财富管理月报 2025年6月 主要股票市场月度涨跌幅(%) 主要债券市场月度涨跌幅(%) | 股票市场 | 月度 | YTD | | --- | --- | --- | | 标普500指数 | 4.96 | 5.50 | | 纳斯达克100指数 | 6.27 | 7.93 | | 道琼斯指数 | 4.32 | 3.64 | | 欧洲Stoxx 50指数 | -1.18 | 8.32 | | 富时100指数 | -0.13 | 7.19 | | 德国DAX指数 | -0.37 | 20.09 | | 法国CAC40指数 | -1.11 | 3.86 | | 恒生指数 | 3.36 | 20.00 | | 恒生科技指数 | 2.56 | 18.68 | | 上证指数 | 2.90 | 2.76 | | 沪深300指数 | 2.50 | 0.03 | | 富时中国A50指数 | 1.31 | 0.19 | | 日经225指数 | 6.64 | 1.49 | | MSCI 东盟指数 | -0.04 | 3.37 | | MSCI 印度指数 | 3.40 | 6.04 | | 债券市场 | 月度 | YTD | | - ...

"打——豆腐的来喽！"盛夏的清晨，响亮的吆喝声响起。每隔几天，太行山上卫辉市狮豹头乡几个村的 村口，总有27岁新乡姑娘李福贵开着满载豆腐、蔬菜和点心的小货车驶来的影子，头发花白的老人闻声 聚拢，亲热地拽住她的手："闺女，可算等着你了！" 这辆二手四轮车，是李福贵连接数百万粉丝的"直播间"，更是架在山村留守老人心坎儿上的"爱心桥"。 西葫芦五毛一斤、凉粉两块钱半盆、点心连卖带送——在旁人看来亏本的买卖，她却甘之如饴。 有网友在镜头里看见了自己的爷爷奶奶，截图留言或者私信她："这个老人是我姥姥，不会用手机，下 次路过帮她给我打个电话吧？""这个是我大舅！""我看到我爷爷了！"她的视频下方的留言区，成了"大 型认亲现场"。 关于最近的爆火，李福贵说："这是属于那些山里老人的，流量也是他们带给我的。我只是中间的一个 媒介，让他们的情感被看见，让他们的善良被看见。" "刚开始做自媒体，我的初衷就是为了赚钱，让家里人过得更好。"李福贵说，现在自己有能力有热度去 带货赚钱了，但山上的那些老人改变了她的想法——"他们让我觉得，人生更有意义的是，你传递出来 的价值。如果我的视频能给年轻人提供一些正能量，能让年轻人多回去看看老人 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the sudden closure of the popular bakery brand "Huan Niu Cake House" due to rising costs, intensified market competition, and internal management failures, leading to its inability to continue operations [1][5][9] - Huan Niu Cake House was founded in 2013 by Deng Zhouhong, initially starting as a private baking business and later transforming into a chain brand targeting young consumers with various baked goods [4][5] - The company received significant investments, including nearly $10 million in Series A funding from Shunwei Capital in 2022, aimed at expanding its store network and enhancing brand image [4][5] Group 2 - The bakery faced severe challenges, including a major shareholder being restricted from high consumption due to legal issues, which raised concerns about the company's operational status [5][9] - Despite attempts to reassure customers about ongoing operations and addressing past issues, the company ultimately announced its closure, stating that all member deposits would be handled appropriately [9][12] - The article highlights a broader trend in the bakery industry, where several once-popular brands like "Panda Not Going" and "Tiger Head Bureau" are also facing closures and bankruptcies, indicating a significant downturn in the market [11][12][20] Group 3 - The article analyzes the reasons behind the decline of popular bakery brands, citing issues such as severe product homogeneity, blind expansion, and intense market competition as key factors [21][24] - Many brands relied heavily on social media marketing, which proved to be unstable and led to trust issues among consumers when expectations were not met [22][24] - The overall conclusion emphasizes the need for brands to focus on quality, innovation, and effective management to survive in a rapidly changing market environment [24]

