Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index increased by 1.65% this week, ranking 2nd in the SW auto sector, with a year-to-date increase of 5.07% [3][11] - The latest trading day shows SW auto parts PE (TTM) at the 84.66% historical percentile and PB (LF) at the 79.21% historical percentile [11][33] - The Wande robot index rose by 1.81% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 5.62%, outperforming the SW auto parts index by 0.16% [3][11] Core Coverage Changes - Double Ring Transmission increased its wholly-owned subsidiary, Huan Yan Transmission, by RMB 100 million [4][11] - Fuda Co., Ltd. completed the issuance of convertible bonds, with a scale of RMB 470 million [4][11] Weekly Performance of Core Coverage - Notable weekly gains include: - Xinquan Co., Ltd. +16.24% - Hengshuai Co., Ltd. +11.36% - Daimai Co., Ltd. +8.76% - Yatai Co., Ltd. +8.12% - Fuda Co., Ltd. +6.99% [5][11] Major Events This Week - Fulian Precision plans to issue RMB 3.175 billion in stocks to CATL, which will fully subscribe in cash, becoming a related shareholder with over 5% stake [6][11] - Wuzhou Xinchun signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Lixing Co., Ltd. [6][11] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, as well as potential leaders prioritizing capacity in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [8][11] - For robotics, look for certainty opportunities with the Optimus V3 expected to launch in Q1 2026, and monitor order timelines and application implementations from domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yuzhu, and Zhiyuan [8][11] - Recommended stocks based on EPS include: Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., Ltd., Minshi Group, Junsheng Electronics, and Xingyuan Zhuomei, with a focus on Xinquan Co., Ltd. [8][11] - Recommended stocks based on PE include: Top Group, Junsheng Electronics, Double Ring Transmission, Minshi Group, Yinlun Co., Ltd., and Feilong Co., Ltd., with a focus on Yapu Co., Ltd. and Daimai Co., Ltd. [8][11]

Investment Highlights - The smart car index decreased by 2.7%, while the index excluding Tesla fell by 5.6%. As of January 16, 2026, the smart car index PS (TTM) is 13.7x, placing it in the 93rd percentile since the beginning of 2023. The index excluding Tesla has a PS (TTM) of 6.9x, in the 95th percentile since early 2023. The top five gainers in the smart car index include Cao Cao Mobility, Asia-Pacific Shares, Jingwei Hengrun, Hesai Technology, and Xidi Zhijia [4][10][19]. Industry Core Changes - Shanghai plans to achieve large-scale implementation of high-level autonomous driving scenarios by 2027 [5][10]. - Six cities in the Greater Bay Area announced mutual recognition of road testing and demonstration applications for smart connected vehicles [5][10]. - Tesla has expanded its testing range, with the Cybercab arriving in Buffalo, New York for winter testing [5][10]. - WeRide's global Robotaxi fleet has reached 1,023 vehicles, marking a milestone [5][10]. - As of January 16, Tesla's Robotaxi fleet has 195 operational vehicles, with a total FSD mileage of 7.29 billion miles; Waymo's latest daily active users number 107,900 [5][10][28]. Current Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a strong outlook for the 2026 L4 RoboX mainline, favoring B-end software stocks over C-end hardware stocks. Preferred H-shares include Xpeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and Black Sesame Intelligence; A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hengrun [6][10]. - In terms of downstream application-related stocks from the Robotaxi perspective: 1. Integrated model: Tesla/Xpeng Motors 2. Technology providers + operational sharing model: Horizon/Baidu/WeRide/Qianli Technology, etc. 3. Transformation of ride-hailing/taxi services: Didi/Cao Cao Mobility/Ruqi Mobility/Volkswagen Transportation/Jinjiang Online [6][10]. - For Robovan perspective: Desay SV + Jiushi Intelligent/New Stone Technology/White Rhino (proposed listing) [6][10]. - Other autonomous vehicle perspectives include mining trucks (proposed listings: Xidi Zhijia/Yikong Zhijia, etc.), ports (Jingwei Hengrun, etc.), sanitation vehicles (Yingfeng Environment, etc.), and buses (WeRide, etc.) [6][10]. - Upstream supply chain-related stocks include: 1. B-end unmanned vehicle OEMs (BAIC Blue Valley/Guangzhou Automobile Group/Jiangling Motors/Tongli Co./Yika Zhijia (proposed listing)) 2. Core upstream suppliers: testing services (China Automotive Research/China Automotive Co., etc.), chips (Horizon Robotics + Black Sesame Intelligence), domain controllers (Desay SV/Jingwei Hengrun/JMST Electronics/Huayang Group/Keboda, etc.), sensors (Sungrow Optical Technology/Hesai/Suteng Juchuang), steer-by-wire chassis (Bertley/Nexteer/Zhejiang Sebao), lights (Xingyu Co.)/glass (Fuyao Glass), etc. [6][10].

