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和讯投顾廖爱萍:未来现金流的贴现财报
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
Core Viewpoint - The differing perspectives of Warren Buffett and Duan Yongping on financial reports reflect their distinct judgments on the correlation between information and the future, highlighting the core logic of analyzing financial statements [1] Group 1: Perspectives on Financial Reports - Buffett views financial reports as a "storytelling" tool, focusing on historical data to capture competitive advantages, operational logic, and management traits, which he believes are indicative of future profitability [1] - For Buffett, stable profit margins, healthy cash flows, and reasonable debt structures are direct manifestations of a company's moat, as evidenced by his investment in Coca-Cola, where decades of stable gross margins and market share data validate the brand's sustainability [1] - Duan Yongping, on the other hand, emphasizes the importance of business models and corporate culture over financial data, arguing that financial reports may not accurately reflect core competitiveness due to industry cycles and short-term policies [1] Group 2: Financial Reports vs. Other Information Channels - The effectiveness of financial reports in predicting future profitability depends on the stability of the industry and the maturity of the business model; in stable industries, coherent financial data is a significant reference, while in rapidly changing sectors, the relevance of financial reports may diminish [1] - Financial reports are just one of many information channels; industry research reports, on-site investigations, user feedback, and supply chain dynamics can provide more timely and comprehensive insights [1] - Ultimately, the value of any information lies in its ability to clarify a company's future profitability logic, whether through financial reports or alternative sources [1]
中国汽水,集体变成大窑味?
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-11 07:58
随着高温无差别攻击大江南北,饮料市场也进入了销售旺季。 而纵观今年夏天的饮料市场,一种鲜明的趋势可以被叫作"大窑化"。比如燕京啤酒的新品倍斯特汽水,不仅瓶身模仿大窑,连名字都学着"大窑嘉 宾"叫"倍斯特嘉槟"。另一家饮料巨头统一时隔八年又推出了汽水新品,其玻璃瓶身和桃汁、菠萝汁口味也不免令人联想到大窑。 除了同行的竞品外,山寨模仿者"大窖"也蹭足了流量。有人问什么时候刘德华和周杰伦也代言了大窑,而且只卖两块钱,结果仔细一看发现是"大窖"。还 有人发小红书怒骂大窑难喝,结果大窑官方友情提醒这是"大窖",而且刘德华其实也没代言。 当然,网友们总归是理解的——毕竟,大家都不是外宾,谁没被更鬼畜的"雷碧""康帅傅""六个核弹"硬控过。 有人买到了山寨版的"大窖"。(图/社交媒体截图) 在货架被假正经的0糖0脂饮料填满的今天,大窑代表了市场的另一种趋势,消费者的另一种选择。它的配料表第二名就是白砂糖,喝起来甚至有明显的香 精味。喜欢它的人说它清凉爽口、与众不同,讨厌它的人则说它像是止咳药水,甚至有点呛鼻子。 而就是看起来与健康趋势格格不入的大窑,在节节下跌的碳酸饮料市场中逆势增长。尼尔森研究显示,2023年中国饮料七大 ...
