Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the launch of the Jianxin Beizheng 50 Index Fund, which is a passive index fund managed by Liu Minghui, aimed at reflecting the performance of the Beizheng 50 Index [1][2][6]. - The fund will be publicly offered from July 15, 2025, to July 25, 2025, with a minimum fundraising target of 10 million shares and a holding period of at least 3 years for the initial investment [2]. - The fund's management fee is set at an annual rate of 0.5% based on the previous day's net asset value [7]. Group 2 - As of July 14, the Beizheng 50 Index has increased by over 37% year-to-date and has more than doubled in value over the past year, indicating strong market performance [5]. - Liu Minghui, the proposed fund manager, has been with Jianxin Fund since July 2015 and currently manages three index funds with a total scale exceeding 600 million yuan [6][8]. - The Beizheng 50 Index consists of 50 representative companies listed on the Beijiao Exchange, selected for their large scale and good liquidity, reflecting the overall market performance [2].

Core Points - As of July 14, the total margin financing and securities lending balance on the Beijing Stock Exchange reached 5.912 billion yuan, an increase of 8.4908 million yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The stocks with the highest margin financing balances include Jinbo Biological, Airong Software, and Better Energy, with balances of 361 million yuan, 175 million yuan, and 151 million yuan respectively [1] - A total of 130 stocks had net margin purchases on July 14, with 47 stocks having net purchases exceeding one million yuan, led by Hualing Co. with a net purchase of 5.7832 million yuan [1] Industry Summary - The industries with the most stocks receiving net margin purchases over one million yuan include machinery, power equipment, and computers, with 11, 8, and 8 stocks respectively [2] - On July 14, stocks with net margin purchases over one million yuan had an average increase of 0.79%, with notable gainers including Guoyi Tender, Wanda Bearings, and Fuheng New Materials, which rose by 18.33%, 7.36%, and 5.99% respectively [2] - The average turnover rate for stocks with net margin purchases over one million yuan was 6.04%, with the highest turnover rates seen in Benlang New Materials, Guoyi Tender, and Fuheng New Materials at 33.90%, 18.53%, and 17.63% respectively [2]

Core Points - The total margin financing balance of the ChiNext market reached 3685.68 billion yuan as of July 14, 2025, marking an increase of 30.20 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the financing balance alone increasing by 30.28 billion yuan over six consecutive trading days, totaling an increase of 82.53 billion yuan during this period [1][2]. Financing Balance Changes - The margin financing balance increased for 560 stocks, with 80 stocks experiencing an increase of over 20%. The stock with the highest increase was Feili Hua, with a financing balance of 25.55 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 176.36%. Other notable increases were seen in Jingxue Energy and Fusa Technology, with increases of 131.06% and 125.46%, respectively [2][3]. - Conversely, 381 stocks saw a decrease in financing balance, with 59 stocks declining by more than 10%. The largest decrease was recorded by Yutian Guanjia, with a financing balance of 3.20 million yuan, down 34.60%. Other significant declines were noted in Baipusais and Yuma Technology, with decreases of 27.56% and 24.44%, respectively [2][3]. Market Performance - Among stocks with a financing balance increase of over 20%, the average increase was 8.61%, outperforming the ChiNext index. The top gainers included Tongguan Copper Foil, Shanghai Steel Union, and Pulian Software, with increases of 50.22%, 36.13%, and 34.39%, respectively. The largest declines were seen in Honggong Technology, Guibao Pet, and Hopu Co., with decreases of 16.02%, 15.83%, and 11.27% [5]. - In terms of total financing balance increase, Zhongji Xuchuang led with a balance of 7.096 billion yuan, increasing by 464 million yuan. Other significant increases were recorded by Xinyi Sheng, Shenghong Technology, and Changliang Technology, with increases of 406 million yuan, 402 million yuan, and 325 million yuan, respectively [5][6].

