新质生产力持续赋能上市公司业绩增长。在人工智能、半导体、高端制造等赛道，一批上市公司在2025 年第一季度交出优异"成绩单"。 在人工智能领域，拓维信息系统股份有限公司、深圳市优博讯科技股份有限公司、中科星图股份有限公 司等多家上市公司今年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比增长超1倍。 服务器龙头浪潮电子信息产业股份有限公司（以下简称"浪潮信息"）主业高速成长。第一季度公司实现 营业收入468.58亿元，同比增长165.31%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润4.63亿元，同比增长 52.78%。对于营业收入同比增长的主要原因，浪潮信息披露的公告显示，主要是客户需求增加，服务 器销售增长。 在半导体领域，有研新材料股份有限公司、江苏微导纳米科技股份有限公司、杭州长川科技股份有限公 司等多家上市公司第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比增长超1倍。 2025年一季度，A股上市公司业绩整体实现"开门红"。据《证券日报》记者梳理，截至5月6日午间，沪 深北交易所已有5391家上市公司披露了2025年一季报，其中4068家上市公司第一季度归属于上市公司股 东的净利润实现盈利，占比达75.46%。 中国电子商务专家服 ...

计算机行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 透过财报看算力产业落地进度 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们认为，从上市公司财报中，我们已经可以看出 AI 芯片与服务器行业受益于 AI 行业的 迅猛发展而呈现指标加速，此外，算力租赁服务企业订单的密集落地和预付账款的增 加，也预示着相关业务的落地指日可待，而 IDC 行业由于业务落地周期长，目前从行业 整体而言尚未看到财务数据变化但我们对前景也较为乐观。 风险提示 技术落地不及预期、政策落地不及预期、美国进一步制裁风险 国家/地区 中国 行业 计算机行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 05 日 看好（维持） | 浦俊懿 | 021-63325888*6106 | | --- | --- | | | pujunyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860514050004 | | 陈超 | 021-63325888*3144 | | | chenchao3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521050002 | | 宋鑫宇 | songxinyu@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执 ...

Key Points Summary Group 1: Performance Verification Key Points - The overall A-share non-financial profit showed a seasonal weakness in Q4 2024 but a strong recovery in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 6.3% in Q1 2025 compared to a -55% decline in Q4 2024, indicating a historical high recovery level [1][5][4] - The supply-demand dynamics remain weak, with a significant decline in fixed asset turnover rates, leading to reduced profitability. The capital expenditure and construction projects in the midstream manufacturing sector have reached historical lows, indicating a clear downward trend in midstream manufacturing supply [1][10][4] - The performance pressure on the export chain is yet to manifest, while the profitability of companies involved in overseas operations has outperformed that of the export chain, suggesting a deepening divergence due to tariff impacts starting from Q2 2025 [1][18][20] Group 2: Industry Trends and Opportunities - Key thriving industries are concentrated in consumption (benefiting from the old-for-new policy for durable goods and some new consumption), pharmaceuticals (CXO, innovative drugs), and AI computing (improved orders for chips, optical modules, servers, and IDC) [1][22][27] - After the disclosure of Q1 2025 reports, the industries with upward revisions in profit expectations include electronics, computers, retail, steel, and media [1][25][35] - The current stage favors technology investment opportunities, particularly in domestic AI computing and robotics, which are expected to show higher short-term thematic elasticity compared to consumption sectors [1][39][39]

车轮上的新河南滚滚向前。比亚迪郑州基地产值同比增长73%、宇通客车销量同比增长16.56%……在龙 头车企带动下，今年一季度郑州下线汽车28.25万辆、同比增长34.72%。 算力赛道升起"中原明珠"。今年一季度，超聚变研发中心及总部基地投用，整体营收同比翻倍，液冷服 务器、AI服务器稳居中国市场份额第一。 责任编辑： 路娇 眼下怎么干？二季度经济"劲儿往哪儿使"？ 强力推进项目投资，加快推进760个工业项目、1082个基础设施项目等建设进度，加大"两重"、中央预 算内投资、专项债券等项目储备，力争上半年完成投资2650亿元；开展促消费专项行动，多措并举提振 消费；开展稳外贸专项行动，健全重点外贸企业联系机制，稳定和畅通外贸产业链、供应链，全力稳住 外贸基本盘；加大企业帮扶支持力度，深化包保服务攻坚工业经济专项行动，力争上半年新发放小微企 业贷款1600亿元以上；实施升规纳统奖励，高质量培育"四上"企业；实施优化营商环境专项攻坚行动， 促进民营经济发展壮大；加力提升招商引资质效，加快麦德龙、山姆会员店等项目建设……郑州市主动 对接国家利好政策，打好政策组合拳，确保实现上半年经济发展"时间过半、任务过半"。 城 ...

