证券代码：603717 证券简称：天域生物 公告编号：2025-077 天域生物科技股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 天域生物科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年 8 月养殖业务 主要经营数据公告如下： 一、2025 年 8 月养殖行业主要经营数据 别为 50.83%、41.89%，同比变动分别为 2.04%、-53.32%。 收入 36,240.60 万元，同比下降 0.05%。 月度主要经营数据汇总如下： 销售数量（万头） 销售收入（万元） 期末库存量 月份 当月 累计 当月 累计 （万头） 注：因四舍五入，以上数据可能存在尾差。 二、特别提示 因此仅作为阶段性数据供投资者参考。 司生猪销售数量和销售收入存在月度波动风险，敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 天域生物科技股份有限公司董事会 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，养殖板块养殖成本有所下降，从而带动利润改善。往后看， 该行预计低成本公司现金流状况将进一步改善。另预期行业分红公司逐步增加，分红率逐步增长。基于 行业盈利能力改善，继续看好生猪养殖行业。推荐标的：牧原股份(002714.SZ)、温氏股份 (300498.SZ)、巨星农牧(603477.SH)、神农集团(605296.SH)、天康生物(002100.SZ)。 分红增加 国泰海通主要观点如下： 2025年中报养殖行业现金流改善、负债率下降、养殖利润向好，其中牧原、神农、京基智农进行中报分 红，未来随着借款和负债率进一步下降，该行预期行业分红公司逐步增加，分红率逐步增长。 利润表：营收利润双增 利润表来看，2025Q2营业收入1205.60亿元，同比增加15.20%，环比增加9.85%。从成本的角度来看， 基于养殖效率改善、存活率提升等原因，该行预计养殖成本有所下降，从而带动利润改善，归母净利润 方面，单二季度归母净利润87.15亿，同比上升23.4%，环比一季度上升7.85亿。 资产负债表：降负债，慢资本开支 从资产负债表可以看到，利润的增厚主要投向降负债，资本开支没有大幅 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by -1.08% to 3765 points, and the ChiNext Index falling by -4.25, indicating a notable market correction [1] - The total trading volume in both markets decreased to 2.58 trillion, reflecting a shrinking market activity [1] - Among the 31 primary industries tracked by Shenwan, 11 showed gains, particularly in sectors like commerce, personal care, banking, and social services, while high-risk sectors such as communications, electronics, non-ferrous metals, and military industries faced substantial pullbacks [1] Market Dynamics - Recent market declines are attributed to short-term capital behaviors, suggesting that the current pullback may help alleviate the pressure from previous rapid increases [2] - The AI sector has been a primary focus, with significant trading activity observed, while other sectors have seen limited opportunities [2] - Historical data indicates that even if the A-share index continues to rise, sectors that have accelerated may require substantial corrections, with an average pullback duration of 6.4 days and an average adjustment magnitude of 2.9% after breaking below the 20-day moving average [2] Economic Environment - The macroeconomic environment in September shows positive changes, with expectations of improved liquidity in the future, and the A-share market currently not facing substantial negative factors [3] - The domestic economic fundamentals remain stable, with the August PMI indicating a marginal improvement in production activities following extreme weather conditions [3] - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, likely by 25 basis points, could further influence market dynamics, with potential implications for the Fed's independence and future rate cut sustainability [3] Sector Allocation - In terms of sector allocation, there is a focus on long-term profit improvement, with technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, and non-bank financials being highlighted as areas of interest [4] - The AI sector is currently at a high emotional trading point, with recommendations to focus on reasonably priced AI applications and advanced semiconductor processes [4] - As market sentiment stabilizes, sectors such as brokerage, insurance, and financial IT are expected to see improvements in both valuation and performance [4] - The anticipated easing of monetary policy and fiscal measures by 2026 may create new investment opportunities in export-oriented sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and non-ferrous metals [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes the current economic situation from the perspectives of economic growth and inflation. In terms of economic growth, the production side shows a mixed trend with high - level power plant consumption but declines in blast furnace and tire operating rates in some areas, while the demand side sees a marginal decline in building material prices. Regarding inflation, most industrial product prices are falling, with the CPI affected by the drop in pork prices and the PPI showing a complex situation of price changes in different industrial products [1][3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Economic Growth: Marginal Decline in Building Material Prices 3.1.1 Production: High - level Power Plant Consumption - Power plant consumption remains at a high level. On September 2, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 922,000 tons, a 2.6% decrease from August 26. On August 26, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.469 million tons, a 0.3% increase from August 19. With the end of the summer peak approaching, power plant consumption in eight coastal provinces is expected to remain high [4][11]. - The blast furnace operating rate has declined locally. On August 29, the national blast furnace operating rate was 83.2%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from August 22, and the capacity utilization rate was 90.0%, a 0.3 - percentage - point decrease. In Tangshan, the blast furnace operating rate of steel mills was 88.6%, a 3.9 - percentage - point decrease from August 22, affected by environmental protection restrictions [4][17]. - The tire operating rate has declined slightly. On August 28, the operating rate of truck full - steel tires was 63.8%, a 0.9 - percentage - point decrease from August 21, and the operating rate of car semi - steel tires was 72.8%, a 0.4 - percentage - point decrease. However, the operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions has continued to rise [4][19]. 3.1.2 Demand: Marginal Decline in Building Material Prices - At the beginning of the month, the sales volume of new houses in 30 cities has rebounded month - on - month. From September 1 - 2, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 189,000 square meters, a 19.0% increase from August, a 54.4% increase from September last year, but a 21.8% decrease from September 2023. The rebound trend needs further confirmation. Sales in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities have increased year - on - year [4][24]. - The retail trend in the auto market is stable. In August, retail sales increased by 3% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 12% year - on - year [4][24][25]. - Steel prices have generally fallen. On September 2, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil decreased by 2.1%, 1.8%, 1.5%, and 0.9% respectively compared to August 26. Steel inventories are slowly accumulating [4][31]. - Cement prices have returned to a downward trend. On September 2, the national cement price index decreased by 1.3% compared to August 26, with prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions falling more than the national average. The year - on - year decline in cement prices has widened [4][32]. - The decline in glass prices has widened. On September 2, the active futures contract price of glass was 1,142 yuan per ton, a 3.5% decrease from August 26. The demand side is significantly affected by the real estate market, and the implementation effect of policies remains to be seen [4][38]. - The container shipping freight index has stabilized locally. On August 29, the CCFI index decreased by 1.6% from August 22, while the SCFI index increased by 2.1%. The freight rate of the US route has stopped falling and rebounded, mainly due to shipping companies' capacity control [4][40]. 3.2 Inflation: Most Industrial Product Prices are Falling 3.2.1 CPI: Pork Prices Fall Below 20 Yuan - Pork prices have fallen below 20 yuan. On September 2, the average wholesale price of pork was 19.8 yuan per kilogram, a 1.0% decrease from August 26. In September, the theoretical supply of live pigs is expected to increase [4][46]. - The agricultural product price index is the second - lowest in the same period in the past five years. On September 2, the agricultural product wholesale price index increased by 1.1% compared to August 26. Different agricultural products have different price trends [4][51]. 3.2.2 PPI: Most Industrial Product Prices are Falling - Oil prices have risen slightly. On September 2, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $69.5 and $65.6 per barrel respectively, a 3.0% and 3.7% increase from August 26. The uncertainty of Russian oil supply supports oil prices [4][56]. - Copper and aluminum prices have rebounded. On September 2, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum increased by 0.7% and 0.2% respectively compared to August 26. However, the domestic commodity index has turned down month - on - month [4][59]. - Industrial product prices have turned down month - on - month. Since September, most industrial product prices have fallen, with coking coal and coke having relatively large declines. Most industrial product prices are also down year - on - year [4][63].

