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1月21日早餐 | 一揽子扩内需政策出炉;外围走弱
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 23:59
先看海外要闻: 美股大跌,道指收跌1.76%、纳指收跌2.39%、标普500收跌2.06%;英伟达收跌4.38%,特斯拉跌4.17%,苹果跌3.46%,亚马逊跌3.40%,Meta跌 2.60%,谷歌A跌2.42%,微软跌1.16%。 马斯克兑现承诺,开源X推荐算法。 大家早上壕! OpenAI与ServiceNow在商业软件领域达成AI Agent合作协议。 分析师:2030年前 OpenAI广告年收入有望达250亿美元。 报道:三星美国厂3月启动EUV试产,计划下半年量产特斯拉AI芯片。 花旗集团将闪迪目标股价从280美元上调至490美元。 Neuralink首例受试者:脑机接口已能实现OTA升级。 据央视,加拿大百年来首次模拟美国军事入侵;丹麦官员称欧盟已准备好对美国商品加征反制关税。 财政部长贝森特:美国计划对关键矿产设定价格下限和上限。 美国天然气期货日内涨超25%。 COMEX黄金期货涨3.70%,报4765.50美元/盎司,盘中一度刷新历史高位至4771.50美元。 国内重大事件汇总: 1、习近平:努力提高国民经济循环质量和效率,让内需成为经济发展的主动力。(新华社) 到2026年底,台积电WM ...
寒潮袭击美国,天然气期货创下四年来最佳单日表现
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 23:33
周二清晨,美国大部分地区已被严寒笼罩。EBW 分析集团称,低温天气或将导致天然气生产设施出现 冻堵停摆情况。 国内方面,信达证券表示全国多省份"十五五"规划凸显天然气作为关键战略能源的定位:全一致认可天 然气在衔接传统能源与新型能源体系中的"纽带"作用,并未设置消费天花板,突出其在调峰能力、经济 性与供应安全方面的综合优势。 政策层面,国家正推动构建"全国一张网"基础设施体系,强化跨省管道统筹与储气调峰能力,地方则加 速推进管网"县县通"与LNG接收站建设。市场应用方面,天然气将在电力调峰、交通清洁替代及与氢能 产业协同三大领域释放潜力。 公司方面,其表示随着上游气价的回落和国内天然气消费量的恢复增长,城燃业务有望实现毛差稳定和 售气量高增;同时,拥有低成本长协气源和接收站资产的贸易商或可根据市场情况自主选择扩大进口或 把握国际市场转售机遇以增厚利润空间,包括新奥股份、广汇能源等。 *免责声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议 隔夜美国天然气期货日内暴涨27%,创下四年来单日最佳表现。 天然气主要用于供暖与发电。EBW 分析集团在周二发给客户的报告中指出:"北极气团快速席卷美国东 部,加之马丁・路德・金纪念日 ...
苹果等巨头需求旺盛,台积电这一先进封装产能预计将翻倍
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 23:20
Group 1 - TSMC is increasing its WMCM (Wafer-Level Multi-Chip Module) packaging capacity to meet the demand for Apple's A20 series chips, with a projected monthly capacity of 60,000 wafers by the end of 2026 and a potential doubling to over 120,000 wafers by 2027 [1] - The shift towards WMCM packaging will directly impact the semiconductor supply chain, with TSMC and strategic partners handling the backend wafer-level testing (CP) and final testing (FT) [1] - Apple will be adopting WMCM packaging for the first time in its iPhone processors, allowing for direct integration of different components like SoC and DRAM at the wafer level, enhancing thermal and signal integrity [1] Group 2 - The advanced packaging sector is experiencing full capacity, with expectations of price increases due to strong overseas demand and domestic market growth, particularly in 2026 when domestic advanced processes are expected to release significant capacity [2] - Companies like Chipbond Technology are gaining recognition for their advanced packaging equipment, which is being utilized by leading domestic packaging firms, with equipment prices in the million-level range [2] - Huatian Technology has mastered various advanced packaging technologies and is actively expanding its advanced packaging business scale through ongoing R&D and production efforts [2]
华为进军世界模型,重新定义人类与机器的交互边界
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 14:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent business change of Beijing Liuxing Space Technology Co., Ltd., which has added Huawei's Shenzhen Hubble Technology Investment Partnership as a shareholder, indicating a strategic investment in the field of world models and embodied intelligence [1] - Liuxing Space focuses on developing world models, which enable AI to understand and interact with the physical world, moving towards a vision-language-action model that integrates visual and action control [1] - The emergence of world models signifies a shift in AI capabilities, potentially redefining the interaction boundaries between humans and machines by constructing AI systems that may surpass human values [1] Group 2 - The article mentions other companies in the sector, including Shen Si Electronics and Sytak, indicating a competitive landscape in the AI and technology investment space [2]
国际金银价格再创新高,地缘政治+各国央行持续购金,有望支撑长期金价中枢
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 14:50
Group 1: Industry Insights - International gold prices reached a historic high on the 20th, with New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures and London spot gold prices both surpassing $4,700 per ounce [1] - International silver prices also hit a historic high on the same day, with London spot silver and New York silver futures prices exceeding $95 per ounce [1] - Global geopolitical uncertainties and continuous gold purchases by central banks are expected to support the long-term price stability of gold [1] - The correlation between gold and silver prices remains high, while industrial demand for silver in sectors like photovoltaics and new energy provides solid long-term support for silver prices [1] Group 2: Company Profiles - Zhongjin Gold's core products include gold, with a product range that encompasses gold concentrate, alloy gold, and standard gold [2] - Shengtun Mining focuses on the development and utilization of energy metal resources, concentrating on copper, nickel, and cobalt, while also having gold mining projects [2]
加快AI赋能,蚂蚁阿福PC端上线DeepSearch功能
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 14:49
