1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market adjusted until late September, and the cost - effectiveness of coupon assets continued to increase. A repair market started around the National Day holiday, but there was a significant term differentiation, with short - duration assets being more favored [5][10][34]. - The current proportion of ordinary credit bonds with valuations in the 2.2% - 2.6% range is relatively high, offering a wide selection [5][34]. - The strategy should prioritize liquidity. There are some opportunities to participate in 3 - 5 - year bank secondary capital bonds after adjustment. Also, considering the curve steepness, it is advisable to continue participating in the sinking of weak - quality urban investment bonds with a 1 - 3 - year term. For ultra - long - term bonds, although the yield cost - effectiveness has increased after adjustment, the recent market is highly uncertain, and the ultra - long - duration strategy may only be suitable for some allocation investors [5][34]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Bond Market Performance - **Overall Repair and Term Differentiation**: The bond market experienced continuous adjustment in September, and the repair market started around the National Day holiday. The short - end of credit bonds had a stronger repair, while ultra - long - term credit bonds had a weaker repair, with some varieties still adjusting and performing worse than the same - term interest - rate bonds [10][12][34]. - **Yield Changes**: From September 28 to October 11, 2025, the yields of 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, and 5Y national bonds decreased by 1.3BP, 3.0BP, 3.7BP, 4.0BP, and 4.4BP respectively. The yields of the same - term AAA medium - term notes decreased by 7.7BP, 5.7BP, 4.2BP, 3.0BP, and 4.4BP respectively, and the yields of AA + medium - term notes decreased by 5.7BP, 2.7BP, 2.2BP, 1.0BP, and 1.4BP respectively [10][11]. - **Curve Shape**: The steepness of the 1 - 2 - year and 2 - 3 - year periods for all ratings was the highest, and the steepness of the 3 - 5 - year period for low - rated bonds was also relatively high, showing a certain bear - steepening characteristic [14]. - **Historical Quantiles**: Currently, 2 - 3Y, especially around 3Y, coupon assets have certain cost - effectiveness after adjustment. The valuation yields to maturity of 1Y - AAA, 3Y - AAA, 5Y - AAA, 1Y - AA +, 3Y - AA +, 5Y - AA +, 1Y - AA, and 3Y - AA ChinaBond medium - short - term notes from September 28 to October 11, 2025, were at the 23.87%, 40.54%, 49.54%, 25.22%, 39.63%, 46.84%, 28.15%, and 38.73% levels since 2024. The historical quantiles of the 1Y - AAA, 3Y - AAA, 5Y - AAA, 1Y - AA +, 3Y - AA +, 5Y - AA +, 1Y - AA, and 3Y - AA credit spreads were 1.12%, 34.98%, 74.04%, 2.25%, 31.37%, 56.43%, 13.54%, and 29.79% respectively, indicating that the cost - effectiveness around 3Y was relatively high [16]. 3.2 Perpetual and Subordinated Bonds (Er Yong Bonds) - **Market Characteristics**: The market of Er Yong bonds was strongly synchronized, with an obvious "volatility amplifier" characteristic. The repair degree of 1Y - 5Y was higher than that of ordinary credit bonds, but the market for ultra - long - term bonds was poor and continued to weaken [3][18]. - **Yield Changes**: The yields of 1 - 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year AAA - bank secondary capital bonds decreased by 7.89BP, 10.18BP, 10.93BP, 11.20BP, 7.25BP, 3.84BP, and increased by 6.69BP respectively. Currently, the part of the curve above 3 years was still 30BP - 62BP away from the lowest yield point since 2025. Compared with the sharp decline at the end of July, the yield points above 3 years had broken through new highs, and the adjustment amplitude was higher than that of the sharp decline at the end of July [18]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - **Trading and Allocation**: Public funds and other trading desks continued to sell credit bonds, while wealth management, insurance, and other allocation desks moderately bought on dips, but the incremental purchases were limited, and the overall demand was weak [4][26]. - **Public Funds**: Since mid - August, public funds have sold 3 - 5 - year secondary capital bonds worth 47 billion yuan, with a much higher selling intensity than in previous years [4][27]. - **Wealth Management**: Since August, the weekly net purchase scale of ordinary credit bonds by bank wealth management has remained stable, and the weekly change in the stock scale of wealth management has also been small, indicating that the liability side of wealth management has been relatively stable during this adjustment, but the incremental allocation demand is also weak [4][27]. - **Insurance Funds**: Since August, insurance funds have continued to buy on dips, with a relatively high increase in ordinary credit bonds, reaching 70.8 billion yuan from August to the present. However, since it is not the peak allocation period, and the strengthening of equity assets has also suppressed the preference of insurance funds for fixed - income assets to some extent, the overall allocation demand is not strong [4][27]. - **Credit Bond ETFs**: The performance of credit bond ETFs has been below expectations. The scale and net value of credit market - making ETFs have declined significantly. For science - innovation ETFs, the listing of the second batch of products in late September provided a short - term boost to the overall market, but the sustainability was weak [4][28].