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance recovery is slowing down, with mid-cap growth stocks showing outstanding growth. The expansion of the AI trend and manufacturing overseas is expected to drive continued capacity cycle expansion, maintaining a differentiated structure of cyclical growth [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In H1 2025, the net profit of the entire A-share non-financial sector increased by 1.59% year-on-year, with revenue growth at 0.66%, indicating strong resilience despite rising operating costs leading to a narrowing of gross profit growth [2]. - The performance growth is differentiated across sectors, with the main board, ChiNext, and North Exchange showing a slowdown, while the growth of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board rebounded significantly [2]. - Mid-cap stocks outperformed in growth, while large-cap stocks showed resilience, and small-cap stocks experienced a noticeable decline [2]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The technology growth sector, including optical electronics, semiconductors, and communication equipment, continued to show high prosperity driven by overseas AI investments and domestic substitution demand [3]. - The cyclical sector faced pressure, but precious metals and minor metals still grew rapidly due to rising expectations of overseas interest rate cuts and tight supply [3]. - Essential consumption faced general pressure, but sectors like breeding, feed, and animal health showed significant growth due to capacity reduction and the expansion of the pet economy [3]. Group 3: Capacity Operation - In Q2 2025, traditional cyclical resources and equipment manufacturing industries are experiencing strong capacity decommissioning intentions, while emerging industries and new materials are showing expansion characteristics [4]. - The capacity utilization rate in emerging technology hardware and some consumer industries remains high, with marginal improvements observed [4]. - The capacity cycle is entering an expansion phase, particularly in emerging technology industries, new consumption, and certain cyclical materials [4].