Group 1 - Ant Group's Aifoo has upgraded its PC platform and launched the DeepSearch feature, providing free professional services to medical professionals, significantly reducing their daily workload [1] - Aifoo has become a phenomenon in the domestic C-end AI health management application market, with over 30 million monthly active users and an average of over 10 million health inquiries per day, achieving deep penetration in third-tier cities and below [1] - Aifoo integrates three core functions: health Q&A, health companionship, and health services, collaborating with 300,000 doctors and over 5,000 medical institutions to offer one-stop services such as appointment booking, medication purchasing, report interpretation, and health data analysis [1] Group 2 - Meinian Health is collaborating with Ant Group and Damo Academy on "one scan, multiple checks," multi-disease intelligent screening, and AI health report interpretation, aiming to transform low-frequency health check-ups into high-frequency health management [2] - Dian Diagnostics has integrated the "Ant Medical Large Model All-in-One Machine" into its health management institutions, generating main inspection reports and tiered warnings to reduce costs and increase efficiency, enhancing order and service value as the Aifoo ecosystem expands [2]
晚报 | 1月21日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 14:43
Urban Renewal - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice to support urban renewal actions, allowing the use of existing land and property resources for national-supported industries with a transitional policy period of up to 5 years [1] - Galaxy Securities believes that with the implementation of policies and gradual reduction of housing inventory, the real estate market supply and demand will achieve balance, leading to a narrowing of the decline in new construction and completion [1] - Urban renewal is expected to become the main theme of future urban construction, with current expansion to 35 cities and potential for further pilot expansion [1] Gold Market - International gold prices reached a historic high, with futures and spot prices exceeding $4,700 per ounce due to tensions in US-EU trade relations [2] - Global geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank purchases of gold are expected to support long-term gold price stability [2] - Silver prices also hit record highs, driven by demand from photovoltaic and new energy sectors, indicating a solid long-term support for silver prices [2] Agricultural Modernization - The agricultural sector in China still has room for improvement, with low crop output efficiency and declining agricultural production benefits for farmers [3] - The core direction of the 15th Five-Year Plan is to accelerate agricultural modernization and enhance overall production capacity and quality [3] - Biotechnology is identified as a key technology to empower agricultural modernization and achieve the goal of becoming an agricultural powerhouse [3] Inspection and Testing Instruments - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced plans to promote the domestic verification and evaluation of inspection and testing instruments by 2026, focusing on breaking foreign market monopolies [4] - The market for inspection and testing instruments in China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.3%, potentially exceeding 480 billion yuan by 2030 [4] - The industry is expected to undergo a paradigm shift towards an ecological platform, driven by the integration of AI, IoT, and other advanced technologies [4] AI in Healthcare - Ant Group's AI health management application, Antifufu, has upgraded its PC version and launched the DeepSearch feature, providing professional services to medical professionals [7] - The application has over 30 million monthly active users and has established deep cooperation with 300,000 doctors and over 5,000 medical institutions [7] - The integration of AI capabilities is expected to significantly reduce the daily workload of healthcare professionals [7] Surgical Robots - The National Healthcare Security Administration issued guidelines for pricing surgical and treatment assistance services, covering various innovative medical technologies [8] - The surgical robot industry is experiencing rapid growth due to strong policy support and technological advancements, with the market expected to reach 9.59 billion yuan in 2024, a 33.8% increase [8] - The industry is projected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of over 16% from 2025 to 2030, with domestic penetration rates expected to rise from below 20% to over 40% [8]
1月20日晚间公告 | 利欧股份核查完成复牌;璞泰来等多家公司年报业绩大增
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 12:10
