Group 1 - The stock price of COFCO Sugar as of August 12, 2025, is 11.35 yuan, an increase of 0.97 yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price on the same day was 10.39 yuan, with a highest price of 11.42 yuan and a lowest price of 10.39 yuan, resulting in a trading volume of 1.1286 million hands and a transaction amount of 1.254 billion yuan [1] - COFCO Sugar is a significant player in the domestic sugar industry, involved in sugar production, processing, and trading [1] Group 2 - On August 12, COFCO Sugar announced a dividend plan for the 2024 fiscal year, proposing a cash dividend of 4.10 yuan for every 10 shares, which is the highest payout among companies implementing dividends on that day [1] - On the same day, the net inflow of main funds into COFCO Sugar was 114 million yuan, with a cumulative net inflow of 178 million yuan over the past five trading days [1]

Core Insights - The conference focused on the application of futures and options tools in risk management within the sugar industry, aiming to provide new strategies for enterprises to cope with market volatility and achieve stable operations [2][5] Group 1: Conference Overview - The "Steady Enterprises, Safe Agriculture" training conference was successfully held in Shanghai, organized by Galaxy Futures in collaboration with Dongfang Xiandao and Fan Sugar Technology, gathering nearly a hundred industry representatives [2] - Key attendees included executives from major sugar companies and research institutions, emphasizing the importance of futures and options in the sugar supply chain [2] Group 2: Economic Analysis - The current macroeconomic challenges facing the sugar industry were highlighted, with increasing volatility in commodity prices and rising operational risks for enterprises [4] - Sugar prices are crucial for the profitability of various segments within the industry, linking closely to the broader development goals of "steady enterprises and safe agriculture" [4] Group 3: Training Content - The training sessions covered domestic and international sugar supply and demand dynamics, foundational knowledge of options, and practical case studies in enterprise risk management [5] - A roundtable forum featured discussions on macroeconomic cycles, sugar price valuation, and innovative applications of options tools, providing attendees with diverse market insights and strategic references [5] Group 4: Industry Collaboration - The training conference established an efficient platform for collaboration between the sugar industry and financial markets, enhancing understanding and application of financial derivatives among enterprises [5] - Galaxy Futures aims to leverage its professional expertise to support enterprises in navigating complex market environments and achieving sustainable growth [5]

