Group 1 - The report indicates that the current adjustment phase is characterized as a "doubtful bull market level," with the AI industry chain experiencing a significant trend that has not yet ended, while smaller fluctuations are present and the cost-effectiveness of large trends is temporarily insufficient. This situation resembles historical patterns observed in early 2014 with the ChiNext, early 2018 with food and beverage, and early 2021 with new energy [4][6][7] - The "bull market two-stage theory" remains unchanged, confirming the high-level area of the bull market 1.0 phase. The transition from bull market 1.0 to 2.0 is expected to occur in the first half of 2026, with a focus on the accumulation of conditions for a comprehensive bull market and adjustments in industry trends to digest cost-effectiveness issues [6][7][9] - The report emphasizes that while adjustments are occurring, it is crucial to maintain a firm belief in the bull market. The adjustment phase is seen as a potential bottom, particularly when it aligns with the core track's bull-bear boundary [6][7] Group 2 - The report expresses optimism for the spring market following the adjustment, highlighting that achieving the 2035 medium-developed country goal requires maintaining a high economic growth rate. The economic performance in Q3 2025 was weak, and December 2025 is identified as a critical window for laying out economic policies for 2026, with the possibility of an early verification of the "policy bottom" [7][8] - Two key clues for the spring market are discussed: first, the management's emphasis on economic growth and the potential early verification of the "policy bottom"; second, the mid-term upward trend of the technology industry remains unchanged, with the AI industry still in "stage 3" and moving towards "stage 4," indicating non-linear growth in industry profits [8][9] - The report anticipates that the transition from bull market 1.0 to 2.0 will favor high-dividend defensive strategies, with the actual improvement in economic sentiment catalyzing a breakthrough in cyclical stocks, while the technology industry's trend and global influence of manufacturing will be the main lines of the bull market [9] Group 3 - The report outlines expectations for the 2026 industry style rhythm, indicating that cyclical stocks may serve as the foundational assets for the spring market, with basic chemicals and industrial technology being highlighted as higher elasticity directions. The technology sector is expected to rebound, focusing on innovative pharmaceuticals and national defense industries [9][10] - Specific sectors such as AI computing power, storage, energy storage, and robotics are anticipated to have rebound opportunities in the spring [9][10] - The report includes quantitative sentiment indicators and ETF tracking data, providing insights into market dynamics and investor sentiment [2][17]

Core Insights - The Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Chinese Academy of Engineering announced the results of the 2025 academician elections, electing 73 academicians from the former and 71 from the latter, highlighting significant contributions from Suzhou experts [1][2] Group 1: New Academicians - Four experts from Suzhou were elected as academicians, including Zhu Lan and Qian Linfang for the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and Wang Jianwei and Sun Baode for the Chinese Academy of Engineering [1] - Zhu Lan, a prominent figure in obstetrics and gynecology, has made significant contributions to clinical, teaching, and research work, establishing a strong international influence [1] - Qian Linfang, an expert in artillery weapon systems, has played a crucial role in the development of China's artillery technology and modernization of national defense equipment [1] Group 2: Contributions of Suzhou Academicians - Wang Jianwei, director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, has led over 10 national-level major research projects focusing on the pathogenic mechanisms and prevention of respiratory viral infections [2] - Sun Baode, a professor at Shanghai Jiao Tong University, has conducted extensive research in metal materials and solidification technology, leading over 50 major projects with applications in aerospace and high-voltage transmission [2] Group 3: Suzhou's Commitment to Science and Talent - Suzhou is recognized as a "city of academicians," actively promoting initiatives to attract full-time academicians, including the establishment of "Suzhou Scientist Day" and various funding measures [3] - The city has implemented policies offering up to 30 million yuan in project funding and 3 million yuan in personal rewards to attract high-level scientific talent [3] - Suzhou aims to provide the highest recognition and support for talents, reinforcing its commitment to becoming a hub for scientific innovation and development [3]

盘后数据出炉。 今日（11月21日），A股单边下挫，市场逾5000股下跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌2.45%，深证成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%，A股全天成交1.98万亿元，上日成交 1.72万亿元。 1.