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政策发力稳增长,“反内卷”叠加推动行业结构优化
East Money Securities· 2025-08-01 07:07
Policy Overview - The new growth stabilization plan for key industries is set to be released, focusing on structural optimization and elimination of outdated capacity[1] - The previous plan (2023-2024) successfully achieved industrial added value growth targets across most key industries, with specific targets set for various sectors[3] Industry Performance - The power equipment sector aimed for an average annual growth rate of approximately 9%, while the non-ferrous metals sector had targets of 5.5% for both 2023 and 2024[3] - The automotive industry exceeded its 2023 target of 5% growth, achieving a 13% increase, while the non-ferrous metals sector grew by 7.5% in 2023 and 8.9% in 2024[3] Growth Targets and Achievements - Seven out of ten key industries met or exceeded their industrial added value growth targets, with the light industry achieving a growth rate of 3.4%, slightly below the target of 4%[3] - The construction materials sector fell short of its targets, with a decline of 0.5% in 2023 and 1.4% in 2024, against a target of 3.5% and 4% respectively[3] Future Expectations - The new growth stabilization plan is expected to be effective until 2026, likely maintaining industrial added value targets similar to the previous plan[4] - The upcoming policies may emphasize supply-side governance, balancing production efficiency with capacity optimization[7] Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include slower-than-expected economic recovery and uncertainties in external markets, which could impact the effectiveness of the growth stabilization policies[6] - The balance between production limits and sustainable profitability remains a critical concern, particularly in high-emission industries like steel[7]
国泰海通:石化行业积极推进反内卷 关注相关投资机会
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 06:25
Group 1 - The petrochemical industry is set to implement a stable growth work plan aimed at structural adjustment, supply optimization, and the elimination of outdated production capacity [1][2] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology are focusing on old petrochemical facilities that have reached their design lifespan or have been in operation for over 20 years, promoting their green, intelligent, and safe transformation [2][3] - Key petrochemical products such as acrylic acid, polyester filament, methanol, and PTA have a significant proportion of outdated capacity, which may benefit leading companies if stricter standards for old facilities are enforced [3] Group 2 - The upcoming stable growth work plan will address issues of low-price disorderly competition and encourage companies to enhance product quality while facilitating the orderly exit of outdated capacity [1][2] - Price and profitability for chemical products are expected to decline in 2025, with specific decreases projected for acrylic acid (18%), polyester filament (8%), methanol (10%), and PTA (1%), alongside significant drops in gross margins [3] - The draft amendment to the Price Law aims to optimize market conditions and competition order, addressing issues related to unfair pricing behaviors, particularly in the context of platform and digital economies [4]
练好查缺补漏“绣花功” | 大家谈 如何当好“碳路先锋”
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-08-01 02:08
变被动"遇见"为主动"预见"。石化企业生产过程中涉及大量能源消耗,生产过程复杂,工艺条件苛刻, 设备管道种类和数量众多。企业要改变管理方式,变被动"遇见"为主动"预见",从根本上杜绝泄漏事件 发生。如针对地下水系统泄漏具有隐蔽性和长期性的问题,抚顺石化烯烃厂组建了"测漏小队",引进行 业先进的气体法测漏技术,采取定期摸排、精准定位、优化检测流程、高效修复等措施,发现多处隐蔽 漏点,取得了显著成效。 既要"算大账"更要算"细账"。石化企业生产过程包括燃料、水、电、蒸汽等10余种消耗项。企业不仅要 算好能耗指标"大账",也要算好每个指标的"细账",逐个指标分析、提升。比如,抚顺石化石油二厂组 织人员"表单式"列出每台加热炉的氧含量,排烟温度的设计值、实际值、极限值,"一炉一策"地制订降 耗措施,摸索出既能保证完全燃烧又能保证热效率的氧含量最佳值,使日均燃料消耗明显降低。 既要发"票子"也要打"板子"。石化企业装置多、流程长、地域分散,节能工作仅靠几个部门、几名管理 人员推进显然力不从心。企业要充分发挥车间、班组乃至每名员工的主观能动性,激活人这个最重要的 降本力量。如石油二厂加大考核力度,出台了节能降耗双向激励机 ...
