Summary of Automotive Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The automotive market in September showed a 20% month-over-month increase in customer traffic, demand, leads, orders, and delivery volumes compared to August, driven by new product launches and market demand [1][2] - Some brands like BYD experienced flat or slightly declining year-over-year sales, while brands like Geely saw growth [1][2] Key Insights - **Sales Performance**: During the double holiday period, mid-to-high-end sedans and new products performed well, with BYD's Dynasty series up 30% month-over-month and flat year-over-year, while the Ocean series grew 35% month-over-month and 10% year-over-year. Geely's Galaxy series saw a 50% month-over-month increase [1][4] - **Subsidy Impact**: The cessation of local replacement subsidies led to noticeable fluctuations in orders. The fourth batch of automotive consumption subsidies is expected to be implemented in mid-October to cover the shopping seasons of Double Eleven and Double Twelve, with expectations of year-over-year sales growth in October and November, while December may remain flat [1][5] - **Inventory Levels**: Inventory pressure has eased across brands, with BYD reducing inventory for five consecutive months. Major dealers have inventory levels of about 2.1 to 2.2 months, while smaller dealers are below 2 months. Geely and Leap Motor's inventory is also below 1.5 months. In contrast, fuel vehicle brands like Mercedes, BMW, and Audi have higher inventory levels exceeding 2 months [1][7] Market Dynamics - **Production Strategy**: Manufacturers do not have strong replenishment demands. BYD aims to assist dealers in overcoming high inventory and low profit situations. Geely maintains low inventory due to higher-than-expected sales. Overall, production strategies are moderately increasing, with strong terminal demand continuing a slow decline trend [1][8] - **Future Tax Policies**: The expected 5% refund on vehicle purchase tax for next year will significantly impact the average transaction price of new energy vehicles, estimated at around 160,000 yuan, while the impact on fuel vehicles priced below 120,000 yuan will be relatively minor. This, combined with trade-in policies, may lead to a 10% to 15% year-over-year sales decline in Q1 2026 [3][9] Competitive Landscape - **Market Competition**: Brands are focusing on capturing existing users, with companies like Huawei and Geely actively launching new models to maintain market growth. The demand for large five-seat and six-seat SUVs, especially plug-in hybrids and electric vehicles, is expected to be strong in Q4 2025 [14][15][17] - **New Product Launches**: Upcoming new energy products from major players like BYD and Geely are anticipated to enhance market competitiveness, particularly in the 200,000 to 250,000 yuan price range, competing with traditional fuel vehicles [19][23] Consumer Behavior - **User Preferences**: Consumers are increasingly making quick purchasing decisions due to rumors of subsidy policy changes, leading to reduced discounting and lower inventory levels across popular models [6][20] - **Market Trends**: The demand for large five-seat and six-seat models is driven by budget-conscious consumers, indicating significant potential in this market segment [26] Conclusion - The automotive industry is experiencing a dynamic shift with strong demand for new energy vehicles, particularly in the SUV segment. The upcoming policy changes and competitive strategies will play a crucial role in shaping market dynamics in the near future.

