汇丰晋信基金郑小兵： 筑牢"安全防线" 底部布局静待宏观共振 四维框架筑牢安全防线 为提供更好的投资体验，投资的"安全边际"被不少基金经理放在了更重要的位置。郑小兵也以"安全"为 投资核心，观察宏观、行业、个股、买卖点四大维度，并最终指向"适配长期资金，追求回撤可控的长 期弹性"，力求规避高估值风险。 他认为，宏观研判是投资决策的基石。他会结合康波周期等理论，判断国内外经济情况，比如当前处于 国内经济企稳回升、海外经济风险加剧的阶段，这直接决定了他的布局偏"左侧"与"风险控制"，而非追 逐短期热门赛道，为长期资金的安全配置打下基础。 在行业选择上，他会通过"行业比较"筛选标的，聚焦估值底部、与国内经济相关性强、有长期潜力的行 业，明确表示不会参与拥有"梦想估值"的板块，避免因短期概念炒作导致长期资金承受风险。 ◎记者 朱妍 在结构性行情下，投资如何做到"稳健长盈"？对此，汇丰晋信基金经理郑小兵在接受上海证券报记者专 访时表示，应秉持"先防亏，再盈利"的理念，在有"安全边际"的前提下投资。展望后市，期待国内外宏 观共振拐点出现，因为其中蕴含全面上涨机遇。 在买卖点把控上，他则关注"情绪周期"。"我会通过分析市场 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Chinese Stock Market**: Benefiting from risk-free yield decline, fundamental reforms, and economic policy support, with a notable improvement in industrial profits in August indicating a shift in economic growth expectations from an L-shape to a more stable trajectory [1][3][5] - **Emerging Industries**: Sectors such as TMT, machinery, innovative pharmaceuticals, and automotive are experiencing a rebound in capital expenditure for three consecutive quarters, indicating the start of an expansion cycle driven by new technology trends [1][6] Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Trends**: The Chinese stock market is expected to continue rebounding, with both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks likely to reach new heights despite recent adjustments [2] - **Key Drivers**: Three main drivers for the market include: 1. Decline in risk-free yields leading to increased stock purchases [3] 2. Fundamental reforms and timely economic policies changing perceptions of Chinese assets [3] 3. Significant improvement in industrial profits indicating reduced economic uncertainty [3][5] - **Sector Focus**: Future capital market fundamentals will diversify, with a focus on technology sectors (internet, electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, media), financial sectors (brokerage, insurance, banking), and food-related sectors (chemicals, non-ferrous metals, real estate, new energy) [1][8] Specific Industry Insights - **Oil Shipping Industry**: Currently experiencing a 30-month high in freight rates due to rigid supply and OPEC production increases, with expectations for continued high performance in Q3 and overall growth in 2024 [10][11] - **E-commerce and Express Delivery**: Positive changes under anti-involution policies, with regulatory measures reducing price competition, leading to expected profit recovery for companies like ZTO Express and Yunda [1][12] - **Steel Industry**: Transitioning from off-peak to peak season, with demand recovery not meeting expectations. Export profits are high, and Q4 is expected to maintain strong performance [4][35][38] Additional Important Insights - **Defense Industry**: Global military spending is on the rise, particularly in the U.S. with a projected defense budget increase for FY 2026, which will boost related demand [4][15] - **Economic Indicators**: August industrial profit data shows significant improvement, indicating a shift towards economic stability and a positive outlook for investors [5] - **Long-term Outlook**: The market is expected to stabilize with reduced uncertainty, supporting consumer demand recovery and a positive investment environment [7][8] Recommendations - **Investment Opportunities**: Strategic allocation towards consumer goods in Q4 is advised, particularly in sectors related to food and leisure, as economic stability is anticipated [8] - **Focus on Key Companies**: Recommendations include companies like China Merchants Energy, ZTO Express, and leading steel firms such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel [11][41]