最近，天风国际分析师郭明錤大致分析了一下Super Micro (美超微/超微电脑) 的初步业绩。结论是本季 度的财报可能还会继续承压。 目前AI服务器主要有3种类型，包括ASIC (如Google TPU服务器)、Nvidia GB200/300 NVL72与Nvidia较低阶服务器 (如x86 HGX系列)。目前AI服务器产业的主要成长动能来自 ASIC与NVL72，需求来自于CSP。 Super Micro在1H25主要出货是Nvidia较低阶服务器。 ...

Group 1: US Market Signals - The Dow Jones has experienced six consecutive days of gains, but underlying issues such as Microchip's poor performance indicate a valuation crisis in tech stocks, with server inventory turnover days rising to 92 days and a significant 18% reduction in orders due to delayed customer pickups [2] - Consumer confidence index has fallen below pandemic lows, with median disposable income decreasing by 4.2%, raising concerns that this data is more alarming than the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes [2] Group 2: A-Share Market Dynamics - Kweichow Moutai reported contrasting results, with the price of its flagship product falling below 2500 yuan, while its series of wines achieved over 10 billion yuan in quarterly revenue, indicating a trend of high-end consumption downgrade and the emergence of the light luxury market as a new opportunity [3] - Vanke's impressive repayment rate of over 100% is misleading, as it relies heavily on asset disposals, having sold over 20 billion yuan in commercial real estate in three months, a common survival strategy among real estate companies [3] Group 3: Energy Sector Developments - The Three Gorges Group's Yangjiang project has successfully connected to the grid, becoming the world's first offshore photovoltaic power station in a typhoon zone, exceeding expected output by 15% under 12-level wind conditions, creating a market space of 240 billion yuan [4] - Beneficiaries of this technological breakthrough are not the component manufacturers but rather the corrosion-resistant support structures and flexible cables, with orders for the latter extending to 2026 [4] Group 4: Investment Strategies - Position management suggests reducing total holdings to 50%, with 20% allocated to Changjiang Electric (4.3% dividend yield and dual drivers from flood control and power generation) and China Shenhua (lowest pithead coal cost in the industry) [5] - Identifying undervalued opportunities includes semiconductor equipment leader AMEC, which secured a major order of 12 etching machines from Yangtze Memory Technologies, and SMIC, which is trading at a 32% discount on Hong Kong stocks [5] - A hedging strategy includes a 3% allocation to a gold ETF (Shandong Gold trading at a 38% discount in Hong Kong compared to A-shares) and a 2% allocation to a dollar-denominated money market fund [5] Group 5: Key Observations for May - The MLF operation on May 15 could lead to a valuation recovery in the consumer sector if interest rates are cut by more than 10 basis points [6] - The LPR quote on May 20, particularly a reduction in the 5-year rate, is expected to stimulate the home appliance and building materials sectors [6] - The Federal Reserve's minutes on May 23 will be closely monitored for indications of a "slower balance sheet reduction," which may present buying opportunities in tech stocks [6]