百事可乐携手腾讯音乐联合呈现百事校园最强音年度盛典
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-07-11 05:44
Core Insights - The event "Desire is Possible: Pepsi Campus Strongest Voice Annual Ceremony" was held in Xiamen, showcasing the importance of music in igniting the aspirations of the younger generation [1][6] - Pepsi has been cultivating the "Pepsi Campus Strongest Voice" IP for over a decade, establishing a mature music growth system that supports young original talents in China [2] Group 1: Event Highlights - The annual ceremony featured 18 emerging talents from universities across the country, who showcased vibrant and creative musical works [6] - The event included performances by notable artists such as SHarK and Wanida, emphasizing the theme of "Desire is Possible" [6][9] - The global premiere of the brand theme song "Desire is Possible" was performed, enhancing the emotional resonance of the event [7][9] Group 2: Technological Integration - The debut of Pepsi's first humanoid robot "Pepsi Blue Treasure" represented a breakthrough in technology, symbolizing the projection of youth aspirations [10] - The robot showcased its versatility by interacting with artists and engaging in various performances, highlighting the fusion of technology and music [10][12] - This integration serves as a bridge for deep dialogue between the brand and the younger demographic, reinforcing the brand's commitment to innovation and support for aspiring musicians [12] Group 3: Future Aspirations - The event concluded with a commitment to continue supporting young musicians and fostering a broader path for their aspirations [12] - Pepsi aims to collaborate with more universities and emerging artists to ensure that every aspiring musician is heard and recognized [12]
新思考:海外消费转型的宏观与中观映射
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-11 00:12
策略报告 | 投资策略 策略专题 证券研究报告 新思考:海外消费转型的宏观与中观映射 核心结论:复盘美日消费行业转型的漫长过程,我们认为,消费板块行情的 盘整是休息而非结束。从美国与日本消费趋势的迁移过程来看,共性趋势是 消费主体从家庭到个人、消费对象从城市化生活方式下的可选消费到个人精 神消费,这个过程中往往伴随着 GDP 增速的下台阶。当前中国正处于从高速 增长迈向高质量增长的阶段,新旧增长动能转换下,初步判断,我国人口与 收入结构等经济指标与日本第三消费社会和美国品牌消费阶段的后半程定位 类似,社零增长主要依靠量的增长。必选消费板块当前的投资思路为:以底 仓思维为基础,主线为低估值优质稳成长,叠加高股息率;分别从估值、ROE 和股息率进行筛选,主要集中在食饮、纺服等一级行业。可选消费板块的配 置思路可以从财报入手,筛选经营改善标的,根据宏观经济数据的好转程度 进行右侧布局。 从美国与日本消费趋势的迁移过程来看,共性趋势是消费主体从家庭到个人、 消费对象从城市化生活方式下的可选消费到个人精神消费,这个过程中往往 伴随着 GDP 增速的下台阶。我们发现,日本的第二至第四消费社会可以与美 国三个消费阶段进行对 ...
安徽省蚌埠市市场监督管理局关于公布2025年第10期食品安全监督抽检信息的通告
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-10 10:51
Core Viewpoint - The announcement from the Bengbu Market Supervision Administration reveals the results of food safety inspections, indicating that out of 188 batches tested, 179 were compliant while 9 were found to be non-compliant, highlighting ongoing food safety concerns in the region [2][11]. Summary by Categories Inspection Results - A total of 188 batches of various food products were sampled, including convenience foods, sugar, starch products, canned goods, beverages, condiments, and more [2]. - Among these, 179 batches were found to be compliant with national food safety standards, while 9 batches were deemed non-compliant [2]. Non-Compliant Products - Specific non-compliant products include: - Chopsticks used at Jin Feng Restaurant and Hot Spicy Era Hotpot, both found to contain anionic synthetic detergents exceeding safety standards [3][4]. - Star Anise sold at Century Hualian Supermarket, with sulfur dioxide residue exceeding the limit [5]. - Small Tai Mango sold at Jingyou Fresh Supermarket, containing pyraclostrobin above the permissible level [6]. - Yam sold at Meiyijia Supermarket and Yimufang Tian Fresh Supermarket, both containing excessive levels of mefenoxam and manganese mefenoxam [7][8]. - Fish sold at Sifang Lake Aquatic Store and Bullfrog at Qunli Street Farmers Market, both containing enrofloxacin above the safety threshold [9][10]. - Yangmei sold at Happy Purchase Supermarket, found to contain sodium saccharin, which is prohibited [11]. Regulatory Actions - The local market supervision authorities have mandated the responsible parties to trace the distribution of the non-compliant products, recall them, and take corrective actions to mitigate risks [11].
