SHMET 网讯：特朗普为争夺美联储控制权发起的史无前例行动，于周三迎来充满悬念的阶段性结 局。两场平行推进的博弈将共同决定谁有权参与下周至关重要的美联储利率会议。 周二深夜，联邦法官批准了美联储理事莉萨·库克（Lisa Cook）的禁制令申请，暂时阻止了特朗普 罢免其职务的企图。这项裁决不仅是库克个人的重要法律胜利，更广泛意义上也是央行独立性的胜利 ——它确保库克至少目前得以留任，并为她参加下周美联储会议扫清道路。届时官员们很可能做出今年 首次降息决定。 周三上午，焦点转向参议院银行委员会。共和党人正全力推动特朗普顾问斯蒂芬·米兰（Stephen Miran）填补美联储理事会另一个空缺席位，这意味着参议院最快本周进行全院表决，使其有望参与同 一场会议。 在今夏一连串疲软就业数据公布后，市场普遍预期下周会议将降息25个基点。库克在政策决策上与 美联储主席鲍威尔始终保持一致。由于米兰未透露具体政策倾向，其是否会支持更大幅度降息尚不可 知。 除即时投票权外，参会资格之所以关键，在于官员们将提交新季度经济预测，这些展望将塑造市场 对美联储后续行动的预期。 为绕开美联储理事长期享有的职务保障，特朗普上月以所谓"房贷欺 ...

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 今日优选 美国8月PPI年率录得2.6%，为6月以来新低 法官阻止罢免美联储理事库克，特朗普政府火速上诉 美国劳工部总监察长办公室启动对劳工统计局的审查 美联储理事提名人米兰如期通过参议院委员会考验 印度抵制全面加密货币框架，担心系统性风险 知情人士：OpenAI与甲骨文签署3000亿美元算力大单 自然资源部：我国油气与铀矿实现重大找矿突破 市场盘点 周三，美国8月PPI意外大幅降温，美元指数应声下挫，但随后收复失地，最终收涨0.07%，报97.81。基准的10年期美债收益率收报4.0930%，对美联储政策 利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.5520%。 美国8月PPI出乎意料地下降，让市场目前几乎完全消化了今年余下时间三次降息的预期，现货黄金一度逼近3560美元/盎司，最终收涨0.45%，收报3639.81 美元/盎司；现货白银最终收涨0.57%，报41.14美元/盎司。 因投资者权衡特朗普对俄罗斯采取进一步惩罚措施的可能，油价连续第三个交易日上涨。WTI原油大涨1.5 ...

民主党人称这种安排很荒谬。他们表示，考虑到特朗普将控制他是留在美联储理事会还是继续领取白宫 的薪水，他将独立于特朗普的说法是不可信的。 参议院银行委员会周三按党派路线投票，支持了美国总统特朗普的顾问米兰担任美联储理事的短期职 位，共和党人正迅速采取行动，以便在他下周参加利率制定会议前就位。 据一位熟悉计划的人士称，周三13票对11票的投票结果，使米兰有望在下周一于参议院全体会议上进行 可能的确认投票。目前尚不清楚是否能及时完成其余的确认程序，让米兰参加美联储9月议息会议。 一旦获得参议院确认，特朗普需要签署任命书，美联储也需要为米兰举行宣誓就职仪式。在最近的历史 中，从参议院确认到美联储宣誓就职的最快时间是四个工作日。 联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将于该周晚些时候，即9月16日和17日举行会议，外界已普遍预计，由 于就业增长疲软，该委员会将进行自去年12月以来的首次降息。 目前担任白宫经济顾问委员会主席的米兰告诉参议员们，他将以无薪休假的方式加入美联储，但目前尚 不清楚一旦临时职位结束，特朗普是会提名他担任一个完整的14年美联储任期，还是会要求他返回其白 宫职位。 一位熟悉确认程序的参议院共和党助手透露，米 ...

波兰总理图斯克表示，在该国领空据称遭到多架俄罗斯无人机侵犯后，他的国家将正式请求启动北约第 四条款。他称之为"侵略行径"。 图斯克列举说，在整个事件中，有19架无人机侵犯了该国领空，导致其中一些被击落。北约第四条款规 定："当任何缔约国认为，任何缔约国的领土完整、政治独立或安全受到威胁时，各缔约国将共同协 商。" 第四条款的协商可以在达成共识的情况下，导致联盟采取行动。《波兰笔记》（Notes from Poland） 称，"此前该条款已被启动过七次，包括2022年俄乌冲突爆发时，由波兰和其他七个国家启动。" 分析继续写道："触发第四条款会启动北约内部的协商程序，然后可能导致联盟采取行动。在2022年， 它导致了北约向乌克兰提供支持并启动了自己的反应部队。" 欧洲盟军最高司令部的一位发言人将这次对北约"东翼"成员波兰的夜间边境侵犯事件，描述为"北约飞 机首次在盟国领空与潜在威胁交战。" 据外媒援引，他进一步证实，在波兰的德国"爱国者"导弹系统"已进入戒备状态，一架意大利的空中预 警机和一架来自北约多国多用途加油运输机队（MRTT）的空中加油机也已升空"。 图斯克在讲话中说，"我们正在处理一起大规模的挑衅"，并 ...