Market Overview - The recent performance of the U.S. stock market shows signs of "false prosperity," with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.75%, largely driven by traditional giants like Boeing and Caterpillar, indicating a "high-low switch" strategy among investors [3] - The Nasdaq's 0.55% increase was primarily supported by Tesla, which alone contributed a 2.15% rise, while other major tech stocks like Amazon and Google experienced slight declines, suggesting a lack of broad market strength [3] Company-Specific Insights - Supermicro's earnings forecast fell short by nearly $1 billion compared to market expectations, leading to a 20% drop in its stock price post-announcement. This event serves as a warning signal for the entire AI server supply chain, impacting stocks like Nvidia and Dell [3] - In the Chinese concept stock market, the Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.3%, but there was significant divergence within the sector. New Oriental saw a rise of over 4% due to favorable trends in vocational education, while Xpeng faced a 6% decline due to tariff issues [3] - Luckin Coffee continues to struggle, reflecting a significant decline in market sentiment towards previously high-flying stocks [3] Commodity Market Dynamics - The commodity market experienced a "Black Tuesday," with oil prices dropping below $60 and gold losing its safe-haven appeal, reflecting global economic "stagflation" expectations [4] - The simultaneous decline in oil and gold prices is attributed to OPEC+ production increases amid weak demand, while a rebound in the dollar is pressuring gold prices [4] Bond Market Trends - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond fell below 4.17%, and the 2-year yield reached 3.65%, indicating a steepening yield curve that suggests market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [4] - Consumer confidence has dropped to a pandemic low, and job vacancies have decreased for three consecutive months, further supporting the notion of an impending rate cut [4] Strategic Recommendations - The current rally in the U.S. stock market lacks solid foundations, with a focus on upcoming Nvidia earnings to provide clarity [4] - Investors in Chinese concept stocks should focus on policy benefits and earnings certainty, particularly in education and essential consumer sectors [4] - Caution is advised in the commodity market, with recommendations to wait for the OPEC+ June meeting and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision before making significant moves [4]

智通财经APP获悉，周二美股盘后，超微电脑(SMCI.US)股价暴跌，此前公布的初步业绩远低于分析师 预期，表明该公司的业务复苏计划进展缓慢。 这家人工智能(AI)服务器制造商周二发布声明称，第三财季销售额预计为45亿至46亿美元，不仅远低于 分析师53.5亿美元的平均预期，也大幅低于公司此前约55亿美元的业绩指引。截至3月31日的季度，经 调整后每股收益仅为0.29至0.31美元，而市场预期为0.53美元。 作为曾经备受AI概念追捧的明星股，超微电脑因搭载高性能显卡的AI服务器需求激增而风光无限。今 年2月，该公司还给出了积极的长期营收指引，称在截至2026年6月的财政年度，销售额将达到400亿美 元，几乎是分析师对本财年预测值的两倍。首席执行官Charles Liang曾向分析师表示："若供应链能跟 上需求，我们对2025年重现甚至超越2023年的增长充满信心。" 但该公司解释称，部分客户推迟采购计划，导致订单转移至本季度。这份不及预期的报告导致其股价在 周二美股收于36美元后，盘后一度重挫近20%。芯片巨头英伟达(NVDA.US)跌幅约2%， AMD(AMD.US)跌幅约1%。 Bloomberg In ...

Group 1 - The liquid cooling server sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with KWH Data (科华数据, 002335) hitting the daily limit increase [1] - New Times (新时达, 002527) has risen over 4%, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies such as Data Port (数据港, 603881), Shenling Environment (申菱环境, 301018), and Jiangsu Leili (江苏雷利, 300660) are also seeing gains, reflecting a broader positive movement in the sector [1] Group 2 - There is an influx of dark pool funds entering these stocks, suggesting increased investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1]

文 ｜ 裘翔 刘春彤 杨家骥 高玉森 连一席 遥远 在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前，中美贸易谈判可能进展有限；国内的政策是托底和应对式的，4月只是第一波以试验和预防为特征 的政策；筹码出清相对彻底且对业绩不敏感的主题阶段性占优；市场整体情绪位置不算低，科技板块相对医药和消费更接近冰点，对风偏 回升更敏感。配置上，5月关注新技术和产业题材轮动、海外科技映射链修复以及服务业扩内需政策落地。 在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前， 中美贸易谈判可能进展有限 近期特朗普针对关税问题表态持续反复，美股市场反应较为敏感。但我们认为国内投资者不需要花精力关心这些高频变化，特朗普试图灵活 利用关税武器来制造谈判筹码，而中国商务部新闻发言人何亚东表示"如果美方真的想解决问题，就应该正视国际社会和国内各方理性声音， 彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施，通过平等对话，找到解决分歧的办法"。我们建议还是关注特朗普未来一年面临的两大约束，一是7~8月需 要推进债务上限谈判和减税法案通过，二是明年中期选举。尽管目前特朗普的民调支持率已经开始明显下降，但这属于每个美国总统百日新 政后正常的回落，而特朗普两次任期的民调本身就比其他美国总统偏低，目前 ...