以下文章来源于申万宏源证券上海分公司 ，作者李金玲 申万宏源证券上海分公司 . 2.融资融券数据： 当前市场融资融券余额为18737.13亿元，较上期上升1.92%，其中融资余 额18605.04亿元，融券余额132.09亿元。本期两融日均交易额为1338.13亿元，较上期上升 12.86%，其中融资日均净买入1332.50亿元，较两周前上升12.86%，融券日均净卖出5.63 亿元，较上期上升11.65%。近两周融资净买入前三的行业分别为有色金属、非银金融和电力 设备；融券净卖出前三的行业分别为电子、基础化工和电力设备。 3.涨跌情况： 近两周全市场上涨家数高于下跌家数，近两周涨幅前三的行业为钢铁、建筑材 料和综合，下跌的行业为汽车。 4.强弱分析： 近两周全部A股强弱分析得分为6.19，沪深300强弱分析得分6.29，创业板强 弱分析得分5.97，科创板强弱分析得分5.91，处于中性区间。 测量结果：健康 诊断说明： 本周上证综指冲上3500点，7月11日两市成交额也创4个月新高，虽然后市面临 关键节点，但积极因素仍在累积。后续继续看好科技及港股机会。 申万宏源证券上海分公司官微，能为您提供账户开立、软件 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - YingShi Innovation (688775.SH) is a global leader in panoramic cameras, with a strong focus on the development, production, and sales of smart imaging devices, including action cameras and panoramic cameras [9][11] - The company's revenue is primarily driven by consumer-grade cameras, which accounted for over 86% of its income in 2024, with nearly 80% of revenue sourced from overseas markets [9][10] - From 2017 to 2024, YingShi Innovation's revenue is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.2%, reaching 5.57 billion, while net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 106.5% to 990 million [9][10] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The smart portable imaging device industry, which includes action cameras and drones, is experiencing a product cycle upswing, with a projected CAGR of 41% in China from 2024 to 2027, and over 800,000 units expected to be sold in overseas markets during the same period [10][11] - The global market for consumer-grade panoramic cameras is highly concentrated, with YingShi Innovation holding a market share of 67.2% in 2023, while major players in the action camera segment include DJI, YingShi, and GoPro, collectively accounting for over 80% of the market [10][11] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - YingShi Innovation's competitive edge stems from its strong focus on technological innovation, product development, and a comprehensive marketing strategy, which includes advanced features such as AI smart editing and anti-shake technology [11][12] - The company has established a balanced global sales network, utilizing both online platforms like Amazon and Tmall, and offline channels across over 60 countries, enhancing its brand influence [11][12] Group 4: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth of 16%, 44%, and 42% from 2025 to 2027, reaching 1.15 billion, 1.65 billion, and 2.34 billion respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 2.87, 4.12, and 5.84 [12] - The estimated reasonable valuation for YingShi Innovation is between 183.47 and 207.93 per share, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 45-50 for 2026 [12]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the acceleration of ultra-high voltage (UHV) approvals and construction will likely enhance the market share of leading companies in the sector under the collective procurement model for distribution networks [1] Group 1: Investment and Construction Trends - In the first five months of this year, total investment in China's power grid reached 204 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.8% [1] - The strong demand for main network bidding is evident, with the bidding amount for the first three batches in 2025 reaching 54.064 billion yuan, an increase of 24.8% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Project Approvals and Market Dynamics - Recently, two ultra-high voltage direct current lines have been approved, with multiple projects expected to be operational within the year [1] - The third equipment bidding announcement has already been published, indicating a faster pace of approvals and construction [1] Group 3: Future Performance Expectations - Companies in the sector are expected to have support from non-UHV main network orders, while the acceleration of UHV construction will further enhance their market share under the collective procurement model [1] - It is anticipated that the performance of these companies will maintain relatively rapid year-on-year growth in 2025-2026 [1]

