Investment Themes - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement, China State Construction, and Ningde Times in the cyclical sector[2] - In the consumer sector, recommended stocks include Hengrui Medicine and Shanxi Fenjiu[2] - In the power equipment and new energy vehicle sector, recommended stocks include Ningde Times and Goldwind Technology[2] - In the TMT sector, recommended stocks include Longi Green Energy and Luxshare Precision[2] Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index by 50.40%[4] - The average gain of the recommended stock portfolio was 33.11%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index's gain of 17.90%[4] - Key outperformers included Huaxin Cement and Ningde Times, with quarterly gains exceeding 50%[4] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a focus on "appropriate easing" in monetary policy to support growth[4] - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of recovery but remained in contraction territory as of September[4] - The report anticipates continued inflow of foreign capital due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets[4] Company Highlights - Huaxin Cement's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.30, with a PE ratio of 14.27[6] - China State Construction's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.16, with a PE ratio of 4.68[12] - China Rare Earth's projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with a PE ratio of 150.92[25] - Hengrui Medicine's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.26, with a PE ratio of 56.90[33]

以下文章来源于中金研究院 ，作者陈济刘佳妮潘海怡 中金研究院 . 中金研究院 (CICC Global Institute，缩写 CGI)作为中金公司一级部门，定位为新时代、新形势下的新型智库，服务于中国公共政策研究与决 策，参与国际政策讨论和交流，并为中国金融市场尤其是资本市场发展建言献策。 2025年9月24日，习近平总书记在联合国气候变化峰会宣布中国新一轮国家自主贡献。中金研究院、中金公司研究部量化及ESG 团队、公用事业团队、电新团队及汽车团队进行联合解读。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 总量观点：减排趋势演算，绿色投资空间，非二排放管控及碳市场发展 ► 根据我们的测算，如果实现新一轮2035年减排目标，意味着我国达峰后也不会降低减排力度。 我们初步估算，2026-2035年中国碳强度预计 每年需要下降5%左右[1]。与过去十年间3.3%的平均水平相比，碳强度降幅不减反增。我们测算，到2035年，我国碳排放将降至102-105亿吨， 重回到2022年水平。 ► 最新NDC目标发布后，我国将以积极的态度推进非二氧化碳温室气体控制工作。 设置温室气体排放总量的减排目标或将推动非二氧化碳温 ...

海外储能需求（欧洲为主）受政策刺激正高速增长。据CESA统计，今年上半年我国企业新获海外储能 订单160GWh（同比增长220%），市场以中东、澳洲、欧洲居前，各国面临电力供应安全问题，纷纷出 台各类扶持储能的政策（例如澳大利亚补贴户储、欧洲补贴工商储）。 全球AI需求爆发推动数据中心大规模建设和升级，也带动了配套的供电和电气设施投资。中国和美国 互联网巨头均加大对AI基础设施的投资，并对配套的电气系统提出更高要求，海外需要建设更多燃气 轮机和核电机组来保障稳定电力，数据中心内部需要升级变压器、服务器电源、备用电源等系统。 三季度以来，新能源行业开启大涨且跑赢大盘。WIND数据显示，三季度前两个月中证新能指数上涨 20.66%，同期沪深300指数上涨14.24%。其中光伏产业指数上涨23.12%、新能源汽车指数上涨18.47%、 电网设备指数11.04%、风电产业指数上涨10.33%。新能源行业仍存需求增长放缓、产能过剩的风险， 但也存在结构性投资机会。 欧洲电动车渗透率持续提升，我国汽车零部件（含锂电池）在其供应链里正提高市场份额。目前欧洲新 售乘用车的电动化率约25%，显著低于我国的55%，还有很大发展空 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongneng Electric's stock price closed at 5.54 yuan on August 27, 2025, reflecting a decline of 3.82% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 90 million yuan [1] Company Overview - Zhongneng Electric specializes in the manufacturing of power grid equipment, focusing on high-voltage fast charging and green electricity sectors. The company's products are primarily used in the power system's transmission and distribution segments [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhongneng Electric reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -12.79 million yuan, compared to a profit of 25.86 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Capital Flow - On August 27, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 81,100 yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 1.7262 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Group 1 - The core stock price of Xin Fengguang as of August 20, 2025, is 33.28 yuan, with a decrease of 0.05 yuan, representing a decline of 0.15% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 28,128 hands, with a transaction amount of 0.93 billion yuan, and a fluctuation of 4.29% [1] - Xin Fengguang specializes in the research and manufacturing of power grid equipment, with business operations covering energy storage and other fields [1] Group 2 - The company is part of the Shandong sector and holds the qualification of a specialized and innovative enterprise, also involved in the concept of central and state-owned enterprise reform [1] - On August 20, the net outflow of main funds for Xin Fengguang was 224,100 yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 16.64 million yuan over the past five trading days, accounting for 0.36% of the circulating market value [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that nearly 30 European countries have committed to increasing defense spending to 5% of GDP by the 2025 NATO summit, with 3.5% allocated for core defense and 1.5% for broader security [1] - The overall difficulty in achieving the target for European defense spending is highlighted, with an estimated total spending increase of $5.8 trillion, of which approximately 46% is expected to be concentrated in Germany, the UK, and France [1] - In terms of investment direction, about 23% of the $2.9 trillion increase in core defense spending is anticipated to be used for equipment purchases, benefiting European and US-Korean defense contractors [1] Group 2 - Approximately 54% of the $2.9 trillion increase in broader security spending is expected to be directed towards energy and infrastructure, which may stimulate demand for imports in critical materials (such as titanium and hard alloys), energy equipment (including grid equipment, energy storage, and components for new energy equipment), and engineering machinery [1]

