2026年伊始，尚未鸣哨的东北足球超级联赛（以下简称"东北超"）已交出亮眼招商成绩单：累计意 向赞助额突破5000万元，近40家企业明确合作意向，涵盖能源、金融、汽车、文旅等多个领域。数字背 后，是"东北超"作为区域体育IP的强劲吸引力，更折射出其从社会影响力到经济带动力，再到区域协同 力、产业赋能力的层层递进的商业价值。 第三层价值，见于深化区域协同的发展聚合力，升华商业价值的辐射能级。 省体育局产业处处长李志刚认为，"东北超"赛事的落地，打破了地域壁垒，推动8座核心城市在赛 事运营、资源共享、市场开发等方面深度合作。 一方面，赛事推动区域内文旅资源的联动开发，比如将辽宁滨海的壮阔、吉林白山的豪迈、黑龙江 林海的苍茫、内蒙古草原的辽阔串联起来，打造"东北超观赛+跨区域文旅"的特色线路，实现客源互 送、市场共拓；另一方面，赛事为区域内企业搭建了合作交流的平台，形成"赛事搭台、企业唱戏、区 域共赢"的良好格局。 第四层价值，归于赋能东北振兴的产业驱动力，拓展商业价值的长远空间。 第一层价值，源于广泛的社会影响力与传播力，构筑商业价值的根基。 首届"东北超"覆盖辽吉黑三省及内蒙古东部人口超1亿人，采用"主客场单循 ...

Core Insights - The competition for AI talent among tech giants has expanded beyond the computer field to include energy experts [1][3] - Major companies are significantly increasing their hiring in the energy sector to address power supply issues critical for AI development [8][20] Group 1: Hiring Trends - Since 2022, Microsoft has hired over 570 employees in the energy sector [4][11] - Amazon leads with 605 new hires in energy, including AWS [10] - Google has added over 340 energy-related positions [11] - Other companies like Apple and NVIDIA have also increased their energy-related roles by nearly 200 [12] Group 2: Talent Acquisition - Microsoft has poached Betsy Beck from Google, who has over 15 years of experience in the energy field [14] - Google recently hired Eric Schubert from BP and Tyler Norris, a recognized climate figure, to strengthen its energy strategy [16][17] - The competition for skilled candidates in energy infrastructure is intensifying due to limited talent pools [18][19] Group 3: Energy Supply Challenges - Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella stated that the lack of electricity is a more critical issue than the shortage of GPUs for AI development [8][20] - The primary challenge is not chip supply but rather the availability of power and the infrastructure to support data centers [21][22] - Elon Musk emphasized that energy will become the essence of currency, highlighting the shift in limitations for AI development [22] Group 4: Long-term Investments - Tech giants are investing in nuclear energy to secure future power supplies, with Meta partnering with several nuclear companies for operational support [29] - Companies are also exploring nuclear fusion projects, with significant investments from major players like Microsoft and NVIDIA [33][34] - Improving energy efficiency in data centers is another avenue being pursued, which ties back to the need for skilled talent [35][36]

文 ： 华创证券首席经济学家 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 袁玲玲（微信 Yuen43） 一 、中纪委全会的四大关注点 中国共产党第二十届中央纪律检查委员会第五次全体会议，于 2026 年 1 月 12 日至 14 日在北京举行。中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平出席全会并发表重 要讲话。中共中央政治局常委、中央纪律检查委员会书记李希代表中央纪委常委会作工作报告《以更高标准、更实举措推进全面从严治党，为实现"十五五"时期目标任务提供 坚强保障》 （参考往年情况，或于 2 月下旬发布报告全文） 。 （一） 金融、国企、能源、开发区、招投标仍是重点行业 2025 年和 2026 年中纪委全会中，金融、国企、能源、开发区、招投标这五个行业，连续两年均被列为年度反腐重点行业。 其中对于金融行业， 2018 年十九届中纪委二次 全会以来，每次会议都将其列入重点行业； 2023 年，二十届中纪委二次全会首次将其放在首位，到今年已连续四年位居首位。 | 时间 | কার্যা | 重点行业 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2026年1月12日至14日 | 二十届中央纪委 ...