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of the investment market, highlighting the challenges faced by seasoned investors and the impact of the computing power sector on market dynamics [2][3][32]. Group 1: Market Performance and Investor Sentiment - Many seasoned investors have reported returns around 20% this year, which is above the nearly 15% increase in the CSI 300 index as of September 1 [5][4]. - Investors who heavily focused on technology and high-growth sectors have seen less favorable performance, indicating a cautious approach to investment strategies [5][6]. - The computing power sector is described as a "black hole" absorbing market funds and attention, creating pressure on investors who have not yet positioned themselves in this area [2][32]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Investors with a focus on safety margins tend to avoid high-narrative stocks, leading to a more conservative portfolio composition [6]. - Notable investors like Zhang Kun express skepticism about the long-term sustainability of current pessimistic consumer sentiment, suggesting that the underlying economic conditions may support a recovery in consumer confidence [7][15]. - The article highlights the contrasting strategies of different fund managers, with some embracing technology while others remain cautious, reflecting a diverse range of investment philosophies [8][10]. Group 3: Economic Outlook and Policy Implications - The macroeconomic consensus points to weak consumer demand and concerns about fundamentals, but some investors argue that these pessimistic views may not hold in the long term [7][15]. - The article discusses the potential for policy measures to stimulate domestic consumption and support economic recovery, which could positively impact market sentiment [18][22]. - The ongoing liquidity conditions and government support for the economy are expected to create a favorable environment for long-term investors [19][23]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - The computing power sector is experiencing significant investment, particularly from major U.S. companies, but there are concerns about potential bubbles forming if growth expectations are not met [32][33]. - Investors are advised to monitor the performance of companies in sectors like technology and healthcare, which have shown resilience and growth potential despite broader market challenges [10][20]. - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-quality companies with strong fundamentals, especially in the context of a recovering economy [23][24].

Group 1: Market Overview - A-shares showed a slight decline today, with the Consumer ETF (159928) experiencing a minor pullback, and trading volume exceeding 620 million yuan [1] - The Consumer ETF has seen significant net subscriptions, with 84 million units purchased during the day and nearly 500 million yuan attracted yesterday, totaling over 3.4 billion yuan in the last ten days [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer 50 ETF (159268) remained stable, with trading volume surpassing 28 million yuan, and has seen net inflows on 6 out of the last 10 days, accumulating over 18 million yuan [3] - Key stocks in this ETF include Lao Pu Gold and Midea Group, both rising over 2%, while Li Ning fell over 1% [3] Group 3: Sector Performance - The liquor sector showed strong performance in Q2, with leading brand Moutai maintaining steady growth, while other companies began to clear inventory and adjust product structures [5] - The condiment sector, particularly Haitian, demonstrated resilience, while the frozen food market is stabilizing despite competitive pressures [6] - The new consumption sector is expected to see steady performance, driven by high demand, with tea beverage companies benefiting from the delivery market [6] Group 4: Agricultural Sector Outlook - In the livestock sector, policies are guiding capacity reduction, with expectations for pig prices to rise as production capacity decreases [7] - The planting sector faces challenges from extreme weather, but there are positive expectations for global crop production and pricing, particularly for wheat and soybeans [7] Group 5: ETF Composition and Strategy - The Consumer ETF (159928) has a strong index with over 68% of its top ten holdings, including four leading liquor stocks accounting for 32% and major pig farming companies at 15% [8] - The Hong Kong Consumer 50 ETF (159268) is positioned as an efficient investment choice for the new consumption sector, supporting T+0 trading and not occupying QDII quotas [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the livestock sector is experiencing a recovery in performance, with a positive outlook for the first half of 2025, particularly in the pig farming segment [1] - According to Wind data, the Livestock ETF (159865) has seen a net inflow of 24 million units, indicating strong capital interest in livestock assets [1] - In the second quarter, 12 pig farming companies reported a total net profit of 8.673 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.46% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.84% [1] Group 2 - Relevant institutions suggest that the livestock sector may have entered a favorable allocation phase, recommending attention to the marginal changes in the Livestock ETF (159865) [2] - For investors without stock accounts, alternative options include the Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Farming ETF Link A (012724) and Link C (012725) [2]

Core Insights - New Hope reported a net profit of approximately 755 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [1] - The company's revenue for the same period reached approximately 51.625 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.13% [1] - As of August 29, New Hope's stock price closed at 9.88 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 44.49 billion yuan [1]

由于风险溢价接近历史最低水平，加之恒生指数业绩的下修，港股8月份没有延续继续大涨的行情，板 块业绩也出现了明显的分化。外卖大战是个不得不考虑的扰动，此外2季报后金融、高股息、本地股的 业绩下修也值得重视。板块方面，推荐： 鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔的发言被市场解读成鸽派信号，深究其言论背后，主张的是长期劳动力与通胀的平 衡，这比四年前的FAIT框架更加关注适应当下的情形。9月将披露8月的通胀数据，这是企业在关税基 本落定后开始向消费者传递通胀的首月，数据的质量决定了后续降息的节奏。 美联储库克事件还在发酵，虽然后续反诉也需要时间，但这无疑会不断增加市场对美联储的独立性的担 忧。鉴于后续的不确定性，建议跟踪加密币的走势，一旦加密币迟迟不创新高，要考虑流动性对美股影 响恶化的可能。 A股：加速上行中，成交量是关键 A股加速上行，成交量是关键。国信证券复盘了过去四次牛市的顶部区域，2.9%的单日换手率是关键位 置。在加速上行的过程中，换手率的不断放大是必要的。当前换手率达到了2.8%，且温和放大，代表 目前市场健康，后续应关注该换手率上行的持续性。 此外，从基钦周期上，测算11-12月，明年4月是两个比较重要的时间窗口。在 ...