美国劳工统计局（BLS）周三公布的8月份生产者价格指数（PPI）报告显示批发通胀压力正在缓解，这降低了未来几个月消费者价格大幅上涨的可能性。 美国8月PPI年率录得2.6%，为6月以来新低，远低于预期的3.3%，前值从3.3%下修为3.1%；月率录得-0.1%，为四个月来的首次下滑，低于预期的0.3%，前 值从0.9%下修为0.7%。 美元指数短线下挫26点，最低至97.6。现货黄金短线上扬8美元，随后有所回落。非美货币对普涨，欧元兑美元短线上扬逾30点，最高至1.1729。美元兑日元 短线下挫40点，最低至147.11。美国股指期货短线上扬，标普500指数期货涨0.44%。 短期美国利率期货在PPI数据公布后上涨，交易员加大了对美联储降息的押注。美债集体反弹，美国10年期国债收益率跌0.6个基点，至4.068%。美国2年期 国债收益率下跌1.1个基点，至3.531%。美国30年期国债收益率上涨0.5个基点，至4.722%。 尽管特朗普的关税政策推高了企业成本，但上个月企业仍避免了大幅提价。此次PPI回落是在7月大幅上涨之后出现的，许多企业担心，在经济不确定性持续 影响消费决策的背景下，大幅加价可能会吓跑客户 ...

Group 1 - Wall Street expects the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report to show rising inflation, but the employment market will dominate market narratives, leading to moderate stock market volatility predictions [1][2] - Citigroup's U.S. equity trading strategist Stuart Kaiser indicates that options traders anticipate a mild fluctuation of about 0.7% in the S&P 500 index (SPX) post-CPI report, lower than the average actual volatility of 0.9% on CPI release days over the past year [1][2] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at the September meeting, with potential further cuts in October and December, influenced by signs of economic growth threats from weak employment data [1][2] Group 2 - Economists predict that the core CPI, excluding food and energy, will rise by 0.3% month-over-month in August, maintaining a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, significantly above the Fed's 2% target [2][3] - JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler outlines various scenarios for the S&P 500's reaction based on core CPI readings, with probabilities assigned to different ranges of CPI increases [3] - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model indicates a robust annualized GDP growth rate of 3% for Q3, despite a slight decline from Q2's 3.3%, contributing to a lower risk perception among traders in the coming weeks [3][4] Group 3 - The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) remains below the critical level of 20, indicating that traders are not overly concerned about market volatility [4] - Citigroup's U.S. Economic Surprise Index is near its highest level since January, suggesting that positive economic surprises could complicate the Fed's inflation control efforts, potentially leading to prolonged high interest rates [5][6] - The employment market will be crucial in determining the Fed's actions; a rate cut in October may signal continued pressure on employment data and no unexpected inflation increases [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential candidacy of Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller for the position of Fed Chair, highlighting his recent warnings about the labor market and his evolving relationship with the Trump administration [2][3][4]. Group 1: Waller's Economic Insights - Waller warned in July that private sector hiring was "approaching stall speed," indicating a potential downturn in the labor market, despite a stable unemployment rate of 4.1% at that time [2]. - His predictions were validated by subsequent weak employment reports in July and August, reinforcing his credibility as an economist [2]. - Waller's ability to articulate a coherent framework for interest rate cuts has enhanced his reputation on Wall Street, distinguishing him from other candidates who may lack such qualities [4]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - Waller's chances for the Fed Chair position appear limited due to his lack of visibility within Trump's inner circle and the political advisors associated with the "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) movement [3]. - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has begun interviewing candidates for the Fed Chair position, with Waller being one of the three strong contenders mentioned by Trump, alongside Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh [2][3]. - The political climate surrounding the Federal Reserve has become contentious, with Trump expressing dissatisfaction with the institution's traditional independence and targeting Fed officials he disagrees with [3]. Group 3: Waller's Background and Qualifications - Waller's unique background, having spent much of his career in academia before joining the St. Louis Fed, allows him to communicate effectively with diverse audiences [5]. - His experience includes navigating complex economic discussions, which he believes is essential for formulating monetary policy [5][6]. - Waller's previous challenges to economic orthodoxy, particularly regarding interest rate hikes, have drawn both criticism and validation from the economic community [6]. Group 4: Current Economic Context - As of July, most Fed officials were cautious due to inflation remaining above the 2% target for four consecutive years, influenced by tariffs imposed by Trump [6]. - Waller argues that the Fed should focus on preventing labor market deterioration and consider interest rate cuts despite temporary price effects from tariffs [6][7]. - His recent vocal opposition to prevailing economic policies may be seen as a strategic move to position himself favorably for the Fed Chair role [7].