Group 1 - Warren Buffett compares the risks of artificial intelligence (AI) to nuclear weapons, emphasizing the unpredictability of AI's future even among top experts [1][2] - Buffett has previously warned about the dual nature of AI, highlighting its potential for both good and harm, and this caution is reflected in Berkshire Hathaway's investment principles [2] - Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves reached a record high of $381.7 billion by the end of Q3 2025, but Buffett has struggled to find large, reasonably priced acquisition targets [6][7] Group 2 - Despite the significant cash reserves, Buffett has expressed that cash is a poor long-term asset, indicating a preference for investments that align with valuation logic [6][7] - Berkshire Hathaway's recent acquisition of Occidental Petroleum's chemical division for $9.7 billion is noted as the largest deal since the $11.6 billion acquisition of Alleghany Insurance in 2022, but it remains small compared to the cash reserves [7] - The transition to a post-Buffett era is underway with Abel officially taking over as CEO on January 1, 2026, raising questions about the company's future appeal and leadership dynamics [8][9]

Core Insights - The A-share market is experiencing a concentrated disclosure period for annual performance forecasts, with over 140 companies having released their forecasts by January 13, 2025, and more than half of these companies reporting positive earnings expectations [2] - A clear divergence in performance is emerging, with leading companies in high-growth sectors benefiting from industry advantages and core competitiveness, while some traditional industries are facing losses due to cyclical fluctuations and weak demand [2] Group 1: Leading Companies and Performance - Leading companies are showing remarkable performance, with Zijin Mining expected to report a net profit of 510 to 520 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 59% to 62% from 320.51 billion yuan in 2024 [3] - Other notable companies include WuXi AppTec with a projected net profit of 191.51 billion yuan (up 102.65%), Luxshare Precision with an expected profit of 165.18 to 171.86 billion yuan (up 23.59% to 28.59%), and Shanghai Port Group with a net profit of 134 billion yuan [3] - Cangge Mining and Huayou Cobalt are also expected to report significant profits, with Cangge Mining's net profit projected at 37 to 39.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.41% to 53.10% [3] Group 2: Explosive Growth in Certain Companies - Several companies are expected to achieve explosive growth, with Zhongke Lanyun projecting a net profit of 14 to 14.3 billion yuan, representing a staggering year-on-year increase of 366.51% to 376.51% [4] - Other companies with significant growth rates include Chuanhua Zhili with a profit increase of 256.07% to 361.57%, and Kangchen Pharmaceutical with a growth rate of 243% to 315% [4] - Companies like Tianci Materials and China Shipbuilding Defense are also expected to see profit growth exceeding 150%, with China Shipbuilding Defense projecting a net profit of 9.4 to 11.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 149.61% to 196.88% [4] Group 3: Sector Performance and Trends - The companies with positive earnings forecasts are concentrated in high-growth sectors, particularly in technology, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods [5] - In the technology sector, companies like Daotong Technology and Aibisen are performing well, with Daotong Technology expected to achieve a net profit of 9 to 9.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.42% to 45.10% [5] - The gold sector is experiencing significant growth, with international gold prices reaching record highs, benefiting companies like Zijin Mining and Chifeng Jilong Gold, which is expected to report a net profit of 30 to 32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70% to 81% [6] Group 4: Challenges in Traditional Industries - In contrast to high-growth sectors, traditional industries are facing significant challenges, with many companies reporting losses due to cyclical fluctuations and weak market demand [7] - The chemical industry is particularly affected, with companies like China Chemical reporting a projected loss of 1.331 billion yuan for the year due to declining product prices [7] - Other sectors, including energy and home furnishings, are also struggling, with companies like Guomei Home and Yijing Optoelectronics forecasting negative profits due to weak demand and other external factors [7]

Group 1: Gold and Silver Market - Spot gold closed at $4626.41, up nearly 0.9%, with an intraday high of $4642.77, setting a new historical record [1] - Spot silver surged 7.2%, closing at $93.24, and reached a historical high of $93.48 [1] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stock indices fell for the second consecutive trading day, with the Dow down 0.09% at 49149.63 points, the Nasdaq down 1% at 23471.75 points, and the S&P 500 down 0.53% at 6926.6 points [2] Group 3: Inflation Data - The PPI unexpectedly rose, with November PPI year-on-year at 3%, above the expected 2.7%, and month-on-month at 0.2%, matching expectations [3] - Core PPI for November year-on-year was 3%, also above the expected 2.7%, while month-on-month core PPI was 0%, below the expected 0.2% [3] Group 4: Economic Outlook - The increase in PPI was primarily driven by the energy sector, with the final demand goods index rising 0.9%, marking the largest monthly increase since February 2024 [5] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicated that 8 out of 12 Federal Reserve districts experienced slight to moderate economic growth, with a slightly optimistic outlook for future activity [8] Group 5: Tariff Policies - The U.S. government announced a 25% tariff on certain imported semiconductors and related products effective January 15 [9] - The Supreme Court has not yet ruled on the legality of the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [10][11] Group 6: AI and Stock Market Projections - Analysts expect AI-driven growth to continue influencing the stock market positively, with a projected 12% increase in corporate earnings in 2026 [13] - Morgan Stanley set a target for the S&P 500 index at 7500 points by the end of 2026, with potential to exceed 8000 points if Fed policies are more accommodative than expected [13]