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly boost infrastructure investment and improve the fundamentals of leading companies in the sector [2][11][12]. Group 1: Project Impact and Market Reaction - The Yarlung Tsangpo River project is one of the largest infrastructure projects in history, with an investment scale far exceeding that of the Three Gorges Project, and is expected to generate three times the annual power output of the latter [11][12]. - The project is anticipated to drive demand across various sectors, including engineering construction, high-end equipment, and power transmission, thereby activating the entire industrial chain [11][12]. - Following the announcement, the hydropower index surged over 23% from July 21 to July 22, indicating strong market interest and investor confidence [2][11]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Context - The project is expected to enhance GDP growth in Tibet by over 8% annually and generate over 2 trillion yuan in related infrastructure investments over the next decade [12]. - Recent government policies aimed at reducing competition and optimizing industry structure are likely to benefit leading companies in the infrastructure and building materials sectors [12][13]. - The central urban work conference has shifted urban development focus from rapid expansion to quality improvement, which may lead to increased demand for construction materials [13]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities and Sector Analysis - The infrastructure sector is currently at a historical low in terms of valuation, with the infrastructure engineering index's dynamic P/E ratio at 8.48 times, indicating potential for recovery [19][21]. - Key sectors expected to benefit from the Yarlung Tsangpo project include hydropower construction, cement, engineering machinery, and power equipment, with cement demand in Tibet projected to increase by one-third [22][23][24]. - The project will likely create significant opportunities for companies involved in blasting, engineering machinery, and cement, especially those with strong technological capabilities [23][24]. Group 4: Investment Strategies for Ordinary Investors - Ordinary investors are advised to participate in the infrastructure sector through ETFs that track relevant indices, focusing on funds with high liquidity and low fees [29][32]. - It is recommended to select individual stocks based on long-term competitive advantages, as quality companies are expected to gain market share over time [32]. - Investors should be cautious of potential volatility in the short term due to rapid price increases and should consider the fundamentals of companies rather than solely relying on policy support [30][31].

