer demand [3] - The company utilizes fresh lychee fruit from Guangdong, employing modern supply chain techniques to ensure freshness during transportation [3] - Tea Baidao has improved its supply chain efficiency, with 92% of stores achieving next-day delivery and 95% receiving multiple deliveries per week [4] Group 4: Campus Market Potential - Bawang Chaji opened its first campus store at Tsinghua University, achieving over 2,200 cups sold on the opening day, indicating strong potential in the student market [5] - The brand has established a presence in nearly 200 universities across China, with popular products making up a significant portion of sales [5] Group 5: Investment in Tea and Coffee Industry - Zhejiang Fino Group has initiated a tea and coffee industrial park project with an investment of approximately 4 billion yuan, expected to generate an annual output value of 5 billion yuan upon completion [6] - The project includes a smart factory focused on various beverage products, with a planned annual capacity exceeding 180,000 tons [6] Group 6: Lavazza's Strategic Partnerships - Lavazza has renewed its collaboration with Lamborghini, following a successful initial partnership, to create a unique coffee product tailored for the luxury automotive brand [7] - The brand has established a significant presence in China, opening over 100 stores in major cities since its entry into the market [7]
新茶饮驱动地域水果全国化,供应链创新赋能产业发展
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 13:58
Core Insights - The new seasonal drink "Qixiang Huangpi Peach" launched by Heytea highlights the trend of the new tea beverage industry deepening supply chain construction and promoting regional specialty ingredients to break geographical limitations and reach the national consumer market [1][6] Industry Trends - The success of Huangpi fruit is not an isolated case; the new tea beverage industry has become a significant force in promoting the nationalization of regional specialty agricultural products, with various fruits like Sangshen and Balele also leveraging the new tea beverage channels to expand beyond their local markets [3][6] - The core of this trend is the increasingly mature deep supply chain system within the industry, which includes strict quality management throughout the entire process from planting to delivery, ensuring flavor and supply stability [4][6] Supply Chain Innovations - Brands are deeply involved in the entire supply chain, including planting, harvesting, processing, and distribution, to ensure high-quality raw material supply [4] - The industry is establishing exclusive planting bases in high-quality production areas through self-built, co-built, and contract farming models, ensuring long-term, safe, and high-quality raw material supply [4][6] - The industry continuously explores and applies diverse regional specialty ingredients, integrating them into product innovation to provide consumers with convenient experiences of different regional flavors [4][6] Economic Impact - The new tea beverage industry is breaking down barriers to the circulation of regional agricultural products through systematic supply chain innovation and differentiated product development, enriching its product matrix and consumer experience while effectively promoting the development of local specialty agricultural economies [6][7]
新茶饮市场迎来消费旺季,头部品牌上新、开店动作不断
以港股上市的茶百道为例,6月12日,茶百道上新荔枝系列饮品"荔枝冰奶""海盐荔枝冰茶",主打"只使 用荔枝鲜果现榨"。茶百道数据显示,荔枝系列上市一小时就卖出五万杯,当天中午销量突破十万杯, 登顶全国所有区域门店,成为今年夏季以来茶饮行业的爆款之一。 在业内看来,校园消费市场潜力巨大。从大学生群体对茶饮的消费习惯来看,健康与口感的双重需求、 消费场景的便利性,以及品牌联名等创新营销的吸引力,成为影响决策的主要因素。 据霸王茶姬相方面介绍,在高校市场,霸王茶姬的经典产品伯牙绝弦、桂馥兰香、万里木兰杯占比接近 60%,成为最受学生欢迎的三款饮品。同时,霸王茶姬3月推出的轻因·伯牙绝弦、轻因·花田乌龙等新品 也广受好评,反映出大学生群体对新品的强烈尝鲜意愿。截至2025年6月11日,霸王茶姬校园店会员数 已超200万,其中云南、四川、浙江三地学生会员数量位居全国前三。 值得一提的是,4月以来,京东、美团、饿了么纷纷宣布启动百亿补贴计划,低至个位数,甚至免单的 茶饮券使外卖平台日均订单量飞涨。与此同时,趋近饱和的茶饮行业凭借出餐速度快,受众群体多且正 值夏季饮品销售旺季等优势,头部品牌近期销量增长明显。 随着盛夏脚步 ...
又有40+曾经的“排队王”撑不住了...
创业邦· 2025-06-12 12:50
以下文章来源于赢商网 ,作者李玉玲 赢商网 . 这里有你需要的零售商业地产行业资讯、深度分析、知识和数据 来源丨赢商网(ID:winshang) 作者丨李玉玲 编辑丨熊舒苗 付庆荣 图源丨赢商网拍摄 品牌闭店潮,此起彼伏。 据赢商网不完全统计,今年 1-3月又有超过40家典型品牌进行闭店。 Gucci上海关2店、 茑屋书店 连撤 2店、永辉超市90天关273家店等消息,不断引发热议。 图源: 永辉超市 其中, 【永辉超市】 闭店最为激进,一季度门店数量较去年同期锐减 273家,2025 年计划关闭 200 -350家效益不佳的门店; 【永旺超市】 因财务亏损和租金压力 无奈 关闭部分门店; 【沃尔 玛】 一季度关了 3 家门店,过去五年其中国卖场门店总数减少了123 家;即将退市的 【人人乐】 一季度亏损7962万元,门店数量从巅峰时期的超百家缩水至仅剩32家。 困境之下,超市行业求变, 引入 "胖东来模式"成为流行解法 。 【永辉超市】 动作迅速,截至 今年 6 月13日已完成 100 家门店调改,计划 2025 年调改门店达 200 家左右,2026 年完成所有存量门 店调整 。【 物美超市】积极跟进,首 ...
外资行加码中国—东盟战略,从服务制造业到助力新消费出海
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 12:42
过去东盟主要是制造业的中转地,但现在已演变为各行各业竞争发展的热土。 过去几年,随着地缘局势不确定性增加、全球供应链重构,大量中国制造业、互联网企业加快了出海步 伐,向越南、泰国、印尼、马来西亚等东盟国家转移并拓展市场。 今年5月,中国—东盟经贸部长特别会议以线上方式举行,双方共同宣布全面完成中国—东盟自贸区3.0 版谈判,向签署升级议定书的目标迈出关键一步。 在全球金融监管趋严、资本回报压力上升的背景下,欧美银行近年来在亚太的业务重心更加"审 慎"和"成本控制"。相比之下,那些东盟本土或区域性强的外资银行,在中资企业出海东南亚过程中, 更能提供"本地化、灵活、可落地"的金融解决方案。 近期,渣打银行企业及投资银行业务联席全球主管兼东盟及南亚区行政总裁高恕年(Sunil Kaushal)在 接受第一财经采访时表示,东盟有望成为全球增长新前沿,中国与东盟总人口超20亿,东盟GDP总和已 突破4万亿美元,而中国作为世界第二大经济体(按购买力平价计算为全球第一大经济体),这一合作 框架对双方而言是显著的"双赢协议"。他称,除了制造业和互联网企业,当前也有更多新消费企业在加 速拓展东盟市场。渣打在东盟10国均已建立深 ...