广东传统产业“三化”融合发展调研:优势凸显仍需破局,多策并举促转型
Nan Fang Nong Cun Bao· 2025-08-01 01:34
Core Viewpoint - The research highlights the significant potential and challenges faced by Guangdong's traditional industries in their transformation towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, referred to as the "three integrations" [2][5]. Group 1: Current Status of Traditional Industries - Guangdong's traditional industries are described as the "ballast stone" for building a modern industrial system, with over 400 major industrial products and more than 160 products ranking first in national output [8][10]. - Key sectors such as food and beverage, textiles, and home appliances show strong performance, with the textile and apparel industry cluster reaching a scale of 2.86 trillion yuan and an annual output exceeding 4 billion garments [12][14]. - The automotive and petrochemical industries are also progressing, with automotive production reaching 1.3134 million units in the first half of 2025, including 431,000 new energy vehicles [15][16]. Group 2: Transformation Progress - Over 44,000 industrial enterprises in Guangdong have completed digital transformation, accounting for nearly 60%, with a digital management penetration rate of 88.2% [18]. - The adoption of artificial intelligence is highlighted, with examples such as Guangzhou Zhijing Technology's "Find Fabric God" reducing fabric search time from two days to two minutes [20][21]. - Guangdong leads in the number of green manufacturing demonstration units, indicating a clear low-carbon development path [21]. Group 3: Challenges in Transformation - The research identifies several challenges, including insufficient motivation for transformation among enterprises, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises facing a "four deficiencies" problem: lack of technology, talent, experience, and trial-and-error capability [28]. - The service ecosystem for transformation is not well-developed, with a shortage of industry-savvy service providers and insufficient collaboration within the industrial chain [30][32]. - There is a need for optimization in industrial structure, as some sectors face overcapacity in low-end production while lacking high-end materials and products [35]. Group 4: Policy Recommendations - The research group proposes seven strategies to facilitate the transition from passive to active upgrades in traditional industries, including optimizing the development environment and enhancing policy frameworks [39][41]. - Emphasis is placed on strengthening innovation-driven initiatives, supporting new technology and process development, and improving intellectual property protection [43]. - Recommendations also include enhancing the service ecosystem, providing customized transformation solutions, and promoting collaborative development through leading enterprises [46][48].
政治局会议再度明确“反内卷”决心:推进多个重点行业产能治理 下半年PPI有望回升
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 23:09
继上半年汽车、光伏、钢铁、水泥等行业纷纷高举起"反内卷"大旗后,这一政策指向仍将成为下半年的 重点。 7月30日,中共中央政治局召开会议,分析研究当前经济形势,部署下半年经济工作。会议明确,要纵 深推进全国统一大市场建设,推动市场竞争秩序持续优化。依法依规治理企业无序竞争,推进重点行业 产能治理,规范地方招商引资行为。坚持"两个毫不动摇",激发各类经营主体活力。 部委层面,5月下旬,发改委新闻发布会上,发言人李超明确提到,针对内卷式竞争问题症结,发改委 因业施策、对症下药、标本兼治,化解重点产业结构性矛盾,促进产业健康发展和升级。5月底至6月 初,在中汽协发布"维护公平竞争秩序,促进行业健康发展"倡议书后,工信部随即发声,指出车企无 序"价格战"是"内卷式"竞争的典型表现,将加大整治力度,配合相关部门开展反不正当竞争执法。随 后,一汽、东风等17家重点车企作出的"支付账期不超过60天"承诺,工信部亦在7月初开通重点车企账 期问题反映窗口。7月3日,工信部召集14家光伏企业及行业协会负责人座谈,明确提出依法整治光伏行 业无序竞争,推动企业提升产品品质,促进落后产能有序退出。7月24日,国家发改委、国家市场监管 ...
“精准滴灌”稳住工业经济关键变量
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-31 21:49
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes the need for targeted policies to stabilize key industries, which are crucial for maintaining the industrial economy's foundation and facilitating long-term transformation [1][3]. Group 1: Importance of Key Industries - Key industries account for approximately 70% of the value added in large-scale industrial sectors, making their stability essential for the overall industrial economy [1]. - In the first half of the year, industries such as electrical machinery, automobiles, electronics, general equipment, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals showed rapid growth, contributing significantly to the growth of large-scale industries [1]. - The electronic information manufacturing industry has maintained the highest revenue share among 41 industrial categories for 12 consecutive years, highlighting its critical role in the industrial economy [1]. Group 2: Interconnectedness of Key Industries - Key industries have strong inter-industry linkages, where fluctuations can lead to domino effects across the supply chain, impacting overall industrial growth [2]. - Stability in key industries can foster collaborative growth in upstream and downstream sectors, enhance business confidence, attract more capital, and stimulate innovation and consumption [2]. - Different key industries face unique challenges and characteristics, such as the growth phase of new energy vehicles versus the maturity of traditional industries like steel and chemicals [2]. Group 3: Tailored Policy Approaches - Policies must be tailored to the specific needs of each industry; for example, tax reductions and infrastructure development for the automotive sector, environmental upgrades for steel, and supply chain stability for electronics [3]. - A dynamic policy adjustment mechanism is necessary to respond to evolving industry challenges, ensuring timely calibration of policy directions [3]. - The Ministry's previous initiatives aimed at stabilizing key industries through supply and demand measures have shown potential for long-term industrial economic growth [3].
兴业证券:8月有哪些值得关注的“日历效应”?
