从时间节点看，2月往往处于春节前后，是全年中市场情绪相对活跃的阶段之一。历史经验显示，在政 策预期、资金回流以及风险偏好回升等多重因素作用下，春季行情往往具备一定延续性。众赢财富通研 究发现，当前市场在经历前期震荡整理后，整体估值压力有所缓解，而成交活跃度与主题投资热度正在 回升，这为结构性机会的展开提供了基础。 在行业分布方面，电子板块依旧是券商配置的"压舱石"。随着算力需求持续扩张、国产替代进程加快以 及产业链景气度改善，相关细分领域的中长期逻辑并未发生变化。海光信息等公司因其在核心技术和产 业链地位上的优势，获得多家券商同时推荐，反映出机构对科技自主可控与高端制造方向的持续看好。 众赢财富通观察发现，电子板块内部的分化正在加剧，资金更倾向于流向业绩确定性相对较高、具备产 业趋势支撑的细分龙头。 机械设备板块在2月金股中同样占据重要位置。该板块一方面受益于制造业升级与设备更新需求，另一 方面也与算力基础设施、能源开发等投资方向密切相关。部分券商指出，机械设备企业订单可见度较 高、盈利修复节奏相对明确，在市场风格切换阶段具备较好的配置价值。众赢财富通认为，在当前宏观 环境下，兼具成长属性与一定周期弹性的装备 ...

Fund Size Statistics - The top three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Scale Index ETF (¥15.406 billion), Cross-border Industry Index ETF (¥6.624 billion), and Strategy Index ETF (¥5.384 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Theme Index ETF (-¥26.004 billion), Cross-border Scale Index ETF (-¥1.807 billion), and Cross-border Theme Index ETF (¥0.203 billion) [9] - The top three equity ETF products by fund size change are: CSI 500 ETF (¥2.832 billion), Chemical ETF (¥2.386 billion), and HuShen 300 ETF (¥2.229 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF products by fund size change are: Communication ETF (-¥30.885 billion), Non-ferrous Metals ETF (-¥3.932 billion), and Gold Stock ETF (-¥2.963 billion) [13] Market Outlook - The macro timing model for February 2026 has a score of 0, indicating a historical 78.57% probability of the full A index rising in the following month, with an average increase of 3.37% [23] - A-shares are expected to experience a short-term volatile market, influenced by liquidity from overseas markets and the recent AI bubble discussions affecting tech growth stocks [23] - The recommendation is to adopt a balanced ETF allocation strategy due to the anticipated short-term fluctuations in the market [60]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20260207 海外市场流动性有企稳迹象，情绪或会好转 2026 年 02 月 07 日 [Table_Summary] 基金规模统计：（2026.2.2-2026.2.6） 市场行情展望：（2026.2.9-2026.2.13） 基金配置建议： 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《商品流动性冲击之后，哪些品种被 "错杀"？》 2026-02-04 《黄金 ETF，2026 年 1 月复盘与 2 月 展望》 2026-02-03 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] ◼ 权益类 ETF 基金规模变化统计：规模变化排名前三名的权益类 ETF 类 型分别为：规模指数 ETF（154.06 亿元），跨境行业指数 ETF（66.24 亿 元），策略指数 ETF（53.84 亿元）；规模变化排名后三名的权益类 ETF 类型分别为：主题指数 ETF（-260 ...

核心观点 基本面信息1：海外矿山关闭及生产中断加剧，国内铜精矿加工费处于历史极低水平，原料端支撑长期价格。 基本面信息2：全球能源转型及人工智能领域用铜增长，为铜价提供结构性支撑。 基本面信息3：美联储鹰派表态推高美元指数，LME库存增至11个月高位，压制铜价。 基本面信息4：春节前下游企业提前放假，铜杆开工率下滑，备库需求低迷。 观点：宏观利空主导市场，美元强势叠加国内累库压制铜价，但矿端紧张限制跌幅，短期维持高位震荡。 铜期货盘面数据（周度） 铜行业周报 2026/02/06 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z0002220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报 ...

. 镍不锈钢产业链周报 2026/2/6 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：陈乃轩 Z0023138 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，交易者（您）并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者（您）依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可，任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的，需在允许的范围内使用，并注明出处为"东亚期货"，且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留 ...

Core Insights - The price of tungsten, known as "industrial teeth," has been continuously rising, attracting market attention due to its role as a key raw material in high-end manufacturing sectors such as photovoltaic tungsten wire and electric vehicle motors [1] Price Trends - As of February 6, the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate is reported at 675,000 RMB per standard ton, an increase of 46.7% since the beginning of 2026 [2] - The price of 65% white tungsten concentrate is reported at 674,000 RMB per standard ton, up 46.8% year-to-date. Ammonium paratungstate (APT) is priced at 990,000 RMB per ton, reflecting a 47.8% increase. European APT prices range from 1,100 to 1,398 USD per ton (equivalent to 676,000 to 859,000 RMB per ton), up 35.8% [3] - Tungsten powder is priced at 1,650 RMB per kilogram, a 52.8% increase, while tungsten carbide powder is at 1,600 RMB per kilogram, up 53.9% [3] - In January, the average price of 65% black tungsten concentrate in China was 510,600 RMB per ton, showing a month-on-month increase of 26.69% and a year-on-year increase of 254.75% [3] Supply Constraints - Global tungsten production is projected to be approximately 82,800 tons in 2024, with a slight increase to 85,500 tons by 2026, indicating a compound annual growth rate of less than 2%. Factors such as tightening resource endowments, extended development cycles, and insufficient capital investment are reinforcing supply constraints [4] - The current supply situation remains tight, with challenges including reduced mining quotas, declining shipments from tungsten mines, and unstable import volumes, leading to a pronounced supply-demand imbalance in the global tungsten market [4] Demand Dynamics - Explosive growth in demand, particularly in the renewable energy and photovoltaic sectors, is identified as the core driver for rising tungsten powder prices. The strategic value of tungsten as a key functional material is increasingly recognized, enhancing overall industry prosperity [6] - By 2025, the market penetration rate of tungsten wire in silicon wafer cutting is expected to exceed 60%, marking a phase of scaled application. The industrialization of heterojunction (HJT) battery technology is anticipated to add approximately 6,400 tons of new tungsten demand by 2026 [6] Company Performance - Xiamen Tungsten Industry (600549) reported a revenue of 46.469 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 31.37%, with a net profit of 2.311 billion RMB, up 35.08% [7] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry (002842) forecasts a net profit of 125 million to 180 million RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 239.66% to 301.11%. The company benefits from improved pricing power and increased sales volume, particularly in hard alloy and photovoltaic tungsten wire products [8] - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry (002378) anticipates a net profit of 260 million to 320 million RMB for 2025, reflecting a growth of 51% to 86%. The company leverages its full tungsten industry chain advantages to enhance product performance and stabilize supply capabilities [8]