Core Viewpoint - The electric vehicle market is experiencing significant changes, with traditional and new players facing varying degrees of success and challenges, leading to a reshaping of market dynamics and competition. Group 1: Sales Performance - In December last year, Li Auto achieved a remarkable sales figure of 58,000 units, but by August 2025, its sales plummeted to 28,529 units, placing it at the bottom of the "Wei Xiaoli" rankings [1] - In August, 14 major automakers reported sales, with a median sales figure of 40,486 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4,717 units, although there was a month-on-month decline [2] - BYD maintained its dominance with sales of 371,500 units in August, significantly outpacing competitors [2][23] Group 2: Market Segmentation - The market is divided into three tiers: BYD leads as a standalone leader, followed by traditional automakers like Geely, SAIC, Changan, and Chery in the second tier, while new forces and weaker performers fall into the third tier [2][4] - The number of brands achieving monthly sales over 10,000 has increased, with notable performances from Geely's Galaxy, Leap Motor, and NIO [6] Group 3: Brand Dynamics - Geely's Galaxy brand has become a strong contender, achieving over 100,000 units in monthly sales for three consecutive months [6] - NIO's sales surged to 16,434 units in August, marking a significant recovery [21] - Li Auto's new model, the i8, faced challenges due to safety concerns, leading to a price adjustment shortly after its launch [13][22] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is shifting, with previously strong players like Li Auto and Aion facing declines, while brands like NIO, Xpeng, and Leap Motor are gaining traction [11][32] - BYD's sales growth is slowing, and it faces increasing pressure from competitors in the second tier [4][25] Group 5: International Expansion - Companies are increasingly focusing on international markets, with BYD exporting vehicles to Europe and establishing assembly plants in Malaysia [16][17] - Chery has emerged as a leader in overseas sales, delivering 129,400 units in August [17] Group 6: Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue evolving, with companies like Li Auto aiming to regain momentum through new model launches and strategic adjustments [22][32] - The overall market dynamics indicate that no company can claim stability, as competition remains fierce and unpredictable [32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company leverages platform-based manufacturing and maintains competitive advantages in a fiercely competitive market. It focuses on high-value products, extreme cost performance, and product strength, successfully creating several popular models. The high-end brands Zeekr and Lynk & Co have gained considerable audience recognition due to unique product designs, strong electric systems, and exceptional safety features, with high-priced models expected to become significant profit sources for the company [2][3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenue of CNY 378.38 billion, CNY 449.38 billion, and CNY 521.76 billion from 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 57.5%, 18.8%, and 16.1% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be CNY 16.66 billion, CNY 18.78 billion, and CNY 22.98 billion during the same period, with year-on-year growth of 0.19%, 12.67%, and 22.38% respectively. The EPS is expected to be CNY 1.7, CNY 1.9, and CNY 2.3, corresponding to PE ratios of 11.0, 9.8, and 8.0 times [3]. Sales and Financial Data - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a total sales volume of 2.177 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 29.1%. The breakdown includes 1.29 million fuel vehicles and 890,000 new energy vehicles, with significant growth in the latter. The sales target for 2025 is set at 3 million vehicles, with the Galaxy brand expected to contribute significantly [11][22][28]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 150.28 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 9.29 billion, a decrease of 13.9% compared to the previous year, but the core net profit showed a significant increase of 101.7% [16][18]. Brand Integration and Strategy - The company has initiated a brand integration strategy, consolidating several brands to enhance operational efficiency and reduce internal competition. The Geometry brand has been integrated into the Galaxy brand, and Lynk & Co has merged with Zeekr, which is expected to streamline operations and improve market competitiveness [31][34][35]. Product Matrix and Market Position - The company has developed a multi-brand strategy with distinct product matrices for Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr, targeting various market segments. The Galaxy brand focuses on mid-to-high-end new energy vehicles, while Lynk & Co aims at the high-end market, and Zeekr is positioned as a luxury brand. This strategic positioning is expected to enhance market share and profitability [45][49][52]. Export Growth - The company's export volume reached 414,500 vehicles in 2024, representing a nearly 5.7-fold increase since 2020, with the export ratio rising from 5.5% in 2020 to 19.0% in 2024. This growth in exports is becoming a crucial driver for overall sales improvement [28][30].

Core Insights - Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported a record high revenue of 150.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27% [2] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.29 billion yuan, with core net profit rising by 102% to 6.66 billion yuan after excluding foreign exchange losses and other non-core items [2] - Total cash levels increased to 58.8 billion yuan, indicating a strong financial position [2] Sales Performance - Geely's total sales reached 1.409 million units in the first half of 2025, a 47% year-on-year growth, surpassing the market average [2] - The market share exceeded 10% for the first time, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales reaching 725,000 units, a 126% increase [3] - The annual sales target was raised from 2.71 million to 3 million units based on better-than-expected market performance [2][5] New Energy Growth - The NEV segment saw explosive growth, with a penetration rate of 51.5%, positioning Geely among the top brands in the NEV market [3] - The Galaxy series, now an independent brand, experienced a 232% increase in sales, totaling 548,000 units in the first half [3] - High-end luxury brands Zeekr and Lynk & Co also performed well, with Zeekr selling 90,740 units and Lynk & Co achieving 154,137 units in the same period [3] Technological Advancements - Geely has established a leading smart and electrification technology system, focusing on AI integration [4] - The company launched the "Smart Geely 2025" strategy, aiming to release the industry's first "smart car full-domain AI" technology system by 2025 [4] - The Starry AI Cloud Power 2.0 and advanced battery technologies enhance product competitiveness, with the new battery system passing 36 extreme safety tests [5] Future Outlook - Geely plans to launch five new NEV products in the second half of 2025, further enhancing its market presence [5] - The "One Geely" strategy aims to deepen synergies within the company, boosting its global competitiveness in the smart NEV sector [5]

