通信周观点： 1）美国商务部 5 月 13 日升级对华芯片管制，撤销《AI 扩散规则》并出台三项新规：全球禁用华为昇腾芯片、限制美 芯片用于中国 AI 训练、强化供应链审查。此外黄仁勋受访时表示英伟达将重新推出面向中国市场的芯片，但不会再 推出 Hopper 系列产品，预计将采用 GDDR7 显存替代 HBM 高带宽内存，以满足美国出口限制要求。我们认为从性能看， 国产芯片性能或将大超英伟达改版后芯片性能，利好国产算力芯片。2）因英伟达 AI 芯片出货量不及预期（GB200 出 货不及预期，且 H20 受到管制，NVIDIA 计提约 55 亿美元的与 H20 相关的费用损失），而国内芯片供应增长需要时间， 阿里、腾讯等互联网厂商 1Q25 资本支出略低于市场预期。我们认为短期看，互联网厂商全年资本开支可能略有下滑， 但这也将加速 AI 芯片的国产替代进程。长期看伴随国产 AI 芯片的起量，AI 仍将驱动业务增长。3）英伟达 5 月 14 日 宣布在上海设立 AI 芯片研发中心，并与沙特签署 18000 台 GB300 服务器订单。此举凸显其全球布局战略，将推动高 速光模块及液冷技术需求。海外算力基建需求激增， ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The recent market rally, characterized by a surge in financial stocks, is misleading as 2800 stocks are declining despite the Shanghai Composite Index breaking 3400 points [1][3] - The financial sector's performance is driven by speculative trading, with institutions adjusting their positions while retail investors are left holding the bag [3] Group 2: Sector Analysis - Shipping and chemical sectors are highlighted as the real opportunities, with Ningbo Shipping experiencing significant price increases due to rising freight costs [3] - Bromine prices have doubled in six months, driven by demand from the electric vehicle and semiconductor industries, indicating strong growth potential in the chemical sector [3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Financial stocks' rebound is seen as an opportunity to reduce exposure, while pullbacks in shipping and chemical stocks should be viewed as buying opportunities [4] - Maintaining a cash reserve of 20% is advised to capitalize on potential market dips following the Federal Reserve meetings [4]