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a mixed performance on September 15, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3860.50 points, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.63% to 13005.77 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.51% to 3066.18 points [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a nearly ten-year high of 3892.74 points on September 12, and the ChiNext Index surpassed 3000 points on September 11, hitting a peak of 3106.88 points on September 15, marking a three-and-a-half-year high [1] Sector Performance - The technology sector, particularly in AI, domestic computing power, chips, photovoltaic storage, and innovative pharmaceuticals, has become a focal point for institutional discussions [1] - The ChiNext Index has seen a 50% increase over the past three months, significantly outperforming other A-share indices [2] - The growth in the ChiNext Index is attributed to favorable policies and funding conditions for technology innovation and new productivity-related sectors [2] Investment Trends - Analysts suggest that the current market favors growth sectors over value sectors, with a preference for small and mid-cap stocks due to liquidity easing [2] - The AI industry is experiencing robust growth driven by domestic substitution policies, continuous technological iteration, and diverse downstream demand [2][3] Battery and Energy Storage Sector - Battery and energy storage stocks have surged, with companies like CATL seeing significant stock price increases, reaching a high of 371.52 yuan, up over 14% [4] - The energy storage industry is in a rapid growth phase, supported by new policies aiming for a storage capacity of 180 million kilowatts by 2027, with an expected direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [4][5] - The global demand for energy storage has exploded, with a 97% year-on-year increase in global energy storage cell shipments in the first half of 2025, predominantly from Chinese companies [5] Future Market Outlook - Despite recent highs in A-share indices, there are concerns about declining trading volumes, with daily turnover dropping from 3.2 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan [6] - Recent trends indicate a net inflow of over 50 billion yuan into the A-share market, with strong interest from retail investors through various funds [6] - Analysts predict that A-shares are likely to continue a trend of oscillating upward, but short-term volatility risks should be monitored [6]

Group 1 - The total trading volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Index ETF reached 13.231 billion yuan today, representing a week-on-week increase of 45.61% [1] - Specifically, the Huaxia Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (588000) had a trading volume of 7.928 billion yuan, up by 2.261 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 39.90% [1] - The E Fund Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (588080) recorded a trading volume of 2.966 billion yuan, an increase of 1.016 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 52.09% [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Index (000688) fell by 6.08% at the close, while the average decline of related ETFs was 5.82% [2] - The top decliners among the ETFs included the Sci-Tech Innovation Board ETF (588090) and the Sci-Tech 50 Enhanced ETF (588460), which dropped by 6.35% and 6.28% respectively [2] - The trading volume changes for various ETFs on September 4 showed significant increases, with the Bank of China Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (588720) seeing a 137.22% increase in trading volume compared to the previous day [2]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a fixed - income research report released on September 3, 2025, written by analysts Liang Weichao and Li Shukai [1][2][6] Group 2: August Credit Bond Market Review - In August, the credit bond market was mainly in adjustment, with overall larger declines than interest rates, showing differentiation in duration and variety liquidity. The market can be divided into two stages: a sharp decline from late July to early August followed by a recovery, but continuous adjustment from the second week of August due to the stock - bond seesaw effect [2][11] - Ultra - long - term credit bonds performed the weakest in August, with most declines exceeding those of the same - term interest - rate bonds. Among them, ultra - long secondary and perpetual bonds with better liquidity had the lowest declines, while ultra - long urban investment bonds with the worst liquidity had larger declines [2][12] - From the perspective of curve shape, the steepness of the 1 - 2 - year and 2 - 3 - year periods for all ratings is high. After the major adjustment in August, the yield curve is steeper, with room to flatten the curve. For example, for AA+ medium - term notes, the slopes of the 1 - 2 - year, 2 - 3 - year, and 3 - 5 - year intervals are 0.1302, 0.099, and 0.0900 respectively; for AA urban investment bonds, they are 0.1497, 0.1313, and 0.1205 respectively [3][15] - The performance of different credit strategies in August varied. Only the short - duration weak - asset sinking strategy was relatively successful, while the ultra - long - term credit strategy performed the worst [14] - The secondary and perpetual bond market also weakened in August, but the decline was not significantly higher than that of general credit bonds, and the characteristic of being a volatility amplifier was not prominent. The 2 - 4 - year part of the curve is steeper, and the yields of 4 - year and above parts have exceeded the previous high in late July [3][20][21] Group 3: Institutional Behavior in August - In August, the overall buying of credit bonds by major buyers was weaker than last year. Bank wealth management and insurance had relatively larger allocation efforts. Bank wealth management and other products had a net secondary purchase of about 180 billion yuan of credit bonds, and insurance had a net purchase of 56.2 billion yuan. Public funds were net sellers [4][23] Group 4: Credit Bond ETF Performance in August - Since August, credit bond ETF products have not performed well, with weak scale growth and net - value performance. The second batch of science and technology innovation ETFs may bring marginal benefits to the market [4][25] Group 5: Outlook for September - In September, credit bonds have certain investment value after continuous market adjustments. The sinking strategy has opened up bond - selection space, with about 43% of public credit bonds having a valuation above 2.0%. Representative issuers include Xi'an High - tech, Tianjin Urban Construction, and Hebei Iron and Steel Group [4][26] - From the riding strategy perspective, 2 - 3 - year general credit bonds and 3 - 4 - year secondary and perpetual bonds have good opportunities. For the ultra - long - term strategy, caution is still recommended as the ultra - long - term bonds have had high declines since August and it is hard to say they have stabilized. Allocation investors with matched liability ends can consider entering the market, while it is not a good time for trading investors due to high liquidity risks [4][26]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the bond market, equity market, and convertible bonds, providing insights into current market conditions and strategies for investment. Key Points and Arguments Bond Market Strategies - Small investors are advised to attempt bottom-fishing for small wave operations, while long-term or large funds should reduce portfolio duration and wait for a clear downward turn in interest rates before re-entering [1][4] - The current bond market adjustment is characterized as atypical and not directly related to funding tightness, suggesting that it will not trigger widespread redemptions or credit declines [1][7] - A right-side trading strategy is recommended, focusing on the process of forming a top rather than a sharp peak, with attention to macroeconomic narratives cooling down [1][10] Funding Conditions - The funding outlook for Q3 and Q4 is optimistic, with expectations of continued looseness in the funding environment due to reduced government bond supply pressure and weak loan demand [1][5] - Current funding tightness is viewed as a result of the bond market's decline rather than a cause, indicating that the funding environment will likely remain loose even without significant monetary policy changes [1][5] Equity Market and Convertible Bonds - The upward trend in the equity market is expected to continue, with convertible bonds remaining attractive in a rising stock market context [1][6] - The probability of a significant decline in the equity market is low, as the current rise is driven by liquidity rather than fundamental factors [1][14] Market Reactions and Investor Behavior - Recent adjustments in the bond market are attributed to market sentiment rather than clear negative factors, with institutions adopting strategies of waiting for better entry points or engaging in wave trading [1][3][17] - Personal investors' experiences with fixed-income asset management products have remained stable, with a shift towards more stable products like insurance asset management or bank deposits rather than equities [1][9] Price Trends and Inflation - PPI is expected to rebound from -4 to around -2, but the momentum for sustained increases is limited, which may affect CPI and the bond market's response [2][11] - The current market's reaction differs from historical patterns, with strong expectations leading to more immediate responses rather than waiting for downstream price increases [1][12] Long-term Investment Considerations - Caution is advised regarding investments in ultra-long credit bonds in the current market environment, as these are more attractive in a bull market [1][19] - The second round of the Sci-Tech Innovation ETF issuance is not expected to trigger significant speculative buying, as the first round has already shown strong demand [1][21] Impact of New Stock Issuance - The impact of new stock issuance on the funding environment is noted, with significant amounts of capital being frozen during subscription periods, leading to short-term funding tightness [1][22] Bottom-Fishing Opportunities - The current market is seen as a potential bottom-fishing opportunity, but the experience may not be favorable due to widespread bullish sentiment without corresponding action [1][23] Other Important Insights - The negative feedback mechanism in the securities market is considered easily disrupted due to strategic adjustments and the current low leverage environment among traditional institutions [1][8] - The government's increased focus on healthy real estate development may lead to further monetary policy stimulation, impacting overall economic trends [1][18]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that the financing activities of the Sci-Tech Innovation ETF (588050) show a recent trend of net buying, indicating a positive market sentiment towards this ETF [1][2][3] - On August 27, 2025, the financing net purchase was 1.8356 million yuan, with a financing balance of 18.5 million yuan, marking a 1.0% increase from the previous day [2][3] - Over the past three trading days, the cumulative net buying has reached 8.8688 million yuan, reflecting a strengthening of bullish sentiment in the market [1][2] Group 2 - The financing balance has increased consistently over the last three days, with the most significant increase occurring on August 25, 2025, where it rose by 6.1402 million yuan [2][3] - The financing balance on August 22, 2025, saw a significant decrease of 28.8848 million yuan, indicating a temporary shift towards a more cautious market sentiment [2][3] - The overall financing and securities lending balance on August 27, 2025, stood at 18.5 million yuan, reflecting a positive