Group 1 - The EU is considering a strong stance in trade negotiations with the US, as French Minister Barrow emphasizes the need to avoid compromising with Washington, warning that it could set a dangerous precedent for future negotiations with China [1][2] - Barrow calls for the EU to prepare for retaliation if no agreement is reached before the deadline, highlighting the importance of defending both short-term economic interests and long-term credibility [1][2] - The EU is currently facing a challenging negotiation process with the US, with French officials expressing strong dissatisfaction over the proposed 30% tariffs on EU exports to the US, which could disrupt transatlantic supply chains [5][6] Group 2 - The EU is contemplating countermeasures against the US, including a second round of tariffs on US goods valued at approximately €72 billion (around 602.9 billion RMB), which includes products like Boeing aircraft and whiskey [6][7] - There are internal divisions within the EU regarding the response to US tariffs, with some officials advocating for a balanced approach while others push for stronger retaliatory measures [6][7] - The ongoing trade tensions highlight significant disagreements between the EU and the US in various sectors, including automotive, safety standards, agriculture, and high technology, raising the risk of a full-blown trade war [7]

Group 1 - The European Union (EU) is preparing to retaliate against the United States' tariffs, with a new countermeasure list that includes a wide range of American products valued at €72 billion [5][6] - The EU's countermeasure list is detailed and spans 206 pages, including items such as Boeing aircraft, automobiles, and bourbon whiskey [5] - Despite the EU's ability to retaliate with other goods, it has refrained from including major U.S. military products in its countermeasure list due to its reliance on U.S. military supplies [6][8] Group 2 - Brazil is also considering a response to U.S. tariffs, with President Lula announcing the formation of a cross-departmental committee to strategize on trade negotiations and countermeasures [10][11] - The actions of the EU and Brazil indicate a growing resistance among countries against U.S. tariff policies, which could lead to a broader international backlash if successful [13]

Group 1 - The European Commission has announced a countermeasure plan in response to the U.S. President Trump's decision to impose a 30% tariff on EU imports starting August 1, 2025 [1] - If U.S.-EU trade negotiations fail, the EU is prepared to impose additional tariffs on U.S. imports valued at €72 billion (approximately $84 billion) [1] - The 206-page countermeasure list includes various products, with the most affected being aircraft and parts (€11 billion), machinery (€9.4 billion), automobiles and parts (€8 billion), agricultural products (€6 billion), and precision instruments (€5 billion) [1] Group 2 - The EU had previously prepared a first phase of countermeasures targeting U.S. goods worth €21 billion, which was initially set to take effect on July 14 but was postponed to early August due to ongoing negotiations [1]

Group 1 - The US Treasury Secretary, Becerra, will visit Japan for the first time since taking office, coinciding with the "US National Day" event at the Osaka Expo on July 19 [2] - The US has announced a 25% tariff on all Japanese and South Korean products starting August 1, 2025, which is slightly higher than the previously announced 24% [2][3] - Japan's trade representative, Akizawa, emphasized that the automotive sector is a core issue in negotiations, stating that the 25% tariff on cars and parts has caused significant losses for Japanese companies [3] Group 2 - The Japanese government is unlikely to show signs of compromise before the Senate elections on July 20, which may delay substantial negotiations until after that date [3] - Since July 7, Trump has sent letters to over 20 countries, including Japan and South Korea, announcing the so-called "reciprocal tariffs" [4] - Experts suggest that while there are significant differences in key areas like subsidies and technology transfer, there is an increasing momentum for bilateral and regional negotiations [5]