Group 1 - The city of Zhanjiang has implemented 2,367 major provincial and municipal projects over the past five years, with a total investment of 440 billion yuan, ranking first in the Guangdong East-West North region [1] - By 2025, Zhanjiang's industrial added value is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan [1] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Zhanjiang has established a leading industrial system focused on "four greens and one blue," including green steel, green petrochemicals, green energy, green food, and blue ocean economy [1] Group 2 - The green steel industry, led by Baosteel Zhanjiang Iron and Steel Company, has an annual output value exceeding 60 billion yuan, making it the largest steel production base in Guangdong Province [2] - The green petrochemical industry has developed a complete industrial chain including crude oil extraction, refining, and both basic and fine chemicals, with an annual output value exceeding 120 billion yuan, positioning it among the top five petrochemical bases in the province [2]

宏观日报 | 2026-01-15 中游开工弱复苏，上游价格回升 中观事件总览 生产行业：1）上海市经济和信息化委员会等部门印发《上海高级别自动驾驶引领区"模速智行"行动计划》。其中 提到，按照"模型驱动引领、应用示范带动、产业协同发展、政策举措支撑"的总体思路，推动自动驾驶技术创新 向产业竞争力加速转化。到2027年，高级别自动驾驶应用场景实现规模化落地，公共服务平台有力支撑行业创新， 关键技术和产业规模达到国际领先水平，形成具有国际竞争力和影响力的智能网联汽车产业集群，基本建成全球 领先的高级别自动驾驶引领区。 服务行业：1）财政部等三部门发布公告，延续实施支持居民换购住房有关个人所得税政策，自2026年1月1日至2027 年12月31日，对出售自有住房并在现住房出售后1年内在市场重新购买住房的纳税人，对其出售现住房已缴纳的个 人所得税予以退税优惠。其中，新购住房金额大于或等于现住房转让金额的，全部退还已缴纳的个人所得税；新 购住房金额小于现住房转让金额的，按新购住房金额占现住房转让金额的比例退还出售现住房已缴纳的个人所得 税。 数据来源：iFind，华泰期货研究院 行业总览 上游：1）化工：聚乙烯价格回 ...

Export Performance - In December, China's export year-on-year growth rate recorded 6.6%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, with a two-year average growth rate rising[3] - The main drivers of export growth were the electronics industry and high-tech products, with significant increases in exports to neighboring regions, while other regions saw declines[3] - Automotive exports continued to grow significantly, benefiting from a low base, while electronic exports also strengthened due to a decrease in the base[4] Import Trends - December's import year-on-year growth rate was 5.7%, up 3.8 percentage points from the previous month, with the growth rate exceeding the average of the past five years[5] - The increase in imports was primarily driven by higher energy imports and a significant rise in electronic product imports, particularly from the EU and Latin America[5] - Notably, imports from the EU surged by 17.9%, a rise of 16.2 percentage points, while imports from the US fell by 28.6%[5] Future Outlook - Exports are expected to maintain resilience in 2026, with a slight decrease in the growth rate center, influenced by a low base in January and February[4] - The "reciprocal tariff" policy is anticipated to lead to a significant decline in exports to the US starting April 2025, but the decline is expected to narrow after April 2026[4] - Recent agreements between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle exports are expected to boost automotive exports to Europe[4] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected domestic economic recovery, weaker demand from developing countries, and unexpected declines in demand from Europe and the US[7] - Changes in import and export policies, particularly regarding tariffs, pose additional uncertainties for future trade performance[7]

Core Viewpoint - China's export growth recorded a year-on-year increase of 6.6% in December, driven by strong performance in the electronics and high-tech sectors, while imports also saw significant growth, particularly in energy and electronic products [2][4][12]. Export Performance - December's export growth of 6.6% represents a 0.7 percentage point increase from November, with the growth rate exceeding the median of the past five years, indicating increased export momentum [2][4]. - The electronics sector saw a notable increase in export growth, rising by 13.6 percentage points to 15.9%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to overall export growth [4]. - High-tech product exports also increased, with a year-on-year growth of 16.9%, contributing 4.0 percentage points to overall export growth [4]. - Exports to neighboring regions surged, particularly to Hong Kong (31.5%) and ASEAN (11.3%), while exports to the US (-30.2%) and the EU (11.5%) declined [6]. Import Performance - Imports grew by 5.7% year-on-year in December, a significant increase of 3.8 percentage points from the previous month, driven by higher imports of energy and electronic products [12][14]. - Notably, imports from the EU increased by 17.9%, while imports from the US decreased by 28.6% [12]. - The import growth was supported by both volume and price increases across various categories, with energy and electronic products showing substantial improvement [14]. Trade Balance - China's trade surplus expanded slightly to $114.14 billion in December, with net exports continuing to support the economy [17]. - The outlook for exports in early 2026 remains positive, with expectations of sustained resilience despite potential declines in growth rates due to external factors [19].