【导读】 债券通"南向通"扩容，基金、券商等布局香港债券市场渠道便利化 中国基金报记者 吴娟娟 中国人民银行金融市场司副司长江会芬日前宣布三项对外开放优化措施，其中包括完善债券 通"南向通"运行机制，支持更多境内投资者投资离岸债券市场，将扩大境内投资者范围至券 商、基金、保险、理财等4类非银机构。相关措施将于2025年8月25日生效。 债券通"南向通"扩容后，基金、券商等非银机构对境外债券的布局便利化。有机构预测，机 构类型扩容之后，债券通"南向通"年度额度或也将扩容。 境内投资者布局境外债券渠道便利化 债券通"南向通"扩容前，其面向的内地投资机构包含两类：首先是41家银行类金融机构，均 为中国人民银行公开市场业务一级交易商。此外，合格境内机构投资者（QDII）和人民币合 格境内机构投资者（RQDII）也可通过"南向通"开展境外债券投资。在债券通"南向通"安排 下，内地投资机构的交易对手方为香港金融管理局指定的"南向通"做市商。 景顺董事总经理、亚太区固定收益主管黄嘉诚表示，债券"南向通" 扩容为非银机构拓宽了全 球资产配置渠道，有助于构建跨市场、跨币种的多元化投资组合，提升资产配置灵活性和收 益潜力。多币种 ...

梁凤仪表示，将进一步完善离岸人民币债券的利率曲线。除了香港特区政府继续发行不同期限的人 民币债券以外，也非常欢迎更多的机构和企业赴港发行点心债，包括主权机构、国际组织、内地政 府机构和企业。她亦注意到，香港离岸人民币同业拆息处于低位，为融资提供了有利的条件，因此 有很多国际和内地大型企业近期也公布了点心债的发行计划。 梁凤仪亦表示，一直与内地监管机构积极合作，持续推进人民币股票交易柜台纳入港股通，目前相 关的技术准备工作进展顺利，力争近期向市场公布实施细则。同时，在南下资金的带动下，以人民 币计价的港股交易规模有望进一步增长。 其二，是提升二级债券市场的流动性。流动性的提升将为发行人提供更具竞争力的定价条件，并带 来更广泛的投资者基础。另外，发展衍生工具对于债券投资者对冲风险和管理流动性而言也非常重 要。 梁凤仪表示，支持金融机构继续开发更具吸引力和更多元化的衍生产品，包括利率、外汇和信贷衍 生品等，以丰富香港市场的风险管理工具。 梁凤仪表示，一直与内地监管机构积极合作，持续推进人民币 股票交易柜台纳入港股通，目前相关的技术准备工作进展顺 利，力争近期向市场公布实施细则。 作者：老盈盈 封图：图虫创意 7月8 ...

Group 1 - The 15th National Games and the Special Olympics are being co-hosted by Macau for the first time, with Macau responsible for five events in the National Games and two badminton events in the Special Olympics [1][2] - The cycling event will uniquely connect the three regions of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macau, marking it as the only event that spans all three areas [1] - The Macau organizing committee has successfully completed operational tests for the five events, meeting expected performance goals [1][2] Group 2 - Comprehensive simulations of the event organization have been conducted, covering aspects such as customs clearance, venue facilities, audience entry, and emergency response protocols [2] - A total of 5,000 volunteers have participated in practical training during the project tests, contributing to various roles including reception, guidance, and media support [2] - Macau's hospitality sector is well-prepared, with over 140 hotels offering more than 43,000 rooms, providing diverse accommodation options for visitors [2]