Group 1: Automotive Market Overview - In July, the total automobile sales in China reached 2.593 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.7% [1] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) exceeded 50% for the first time since December last year, with NEV sales accounting for 51.4% of total new car sales in July [3] - From January to July, NEV sales reached 8.232 million units, a year-on-year growth of 39.2% [3] Group 2: NEV Production and Battery Data - In July, NEV production was 1.243 million units, and sales were 1.262 million units, with year-on-year increases of 26.3% and 27.4% respectively [3] - The total battery production in July was 133.8 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 44.3% [3] - The installed capacity of power batteries in July was 55.9 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 34.3% [5] Group 3: Company Developments - Geely Automobile reported a revenue of 150.3 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a 27% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 9.29 billion yuan [9] - Xpeng Motors signed an expanded strategic cooperation agreement with Volkswagen Group to integrate their electronic and electrical architecture into both electric and hybrid models in the Chinese market [13] - Great Wall Motors announced the pre-sale of its new Tank 500 model, priced between 360,000 and 388,800 yuan, featuring advanced driver assistance systems [6][8]

Core Insights - Geely Automobile has reported impressive performance in the first half of the year despite increasing industry competition [1][2] Financial Performance - Geely achieved a record revenue of 150.285 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with vehicle revenue reaching 134.6 billion yuan, up 28% [3] - The company sold 1.4092 million vehicles, marking a 47% increase year-on-year, with fuel vehicle sales at 684,000 units (up 8 percentage points) and new energy vehicle sales at 725,000 units (up 126%) [4] - The gross profit margin remained stable at 16.4%, slightly down from 16.7% year-on-year, attributed to uneven growth rates of different products [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 9.29 billion yuan, with core net profit at 6.66 billion yuan, a significant increase of 102% year-on-year [9] Strategic Developments - The "One Geely" strategy has been pivotal in enhancing internal resource integration and overall competitiveness [10] - Geely is accelerating the integration of its brands, with Zeekr and Lynk & Co forming a dual-driven growth model in the high-end luxury market [4][11] - The company plans to acquire the remaining shares of Zeekr, with the transaction expected to cost less than 30% of 2.4 billion USD, supported by cash reserves [11] Market Expansion - Geely aims to increase its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units, reflecting an 11% upward adjustment [6] - The company is focusing on international market expansion, with a goal to increase export sales by 30% in the second half of the year [13][16] - Geely's export sales in the first half were 184,000 units, showing a decline, primarily due to a significant drop in the Eastern European market [13][16]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese electric vehicle market is experiencing rapid growth, with Geely emerging as a strong competitor to BYD, significantly increasing its market share and sales figures in the first half of the year [2][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Geely's sales reached 1.409 million units in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 47%, with revenue of 150.28 billion yuan, up 27% [2][6]. - Geely's market share in the new energy vehicle sector has risen to 11.44%, narrowing the gap with BYD to less than 18 percentage points [2][4]. - Geely has revised its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory [2][6]. Group 2: Product Strategy - The Geely Galaxy brand has been pivotal in driving growth, selling 548,400 vehicles in the first half, accounting for over 70% of Geely's new energy sales, with a staggering 232% year-on-year increase [4][5]. - Geely's strategy involves targeting various vehicle segments, with new models like the Galaxy L7, L6, and E8 launched to compete directly with BYD [5][8]. - The Galaxy A7 has entered the market at competitive prices, undercutting BYD's models, which has helped Geely capture market share rapidly [7][8]. Group 3: Future Plans and Challenges - Geely aims to fill market gaps in the new energy sector, with plans for additional model launches in the second half of the year [8][12]. - Despite current successes, Geely faces challenges in surpassing BYD, particularly in cost control and high-end market positioning [10][11]. - Geely's global expansion is crucial, with plans to enter multiple international markets, although its export volume has seen a decline [12][13]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - Geely is focusing on enhancing its smart driving capabilities by integrating various teams and resources to improve its technological edge [15][17]. - The competition in the electric vehicle market is shifting towards high-end products, global reach, and advanced technology, necessitating Geely to innovate beyond just cost-effectiveness [17].

