Guan Cha Zhe Wang
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A股三大指数集体低开,贵金属等板块领跌
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-30 01:52
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market opened lower on December 30, with all three major indices declining, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.52% - The ChiNext Index also dropped by 0.44% [1] Sector Performance - The precious metals, energy metals, and other metal sectors led the decline - Other sectors such as trade, solid-state batteries, retail, commercial aerospace, and photovoltaics also experienced losses - Conversely, sectors like beer, outbound tax refunds, facial recognition, digital marketing, and multimodal AI concepts showed strength [1]
白银急涨,马斯克拿中国出口管制说事:这不好,很多生产需要白银
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-30 01:51
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged significantly, making it the highest-gaining precious metal of the year, driven by tight physical supply and speculative fervor, while concerns have been raised regarding China's upcoming silver export licensing regulations [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Silver prices have increased nearly 150% this year, attributed to multiple factors including tight global supply, strong industrial demand, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6][14]. - The recent spike in silver prices was followed by a sharp decline, with silver futures dropping nearly 9% on October 29, influenced by profit-taking and increased margin requirements by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange [5][13]. - Analysts suggest that the recent price drop may be a temporary correction within an overall upward trend, although there are concerns about potential further declines if selling pressure continues [6][15]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - Demand for silver is at an all-time high across various sectors, including jewelry, medical devices, electric vehicles, and notably, solar panel production, which consumes nearly 30% of the global silver supply [7][14]. - The supply side is constrained, with little potential for large-scale new production, as most current silver output comes as a byproduct of mining other metals like copper and zinc [7][14]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - China has announced that starting January 1, 2024, silver exports will require government licenses, a measure that is a continuation of existing regulations aimed at protecting domestic resources and the environment [3][4]. - This regulatory change has drawn criticism from figures like Elon Musk, who expressed concerns about its impact on industrial processes reliant on silver [3][4].
心智观察所:围堵华为四年后,NEC注定要黯然离场
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-30 01:11
Core Viewpoint - NEC's withdrawal from the 4G and 5G public base station development market signifies the complete collapse of the Japanese telecommunications equipment industry, highlighting the challenges faced by Japanese companies in the face of fierce competition from Chinese firms like Huawei and ZTE [1][5]. Group 1: NEC's Strategic Withdrawal - NEC's president, Takashi Morita, announced that the company will no longer invest in the public base station development sector, marking a significant shift from their previous goal of capturing 20% of the global market by 2030 [1][3]. - The company's market share has dwindled, with NEC and Fujitsu together holding less than 2% of the global base station market, while Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia control nearly 80% [3][4]. - The competitive landscape for 5G has fundamentally changed, requiring higher technical standards and larger scale effects, which NEC, with a market share of less than 1%, cannot sustain [3][4]. Group 2: Structural Crisis in Japanese Telecommunications - NEC's exit reflects a broader crisis within the Japanese telecommunications equipment sector, with other companies like Fujitsu also divesting from similar businesses [5]. - The historical reliance on a closed domestic market has weakened Japanese firms' ability to compete globally, leading to their marginalization as they struggle to match the performance and cost-effectiveness of international competitors [5][6]. - NTT Docomo, Japan's largest mobile operator, has shifted its procurement strategy to favor foreign suppliers like Ericsson, further indicating the decline of domestic brands [6]. Group 3: NEC's Strategic Shift to Private Networks - Despite exiting the public base station market, NEC is pursuing a strategic pivot towards providing private 5G network solutions in collaboration with Cisco, targeting enterprise clients in Europe and the Middle East [7]. - This shift reflects NEC's recognition of the competitive landscape, where the enterprise private network market is less concentrated and allows for more customized services, an area where NEC has expertise [7]. Group 4: Challenges of Open RAN - NEC's previous involvement in Open RAN technology, which aimed to democratize the telecommunications equipment market, has not yielded the expected results, with deployment lagging behind initial projections [8][9]. - The challenges faced by Open RAN include technical maturity, total cost of ownership uncertainties, and system integration complexities, which hinder its widespread adoption [9][10]. Group 5: Rise of Chinese Competitors - In stark contrast to Japanese firms, Chinese companies like Huawei and ZTE have solidified their positions in the global 5G market, with Huawei holding 58% and ZTE 31% of the domestic market [11]. - Chinese firms are not only competitive on price but also lead in technological innovation, with Huawei's solutions significantly enhancing capacity and reducing energy consumption [11][12]. - The rapid advancement of technologies like 5G-A and RedCap by Chinese firms has established a generational gap in capabilities compared to their Japanese counterparts [12][14]. Group 6: Future Outlook and Implications - As Japan grapples with its telecommunications industry's decline, China is positioning itself for future advancements in 6G technology, leveraging its existing infrastructure and technological capabilities [14][15]. - The competitive landscape in telecommunications is evolving, with the importance of scale and continuous innovation becoming critical for survival in a technology-driven market [18].