Group 1 - China has significantly increased its imports of Russian oil, surpassing 100 million tons in 2023 and projected to reach 108 million tons in 2024, accounting for 20% of its total oil imports [1] - The "Power of Siberia" pipeline delivered over 11.7 billion cubic meters of gas to China last winter, nearly doubling the previous year's volume, with a projected annual supply increase to 44 billion cubic meters [3] - The trade between China and Russia has shifted to local currencies, with over 95% of transactions now conducted in RMB and Rubles, and the Russian Finance Minister reporting a 99.1% settlement in local currencies [3] Group 2 - China's exports to Russia have surged, particularly in automobiles, machine tools, and chips, filling the gap left by Western companies [3] - The economic relationship between China and Russia is strengthening, with Russia shifting its energy exports towards China, now relying on it for over half of its energy exports [5] - The collaboration is characterized as normal business transactions, with both countries benefiting from favorable pricing and stable supply chains, without any coercion involved [5]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the bull market is still ongoing, encouraging confidence while suggesting a reduction in the slope expectation of the market, indicating that the lower limit of the market is continuously rising [2][12] - The report highlights that over 20% of companies in six industries, including utilities, non-ferrous metals, and automotive, are expected to see strong profit growth, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [3][21] - The report identifies three categories of companies to focus on: those with accelerating profit growth, those experiencing a turnaround from negative to positive profits, and those with profit growth transitioning from negative to positive [4][26] Group 2 - The report outlines a "net profit gap" strategy that has significantly outperformed the market since 2025, with two portfolios achieving returns over 100%, particularly in the coal and non-ferrous metals sectors [5][29] - The top five industries with the highest proportion of stocks showing net profit gaps include coal (8.1%), non-ferrous metals (5.1%), and communications (4.8%), indicating strong performance potential in these areas [5][32] - The report suggests that the A-share market is currently in a relatively safe environment, with room for expansion in the securities ratio, particularly in the TMT sector, which is expected to maintain its profitability advantage [6][34] Group 3 - The report recommends focusing on industries that are benefiting from PPI improvements and broad anti-involution trends, such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and power generation [6][35] - It also suggests a dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors, highlighting opportunities in AI applications, military industry, and core AI hardware [6][35] - The report indicates that the overall annual profit forecast for A-share companies shows a continuous improvement, with 52.3% of companies expected to report profit growth [17][18]

Group 1 - The government work report summarizes the achievements of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and outlines the work for the "15th Five-Year Plan" and 2026, emphasizing the commitment to development and practical actions [3] - Zhang Hetong, chairman of Langfang Hebao Metal Materials Co., Ltd., highlights the company's growth from a small factory to a modern, diversified group with multiple subsidiaries in the non-ferrous metal industry [3] - The company employs over 200 people and focuses on enhancing employee skills while contributing to local employment and social welfare initiatives, including monthly pensions for seniors and donations to impoverished families [3][4] Group 2 - The company prioritizes innovation as the primary driver of development, integrating technological innovation throughout research, production, and management processes [4] - It aims to push for core technology breakthroughs and the transformation of research results into practical applications, positioning technological innovation as a key engine for growth [4] - The company is committed to social responsibility in areas such as livelihood security, social employment, and rural revitalization, making community engagement a core aspect of its development strategy [4]

Group 1 - The report suggests maintaining a balanced allocation in technology growth, certain cyclical, and consumer sectors before the holiday, with potential outperformers including automotive, military, beauty care, machinery, and communication industries for the 2025 annual report performance [1][3] - The consumer sector's short-term rebound may be a valuation correction, with its sustainability under observation due to weak consumer confidence, lack of profit inflection points, and significant valuation recovery already observed [1][3][36] - Current valuations in growing sectors such as pharmaceuticals, automotive, computers, and machinery are relatively low, indicating potential for future growth [1][3] Group 2 - Historical analysis indicates that after adjustments in the spring market, leading sectors supported by policy and industry trends may regain their advantage, particularly technology growth and cyclical sectors [1][3][24] - The report highlights that sectors with strong annual report performance growth forecasts, such as automotive (471.5%), military (398.4%), beauty care (378.3%), machinery (275.6%), and communication (242.1%), are likely to perform well in the short term [1][3][32] - The consumer sector has shown a long-term downtrend since 2021, with six rebound instances averaging 21.56% in magnitude, driven by consumer confidence, low valuations, and profit growth [1][3][36]