风险提示： 宏观经济波动加大、行业竞争加剧、食品安全风险。 报告导读： 白酒板块动销和批价上行。大众品板块中零食、乳制品有望迎来春节备货投资 行情。 投资建议： 成长为主线、重视供需出清下的拐点机会。 白酒：春节动销渐起，飞天批价上涨。 本周1月29日白酒板块单日大幅上涨，主要受地产政策、茅台批价、流动性等多重因素催化。据我们观察，茅台价盘 理顺后渠道融合度显著提升，线上i茅台掀起抢购潮，线下经销商出货甚至略快于往年，近期礼赠及饮用需求增加，普飞批价本周一度涨超1700元。展望后 续：1）短期维度，白酒开门红推进中，除强势品牌外多数渠道打款积极性一般，预计动销高峰2月开启，届时若普飞等核心大单品需求持续释放，则有望支 撑价盘，若批价确认企稳，我们认为其对股价的压制将会减轻；2）中期维度，2026年景气修复和库存去化尚需时间，预计酒企通过以价换量或控量的方式维 持渠道韧性，典型的以价换量如高端龙头茅台、五粮液，控量如习酒、郎酒等，5-6月起行业迎来低基数，动销或将逐步企稳，具备较强放量潜力的品牌有望 更快修复，行业预计呈现主动或被动去库之势，为后续发展奠定基础。 大众品：元旦良好人流量利好出行相关食饮需求。 （ ...

New Product Launches - Heinz has launched a new "nutritional noodles" product, available in original, pork liver spinach, and beef tomato flavors, made from Canadian wheat and free from added salt, sugar, and preservatives [4] - Pop Mart has introduced a new dessert brand "POP BAKERY," featuring products like ice cream and cookies [4] - Master Kong has released two new noodle products, braised beef noodles and Sichuan beef noodles, using large cuts of meat and fresh ingredients [4] - McDonald's China has launched several new limited-time products for the Spring Festival, available in over 7,700 restaurants [6] - Danone's Alpro has introduced "Alpro Meal To Go," a plant-based meal replacement drink containing 20g of plant protein [5] - Yili has partnered with JD Health to launch "Milk Oat Bird's Nest Porridge," featuring 400mg of traceable bird's nest [6] - Wanglaoji has released a limited edition diamond gem set priced at 18.28 million, featuring 18K gold and 18,202 natural gems [7] - Mengniu has launched "Lutein Blueberry Milk," enriched with DHA and vitamins [7] - Hengshun has introduced "Vinegar Cola," combining traditional vinegar with a fizzy drink [9] Industry Events - MLB has announced actress Zhang Ruonan as its new brand ambassador, focusing on street culture and self-expression [11] - KFC has adjusted its delivery product prices, with an average increase of 0.8 yuan [11] - Douyin e-commerce has upgraded its after-sales mechanism to improve operational efficiency for merchants [11] - Crocs has partnered with LEGO to launch a new collaborative series [11] Financing and Acquisitions - Muxin Intelligent has completed a B-round financing of over 100 million yuan [18] - Anta Sports has reached an agreement to acquire a 29.06% stake in Puma for 1.5 billion euros (approximately 12.4 billion yuan) [20] - Puratos has acquired American nut supplier Vör Foods to enhance its innovation in baked goods [20] - Fen Chuan Ji has completed a 100 million yuan A-round financing for supply chain upgrades and digital management [20] - Nowwa Coffee has completed a multi-hundred million yuan C-round financing [22] - WH Group's subsidiary Smithfield Foods has signed an agreement to acquire Nathan's Famous for approximately 450 million USD [25] Food Industry Developments - Koko Manfen has launched a new drink featuring plum and three beans [27] - Woji Fresh has introduced a gift box of pure milk dessert soups [27] - Luckin Coffee has opened a co-branded store with the Australian Open [27] - Tea Xiaokai has launched "Magic Frozen Tea" with seaweed pearls [27] - Tetra Pak is investing 600 million euros (approximately 5 billion yuan) to build a new factory in Sweden [31]

Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved significant sales growth in its dried tangerine peel and liquor business, with sales reaching approximately RMB 11 million in January 2026, representing a more than 200% increase compared to the previous month [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The sales performance in January 2026 marks a "breakthrough from zero" for the company in the emerging business of dried tangerine peel, indicating market acceptance of the products and business model [1] - The company did not have any sales from the dried tangerine peel business in the same period of 2025, highlighting the growth achieved in a short time frame [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The board attributes the sales performance to the company's recent strategic transformation measures, which have begun to yield tangible business results [1] - On January 5, 2026, the company entered into strategic cooperation agreements with Guizhou Datang Chengtiansha Liquor Co., Ltd. and Jiangmen Tujia Dried Tangerine Peel Food Co., Ltd. to promote a "dual-core development" strategy in liquor and agriculture [1] Group 3: Future Development Plans - The company plans to continue advancing its dried tangerine peel and liquor-related industries, focusing on product standardization, brand building, and channel development while managing risks prudently [1] - Efforts will be made to deepen industry collaboration and optimize resource allocation to support sustainable and long-term business development [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved significant sales growth in its dried tangerine peel and liquor business, marking a breakthrough in a new market segment with sales of approximately RMB 11 million in January 2026, representing a more than 200% increase compared to the previous month [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The sales performance in January 2026 reflects the company's entry into the dried tangerine peel business, which had not been operational in the same period of 2025, indicating market acceptance of the new products and business model [1] - The strategic transformation measures implemented by the company have begun to yield tangible business results during the reporting period [1] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - On January 5, 2026, the company entered into strategic cooperation agreements with Guizhou Datang Chengtiansha Liquor Co., Ltd. and Jiangmen Tujia Dried Tangerine Peel Food Co., Ltd. to promote a dual-core development strategy focusing on liquor and agriculture (dried tangerine peel) through resource sharing and complementary advantages [1] Group 3: Future Development Plans - The company plans to continue advancing its dried tangerine peel and liquor-related industries, emphasizing product standardization, brand building, and channel development while ensuring prudent risk management [1] - Efforts will be made to deepen industry collaboration and optimize resource allocation to support sustainable and long-term business development [1]

01 主题：行业配置模型回顾与更新系列（二十一） 时间：2月2日（周一）21:00 主讲：刘晓锋 金工首席分析师 参会密码： 116367 02 主 题： 杭州银行基本面背景及26年投资展望 时间： 2月5日（周四）14 : 00 主讲： 夏芈卬 金融首席分析师 参会密码： 770209 03 主 题：古茗观点更新和推荐 时间： 2月5日（周四）15 : 00 主讲： 郭梦婕 食饮首席分析师 林叙希 食饮分析师 参会密码： 750870 04 主题： 工程机械行业近况更新 时间： 2月5日（周四）15 : 00 主讲：张凤琳 机械分析师 参会密码： 638768 05 主题：朱格拉周期视角下的化工投资机会——炼化&聚酯 时间：2月6日（周五）10 : 30 主讲： 王海涛 化工分析师 参会密码：580407 首席分析 Um 识别二维码立即参会 +86-01053827720 (全球) +886-277083288 (中国台湾) +852-51089680 (中国香港) 参会密码: 116367 ii i C SECURITIES 会议号码: +86-4001888938 (中国大陆) 杭州银行基本面背景 及2 ...