Macro Strategy - The "Great Beautiful Act" has been quickly implemented, but its distribution effects and the tightening fiscal impact from excluding extended and expanded tax cuts limit its growth stimulus for the US economy [1][24] - The act's characteristic of "increasing deficits first, reducing deficits later" implies a risk of a "fiscal cliff" around 2028 [1][24] - In the short term, concerns about the impact of US Treasury issuance on market liquidity and yield premiums are not excessive; however, the long-term path dependency of unsustainable US government debt makes it difficult for Treasury yield premiums to decrease [1][24] Fixed Income - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is evident as the stock market stabilizes, influencing bond yields; the 10-year government bond yield rose from 1.641% to 1.666% during the week [3][5] - The bond market's reaction to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on BRICS countries was muted, indicating a limited impact on bond yields [3][5] - The bond yield's upward trend is expected to continue, influenced by stock market performance, but the extent of the increase is likely to be limited [5] Industry Insights - Wanda Film's diversified layout in esports and concert live streaming is expected to create new growth points, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.0 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan, respectively [8] - Lianlian Digital is projected to achieve a reasonable P/S valuation of 8.0x and 7.0x for 2025 and 2026, respectively, as it continues to expand its business [10] - Youyou Foods has revised its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 232 million, 285 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2%, 23.2%, and 15.3% [11] - Siyi Electric's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 1.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46%, driven by strong overseas orders [14][15] - The energy sector, represented by Furan Energy, anticipates stable growth in natural gas supply and a steady increase in new energy business, with net profit forecasts of 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - The lithium battery sector, represented by Weilan Lithium Core, has revised its profit expectations upwards, forecasting net profits of 750 million, 1 billion, and 1.31 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting significant growth [13] - The pharmaceutical sector, represented by Lianbang Pharmaceutical, is expected to see revenue growth driven by innovative drug development, with net profits projected at 3.11 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [21]

宏观流动性： 上周(20250707-20250711)美元指数有所反弹，中美利差"倒挂"程度有所加深。10Y 美债名义/实际利率均上升，通 胀预期回升。海外流动性边际有所宽松，国内银行间资金面整体平衡偏松，期限利差(10Y-1Y)小幅收窄。 交易热度、波动与流动性： 市场交易热度有所回升，主要指数波动率均上升。行业上，轻工、纺服、商贸零售、计算机、建材、金融地产等板块 交易热度均处于 80%分位数以上，大多数行业的波动率均处于 40%历史分位数以下。 机构调研： 电子、医药、家电、计算机、商贸零售、有色等板块调研热度居前，房地产、家电、石油石化、通信等板块的调研热 度环比仍在上升。 两融活跃度有所回升，当前仍处于 2025 年 3 月下旬以来的高点 上周两融净买入 225.46 亿元，行业上，主要净买入有色、计算机、非银、电新、电子等板块，净卖出食品饮料、交 运、石油石化、房地产等板块。分行业看，煤炭、纺服、农林牧渔、军工、交运等板块融资买入占比上升。风格上， 两融净买入各类风格板块(大盘/中盘/小盘成长/价值)。 龙虎榜交易热度有所回落 上周(20250707-20250711)龙虎榜买卖总额有所回落，而 ...