Suspension and Resumption - Liao Co., Ltd. has completed the verification and resumed trading [1] - Kailong High-Tech is planning to acquire control of Jinwangda, resulting in stock suspension [2] External Investment and Daily Operations - Baili Tianheng's application for the marketing of iza-bren for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has been accepted and included in the priority review list, marking the first global application for an EGFR×HER3 dual antibody ADC [3] - Huadian Technology has signed a contract worth 374 million yuan for the first phase of a 1 million kilowatt wind-solar hydrogen production project in Inner Mongolia [4] - Jinma Amusement plans to raise no more than 1.05 billion yuan through a private placement for projects related to cultural tourism robots, IP empowerment, and park construction and operation [4] - Zhenyu Technology anticipates a significant increase in orders from the robotics sector by Q4 2025, particularly for dexterous hand components and assemblies [4] Performance Changes - Putailai expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 93.18% to 101.58%, driven by significant increases in wet diaphragm and coating processing business volumes [5] - Hikvision anticipates a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan in 2025, an 18% increase year-on-year [6] - Chipbond expects a net profit of 275 million to 295 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 71.13% to 83.58% due to breakthroughs in high-end PCB and semiconductor fields [6] - Allwinner Technology forecasts a net profit of 251 million to 295 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 50.53% to 76.92% driven by increased market demand and new product launches [6] - Yanjing Beer projects a net profit of 1.58352 billion to 1.74187 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 50% to 65% year-on-year [7] - Zhongshi Technology expects a net profit of 330 million to 370 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 63.86% to 83.73% due to increased shipments of thermal materials and components [7] - Yutong Optical anticipates a net profit of 240 million to 280 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 30.75% to 52.54% driven by increased business volume in various optical components [7] - Tonghuashun expects a net profit of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 50% to 80% due to increased activity in the domestic capital market [7] - Tongfu Microelectronics projects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 62.34% to 99.24% driven by structural growth in the global semiconductor industry [8] - Northeast Securities anticipates a net profit of 1.477 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 69.06% due to increased investment and wealth management income [8]
龙虎榜复盘丨高标股持续“A字杀”,化工、地产等迎来局部回暖
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 10:36
Group 1 - Institutional trading today featured 44 stocks, with 24 seeing net purchases and 20 experiencing net sales [1] - The top three stocks with the highest institutional purchases were Vision China (CNY 112 million), Cangzhou Dahua (CNY 104 million), and Hunan Silver (CNY 80.82 million) [1] - Vision China saw a price decline of 5.77%, while Cangzhou Dahua experienced a price increase of 10% [2] Group 2 - Hunan Silver had a net purchase of CNY 80.82 million from four institutions [3] - On January 20, silver prices reached a new historical high of USD 94.726 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 31% [3] - In the chemical sector, prices for certain products, such as epoxy propylene, increased by 7.9% week-over-week [3]
【大涨解读】存储:海外存储大厂缩减产能维持利润,大模型还将迎来“记忆”时刻,行业紧张态势延续全年
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 03:30
Market Overview - The storage sector saw a significant increase in early trading, with Baiwei Storage rising over 8%, and other companies like Tongfu Microelectronics, Purun Co., and Langke Technology also experiencing substantial gains [1][2]. Company Performance - Baiwei Storage (688525.SS) reported a price of 190.50, with an increase of 8.68% and a turnover rate of 7.26% [2]. - Tongfu Microelectronics (002156.SZ) had a price of 51.57, up by 7.01%, with a turnover rate of 9.80% [2]. - Langke Technology (300042.SZ) saw its stock rise by 5.30%, reaching a price of 31.21 [2]. - SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, which together account for over 60% of NAND capacity, are reducing their flash memory production to maximize profits, potentially exacerbating supply shortages [3]. Industry Trends - Micron Technology indicated that the shortage of storage chips is expected to persist due to increased demand from AI infrastructure, with supply constraints likely to continue until 2026 [3][4]. - The global storage industry is shifting towards a "high profit, stable price, weak cycle" operational model, with DDR4 and DDR5 spot prices rising approximately 10% in the first half of January [3][4]. - The price of 16GB memory modules has surged from over 300 yuan a year ago to over 1100 yuan, reflecting a 2-3 times increase in other specifications [3]. Future Outlook - The storage industry's high demand is anticipated to drive growth in semiconductor equipment and materials companies, with domestic companies like Changxin Technology progressing in their IPOs, which may further expand capital expenditures [4]. - The introduction of new technologies, such as NVIDIA's memory storage platform, is expected to maintain the tight supply conditions in the storage sector, indicating a strong sustainability of the industry's super cycle [4][5].