复苏拐点已至:无糖碳酸饮料如何实现二次增长
凯度消费者指数· 2025-07-10 02:36
凭借" 0糖0脂0卡"气泡水,元气森林开创了健康碳酸饮料新纪元,成功将无糖概念注入年 轻消费群体心智,从而带动无糖碳酸饮料品类爆发式增长,也成为推动碳酸品类增长的核 心引擎。 但随着消费者对健康认知的深化,消费需求正从"代糖型无糖"向"本味型健康无糖"转变, 使用代糖的无糖碳酸饮料与健康的关联度逐渐降低。Wo rl d p a n e l消费者指数家内外样购买 样组数据显示,2023年起,传统碳酸品类受到即饮茶、果汁等健康饮品的替代,无糖碳酸 受到了更大的影响,增速持续低迷。 Wo rl dpa ne l消费者家外样组数据显示,疫情后人们对无糖碳酸的犒赏需求显著提升。消费 者将无糖碳酸饮料视为"罪恶感较轻"的放纵,随着健康属性向无糖茶、1 0 0%果汁转移,无 糖碳酸应突显其健康之外独特的"快乐因子",着重强调其享乐属性。 作 为 碳 酸 品 类 , 享 乐 属 性 对 于 含 糖 和 无 糖 碳 酸 来 说 都 很 重 要 , 但 二 者 的 侧 重 点 却 有 所 不 同。 含糖碳酸的犒赏机制更来源于 糖分带来的愉悦感 。 如含糖碳酸里销额及渗透率增长最快 的果味碳酸,就是通过不同的果味+糖分,给消费者带 ...
1.5L,饮料越卖越大
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-09 10:36
01、东方树叶出1.5L装了 正值炎炎夏日,几天前,"1.5L装的东方树叶"的词条,突然冲上热搜。评论区里,网友讨论得热火朝 天。有人惊讶地说,东方树叶居然出1.5L装了;也有人说,哪里能买,我要去买;还有人说,这么大一 瓶,开封后得几天才能喝完。 在此之前,东方树叶大瓶装是900ml,比500ml的常规装多400ml。如今1.5L装的大瓶分享装又比大瓶装 多600ml,与常规装相比一瓶直接抵3瓶。眼瞅着话题上热搜,东方树叶发微博称,今年夏天的吨吨吨 快乐藏不住了,1.5L装,大容量大满足,要抽三个网友各送一箱1.5L的茉莉花茶。 《财经天下》在农夫山泉天猫官方旗舰店看到,1.5L的大瓶分享装共有三种口味,青柑普洱、茉莉花 茶、乌龙茶,一箱一共6瓶,优惠后的价格为63.4元。 图源/微博网友 东方树叶1.5L超大瓶装在线下价格更低。有广东网友说,自己太爱喝了,而且一瓶才9.9元。另一位河 南网友称,大瓶分享装更实惠,9.9元一大瓶,小瓶还要7元呢。下面有湖北的网友称,赶上外卖大战, 自己在美团平台上,花3.4元买了一瓶。还有福建网友称,刚买,一瓶不到7元。 "不是小瓶装买不起,而是大瓶装更有性价比。"不久前刚 ...
那些买LABUBU的人
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-07-09 09:36
6月13日清晨6点07分,深圳地铁一号线首班车停靠坪洲站。车门打开,几人快步走向商场通道——他们 提前查好了路线,宝安大仟里商场地下一层有台泡泡玛特盲盒自动售货机,商场每天早上10点才开门, 但他们可以从地铁口提前溜进去排队。 9点30分,机器亮屏,队伍开始躁动往前挤,他们有的探着头盯着前面的机器,有的忙着跟电话那头沟 通,蓝色的"POPMARTROBOSHOP"的灯牌照亮了在场的人。 6月13日是泡泡玛特新品"LABUBU捏捏"线下发售的日子。前一天,黄新舟从宝安天虹商场附近出发, 沿着地铁一号线,陆续前往宝安大仟里、壹方城、万象前海以及欢乐港湾总计5个自动售货机踩点。 在深圳,POPMART贩卖机加零售店总计79家,他和同伴们按区域分配,负责宝安区的是他和另一个同 事,目标就是抢到官方售价的"LABUBU捏捏"。黄新舟这天上午总计抢到15个,按计划它们会加价1—2 倍在第二天送到预订的买主手里。 黄新舟交了10个,自己留了5个。在现场他想以4倍价格出售,没人要。他觉得大部分和他一样也是"黄 牛"。陈新舟过去几年都在卖茅台酒、演唱会门票,5月底才开始接LABUBU的单,他还不知道,要做 一个成功的盲盒黄牛, ...