两市主力资金净流出超980亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出392.77亿元，尾盘净流出143.68亿元，两市全天主力资金净流出985.55亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况 (亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 净流入金额 | 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2025-11-21 | -985.55 | -392.77 | -143.68 | -521.53 | | 2025-11-20 | -366.03 | -48.79 | -67.73 | -155.72 | | 2025-11-19 | -348.42 | -123.87 | 5.59 | -178.90 | | 2025-11-18 | -624.24 | -232.22 | -66.11 | -354.10 | | 2025-11 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant adjustments this week, with major indices declining due to external market volatility and profit-taking after six consecutive months of gains. High-dividend stocks, particularly in the banking sector, have gained popularity among investors [1][6]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell to 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index dropped to 12538.07, down 3.41%. Other indices, including the ChiNext and CSI 50, also saw declines, with the ChiNext Index down 4.02% [2]. - Average daily trading volume decreased to below 2 trillion yuan, totaling 9.33 trillion yuan for the week, a reduction of nearly 900 billion yuan compared to the previous week [2]. Fund Flows - The financing balance decreased slightly by approximately 3 billion yuan this week, maintaining a high historical level. The defense and military industry saw over 1.6 billion yuan in net financing purchases, while the computer sector received over 1.1 billion yuan [3]. - The computer sector attracted over 21 billion yuan in net inflows from major funds, with media and defense industries also receiving over 10 billion yuan each. Conversely, the electronic sector experienced net outflows exceeding 2.9 billion yuan [3]. Sector Highlights - High-dividend stocks, particularly in the banking sector, have been favored by the market. China Bank's stock price has risen significantly, achieving a historical high with a cumulative increase of over 21% over seven weeks [3]. - Despite the continuous rise in bank stocks, overall valuations remain low, with most A-share listed banks trading below their net asset values. The median price-to-book ratio is approximately 0.6 times, with the lowest being 0.32 times for Minsheng Bank [5]. Dividend Yields - The median dividend yield for bank stocks over the past year is 4.24%, significantly higher than deposit rates, with the highest yield at 7.55% for Industrial Bank. Other banks also reported yields exceeding 6% [6]. - High-dividend stocks such as Aopu Technology and Midea Group have shown strong performance amid recent market adjustments, with China Petroleum reaching a ten-year high [6]. Market Outlook - The market is currently undergoing adjustments due to external risks, but the overall trend is expected to remain upward in the long term. Analysts suggest that the current market conditions provide an opportunity for repositioning funds, with potential policy support likely to drive future market movements [6][7].

A股三大指数集体收跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌2.45%，深证成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%，北证50 跌4.71%。沪深京三市全天成交额19836亿元，较上日放量2610亿元。全市场超5000只个股下跌。板块 题材上，中船系、Sora概念活跃，电池、能源金属、硅能源板块调整。盘面上，中船系板块活跃，久之 洋涨超15%。Sora概念部分活跃，易点天下、视觉中国涨停封板。电池板块全线走弱，天华新能、星源 材质、宏工科技等数十只跌超10%，德新科技等数只个股跌停。能源金属大幅调整，赣锋锂业、天齐锂 业等数只个股跌停。硅能源板块调整，大为股份、晨光新材跌停。 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a volatile adjustment in the early session, with all three major indices opening lower and continuing to decline, particularly the ChiNext index which fell over 3% [1] - By the end of the morning session, the Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 1.88%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 2.72%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 3.18% [1] Stock Performance - Nearly 5,000 stocks across the market saw declines, indicating a broad-based sell-off [2] - Specific sectors showed mixed performance, with the military industry experiencing a partial rebound, exemplified by Jiuzhiyang hitting the daily limit up [3] - The agriculture sector was active, with Qianyinhigh Technology also reaching the daily limit up [3] - AI application concepts showed strength, with Rongji Software achieving five consecutive limit ups [3] - The aquaculture sector maintained its strong performance, as Zhongshui Fishery recorded six consecutive limit ups [3] Declining Sectors - The lithium mining sector faced collective adjustments, with stocks like Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit down [4] - The storage chip sector continued to weaken, with companies such as Demingli and Shikong Technology also hitting the daily limit down [4] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 197.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [5] - Among individual stocks, Zhongji Xuchuang led with a trading volume exceeding 13.5 billion yuan, followed by Xinyi Sheng and Yangguang Electric Power [5]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant adjustment with all three major indices declining, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.88% to 3857.24 points, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 2.72%, and the ChiNext Index plummeted by 3.18% [1] - The Hong Kong market also weakened, with the Hang Seng Index down by 2.21% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 3.32%, reflecting a global decline in risk appetite as the year-end approaches [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led the decline with a drop of 4.77%, while steel, basic chemicals, power equipment, and telecommunications sectors all fell by over 3.5%, indicating profit-taking behavior from investors in previously high-performing sectors [1] - Defensive sectors such as agriculture, home appliances, and food and beverage showed resilience, with declines not exceeding 0.6%, attracting funds seeking safety [1] Notable Highlights - Despite the overall market downturn, the China Shipbuilding Industry Index surged by 4.7%, driven by policy and funding support, particularly in the defense and high-end manufacturing sectors [2] - The recent adjustment in the market correlates with a significant drop in U.S. stocks, particularly the Nasdaq and S&P 500, influenced by concerns over AI valuation bubbles, cooling expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and technical selling pressure [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a phase of "structural differentiation and volatile consolidation," with a noticeable decline in the willingness to invest due to external pressures from U.S. market dynamics [3] - There is a shift in investment style towards balanced and defensive strategies, moving away from growth sectors, although technology sectors representing new productive forces remain a long-term focus [3] - The current market decline is viewed as a test of patience for investors, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a focus on value amidst short-term volatility [3]