Group 1: Consumer Market Overview - The consumer market in 2025 shows a complex situation with per capita disposable income reaching 43,300 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, providing a foundation for consumption [1][11] - Social retail growth has been declining since June, with December showing a single-month growth of only 0.9% [1][11] - The consumer confidence index has risen to 90.3 but remains below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that consumer confidence still needs to be restored [1][16] Group 2: Tourism Industry - The tourism market performed well, with total tourism revenue during the National Day holiday reaching 809 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, and the number of tourists reaching 880 million, up 16% [1][14] - November's passenger volume has returned to the same level as in 2019, indicating that travel has become an essential part of life [1][14] Group 3: Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage industry experienced a cumulative growth of 3.2% in 2025, with a noticeable slowdown in growth after June [2][17] - The CPI in December increased by 0.8%, indicating that the downward trend in prices has been halted [2][19] - The industry is facing challenges, including price wars and a decline in consumer spending, particularly in the restaurant sector [2][17] Group 4: Textile and Apparel Industry - The textile and apparel industry benefits from increased demand for winter clothing and products related to winter sports, supported by national policies and a recovery in consumption [3] Group 5: Automotive Industry - In 2025, passenger car sales exceeded 30 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 16 million units, up 32.0% [3] Group 6: Key Companies and Investment Opportunities - Companies such as Haidilao (6862.HK) and Guoquan (2517.HK) are expected to benefit from the upcoming Spring Festival, with Haidilao showing signs of same-store sales improvement [10][29] - Wei Long (9985.HK) is also anticipated to perform well during the Spring Festival, with a reasonable valuation [10][39]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in sales for its dried tangerine peel and liquor business, achieving approximately RMB 11 million in sales for January 2026, representing a more than 200% increase compared to the previous month. This marks the company's entry into a new business area, indicating market acceptance of its products and business model [1]. Group 1 - The sales performance is attributed to the company's recent strategic transformation measures, which have begun to yield tangible business results [1]. - The company has established strategic cooperation agreements with Guizhou Datang Chengtiansha Liquor Co., Ltd. and Jiangmen Tujia Tangerine Peel Food Co., Ltd. to promote a dual-core development strategy focusing on liquor and agriculture (dried tangerine peel) [1]. - The company plans to continue advancing its dried tangerine peel and liquor-related industries while ensuring prudent risk management, focusing on product standardization, brand building, and channel development [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the generational transition in family businesses, particularly among Fujian entrepreneurs, highlighting the challenges faced by the second generation as they take over leadership roles amidst changing market conditions and societal expectations [5][16]. Group 1: Succession in Fujian Enterprises - Xu Shihui, founder of Dali Food Group, has retired, passing leadership to his daughter Xu Yangyang, who has been groomed for this role for years [7][14]. - Cao Dewang, founder of Fuyao Group, has also stepped down, with his son Cao Hui taking over, marking a trend of succession among Fujian entrepreneurs [7][11]. - The transition of leadership is becoming a reality in Fujian's private enterprises, with several second-generation leaders stepping into their roles [7][8]. Group 2: Challenges Faced by Successors - The new generation faces a more challenging business environment and intense competition, along with the pressure of living up to their predecessors' legacies [16][18]. - Many successors, despite having better resources and education, struggle with the dual identity of being both children and inheritors, leading to potential conflicts [8][16]. - The decision to take over family businesses can lead to significant generational "wars," as seen in the case of Fuyao Group, where Cao Hui initially resisted taking over [11][12]. Group 3: Performance and Expectations - Dali Group's revenue peaked at 22.294 billion yuan in 2021 but has since declined, with 2023 revenue reported at 18.86 billion yuan, presenting a significant challenge for Xu Yangyang [20][21]. - Xu Yangyang aims to innovate beyond her father's established "imitator" strategy, which has become less effective in the current market [21][23]. - In contrast, Fuyao Group, under Cao Hui, is experiencing growth, with 2025 fiscal year revenue reaching 21.45 billion yuan, indicating a different set of challenges focused on maintaining market leadership [23][24]. Group 4: Strategies for Business Continuity - The article highlights the trend of inter-family marriages among Fujian entrepreneurs as a strategy to strengthen business alliances and ensure continuity [26][29]. - Establishing family offices has become a common practice among Fujian businesses to manage wealth and address succession issues proactively [27][30]. - The emphasis on collaboration and mutual support among family businesses reflects a cultural approach to navigating risks and uncertainties in the market [30][31].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何 部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 BASETROPHY GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED 基地錦標集團控股有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：8460） 內幕消息 二零二六年一月未經審核業務更新 本公告乃基地錦標集團控股有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司統稱「本集團」） 根據香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）GEM證券上市規則（「GEM上市規則」） 第17.10條及香港法例第571章證券及期貨條例第XIVA 部項下內幕消息條文（定義 見GEM上市規則）而作出。 本公司董事會（「董事會」）欣然宣佈本集團於截至二零二六年一月三十一日止一 個月（「有關期間」）的若干業務更新及相關營運資料（「業務更新」）。 二零二六年一月業務表現 有關期間內陳皮及白酒銷售業務錄得銷售額約人民幣11,000,000元，環比上升超 200%。鑑於本集團於二零二五年同期尚未開展陳皮相關業務之銷售，有關期間之 業績表現不僅標誌著本集團 ...

如何看待有色金属的高波动？ 本轮有色金属的行情背后是：美元信用松动+流动性宽松预期+新增产业需求叙事，金融资本由于此前对实物资产欠配， 所以在上述三个催化下快速涌入。我们是实物资产投资逻辑在国内市场最早的构建者，但在近期市场过于流行的一致 预期也让我们担心一切看起来"太过容易"。本周四、周五有色金属商品和股票调整的原因则在于上述"美元信用松 动+流动性宽松预期"的叙事因为美联储主席提名人选的确定出现了逆转，再加上有色金属价格达到历史新高后的获 利了结。特朗普对沃什的提名尽管不直接意味着流动性的收紧，但至少让市场看到了一个"重塑美元信用"的蓝图， 这对于前期的拥挤交易产生了冲击：第一，美联储"缩表"回收市场多余流动性，压低通胀；第二，在通胀得到控制 的前提下，跟随自然利率的下降而降息，支持高效率的企业生产培育经济增长的内生动能，这是美元信用可持续的核 心支撑。而为了平滑上述两个环节带来的市场波动——美联储作为本土最大买家逐步减持美债将带来债券收益率大 幅上行，美国政府需要想方设法重塑美债买盘， "石油美元"循环在此时的重要性提升：历史上，原油每上升 1 美 元，将带来沙特、阿联酋、科威特这三个海合组织国家持有美 ...