Group 1 - The EU is seeking to finalize a preliminary trade agreement with the US by July 9, aiming for a 10% tariff rate and laying the groundwork for a permanent agreement [1][3] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a positive discussion with President Trump, increasing hopes for an agreement before the deadline [1][3] - The EU may make limited concessions on tariffs for aircraft, medical devices, and spirits, while still pursuing exemptions for key products [1][3] Group 2 - The EU is pushing for the US to provide quotas and exemptions to reduce the 25% tariffs on cars and parts, as well as the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum, although these terms may not be included in the upcoming agreement [1][3] - There are internal divisions within the EU regarding whether to accept an "asymmetrical" agreement, with some members advocating for a quick deal to avoid uncertainty, while others prefer to enhance their negotiating position [3][4] Group 3 - The US has postponed the implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" until August 1, which could lead to a significant increase in tariffs on nearly all EU exports if no agreement is reached [4] - The EU has already approved tariffs on $21 billion worth of US goods in response to US metal tariffs and is preparing additional tariffs on $95 billion worth of US products [4][5] Group 4 - The trade relationship between the US and EU has been strained, with the US imposing higher tariffs since Trump's administration, impacting both economies negatively [5] - Research indicates that a 10% to 25% tariff increase on European imports could lead to a 0.3% decline in EU GDP and a 0.7% decline in US GDP [5]

Group 1 - The current trading price of paper gold is around 768.06 CNY per gram, with a slight increase of 0.31% [1] - The highest price reached today is 771.68 CNY per gram, while the lowest is 765.59 CNY per gram, indicating a short-term oscillating trend [1] - Key resistance levels for paper gold are identified between 775 CNY per gram and 800 CNY per gram, with important support levels ranging from 760 CNY per gram to 800 CNY per gram [3] Group 2 - Australia currently faces a relatively low U.S. tariff rate of 10%, but is still impacted by specific tariffs on the steel and aluminum industries [2] - The Australian Productivity Commission's analysis suggests that proposed U.S. tariff adjustments could have a mild but positive impact on the Australian economy, potentially increasing GDP by approximately 0.37 percentage points [2] - The report warns that growing global economic uncertainty is becoming a constraint on economic activity, affecting household consumption, business investment, and trade policy stability [2]

Core Points - The Trump administration is shifting from ambitious comprehensive trade agreements to narrower, phased agreements to avoid the reimplementation of tariffs by July 9 [1][2] - The government aims to reach "principled agreements" on a few trade disputes, allowing countries that agree to avoid harsher tariffs while maintaining existing 10% tariffs during ongoing negotiations [1][3] - The dual-track strategy of threatening new tariffs while remaining open to agreements highlights the complexities of negotiations with the Trump administration [2][3] Trade Negotiations - The U.S. is currently negotiating with key countries to finalize limited agreements before the July 9 deadline, which Trump has indicated will see the reimposition of tariffs if no agreements are reached [1][3] - The U.S. Commerce Department has initiated national security investigations under Section 232 for various goods, including copper, lumber, and aerospace components, which adds uncertainty to ongoing trade discussions [2][3] - Countries involved in serious trade negotiations with the U.S. are seeking exemptions from existing tariffs, including a 25% tariff on automobiles and a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum [2] Legal and Regulatory Context - Recent court rulings have declared Trump's use of emergency powers to impose tariffs as illegal, injecting further uncertainty into trade negotiations [4] - The administration has appealed these rulings, but the outcome may affect the dynamics of ongoing and future trade discussions [4]

Group 1 - Ecuador's rose industry benefits from ideal growing conditions, leading to high-quality roses that are popular in the Chinese market [1] - The Ecuadorian rose supply chain involves meticulous handling and rapid transportation, allowing roses to reach Chinese consumers within three days [1] - The China-Ecuador Free Trade Agreement has significantly reduced tariffs on Ecuadorian products, enhancing their competitiveness in the Chinese market [2] Group 2 - In the first quarter of this year, bilateral trade between China and Ecuador reached $3.915 billion, a 34.17% increase year-on-year, with Ecuador's exports to China growing significantly [3] - Ecuador's shrimp exports to China have seen a substantial increase, with January exports reaching $280 million, up 25% from the previous year [3] - The Free Trade Agreement is viewed as a strategic opportunity for Ecuador, allowing for zero-tariff exports of products like canned tuna to China [3]