Sugar Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The global sugar supply tends to be loose, pressuring the raw sugar. The domestic sugar supply is marginally loose, and the price is expected to be bearish after a rebound, with attention paid to the pressure around 5800 - 5900 [2]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of sugar 2601 is 5632 yuan/ton, down 0.05%; the price of sugar 2509 is 5810 yuan/ton, up 0.09%. The ICE raw sugar主力 is 16.56 cents/pound, up 1.85%. The main contract open interest increased by 4.46% [1]. - **Spot Market**: The Nanning spot price is 6060 yuan/ton, up 0.17%; the Kunming spot price is 5905 yuan/ton, up 0.43%. The Nanning basis is 250 yuan/ton, up 2.04%; the Kunming basis is 95 yuan/ton, up 26.67% [1]. - **Industry Situation**: The national cumulative sugar production is 1116.21 million tons, up 12.03% year-on-year; the national cumulative sugar sales is 811.38 million tons, up 23.07% year-on-year [1]. Cotton Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The short - term domestic cotton price may fluctuate strongly within a stable range, but will be under pressure after the new cotton is listed [4]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of cotton 2509 is 13885 yuan/ton, up 0.14%; the price of cotton 2601 is 13820 yuan/ton, up 0.07%. The main contract open interest increased by 0.80% [4]. - **Spot Market**: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B is 15263 yuan/ton, up 0.58%; the CC Index: 3128B is 15266 yuan/ton, up 0.46% [4]. - **Industry Situation**: The commercial inventory decreased by 9.5% month - on - month; the industrial inventory decreased by 2.9% month - on - month. The import volume decreased by 33.3% month - on - month [4]. Egg Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The egg price is expected to rise first and then stabilize this week, but the rebound amplitude is limited and it is still under pressure at high levels [8]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of the egg 09 contract is 3580 yuan/500KG, up 0.06%; the price of the egg 08 contract is 3442 yuan/500KG, down 0.12% [7]. - **Spot Market**: The egg - producing area price is 2.51 yuan/jin, up 1.39% [7]. - **Industry Situation**: The in - lay hen inventory remains high, but the egg production rate and egg weight have declined due to high temperatures. The demand is expected to increase [8]. Oil Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The palm oil price may fall and adjust; the soybean oil price will maintain high production, and the spot basis quotation is under pressure [10]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of Y2509 is 7986, up 0.53%; the price of P2509 is 8682, up 0.51% [10]. - **Spot Market**: The price of Jiangsu first - class soybean oil is 8240, up 0.86%; the price of Guangdong 24 - degree palm oil is 8800, up 1.50% [10]. - **Industry Situation**: The domestic palm oil inventory and soybean oil inventory situation are given, and the influence of production and inventory on prices is analyzed [10]. Meal Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The meal market is under pressure, the domestic soybean and meal inventory is rising, and the meal price is currently in the process of bottom - grinding [11]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of M2509 is 2976, up 0.74%; the price of RM2509 is 2633, up 0.84% [11]. - **Spot Market**: The price of Jiangsu soybean meal is 2830, up 1.07%; the price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal is 2530, up 0.80% [11]. - **Industry Situation**: The US soybean production, export, and inventory are affected by weather and tariffs. The domestic soybean and meal inventory and supply and demand situation are also analyzed [11]. Corn Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The short - term corn market sentiment is weak, but the price decline space is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [13]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of corn 2509 is 2306 yuan/ton, down 0.60%. The main contract open interest increased by 2.28% [13]. - **Spot Market**: The Jinzhou Port FOB price remains unchanged; the Shekou bulk grain price is 2430 yuan/ton, down 0.41% [13]. - **Industry Situation**: The import corn auction situation, downstream demand, and substitution situation are analyzed [13]. Pig Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The pig price is under pressure in the short term, but there is no basis for a sharp decline. Attention should be paid to the pressure above 14500 on the 09 contract [18]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The price of the main contract is 13645 yuan/ton, down 0.37%; the price of the 2509 contract is 14345 yuan/ton, down 0.21%. The main contract open interest decreased by 3.05% [17]. - **Spot Market**: The pig spot price fluctuates, with prices in various regions showing different degrees of decline [17]. - **Industry Situation**: The secondary fattening enthusiasm has declined, the market demand is weak, and the production capacity expansion is cautious [17][18].

Macroeconomic Situation - On June 24, six departments including the central bank jointly issued the "Guidance on Financial Support for Boosting and Expanding Consumption", with 19 measures such as setting up a 500 billion yuan re - loan for service consumption and elderly care to support three major consumption areas [1] - The Central Financial Commission issued the "Opinions on Supporting the Accelerated Construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center", and the financial regulatory authorities and the Shanghai government issued a supporting action plan [1] - On June 27, the central bank conducted 525.9 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 364.7 billion yuan on the day [1] - The Fed maintained the interest rate at 4.25% - 4.5% in June, revised down the 2025 GDP forecast, and revised up inflation and unemployment rate forecasts [2] - UK's May car exports to the US dropped 55.4% year - on - year, and car production dropped 32.8% year - on - year, hitting a 76 - year low [2] - Trump decided to terminate trade negotiations with Canada and may impose new tariffs due to Canada's digital service tax, affecting the Canadian dollar and stock and bond markets [2] REITs Market - The first shopping mall public REITs of the year, CICC China Greentown Commercial REITs, was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with a fundraising scale of 1.58 billion yuan and a offline subscription multiple of 249 times [2] Stock Index Futures - On June 27, A - share indices showed mixed performance. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.70% to 3424.23 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.34% to 10378.55 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.47% to 2124.34 points. The trading volume was 1.5411 trillion yuan, a decrease of 42.1 billion yuan from the previous day [3] - The CSI 300 index continued to adjust on June 27, closing at 3921.76, a decrease of 24.26 [4] Coke and Coking Coal Futures - On June 27, the coke weighted index was strong, closing at 1425.5, a rise of 35.5 [5] - On June 27, the coking coal weighted index remained strong, closing at 855.9 yuan, a rise of 39.8 [6] - The port coke spot price was stable, with supply and demand showing certain trends. The price of coking coal in some areas increased, and the market was mixed [8] Sugar Futures - Brazilian sugar production in June is expected to decline significantly. The Zhengzhou sugar futures 2509 contract rose slightly at night [8] Rubber Futures - The Shanghai rubber futures showed narrow - range fluctuations at night on June 27. Inventory and warehouse receipt data had certain changes [9] Soybean Meal Futures - The international soybean market is affected by weather and planting area expectations. The domestic soybean meal price is under pressure in the short term [9] Live Pig Futures - On June 27, live pig futures fluctuated. The market is in a situation of loose supply and demand, and the upside space is limited [10] Copper Futures - The Shanghai copper market's price rose under multiple factors, but there are still uncertainties [12] Cotton Futures - The Zhengzhou cotton futures' main contract closed at 13845 yuan/ton on Friday night. The cotton inventory decreased [12] Iron Ore Futures - On June 27, the iron ore 2509 main contract rose 1.99%, closing at 716.5 yuan. The market shows a pattern of increasing supply and demand [12] Asphalt Futures - On June 27, the asphalt 2509 main contract fell 0.03%, closing at 3561 yuan. The market is in a weak fundamental situation [13] Log Futures - The log 2509 contract's price and trading volume had specific performance on June 27. The spot price was stable, and the import volume decreased [13] Steel Market - The "Two New" policies are effective, and the state supports equipment renovation. The steel market demand is weak in the off - season [14] Alumina Market - The supply of domestic alumina is relatively loose, and the demand is relatively stable [14] Aluminum Futures - The domestic electrolytic aluminum supply is stable, and the demand is affected by the off - season in the short term but is expected to improve in the long term [15] Lithium Carbonate Market - The price of lithium carbonate rose, but the market still has an oversupply situation [15]