财务“救命稻草”?英伟达购入英特尔50亿美元股份
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 14:47
【文/观察者网 陈思佳】据路透社12月29日报道,美国半导体巨头英伟达当天提交的一份文件披露,该 公司已经按照9月达成的协议,购入英特尔公司价值50亿美元的股份。由于近些年的战略失误和耗资巨 大的产能扩张导致英特尔财务状况紧张,这笔交易被视为该公司的"救命稻草"。 此前,特朗普政府8月宣布与英特尔达成一项收购协议,通过向英特尔普通股投资89亿美元,收购了该 公司约10%的股份,使美国政府成为其大股东。其中57亿美元来自美国政府《芯片与科学法》已批准但 尚未拨付的补助资金,另外32亿美元来自政府资助项目。 美国加州圣克拉拉市,英特尔公司总部 IC photo 对于美国政府这笔交易,英特尔表示,美国政府不会寻求在英特尔董事会直接派驻代表,不拥有董事会 席位或其他"治理或信息权"。美国政府还同意,除少数例外情况外,将在需要股东投票批准的事项上与 公司董事会的立场保持一致。 根据今年9月公布的协议,英伟达同意以每股23.28美元的价格,购入英特尔普通股。交易完成后,预计 英伟达将持有英特尔约4%的股票,成为该公司的重要股东之一。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋当时表示, 美国政府没有参与交易,但美国总统特朗普给予了支持。 英特 ...
赵鹏从民生银行、大家保险“消失”,此前为安邦接管组成员


Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 14:31
【文/羽扇观金工作室】 安邦保险多年前已轰然坍塌,但是余波到现在似乎都没止息。 近日,又一位原安邦接管组成员、工作组综合组组长赵鹏被民生银行及安邦保险重整后的受让企业大家保险除名。 12月26日,中国民生银行股份有限公司(下文简称为"民生银行")发布公告称,董事赵鹏因个人原因申请辞去该行董事及董事会风险管理委员会委员、董事 会提名委员会委员等职务,辞职自2025年12月26日起生效。辞职后,赵鹏不在公司及控股子公司工作。 2019年,安邦重组为大家保险后,他未回归监管体系,而是选择留在大家保险,担任总经理助理兼董事会秘书,分管公司投资业务。此外,赵鹏还曾任北京 同仁堂股份有限公司董事、金融街控股股份有限公司副董事长、远洋集团控股有限公司董事。 几乎同一时间,大家保险集团官网信息更新,其中原本担任总经理助理兼董事会秘书的赵鹏,其相关信息已不可见。 赵鹏曾任职银保监,作为安邦接管组成员转任大家保险高管,双重薪酬引关注 大家保险目前是民生银行的境内法人第一大股东,持有该行73亿股,在流通股中占比16.79%,而赵鹏是大家保险集团派驻民生银行的董事。 | 四八五日 中国民生银行股份有限公司 | | | --- | - ...
杭州官方回复《燕云十六声》时装事件:没有违法内容
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 12:10
Core Viewpoint - The game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" has faced controversy following the launch of new costumes, but government responses indicate no violations of relevant laws and regulations have been found [1] Group 1: Game Updates and Issues - The game previously acknowledged issues with the "Fei Bai Cheng Shi" costume series, which experienced technical problems during live demonstrations, prompting an emergency fix on the same day [2] - An official announcement revealed that the dyeing issue for the female version of the "Fei Bai Cheng Shi" costume was first addressed on December 25, restoring dyeing functionality, while the male version is still undergoing urgent repairs [2][4] - Customer service responses confirmed that the dyeing effect issues for the female version's upper body and skirt areas were fixed, along with errors in the model details on the back [3]
台积电:2纳米制程量产
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 10:49
Group 1 - TSMC's 2nm process is set to begin mass production in Q4 2025, utilizing the first-generation nanosheet GAA transistor technology, which promises significant advancements in performance and power efficiency [1] - TSMC's 2nm process has already seen high demand, with major clients like Apple, Nvidia, and Qualcomm pre-ordering most of the initial capacity, which is booked until the end of 2026 [3] - TSMC plans to construct three new 2nm fabs in Hsinchu, Taichung, and Kaohsiung, with trial production expected in 2025 and gradual ramp-up in 2026 [3] Group 2 - TSMC is expected to adjust pricing for its 2nm and 3nm processes starting January 1, 2026, with anticipated increases ranging from 3% to 10%, depending on client contracts and wafer volumes [3] - Samsung has launched its first 2nm process SoC, the Exynos 2600, which is currently in mass production, indicating improved yield rates necessary for large-scale production [4] - TSMC holds a 72% market share in the foundry sector as of Q3 2025, while Samsung's share is only 7%, slightly above SMIC's 5% [4]
茅台官宣!明年起取消分销,暴利时代要终结了?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 10:43
(作者|周琦 编辑|张广凯) 12月28日,2026年贵州茅台酒全国经销商联谊会在贵阳举行。 与往年不同的是,这场以"以消费者为中心,全面推进茅台酒营销市场化转型"为主题的年度会议,因2025年飞天茅台终端价格的大幅波动而备受市场关注。 会上,茅台管理层提出的多项策略调整,被业界视为应对当前市场挑战的主动变革。 2025年,对于茅台及其庞大的经销商网络而言,是充满挑战的一年。 据多家媒体报道,飞天茅台的市场批发价经历了显著波动,从年初约2300元/瓶的高位一路下行,年中一度跌破1499元的官方建议零售价,近期虽有回升, 但仍徘徊在1600元/瓶左右。 12月29日,观察者网在酒小二、1919、歪马送酒平台查询"茅台 飞天酱香型白酒53度500ml"价格,以上平台价格折后分别为1649元、1499元、1700元。 MOUTAL / ¥1649 ¥4699 ¥ 买赠 券 无门槛减50 领取 价 领59元券包 领取 开通超级VIP领10元券 下单用券可省10元 贵州茅台飞天53°酱香型白酒 500ml 1瓶 (从左至右:酒小二、1919、歪马送酒) APP截屏 价格波动背后是多重因素的综合作用。 渠道库存压力、商务 ...
反诈意识还不够!东方雨虹美国公司遭遇电诈,被骗1200多万元