【导读】香港证监会梁凤仪：三策并举发展香港离岸人民币中心 中国基金报记者 郭玟君 7月8日，在债券通周年论坛2025（以下简称论坛）上，中国人民银行和香港金管局宣布了数 项债券通优化扩容的措施。香港证券及期货事务监察委员会（以下简称香港证监会）行政总 裁梁凤仪在论坛上发表主题演时表示，香港证监会工作的重中之重是人民币固定收益市场， 香港证监会将三策并举发展香港离岸人民币中心。 首先当然是国债。梁凤仪表示："国家财政部近年来加大在港发行国债的频率与规模，我们非 常感谢，也对财政部未来在香港加大不同期限的国债发行充满期待，尤其是增加中长期国债 的比重。" 债券通优化扩容 人民币固收市场是香港证监会工作重中之重 梁凤仪指出，中国人民银行和香港金管局宣布了数项债券通优化扩容的措施，包括扩大南向 通参与机构范围，加入券商、保险公司、理财及资产管理公司；优化离岸人民币债券回购业 务，允许回购期间债券再质押（Rehypothecation）使用等。这些将为债券通发展注入新动 能，并进一步便利境外投资者获取人民币流动性支持，提升香港作为离岸人民币业务中心的 竞争力。 梁凤仪表示，债券通八年来的发展令人瞩目。在过去一年，债券通 ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is focusing on enhancing the development of the fixed income and currency markets to strengthen Hong Kong's position as a global offshore RMB business hub [1][2] Group 1: Achievements of Bond Connect - The Bond Connect has seen remarkable growth over the past eight years, with significant expansion in the use of onshore bonds as collateral in Hong Kong [1] - As of now, the scale of onshore government bonds accepted as collateral by Hong Kong's OTC clearing companies has reached 30 billion RMB [1] Group 2: New Measures and Market Dynamics - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced new measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect, which will inject strong momentum into the market [2] - The new measures include expanding the eligible investor base for the Southbound Bond Connect and optimizing offshore RMB bond repurchase operations [2] Group 3: Strategic Directions - The SFC is pursuing three strategic directions: 1. Enriching product supply to solidify the primary market foundation, with the offshore RMB bond issuance exceeding 1 trillion RMB in 2024, a 37% year-on-year increase [3] 2. Enhancing secondary market liquidity by supporting the development of diverse derivatives and promoting the establishment of an offshore government bond repurchase market [4] 3. Optimizing financial infrastructure to ensure a robust and efficient market operation, including improving trading and settlement systems [4]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong is emerging as a significant financial hub amidst global market volatility, driven by capital inflows and the need for alternative financing options due to the ongoing tariff wars and the depreciation of the US dollar [2][23]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Hang Seng Index rose over 20% following the announcement of "reciprocal tariffs," while the Hong Kong dollar reached a strong exchange rate of 7.75 against the US dollar [1]. - In the first half of 2025, net inflows from mainland China into the Hong Kong stock market exceeded 710 billion HKD, significantly higher than previous years [2]. - The Hong Kong IPO market saw a 700% year-on-year increase in funds raised, driven by international capital [2]. Group 2: Currency and Financial Stability - The US dollar index fell over 10% in the first half of 2025, marking its worst performance since 1973, leading to significant capital outflows from the US [3][23]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened multiple times to stabilize the Hong Kong dollar, injecting approximately 129 billion HKD into the financial system [5][10]. - The Hong Kong dollar's exchange rate fluctuated between strong and weak zones, prompting discussions on the benefits and drawbacks of the linked exchange rate system [5][39]. Group 3: Wealth Management and Investment Trends - Boston Consulting Group predicts that by 2029, Hong Kong will surpass Switzerland as the largest cross-border wealth management center globally [4]. - Wealth management revenues in Hong Kong increased significantly, with HSBC reporting a 14% rise in wholesale banking income in the first quarter [17][30]. - The average wealth of adults in mainland China is projected to continue growing, enhancing cross-border investment potential [32]. Group 4: RMB and Trade Financing - Hong Kong is the largest offshore RMB business hub, handling about 80% of global offshore RMB payments [18]. - Cross-border RMB settlements between China and ASEAN countries grew by 35% year-on-year, indicating a shift towards RMB financing [22]. - The demand for RMB in trade financing is increasing, reflecting a broader trend of "de-dollarization" in international trade [26]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The financial landscape in Hong Kong is expected to evolve with increased focus on offshore RMB markets and digital financial infrastructure [38][45]. - The capital from the Middle East is becoming a significant source of wealth for Hong Kong, with sovereign wealth funds projected to grow substantially [37]. - Hong Kong's unique position as a "super connector" between China and international markets is likely to enhance its financial stability and growth prospects [46].

【环球时报赴阿根廷特派记者 刘洋】从北京首都机场起飞，经过近30个小时飞行，跨越接近2万公里的距离，就到了地球上距离北京最远的城市之一——阿 根廷首都布宜诺斯艾利斯。去年社交媒体上流传的阎鹤祥脱口秀表演中，与北京物理距离最远的对跖点就在阿根廷的潘帕斯大草原，但实际上，阿根廷 与"中国"的距离似乎没有那么远，走出布宜诺斯艾利斯埃塞萨国际机场只要再驱车大约38公里，来到贝尔格拉诺区的阿里维尼奥街，就会看到一座高耸的中 式牌楼，上面写着三个字：中国城。 布宜诺斯艾利斯当地人解释说，和很多其他地方的唐人街不同，布宜诺斯艾利斯"中国城"有不少华人居住，但不是当地华人主要聚集的社区，加上如此潮流 打卡的地方，年轻人扎堆，自然显得"老外"人气爆棚。 " 老外 " 比 " 中国人 " 多 《环球时报》记者曾经去过地球上很多"中国城"或"唐人街"，华盛顿、伦敦、长崎等地的都去过，但布宜诺斯艾利斯的"中国城"与它们有很大不同，这一点 从一"进城"就能感受到：周日晚上的街道，人潮涌动，热闹非凡，餐厅等位，店铺排队。定睛一看，不论等位的食客还是排队的顾客，"老外"居然比"中国 人"还多。 所谓"老外"，当然指的是布宜诺斯艾利斯本地的 ...