智通财经网· 2025-07-31 11:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that in August, the small-cap style has a higher win rate in the first half, while the large-cap style performs better in the second half, driven by earnings announcements [1] - The report highlights that the win rate of dividend-paying stocks is increasing after the peak dividend distribution period, as the market shifts focus towards stable earnings assets [4][6] - The industries with higher win rates in August are primarily concentrated in coal, petrochemicals, and military sectors, influenced by seasonal demand and supply constraints [6][10] Group 2 - The report notes that the performance of small-cap stocks is favored in early August due to fewer earnings disclosures, leading to lower market focus on earnings [1] - As companies begin to disclose their earnings in the latter half of August, the focus on earnings increases, benefiting large-cap stocks with more earnings certainty [1] - The report emphasizes that the high temperatures in July and August lead to increased electricity demand, positively impacting resource sectors like coal and petrochemicals [6][10]
广东省发改委:稳住投资基本盘,推动传统产业转型升级
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 11:41
Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province is accelerating the integration of traditional industries with high-end, intelligent, and green development through a series of strategic initiatives and investments aimed at modernizing its industrial system [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industrial Structure - In February, Guangdong's provincial government released the "2025 Action Plan for Building a Modern Industrial System," which outlines comprehensive measures to enhance traditional industries by strengthening supply chains and promoting high-end, intelligent, and green development [2]. - Significant projects in the petrochemical sector are underway, including the completion of the ExxonMobil Huizhou Ethylene project on July 15 and the upcoming completion of the BASF Zhanjiang project within the year [2]. - Guangdong has established five integrated refining bases and several specialized chemical parks, further strengthening its petrochemical industry cluster [2]. Group 2: Application Scenarios - Since the beginning of 2023, Guangdong has released over 16 batches of application scenario opportunity lists, totaling more than 1,260 innovative projects, facilitating the first trials and applications of new technologies and products [3]. - The province plans to continue promoting application scenario innovation systematically, providing more platforms for enterprises to test new products and technologies [3]. Group 3: Fixed Asset Investment - Guangdong has maintained a large scale of investment, consistently ranking among the top in the country, with industrial investment rising to approximately 37% after four years of rapid growth [3]. - Infrastructure investment has also remained stable, exceeding 30% of total investment, supported by effective counter-cyclical adjustments [3]. - The province aims to implement major projects that optimize structure, fill gaps, and benefit livelihoods, ensuring a rolling development pattern of starting, constructing, and reserving projects [3]. Group 4: Business Environment - Guangdong has been enhancing its business environment by reducing institutional transaction costs and promoting a market-oriented, legal, and international business climate [4]. - Future efforts will focus on addressing the concerns of enterprises and the public to further improve the business environment [4].
恒力集团副董事长范红卫获评“优秀中国特色社会主义事业建设者”
Jing Ji Wang· 2025-07-31 09:46
"全国非公有制经济人士优秀中国特色社会主义事业建设者"由中央统战部、工业和信息化部、人力资源社会保障部、市场监管总局和全国工商联共同评选, 是党和国家赋予非公有制经济人士的崇高荣誉。截至目前,已开展六届,全国仅有近600人获此殊荣。(顾金菊) 回顾恒力的发展历程,自成立之初便锚定实体经济主航道,深耕主业、做精实体。历经31年的沉淀,如今的恒力集团已成长为横跨炼油、石化、聚酯新材 料、纺织、造船、海工全产业链发展的国际型企业,在全球产业版图中刻下了鲜明的"中国民企"印记。 恒力集团始终坚持自主创新,补齐全产业链关键核心技术短板,在国家和区域支柱产业及战略性新兴产业中发挥了重要的生力军作用。截至目前,恒力集团 国内外专利授权总数已突破2000件,荣获国家高新技术企业、国家知识产权示范企业、国家科技进步奖、中国专利奖银奖、行业科技创新奖、省长质量奖等 重大荣誉。 在新时代的征程中,恒力集团还将继续以实业为基、以创新为翼,在风起云涌中锚定航向,为新质生产力发展注入澎湃动力,为民族工业崛起扛鼎担当。 7月29日,在第六届全国非公有制经济人士优秀中国特色社会主义事业建设者表彰大会上,恒力集团副董事长范红卫等100名非公有 ...
精准发力 下半年三大政策主线划定
Jing Ji Wang· 2025-07-31 09:28
今年下半年,扩内需增量政策信号持续释放;"反内卷"将是重要政策议题;围绕稳住楼市股市,下半年 仍会有政策部署……近日,多部门召开经济形势座谈会、年中工作会或相关发布会,透露了下一步工作 重点。 2025年是"十四五"规划的收官之年,上半年 GDP(国内生产总值)增速达到5.3%。近日,多部门召开 经济形势座谈会、年中工作会或相关发布会,透露了下一步工作重点。专家表示,下半年政策主线仍将 聚焦扩内需、"反内卷"、稳楼市股市等方面。 全方位扩大内需 全方位扩大国内需求是今年重点任务之首,下半年扩内需增量政策信号持续释放。 7月16日召开的国务院常务会议研究做强国内大循环重点政策举措落实工作,并作出一系列针对性部 署,涉及扩大新兴服务业等领域投资、优化消费品以旧换新政策等。 "扩大内需""提振消费"成为各部门提及下一步施策重点时的高频词。近日,财政部在上半年财政收支情 况新闻发布会上提到,下一步将按照《提振消费专项行动方案》部署,加快出台提振消费增量政策举 措,引导地方提升消费环境,优化消费供给。国家发展改革委则多次强调,扩围提质实施"两新"政策, 加力实施"两重"建设。 消费品以旧换新是当前扩大内需的重要抓手。据 ...