截至11月20日，市场最新融资余额为24743.85亿元，较上个交易日环比减少59.39亿元，分行业统计，申 万所属一级行业有11个行业融资余额增加，通信行业融资余额增加最多，较上一日增加14.02亿元；融 资余额增加居前的行业还有银行、国防军工、房地产等，融资余额分别增加5.39亿元、4.11亿元、3.44 亿元；融资余额减少的行业有20个，电子、医药生物、计算机等行业融资余额减少较多，分别减少 16.71亿元、9.65亿元、8.40亿元。 | 代码 | 最新融资余额（亿元） | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 通信 | 1092.44 | 14.02 | 1.30 | | 银行 | 756.62 | 5.39 | 0.72 | | 国防军工 | 801.65 | 4.11 | 0.52 | | 房地产 | 351.32 | 3.44 | 0.99 | | 煤炭 | 144.31 | 1.75 | 1.23 | | 商贸零售 | 273.61 | 1.49 | 0.55 | | 非银金融 | 1896.57 | 0.94 | 0.05 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry is experiencing a significant adjustment, with the defense military ETF (512810) hitting a three-month low, indicating potential buying opportunities despite recent declines [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 21, the market underwent a deep adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points, impacting the technology growth style and the defense military sector [1]. - The defense military ETF (512810) opened lower and fell over 2%, reaching a new three-month low during the trading session [1]. - Despite the downturn, there was a notable inflow of over 113 million yuan into the sector over the past ten days, suggesting strong buying interest [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The defense and military sector has an optimistic medium to long-term outlook, with a reported revenue of 600.375 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.99% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 29.822 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 14.01%, indicating a recovery in performance [2]. - The sector's core companies are expected to continue their recovery, with both revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year improvements [2]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The 14th Five-Year Plan outlines a high-quality advancement for China's defense and military modernization, accelerating the upgrade of advanced weaponry and equipment [4]. - China's global competitiveness in shipbuilding, aerospace, and satellite navigation has been steadily improving, positioning the defense military industry as a key area for breakthrough development [4]. - The importance of national defense security is increasing amid global conflicts and geopolitical tensions, which may support industry valuations [4]. Group 4: Investment Insights - The defense military ETF (512810) is highlighted as an efficient tool for investing in core defense military assets, covering various themes such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI [4]. - Recent analysis suggests that the defense military sector may be entering a configuration cycle, making it a potentially attractive investment opportunity [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.40% on November 20, with the total margin financing balance decreasing to 24,917.03 billion yuan, a reduction of 62.37 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Margin Financing Overview - As of November 20, the margin financing balance in the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 12,635.55 billion yuan, down by 53.99 billion yuan; in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, it was 12,203.81 billion yuan, down by 7.34 billion yuan; and in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 77.67 billion yuan, down by 1.04 billion yuan [1] - The total margin financing balance across Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing decreased by 62.37 billion yuan [1] Industry Analysis - Among the industries tracked by Shenwan, 11 industries saw an increase in financing balance, with the telecommunications sector leading with an increase of 14.02 billion yuan, followed by the banking and defense industries with increases of 5.39 billion yuan and 4.11 billion yuan, respectively [1] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 1,593 stocks experienced an increase in financing balance, accounting for 42.51% of the total, with 169 stocks seeing an increase of over 5% [1] - The stock with the largest increase in financing balance was Hengguang Co., with a latest financing balance of 98.05 million yuan, reflecting a 52.57% increase, despite a price drop of 6.90% on the same day [1] - Other notable stocks with significant increases in financing balance included Dexin Technology and Inspur Software, with increases of 47.04% and 29.06%, respectively [1] Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top 20 stocks with the largest increase in financing balance, the average price change was an increase of 0.74%, with the highest gainers being Zhengguang Co., Aerospace Development, and Delijia, with increases of 20.01%, 9.98%, and 8.54%, respectively [2] - Conversely, Hengguang Co., Chlor-alkali Chemical, and Inspur Software were among the largest decliners, with price drops of 6.90%, 6.19%, and 5.58%, respectively [2] Declining Stocks - A total of 2,154 stocks saw a decrease in financing balance, with 190 stocks experiencing a decline of over 5% [4] - The stock with the largest decrease in financing balance was Reite Technology, with a latest balance of 6.06 million yuan, down by 48.78% from the previous trading day [4] - Other stocks with significant declines included Wangcheng Technology and Oukang Pharmaceutical, with decreases of 41.86% and 35.55%, respectively [4]