Report Summary 1. Core View - From July 7th to July 11th, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 0.82%. The overall estimated stock position of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds increased by 0.24% to 87.45%. The median estimated duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds rose by 0.26 to 3.31 years, and that of short - term pure bond funds rose by 0.30 to 1.16 years. The median duration of credit bond funds rose by 0.21 to 2.89 years, and that of interest - rate bond funds rose by 0.28 to 4.87 years [4]. 2. Summary by Directory 2.1 Fund Stock Position Calculation - The overall estimated stock position of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds has shown a volatile trend recently. This week, it increased by 0.24% to 87.45%, 0.77% lower than the quarterly report. Active equity funds' position rose by 0.31% to 89.55%, and partial - equity hybrid funds' position rose by 0.23% to 86.96% [7]. - The overall increase or decrease in positions of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds this week was mostly concentrated in [0%, 1%] (766 funds), followed by [-1%, 0%] (171 funds). Funds with sizes below 20 billion, between 20 - 50 billion, and 50 - 80 billion slightly increased their positions, while other - sized funds slightly reduced their positions [11]. - In terms of fund holding styles, growth stocks accounted for a higher proportion in fund holdings. This week, value stocks were slightly reduced, and growth stocks were slightly increased. The proportion of small - cap stocks in fund holdings was relatively high. This week, large - cap and mid - cap stocks were slightly increased, and small - cap stocks were slightly reduced [15]. - The top 5 industries held by active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds this week were electronics (13.65%), power equipment (8.70%), pharmaceutical biology (7.16%), automobiles (6.54%), and machinery (5.37%). The top 3 industries with increased positions were communication (+0.36%), building materials (+0.20%), and non - ferrous metals (+0.12%); the top 3 industries with reduced positions were comprehensive (-0.21%), national defense and military industry (-0.19%), and pharmaceutical biology (-0.15%) [18]. 2.2 Bond Fund Duration Calculation - This week, the yield to maturity of China Bond's 10 - year China Development Bank bonds rose by 3bps. The median estimated duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds rose by 0.26 to 3.31 years, at the 99.40% percentile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 3.26 years. The duration divergence increased, and the standard deviation of the estimated duration rose by 0.10 to 1.69 years. The median duration of short - term pure bond funds rose by 0.30 to 1.16 years. The median duration of credit bond funds rose by 0.21 to 2.89 years, with 7% of actively operated funds and 24% of conservatively operated funds; the median duration of interest - rate bond funds rose by 0.28 to 4.87 years, with 55% of actively operated funds and 4% of conservatively operated funds [21]. - The median estimated duration of credit bond funds rose by 0.21 to 2.89 years, at the 100.00% percentile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 2.78 years. The duration divergence increased, and the standard deviation of the estimated duration rose by 0.06 to 1.25 years. The median estimated duration of interest - rate bond funds rose by 0.28 to 4.87 years, at the 99.20% percentile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 5.00 years. The duration divergence increased, and the standard deviation of the estimated duration rose by 0.10 to 1.84 years [23]. - This week, the estimated duration of credit bond funds was concentrated in [2.5, 3) (167 funds), followed by [3, 3.5) (126 funds). The estimated duration of interest - rate bond funds was concentrated in [5,) (159 funds), followed by [4.5, 5) (54 funds) [28]. - Among credit bond funds, the proportion of funds with active duration operations (above the 80% percentile of their own duration in the past year) this week was 6.62%, and the proportion of funds with conservative duration operations (below the 20% percentile of their own duration in the past year) was 24.39%. Among interest - rate bond funds, the proportion of funds with active duration operations was 55.17%, and the proportion of funds with conservative duration operations was 4.02% [29]. - This week, the yield to maturity of China Bond's 1 - year China Development Bank bonds rose by 5bps. The median estimated duration of short - term pure bond funds rose by 0.30 to 1.16 years, at the 99.70% percentile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 1.16 years. The duration divergence increased, and the standard deviation of the estimated duration rose by 0.11 to 0.48 years. The estimated duration of passive policy - bank bond funds decreased by 0.12 to 3.65 years [33].

金 金融工程点评 E-MAIL：liuxf@tpyzq.com 执业资格证书编码：S1190522090001 研究助理：孙弋轩 电话：18910596766 E-MAIL：sunyixuan@tpyzq.com [Table_Title] 金工 ETF 点评：跨境 ETF 单日净流入 20.67 亿元；电子、汽车、家电拥挤低位 [Table_Author] 证券分析师：刘晓锋 电话：13401163428 一般证券业务登记编码：S1190123080008 一、资金流向 二、行业拥挤度监测 ◼ 通过构建行业拥挤度监测模型，对申万一级行业指数的拥挤度进行每日监测， 前一交易日有色金属、钢铁拥挤度靠前，相比较而言，汽车、电子的拥挤度 水平较低，建议关注。此外，电力设备单日拥挤度变动较大。从主力资金流 动来看，前一交易日主力资金流入非银、计算机，流出电子、电力设备、传 媒。近三个交易日主力资金增配非银。 三、ETF 产品关注信号 ◼ 根据溢价率 Z-score 模型搭建相关 ETF 产品筛选信号模型，通过滚动测算提 供存在潜在套利机会的标的，此外需警惕标的回调风险。 风险提示：本报告结论完全基于公开历史数据，建议 ...