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 10:38
Core Viewpoint - The company Oriental Yuhong has fallen victim to a telecom fraud incident involving approximately $1.7183 million (about 12.118 million RMB) through its U.S. subsidiary OYH Construction Materials LLC, raising concerns about its internal control systems and impacting its financial performance [1][2]. Financial Impact - In the first half of the year, Oriental Yuhong reported revenue of 13.569 billion RMB and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 564 million RMB, with the fraud amount representing about 2.15% of the total net profit [2]. - The fraud incident exacerbated an already significant decline in net profit, which had decreased by 40.16% during the same period [2]. Company Response - Following the fraud detection, OYH Construction Materials LLC reported the incident to local law enforcement and the FBI, and the company has established a special task force to investigate and manage the situation [1]. - The company stated that this incident is an isolated occurrence and will not have a significant adverse effect on its normal operations [1]. Brand and Market Development - The OYH brand, which is part of Oriental Yuhong's global strategy, was launched shortly after the fraud incident, indicating the company's commitment to its international expansion despite the setback [2][3]. - Oriental Yuhong has been expanding its overseas presence since 2008, with investments in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and North America, and has seen growth in revenue from international markets [3]. Industry Context - The incident highlights the increasing risks faced by Chinese companies operating abroad, as evidenced by similar criminal activities targeting other firms, such as JD.com's warehouse theft in Paris [4]. - The rise in such incidents underscores the need for enhanced internal control and security measures for Chinese enterprises expanding into international markets [4].
手机电池卷上10000毫安时,还需要充电宝吗?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-29 10:36
Core Insights - Honor has launched the Honor WIN series of gaming flagship smartphones, featuring a 10,000mAh battery, marking the entry of battery capacity into the "ten-thousand" era, with a starting price of 2,699 yuan [1] - The upcoming Honor Power2 will feature a 10,080mAh battery, becoming the first smartphone to exceed the ten-thousand battery capacity [1] - The trend of increasing battery capacity in domestic smartphones reflects changing user demands and intense market competition [2] Battery Capacity Trends - In the first half of this year, among 62 mainstream models launched, 4 models had batteries of 8,000mAh or more, 17 models had between 7,000mAh and 7,999mAh, and 21 models had between 6,000mAh and 6,999mAh [1] - The average battery capacity of smartphones in the Chinese market reached 5,418mAh in May 2025, showing an 11% year-on-year increase [4] Market Competition - As features like AI, imaging, and performance become more homogeneous, large battery capacity has emerged as a key differentiator for manufacturers [2] - The competition is highlighted by the close market shares of brands, with Vivo leading at 17.2%, followed by Apple and Huawei, each with around 10% market share [8] Technological Advancements - The increase in battery capacity is attributed to breakthroughs in battery technology, particularly the application of silicon-carbon anode batteries, which allow for higher energy density [5] - Innovations in packaging and structural design, such as the sandwich structure used in Honor's X70, have enabled larger capacities without increasing size [6] Charging Technology - The competition in battery life has entered a new phase of "technology integration," with advancements in fast charging, software optimization, and AI scheduling [7] - High-power chargers are becoming more common, with models like the Honor WIN series supporting 100W fast charging [7]