算力平权，国产 AI 力量崛起 20250512 摘要 • 腾讯和阿里巴巴加速数据中心建设，腾讯已下单 10 万台 910C 服务器， 阿里巴巴租用 1GW 数据中心并推动巴拿马电源项目，利好中恒电气等相 关企业。 • 新元股份否认三星流片限制传言，已与龙头云厂商签署合作协议，涉及设 计费 5-7 亿元和 IP 授权 5-10 亿元，并在汽车芯片设计服务方面与理想汽 车等合作，定增计划值得关注。 • 中芯国际先进制程稳步推进，从 14 纳米到 N+2 节点，逐步接近台积电 7 纳米工艺。2024 年第一季度少数股东权益数据显示先进制程需求崛起， 预计 2025 年第二季度开始持续乐观。 • 升腾系列产品性能提升显著，C 型号 FP16 算力接近 H100 水平，大幅增 强 AI 训练及云计算应用能力，预计 2025 年出货表现良好，有望满足市场 需求。 • DMS 模型优化提升训练效率 40%，缩小与国际高端算力差距。2025 年 第一季度少量出货，预计第二季度末至第三季度初大规模出货，达到万卡 级别，主要客户包括字节跳动等 CSP 厂商。 Q&A 中美关税和解对海外和国产算力市场的影响如何？ 中美关税和解对 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Companies Involved**: 优博讯 (Youbo Information), 光启技术 (Guangqi Technology), 浪潮信息 (Inspur Information) - **Industries**: Mobile intelligent solutions, advanced materials, AI computing, and military technology Key Insights and Arguments 优博讯 (Youbo Information) - **Market Expansion Plans**: The company aims to expand into emerging sectors such as smart healthcare and intelligent manufacturing, while also enhancing its global strategy by increasing investments in new product development and expanding overseas sales teams, particularly in Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa [1][1][1] - **Product Offerings**: The company specializes in developing, manufacturing, and selling intelligent data terminals, smart payment terminals, and automation equipment, with key products including handheld PDAs and RFID reading terminals [1][1][1] - **Military Applications**: The company's smart data collection terminals and specialized printers are utilized in military logistics and asset management, with a focus on meeting national military standards [2][2][2] - **Technological Advancements**: The introduction of the new open-source HarmonyOS-based smart handheld terminal DT505G, which integrates AI technologies for enhanced local processing efficiency [3][3][3] - **Cross-Border Payment Solutions**: The company provides smart POS terminals that support multiple currencies, facilitating cross-border payment solutions in collaboration with banks and third-party payment platforms [3][3][3] 光启技术 (Guangqi Technology) - **Drone Development**: The company is focused on developing large-scale drone swarms with long flight durations, currently in the testing phase [4][4][4] - **Material Innovations**: Guangqi Technology is advancing the application of metamaterials in various sectors, including electronics and smart vehicles, and has established the world's first production line for metamaterials [4][4][4] - **Strategic Partnerships**: The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements to integrate AI technology with metamaterial research for humanoid robots, enhancing production capabilities [4][4][4] - **Military Technology**: Guangqi Technology has developed next-generation stealth technology for naval vessels, utilizing metamaterials to replace traditional coatings [5][5][5] 浪潮信息 (Inspur Information) - **AI Chip Collaborations**: The company has partnered with over 20 domestic AI chip manufacturers to enhance its product offerings and support the development of a domestic intelligent computing ecosystem [7][7][7] - **Market Position**: Inspur Information is recognized as the largest server manufacturer in China, maintaining a leading position in global server and storage markets [8][8][8] - **Innovative Products**: The company has launched several cutting-edge products, including the AI general-purpose server NF8260G7, which operates large models with minimal CPU usage, and the first 42kW intelligent cooling server [8][8][8] Additional Important Information - **Financial Performance**: The companies are actively pursuing growth strategies in their respective markets, with a focus on innovation and technological advancements to enhance competitiveness [1][1][1][4][4][4][7][7][7] - **Industry Trends**: The integration of AI and advanced materials is a significant trend across the industries represented by these companies, indicating a shift towards more intelligent and efficient solutions [3][3][3][4][4][4][7][7][7] This summary encapsulates the essential points from the conference call records, highlighting the strategic directions, technological innovations, and market positions of the involved companies.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the technology sector [5] Core Viewpoints - The AI-driven data center construction continues to show growth potential, with major tech companies increasing their capital expenditures significantly [1][2] - SMCI's recent financial performance has not aligned with the strong industry trends, indicating potential issues with its shipment policies and management credibility [2] - The introduction of new liquid cooling systems and AI products by SMCI is expected to enhance its competitive position in the market [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Investment Rating - The technology sector is rated as "Overweight," indicating expectations for the sector's stock index to outperform benchmarks [5] Section 2: AI Infrastructure Growth - Major tech companies like Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon have shown substantial year-on-year increases in capital expenditures, with growth rates of 43%, 104%, 53%, and 74% respectively, reaching $172 billion, $137 billion, $167 billion, and $243 billion [1] - IDC forecasts a CAGR of 16.3% for the AI server market over the next five years, while the data center market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15-17% [1] Section 3: SMCI Financial Performance - SMCI's FY25Q3 revenue was $4.59 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 19% [1] - Non-GAAP EPS for FY25Q3 was $0.31, down 53% year-on-year and 47% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company has lowered its FY2025 revenue forecast from $23.5-25 billion to $21.8-22.6 billion due to uncertainties related to tariffs [1] Section 4: Product Development - SMCI launched the HGX B300 NVL16 and GB300 NVL72 systems, which support both air and liquid cooling, with significant enhancements in performance and energy efficiency [3] - The new products include advanced features such as high-speed interconnects and improved thermal design, which can reduce overall energy consumption by up to 40% [3]

新质生产力持续赋能上市公司业绩增长。在人工智能、半导体、高端制造等赛道，一批上市公司在2025 年第一季度交出优异"成绩单"。 在人工智能领域，拓维信息系统股份有限公司、深圳市优博讯科技股份有限公司、中科星图股份有限公 司等多家上市公司今年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比增长超1倍。 服务器龙头浪潮电子信息产业股份有限公司（以下简称"浪潮信息"）主业高速成长。第一季度公司实现 营业收入468.58亿元，同比增长165.31%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润4.63亿元，同比增长 52.78%。对于营业收入同比增长的主要原因，浪潮信息披露的公告显示，主要是客户需求增加，服务 器销售增长。 在半导体领域，有研新材料股份有限公司、江苏微导纳米科技股份有限公司、杭州长川科技股份有限公 司等多家上市公司第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比增长超1倍。 2025年一季度，A股上市公司业绩整体实现"开门红"。据《证券日报》记者梳理，截至5月6日午间，沪 深北交易所已有5391家上市公司披露了2025年一季报，其中4068家上市公司第一季度归属于上市公司股 东的净利润实现盈利，占比达75.46%。 中国电子商务专家服 ...