change in market dynamics [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rapid growth of ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) assets in China, which surpassed 5 trillion yuan for the first time on August 25, 2023, reaching 5.07 trillion yuan [3][8] - The growth trajectory of ETFs has accelerated significantly, with the scale increasing from 4 trillion yuan to 5 trillion yuan in just four months, compared to previous milestones that took longer to achieve [8][10] - The dominance of leading fund management companies is evident, as the top four firms control half of the total ETF market, indicating a pronounced "Matthew Effect" where larger firms gain more advantages [5][7] Group 2 - As of July 2023, the total scale of public funds in China reached a new high of 35 trillion yuan, reflecting a thriving industry environment that supports the growth of ETFs [3] - Stock ETFs account for the largest share of the ETF market, with a scale of 3.46 trillion yuan, representing 68.15% of the total ETF assets [3] - Recent months have seen significant growth in specific ETFs, such as the Huabao CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF, which increased by 264.14 million shares in one month, and the Fuguo CSI Hong Kong Internet ETF, which grew by 138.48 million shares [3][4] Group 3 - The article notes that seven ETFs have seen over 100% growth year-to-date, all of which are cross-border ETFs, indicating strong performance in this segment [4] - The leading ETF management firms include Huaxia Fund, E Fund, and Huatai-PB Fund, with their respective ETF scales being 8587.87 billion yuan, 7957.01 billion yuan, and 5640.99 billion yuan [5] - The market is expected to continue expanding, driven by increased investor interest in index-based investments and the introduction of new ETF products, including those focused on innovative sectors [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The trading volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index ETFs reached 18.34 billion yuan today, marking a significant increase of 9.95 billion yuan or 118.52% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Trading Volume Summary - The Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF (588000) had a trading volume of 11.99 billion yuan, an increase of 6.49 billion yuan or 117.91% from the previous day [1]. - The E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF (588080) recorded a trading volume of 3.28 billion yuan, up by 2.00 billion yuan or 156.23% [1]. - The Science and Technology Innovation ETF (588050) saw a trading volume of 1.17 billion yuan, increasing by 574 million yuan or 96.83% [1]. - Other notable increases in trading volume included the Bank of China SSE STAR 50 ETF (588720) and the Guolian An Science and Technology Innovation ETF (588180), with increases of 885.78% and 211.74% respectively [1]. Market Performance Summary - The SSE STAR 50 Index (000688) rose by 8.59% by the end of the trading day, while the average increase for related ETFs was 9.77% [1]. - The top performers among the ETFs included the Fuguo SSE STAR 50 ETF (588940) and the Huitianfu SSE STAR 50 ETF (588870), which increased by 15.94% and 11.65% respectively [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that as of August 17, 2025, institutional investors hold a significant portion of Huazhi Jie (603400.SH) shares, with a total of 64 institutions owning 81.53% of the company's total shares [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 80.00% of the shares, indicating a substantial increase of 80.00 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] - In the public fund sector, 47 new public funds have been disclosed this period, including notable funds such as Ke Chuang 200 and China Europe CSI All Share Software Development Index Initiated A [1] Group 2 - Regarding foreign investment, there is one new foreign institution disclosed this period, namely SUPER ABILITY LIMITED [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The bond market showed a strong performance with a divergence in maturities, while credit bonds entered a bull market independent of interest rate bonds[2] - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 1.4 trillion yuan, indicating a supportive liquidity stance, leading to a significant decline in short-term yields[2] - The first batch of 10 Sci-Tech Innovation ETFs raised a total of 30 billion yuan on their launch day, reflecting strong market interest[19] Group 2: Credit Bond Performance - Credit bonds experienced an independent bull market, with all major varieties rising more than interest rate bonds[2] - The yield on 30-year government bonds increased by 1.44 basis points, while AAA and AA+ medium-term notes saw yield declines of 2.8 to 3.6 basis points across various maturities[15] - As of July 18, 68% of credit bonds had yields below 2%, indicating a low yield environment[4] Group 3: ETF Impact - The popularity of the Sci-Tech ETFs is comparable to that of market-making credit ETFs, becoming a major driver of the credit bond market[19] - The total scale of Sci-Tech ETFs reached 88.3 billion yuan, with a weekly increase of 59.3 billion yuan, and a turnover rate of 6.5% for component bonds[19] - The composition of the first batch of Sci-Tech ETFs is primarily high-rated bonds, with significant representation from transportation, public utilities, and construction sectors[22] Group 4: Investment Strategy and Risks - Current low credit yields and the "fragile" nature of rising credit prices suggest caution in pursuing further investments[4] - Fund managers are shifting from long-term to more liquid bonds, indicating a defensive strategy amid market volatility[4] - Risks include unexpected financing policy changes and potential credit events, which could impact market stability[60]