一场前所未有的跨界浪潮,啤酒巨头纷纷涉足饮料市场,饮料大佬也反向加码酒饮领域
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 04:37
在消费升级与市场竞争加剧的当下,啤酒与饮料行业正掀起一场前所未有的跨界浪潮。 啤酒巨头纷纷涉足饮料市场,饮料大佬也反向加码酒饮领域,两者之间的传统边界正在"你来我往"中逐渐模糊。 NEWS 啤酒和饮料的"双向奔赴" 跨界,作为当前品牌最常见的营销策略,对大多数人而言想必早已司空见惯。 然而,能够实现两大行业的"双向奔赴",且行业内品牌参与规模持续扩大的跨界,啤酒与饮料恐怕也称得上是其中的"头几个"。 尤其是近几年,啤酒与饮料行业的双向跨界愈演愈烈。 重庆啤酒在云南、新疆、重庆等地推出了大理苍洱汽水和天山鲜果庄园汽水;燕京啤酒推出倍斯特嘉槟汽水,以"供货价比大窑汽水低10元"的低价策略抢 占餐饮渠道;乌苏推出功能饮料"电持";青岛啤酒则整合崂山系饮品构建多元化矩阵…… 另一方面,饮料企业也反向渗透酒饮市场。 2024年,东鹏饮料推出了VIVI鸡尾酒;2025年,元气森林推出低度气泡酒"浪",延续其"0糖0脂"的健康理念;可口可乐、娃哈哈、统一和农夫山泉等饮料 巨头也纷纷加码低度酒。 1 MARKET POTENTIAL 市场潜力:从"存量竞争"到"增量拓展" 啤酒行业自2013年达到产量顶峰后,便开启了长达十年 ...
“苏超”单场观赛人数创新高!“村超”县城GDP已过百亿
第一财经· 2025-06-30 15:42
2025.06. 30 本文字数:2764,阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈姗姗 43617人!6月29日晚上,昆山奥体中心的球场大屏上打出的这一数字,意味着"苏超"单场观众人 数再破纪录。 在昆山奥体中心所进行的比赛是"苏超"第五轮,苏州队在主场迎战扬州队,这座去年才对外开放的 专业球场最多可容纳4.5万人,当晚来"观战"的球迷几乎坐满了全场。 在比赛现场,负责维护赛场秩序的安保人员告诉第一财经记者,截至目前,昆山奥体中心一共举办过 两场足球赛,一场是"苏超",另一场就是去年的全国足协超级杯决赛,两场比赛的火爆程度"不相上 下"。 这个夏天,"苏超"在全国范围内掀起了一股"草根"足球的热潮,而在2023年,远在贵州的一个小县 城榕江,是率先将草根足球"踢"上热搜的城市。三年来的赛事举办,已经让榕江县从全国最后一批 脱贫县,一跃成为GDP百亿县。 而榕江县举办"村超"要达到的目标,并不止于此。 三年"村超"的变与不变 就在苏州与扬州对阵的同一天,江苏的另一座城市常州市委常委会召开会议,研究了《常州市足球高 质量发展三年行动计划(2025—2027年)》,提出要大力发展青少年足球,加强校园足球普及推 ...