Group 1 - Hebei Iron and Steel Group set the silicon manganese price at 5,650 CNY/ton for June, with the first round inquiry price at 5,500 CNY/ton, down from 5,850 CNY/ton in May [1] - As of June 19, rebar production has turned from decline to increase, with factory inventory decreasing for the fourth consecutive week and social inventory decreasing for the fifteenth consecutive week [1] - The average profit per ton of coke for 30 independent coking plants nationwide is -23 CNY/ton, with Shanxi's first-grade coke averaging -3 CNY/ton and Shandong's first-grade coke averaging 31 CNY/ton [1] Group 2 - Brazilian shipping agency Williams reported that the amount of sugar waiting for shipment at Brazilian ports is 2.8539 million tons, down from 2.9104 million tons the previous week [1] - The Canadian Grain Commission reported that as of June 15, canola exports decreased by 17.05% week-on-week to 131,400 tons [1] - As of June 19, the total inventory of float glass sample enterprises nationwide increased by 202,000 heavy boxes or 0.29% to 6,988,700 heavy boxes, reaching an 8.5-month high [1] Group 3 - The Singapore Enterprise Development Agency (ESG) reported that as of June 18, fuel oil inventory in Singapore decreased by 2.211 million barrels to 21.503 million barrels, the lowest in five weeks [1] - As of June 19, the total inventory of domestic soda ash manufacturers is 1.7267 million tons, an increase of 40,400 tons week-on-week (+2.40%), with an increase of 17,200 tons compared to Monday [1] - On June 19, the auction for battery-grade lithium carbonate ended, with 300 tons from Ronghui Lithium Industry and 300 tons from Yongshan Lithium Industry sold at prices of 59,910 CNY/ton and 60,010 CNY/ton respectively [2] Group 4 - Insiders indicate that the photovoltaic industry is expected to see a greater reduction in production in the third quarter, with the operating rate expected to decrease by 10%-15% quarter-on-quarter [2]

Energy - Goldman Sachs predicts that natural gas prices will decline continuously by 2026/2027, with the average price of Dutch TTF natural gas expected to be $9.70/$6.55 per million British thermal units [2] - Azerbaijan's Energy Minister reported that Azerbaijan exported 7.8 million tons of oil from January to April [2] - Saudi Aramco executives stated that despite recent market volatility, the fundamentals of the oil market remain robust [5] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that OPEC+ will halt production increases in August [5] - The Central Bank of Russia expects oil prices to stabilize around $60 per barrel as trade restrictions ease and demand recovers [5] - Officials indicated that Iraq will reduce its crude oil exports to 3.2 million barrels per day in May and June [5] Other - Panama authorities reported that the average number of ships passing through the Panama Canal in April was 34 per day, an increase from 33.7 in March [3] - Commodity trader Louis Dreyfus Company forecasts that the global sugar supply balance will shift from a shortage of 5.2 million tons in 2024/2025 to a surplus of 400,000 tons in 2025/2026 [4] - Citigroup expects gold prices to consolidate in the range of $3,000 to $3,300 in the coming months, lowering the three-month target price to $3,150 [5]