Group 1: Market Outlook - The market adjustment is viewed as an opportunity, with the Chinese stock market expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by the demand for assets and capital market reforms aimed at improving investor returns [2][3] - The transition from an "L-shaped" economic recovery to a more stable growth pattern is becoming clearer, with listed companies showing revenue and inventory growth for two consecutive quarters [3][4] - The upcoming capital market reforms, including the launch of the growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the resumption of the fifth set of listing standards, are anticipated to accelerate market recovery [2][3] Group 2: Sector Analysis - Emerging technology remains a key focus, with recommendations for sectors such as internet, semiconductor, innovative pharmaceuticals, and robotics, while also suggesting an increase in allocation to cyclical financial stocks [4] - The financial sector has seen a correction but offers potential for increased dividend returns, making it valuable for investors [4] - The shift in economic governance is expected to improve the supply-demand dynamics for cyclical goods, including metals, chemicals, real estate, and new energy [4] Group 3: Thematic Recommendations - Investment in domestic computing power infrastructure and the increasing penetration of domestic supply chains are highlighted as promising areas [5] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to benefit from satellite mobile communication licenses, with investment opportunities in liquid rockets and satellite payloads [5] - The trend of "de-involution" is seen as beneficial for sectors like lithium batteries, energy storage, and aquaculture, indicating a positive shift in market dynamics [5] Group 4: Hong Kong Market Insights - The valuation of the Hong Kong stock market, particularly the Hang Seng Technology Index, remains attractive, with significant upside potential compared to historical averages [9][10] - The Hang Seng Technology Index is currently trading at a PE ratio of 23.7, which is below its historical average, suggesting room for valuation recovery [10] - The anticipated inflow of foreign capital and the positive impact of AI on the technology sector are expected to drive the Hong Kong market to new highs in the fourth quarter [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of optimizing the business environment in Changning District, Shanghai, to enhance economic development and achieve both quantitative and qualitative growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] - Changning District has introduced eight distinctive measures annually to improve the business environment, resulting in numerous innovative cases at both national and city levels [1] - The district focuses on balancing the relationship between an effective market and a proactive government, addressing the needs of businesses while promoting economic development [1] Group 2 - The establishment of an aviation dispute resolution platform in Changning District aims to strengthen the development of the aviation economy and support the low-altitude economy [2] - Changning District is enhancing its role as an international hub by creating a "Huangqiao Going Global" service system, facilitating connections between local enterprises and European markets [2] - The "Huangqiao Going Global" initiative has organized 27 events, serving 3,700 enterprises, and aims to match services with the actual needs of businesses [3] Group 3 - The district has implemented a streamlined process for obtaining permits, significantly improving efficiency and reducing costs for businesses, exemplified by a beverage company that saw a 90% increase in efficiency and double-digit revenue growth [3] - The focus on targeted policies and pain points has translated into substantial support for high-quality development in Changning District, enhancing the quality of life for residents [4]

如有任何疑问或需要，请通过龙江航空官方客服热线0451-81181111或官方社交媒体平台联系公司。 新京报讯9月28日，龙江航空有限公司发布关于LT4391航班时刻调整的情况说明。内容如下： 尊敬的各位旅客及广大公众： 龙江航空有限公司对因LT4391(哈尔滨-海拉尔)航班时刻调整受到影响的旅客，以及由此带来的公众关注深感不 安，致以诚挚的歉意！ 此次航班时刻调整是公司在暑运结束后部分航班的计划性调整，其中涉及LT4391在9月25日至10月25日的航班。 公司于9月18日通过短信等方式向已购买该期间航班机票的旅客发送了航班时刻变更通知，并提供了免费退改签服 务。此事让公司清醒地认识到在客户沟通和服务的细致程度上仍有提升空间。龙江航空有限公司真诚接受社会各 界的指导和意见，并将持续优化航班调整后的旅客服务流程。 近日，有网友反映，9月26日龙江航空由哈尔滨飞往呼伦贝尔海拉尔的LT4391航班，提前15小时起飞，对行程影 响较大。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the transportation industry, highlighting opportunities in undervalued assets with a focus on high dividend yields [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery in the shipping sector, the attractiveness of infrastructure assets with dividend yields above 5%, and the positive outlook for the aviation industry in 2025-2026 [1][17][22]. - It also notes the potential for valuation recovery in the express delivery sector due to easing price competition [20]. Shipping Sector Summary - The shipping industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with container shipping rates declining due to reduced cargo volumes ahead of the National Day holiday. However, shipowners expect price stabilization in late October [10][17]. - Oil tanker rates remain high but are experiencing slight fluctuations, with VLCC rates at $89,000/day, down 6% from the previous week [13][47]. - The dry bulk market shows signs of recovery, with the BDI index rising by 2.5% to 2259 points [16][43]. Infrastructure Sector Summary - The infrastructure sector is highlighted for its stability, with major highways showing a dividend yield of over 5%, making them attractive for investment [18][19]. - Recent data indicates a slight increase in truck traffic and stable growth in rail freight, with national rail cargo volume increasing by 0.2% week-on-week [18][50]. Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry is projected to maintain strong growth, with a 12.3% year-on-year increase in business volume in August 2025 [20][60]. - The report notes a shift towards price stabilization due to "anti-involution" policies, which are expected to improve industry valuations [20]. Aviation Sector Summary - The aviation industry is experiencing a slight decline in passenger volume due to adverse weather conditions, but ticket prices and load factors remain strong, with domestic ticket prices up 13.2% year-on-year [22][21]. - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the aviation sector in Q4, driven by low base effects and increased travel demand [22].