Group 1: Global Market Insights - Goldman Sachs reported that global hedge funds' net purchases of Chinese stocks reached a new high since September 2024, with a 76 basis points increase in positions, marking a two-year peak [1] - ANZ raised its gold price target for the end of 2025 from $3600 to $3800 per ounce, expecting gold to reach nearly $4000 per ounce by June 2026 [2] - Barclays increased its S&P 500 index target for the end of 2025 from 6050 to 6450 points, and for the end of 2026 from 6700 to 7000 points [2] - Deutsche Bank also raised its S&P 500 index target for the end of 2025 from 6550 to 7000 points, citing positive corporate earnings growth and manageable tariff impacts [3] Group 2: Domestic Market Developments - CICC noted that the photovoltaic industry is at a critical observation point for "anti-involution," with operational pressures easing but debt levels remaining high [5] - Tianfeng Securities highlighted that the development of AI servers is driving demand for high-end copper foil, with domestic manufacturers expected to benefit from this growth [6] - CITIC Securities projected that the scale of listed companies' deposits transitioning to wealth management could reach several hundred billion yuan in the next year [7] - CITIC Securities also recommended focusing on companies in the silicon-based materials industry that are extending into high-growth downstream sectors [8] - CITIC JianTou reported that the property management industry is shifting towards high-quality development, with leading companies maintaining strong positions [9] - Huatai Securities indicated that core real estate companies are showing resilience despite the overall market being in a bottoming phase [11] - Zhongtai International expressed a cautious optimism for the capital market in the second half of the year, while maintaining a positive outlook on gold [12]

Group 1 - The European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed new sanctions against Israel in response to the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, emphasizing the need to stop the man-made famine caused by the conflict [2][3] - The EU has already suggested suspending future research funding to Israel's private sector due to its military actions in Gaza and the restrictions on aid transport [2][5] - There is significant disagreement among EU member states regarding the sanctions, with countries like Hungary and Germany opposing them, arguing that such measures would hinder communication channels [2][4] Group 2 - The proposed sanctions include targeting Israeli extremist ministers and violent settlers, as well as partially suspending the EU-Israel Association Agreement, which covers trade [3][4] - Von der Leyen acknowledged the difficulty in gaining majority support for the sanctions but urged member states to take responsibility [4] - The EU Commission plans to establish a "Palestinian Donor Group" to provide funding for the reconstruction of Gaza, responding to pressure from various stakeholders, including protests in multiple European cities [5]

Core Insights - The first meme coin ETF in the U.S., the Rex-Osprey Dogecoin ETF (DOJE), is set to launch, marking a significant expansion of regulated crypto products following the success of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs [2][3] - The approval of the Dogecoin ETF indicates a growing institutional interest in meme coins, highlighting their perceived value beyond mere speculation [3][4] Group 1: ETF Launch and Market Impact - The Rex-Osprey Dogecoin ETF will debut on Thursday, with Dogecoin entering the ETF era, following a 17% increase in its value over the past week due to market anticipation [2] - The ETF is distributed by Foreside Fund Services and supported by REX Shares and Osprey Funds, which previously launched a Solana staking ETF [2] Group 2: Institutional Interest and Market Trends - The launch of the Dogecoin ETF is seen as a watershed moment, with industry leaders noting that institutional investors are beginning to recognize the community and cultural value of meme coins [3] - The SEC is currently evaluating numerous other cryptocurrency-focused ETF proposals, with 92 such proposals in the pipeline, indicating a broader trend towards acceptance of digital assets [3][4] Group 3: Historical Context and Future Outlook - The initial wave of cryptocurrency ETFs focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with the upcoming Bitcoin spot ETF launch in early 2024 expected to attract significant capital [4] - The approval of the Dogecoin ETF reflects a shift in the SEC's stance towards digital assets, recognizing tokenization as a financial innovation [4]