计算机行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 透过财报看算力产业落地进度 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们认为，从上市公司财报中，我们已经可以看出 AI 芯片与服务器行业受益于 AI 行业的 迅猛发展而呈现指标加速，此外，算力租赁服务企业订单的密集落地和预付账款的增 加，也预示着相关业务的落地指日可待，而 IDC 行业由于业务落地周期长，目前从行业 整体而言尚未看到财务数据变化但我们对前景也较为乐观。 风险提示 技术落地不及预期、政策落地不及预期、美国进一步制裁风险 国家/地区 中国 行业 计算机行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 05 日 看好（维持） | 浦俊懿 | 021-63325888*6106 | | --- | --- | | | pujunyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860514050004 | | 陈超 | 021-63325888*3144 | | | chenchao3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521050002 | | 宋鑫宇 | songxinyu@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执 ...

Key Points Summary Group 1: Performance Verification Key Points - The overall A-share non-financial profit showed a seasonal weakness in Q4 2024 but a strong recovery in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 6.3% in Q1 2025 compared to a -55% decline in Q4 2024, indicating a historical high recovery level [1][5][4] - The supply-demand dynamics remain weak, with a significant decline in fixed asset turnover rates, leading to reduced profitability. The capital expenditure and construction projects in the midstream manufacturing sector have reached historical lows, indicating a clear downward trend in midstream manufacturing supply [1][10][4] - The performance pressure on the export chain is yet to manifest, while the profitability of companies involved in overseas operations has outperformed that of the export chain, suggesting a deepening divergence due to tariff impacts starting from Q2 2025 [1][18][20] Group 2: Industry Trends and Opportunities - Key thriving industries are concentrated in consumption (benefiting from the old-for-new policy for durable goods and some new consumption), pharmaceuticals (CXO, innovative drugs), and AI computing (improved orders for chips, optical modules, servers, and IDC) [1][22][27] - After the disclosure of Q1 2025 reports, the industries with upward revisions in profit expectations include electronics, computers, retail, steel, and media [1][25][35] - The current stage favors technology investment opportunities, particularly in domestic AI computing and robotics, which are expected to show higher short-term thematic elasticity compared to consumption sectors [1][39][39]

车轮上的新河南滚滚向前。比亚迪郑州基地产值同比增长73%、宇通客车销量同比增长16.56%……在龙 头车企带动下，今年一季度郑州下线汽车28.25万辆、同比增长34.72%。 算力赛道升起"中原明珠"。今年一季度，超聚变研发中心及总部基地投用，整体营收同比翻倍，液冷服 务器、AI服务器稳居中国市场份额第一。 责任编辑： 路娇 眼下怎么干？二季度经济"劲儿往哪儿使"？ 强力推进项目投资，加快推进760个工业项目、1082个基础设施项目等建设进度，加大"两重"、中央预 算内投资、专项债券等项目储备，力争上半年完成投资2650亿元；开展促消费专项行动，多措并举提振 消费；开展稳外贸专项行动，健全重点外贸企业联系机制，稳定和畅通外贸产业链、供应链，全力稳住 外贸基本盘；加大企业帮扶支持力度，深化包保服务攻坚工业经济专项行动，力争上半年新发放小微企 业贷款1600亿元以上；实施升规纳统奖励，高质量培育"四上"企业；实施优化营商环境专项攻坚行动， 促进民营经济发展壮大；加力提升招商引资质效，加快麦德龙、山姆会员店等项目建设……郑州市主动 对接国家利好政策，打好政策组合拳，确保实现上半年经济发展"时间过半、任务过半"。 城 ...

最近，天风国际分析师郭明錤大致分析了一下Super Micro (美超微/超微电脑) 的初步业绩。结论是本季 度的财报可能还会继续承压。 目前AI服务器主要有3种类型，包括ASIC (如Google TPU服务器)、Nvidia GB200/300 NVL72与Nvidia较低阶服务器 (如x86 HGX系列)。目前AI服务器产业的主要成长动能来自 ASIC与NVL72，需求来自于CSP。 Super Micro在1H25主要出货是Nvidia较低阶服务器。 ...