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 150.28 billion RMB, a 27% year-on-year increase, despite a 14% decline in net profit to 9.29 billion RMB. The company aims to achieve annual sales of 5 million vehicles through strategic integration and resource consolidation [1][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 150.28 billion RMB, up 27% year-on-year [1]. - Net profit was 9.29 billion RMB, down 14% compared to the previous year [1]. - Vehicle sales reached 1.409 million units, a 47% increase year-on-year [1]. - In 2024, Geely's total revenue was 240.19 billion RMB, with a net profit of 16.63 billion RMB, marking a 213.32% increase year-on-year [3]. Sales and Market Position - Geely's overall sales exceeded 1.409 million units in the first half of 2025, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 725,200 units, a 126% increase, accounting for 51.5% of total sales [4]. - In the Chinese market, Geely sold 1.2251 million units, a 62% increase, capturing an 11.2% market share [4]. - The Geely brand sold 1.1643 million units, a 57% increase, while the Galaxy series achieved sales of 548,400 units, a 232% increase [4]. Strategic Integration and Future Goals - Geely is undergoing significant strategic integration, including the merger of Lynk & Co into Zeekr and the consolidation of R&D resources, with nearly 3,000 personnel from various teams being integrated into a new entity [1][9]. - The company has raised its sales target for 2025 from 2.71 million to 3 million units, reflecting confidence in its market performance [8]. - Geely aims to achieve annual sales of 5 million vehicles by 2027, narrowing the gap with BYD, which currently leads in the market [10].

Core Viewpoint - Geely Auto has demonstrated strong financial performance in the first half of the year, achieving record highs in various operational metrics despite industry challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - Geely Auto reported a revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, marking a historical high [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 9.29 billion yuan, with core net profit at 6.66 billion yuan, reflecting a 102% year-on-year growth [1]. - Total cash reserves increased to 58.8 billion yuan, providing robust support for long-term development [1]. Market Growth - The company sold 1.4092 million vehicles in the first half, a 47% increase year-on-year [2]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, sales surged to 725,200 units, a 126% increase, with a penetration rate of 51% [2]. - The Galaxy series, now an independent brand, saw sales of 548,000 units, a 232% increase [2]. Product Strategy - Geely Auto is maintaining a dual approach by strengthening its traditional fuel vehicle base, with fuel vehicle sales reaching 684,000 units, an 8% increase [3]. - The company has raised its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units, an 11% upward adjustment [3]. - Geely is focusing on technological advancements, having developed three core technology IPs in intelligent driving, power systems, and battery technology [3]. Technological Innovation - By 2025, Geely plans to launch the industry's first "full-domain AI" technology system, enhancing its competitive edge [4]. - The company has established a computing power of 23.5 EFLOPS and a comprehensive AI model for all scenarios [4]. - Geely emphasizes healthy competition over price wars, focusing on value, technology, quality, service, and brand integrity [4]. Future Outlook - Geely Auto will launch several new intelligent hybrid products in the second half of the year, including models from the Zeekr and Lynk & Co brands [5]. - The "One Geely" strategy aims to enhance synergies among its brands, targeting a comprehensive product matrix to achieve the annual sales goal [5].

Core Insights - Geely Automobile reported a record high revenue of 150.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.29 billion yuan, with core net profit rising by 102% to 6.66 billion yuan after excluding non-core losses [1] - Total cash levels increased to 58.8 billion yuan, indicating strong financial health [1] Sales Performance - Geely's total sales reached 1.409 million units in the first half of 2025, a 47% year-on-year growth, surpassing the market average [1] - New energy vehicle (NEV) sales were particularly strong, totaling 725,000 units, representing a 126% increase [2] - The company has raised its full-year sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units based on strong market performance [2] Brand Development - The Galaxy series, now an independent brand, sold 548,000 units in the first half, marking a 232% increase [2] - Zeekr and Lynk & Co brands contributed significantly to brand value, with Zeekr achieving sales of 90,740 units and Lynk & Co selling 154,137 units [2] - Lynk & Co's three-year resale value rate reached 54.58%, with nine models ranking in the top ten of their segments [2] International Expansion - Geely's export sales exceeded 180,000 units, with a global sales network covering 85 countries and regions [3] - The Galaxy E5 international version EX5 became a global star product, launched in 26 countries [3] - The company is enhancing its localization capabilities with new factories in Egypt and Indonesia [3] Future Outlook - Geely plans to launch five new NEV products in the second half of 2025, aiming to strengthen its global competitiveness in the smart NEV sector [3] - The "One Geely" strategy is expected to enhance synergies and support the company in achieving its revised sales target of 3 million units [3]