Core Insights - The Fourth Global Digital Trade Expo is being held in Hangzhou from the 25th to the 29th [2] - The expo features seven distinctive industry exhibition areas, including a smart mobility section showcasing advancements from autonomous driving to intelligent connected vehicles, as well as new energy vehicles and low-altitude flying vehicles [4] Industry Highlights - The smart mobility exhibition area presents a comprehensive view of future transportation solutions [4] - Participating companies are demonstrating innovations that could shape the future of mobility [4]

瑞银上调部分美国航空股的目标价，认为需求和票价的改善趋势抵消了大多数公司的适度支出压力。其 中，瑞银将美国联合航空的目标价从114美元上调至131美元，将美国航空公司的目标价从12美元上调至 13美元，将Frontier Group的目标价从3.5美元上调至5美元。 ...

新华财经太原9月28日电（记者王怡静、马晓洁）无人驾驶车辆、"近零碳"运行的机场、模块化变电站 快速建成……科技的浪潮让人们的生产更智能、生活更便捷。在2025年山西（太原）能源产业博览会 上，记者感受到，数智与低碳共同勾勒出能源转型下的可持续未来。 "真是想不到，现在连变电站也可以说建就建了，科技的发展真的是日新月异。"在青岛特锐德电气股份 有限公司的展厅里，参展观众王峰梅感慨道。 王峰梅所说的"说建就建"的变电站指的是青岛特锐德电气股份有限公司提出的"新一代数字化近零碳全 预制变电站方案"，相关产品（如车载移动式变电站、电网用预制舱）以预制舱建设为基础，充分利用 数字化技术和现代通信技术，实现将舱体和设备整体运输到现场后，只需进行简单拼接和接线工作，即 可完成变电站建设。 展会上，从"智慧园区""绿电园区"的蓝图落地，到智能矿山、全场景底盘换电重卡等具体应用，一系列 先进的构想与理念正在步入现实。这些成果令人赞叹，也让人们对低碳与数智共同描绘的未来图景倍感 期待。 （文章来源：新华社） "这车怎么没有方向盘？怎么开？"在华电煤业集团数智技术有限公司的展厅里，参展观众见到这辆自动 无人驾驶小巴问道。工作人员 ...

近日，有网友反映，9月26日龙江航空由哈尔滨飞往呼伦贝尔海拉尔的LT4391航班，提前15小时起飞，对行程影响较大。9月27日，龙江航空客服人员告诉 南都N视频记者，26日该航班确实开始正式调整起飞时间，"遇到类似突然调整提前起飞的情况，没有赔偿政策，可全额退票或免费改签其他日期"。 通知截图。 近日，有网友反映，9月26日龙江航空由哈尔滨飞往呼伦贝尔海拉尔的LT4391航班，原定起飞时间为21时55分，突然通知调整为当日6时10分起飞，提前约 15小时。因对行程影响较大，因此她选择改签其他航班。 9月27日，龙江航空客服人员告诉南都记者，"这是因为航班计划调整起飞时间。9月18日通知航班改时间，9月26日正式执行，一直到10月25日都是这样，之 前曾给乘客的预留手机号发过调整通知。之后进入下一个航季，暂时还不确定后续调整计划"。 如遇类似突然调整提前起飞的情况，航空公司是否有赔偿政策？客服表示，"没有赔偿政策，可全额退票或免费改签其他日期的同一个航班。" 南都记者查询线上售票平台发现，龙江航空LT4391航班现确已调整至6时10分起飞，计划抵达时间为7时40分。10月25日后，暂无该趟航班售票信息。 （文章 ...