Investment Plans - Trump announced an investment plan exceeding $92 billion in Pennsylvania, focusing on AI infrastructure and energy projects, surpassing the previously announced $70 billion[1][6] - Blackstone Group is expected to invest $25 billion in data centers and energy infrastructure development[1][6] - Amazon plans to invest $20 billion in a new large data center and support upgrades for the Susquehanna Nuclear Power Plant[2][6] Market Trends - Pennsylvania is rapidly developing as a data center cluster, with confirmed investments totaling approximately $15 billion from various consortiums[2][6] - By 2025, U.S. super data center operators' capital expenditure is projected to increase by 34% year-on-year, reaching $257 billion[3][7] - The U.S. power grid is aging, with over 75% of equipment in service for more than 30 years, necessitating urgent updates[3][8] Equipment Demand - GE Vernova and Siemens Energy reported strong order backlogs of $76.3 billion and €52 billion, respectively, with significant year-on-year growth in new orders[4][9] - The market for dispatchable power generation and grid equipment remains robust, with GE Vernova expected to exceed 60GW in gas turbine contracts by year-end[4][9] Investment Recommendations - Companies benefiting from policy-driven tax reductions and capacity expansion investments include Vistra, Constellation, and Siemens Energy[5][10] - Risks include lower-than-expected demand for U.S. infrastructure and potential geopolitical risks affecting the AI sector[5][11]

Macro Strategy - The report indicates that the US non-farm payrolls for June exceeded expectations, leading to a delay in interest rate cut expectations to September. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 6.89 basis points to 4.346% during the week [1][15][17] - The ISM services PMI returned above the expansion line, reflecting strong economic data, while the unemployment rate decreased, contributing to a positive market sentiment [1][15][17] - The signing of Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) increased the debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41 trillion, which may lead to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" trading pattern [1][15][17] Fixed Income - In the week of June 30 to July 4, 12 green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets, totaling approximately 34.961 billion yuan, an increase of 3.531 billion yuan from the previous week [4] - The secondary market saw a total trading volume of green bonds amounting to 56.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.3 billion yuan from the previous week [4] Industry Analysis Robotics and Automation - The report highlights that the human-like robot sector is entering a year of mass production, with supply chain adjustments and component innovations being crucial. Tesla's Musk has set a production target of 5,000 to 10,000 units for the year [7][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of component innovations such as dexterous hands and lightweight materials in enhancing robot capabilities [7][8] Insurance Industry - The insurance sector is expected to see improvements on both the liability and asset sides, with low valuations and low holdings providing a balanced risk-reward profile. The estimated valuation for the insurance sector is between 0.61-0.96 times PEV and 0.98-2.21 times PB, indicating historical lows [9] REITs - The report discusses the potential of REITs in a low-interest-rate environment, highlighting the importance of policy support and structural optimization to enhance investment value. The diversification of asset types is expected to accelerate, with new assets like data centers and wind power emerging [10] Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery market is at the beginning of an upward cycle, with a projected demand growth of 0-3% for the year. The report notes that the export market remains strong, contributing to high industry sentiment [11] Unmanned Forklift Industry - The report suggests that the unmanned forklift sector is poised for rapid growth driven by AI technology and smart logistics. It recommends investing in leading companies in the smart forklift space [12] Consumer Services - The analysis of consumer spending in China indicates that the overall consumption rate is low, with both service and goods consumption needing improvement. The service consumption rate in China was 21.1% in 2019, compared to an average of 28.4% across 43 countries [20][21]

Group 1 - The audit report indicates that the financial statements of Yanzhou Dongfang Electromechanical Co., Ltd. fairly reflect its financial position as of December 31, 2024, and its operational results and cash flows for the year 2024 in accordance with accounting standards [2][5]. - The company was established on December 7, 1990, with a registered capital of 50 million RMB, and is located in Zoucheng City, Shandong Province [5][6]. - The main business of the company includes the research, design, manufacturing, and service of general explosion-proof electrical and automation products [5][6]. Group 2 - The company operates in the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry, focusing on products such as mining explosion-proof electrical products, high and low voltage switchgear, and automation systems [5][6]. - The financial statements are prepared based on the going concern assumption, indicating that the company has the ability to continue its operations for at least 12 months from the reporting date [6][7]. - The company adheres to the accounting principles set forth by the Ministry of Finance and the China Securities Regulatory Commission, ensuring that its financial reporting is in compliance with relevant regulations [6][7].