Investment Highlights - The company, WeRide, established in 2017, is a leading L4 autonomous driving company with a diverse product line including Robotaxi, Robobus, Robovan, and Robosweeper, alongside L2+ driver assistance services. As of Q3 2025, the total revenue reached 171 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 144%, with Robotaxi business being the core growth driver, contributing approximately 35.3 million yuan, a staggering increase of 761.0% year-on-year, accounting for 20.7% of total revenue. The gross margin stood at 32.9%, with a net loss of 307.3 million yuan. As of September 30, 2025, cash and capital reserves amounted to 5.4 billion yuan, supporting R&D investments and scaling expansion for long-term competitiveness [3][4]. L4 Industry Overview - The company is the only entity globally to have obtained autonomous driving licenses in eight countries. In China, it has achieved fully unmanned commercial operations in Beijing and Guangzhou, with each Robotaxi completing up to 25 rides per day during operational hours. The company has also received qualifications for unmanned demonstration applications in Shanghai [4][5]. - The Robotaxi business is accelerating towards a commercial turning point, with a clear path to profitability. The integration of end-to-end architecture and advanced technologies has significantly improved safety and reduced accident rates compared to human drivers. The BOM cost has decreased from over 1 million yuan to below 300,000 yuan, with ongoing optimization of the unit economic model [5][30]. - The market for Robotaxi in China is expected to reach 200 billion yuan by 2030, with the potential to replace parts of the traditional and private transportation markets. The theoretical reach of Robotaxi in developed and underdeveloped regions is estimated to be 4.4 and 3.4 times that of the Chinese market, respectively [5][41][45]. Company Analysis - WeRide is positioned as a technology leader in the Robotaxi sector, benefiting from gradual policy openings, continuous breakthroughs in autonomous driving technology, and cost reductions in the supply chain. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 555 million, 945 million, and 1.987 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-sales ratios of 43.0, 25.2, and 12.0 times [7]. - The company has established a solid equity structure with significant investments from industry players, including Nvidia and major automotive companies, totaling over 1.1 billion USD in funding prior to its IPO [56][57]. - The governance structure is stable, with the founder holding a significant voting power, ensuring effective decision-making [60]. Financial Analysis - The company is currently in an investment phase, with L2+ and L4 businesses contributing to revenue. The service revenue has seen rapid growth due to partnerships, while product revenue is derived from various autonomous vehicle models [66]. - Cash reserves are robust, with 5.4 billion yuan available as of Q3 2025, bolstered by successful financing rounds, ensuring liquidity and supporting ongoing operations [71]. Technological Core - WeRide's competitive edge is built on its self-developed technology stack, including the WeRideOne platform, which integrates advanced driving algorithms and a comprehensive sensor suite for enhanced safety and operational efficiency [75].

Investment Highlights - The automotive industry is expected to see a recovery in passenger vehicle demand in Q1 2026 due to the implementation of subsidy policies, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles and resilient companies like Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall, and others [3][8] - For heavy trucks, wholesale sales in 2025 are projected at 1.14 million units, a 26% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales expected to reach 800,000 units in 2026, reflecting a 3% growth [4][35] - The bus sector is anticipated to benefit from a new vehicle replacement policy in 2026, with expected sales of 40,000 units, a 5% increase year-on-year, driven by the need to replace aging buses [4][34] - The motorcycle market is projected to grow, with total industry sales expected to reach 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase, and large-displacement motorcycles expected to see a 31% increase in sales [5][32] Passenger Vehicle Insights - The short-term outlook for the passenger vehicle sector is positive, with a recovery in demand expected in early 2026, supported by subsidy policies [3][8] - Key players in the domestic market include Jianghuai Automobile and high-end brands like Geely and Great Wall, while export strategies should focus on established companies like BYD and Changan [3][8] Heavy Truck Insights - In 2025, heavy truck wholesale sales are expected to reach 1.14 million units, with a significant increase in terminal sales and exports [4][35] - The market is expected to see a reduction in older trucks, with a projected elimination of 210,000 units by the end of 2025 [4][35] Bus Insights - The bus market is expected to see a slight increase in sales in 2026, with a focus on replacing older buses that have exceeded their replacement cycle [4][34] - The anticipated sales for 2025 are 38,000 units, with a 25% increase year-on-year, while 2026 is expected to see 40,000 units sold [4][34] Motorcycle Insights - The motorcycle industry is projected to grow significantly, with total sales expected to reach 19.38 million units in 2026, driven by both domestic and export markets [5][32] - Large-displacement motorcycles are expected to see a 31% increase in sales, with domestic sales projected at 430,000 units [5][32]

Investment Highlights - The smart car index decreased by 2.0%, while the index excluding Tesla fell by 6.9%. As of January 8, 2026, the smart car index PS (TTM) is at 14.0x, ranking in the 96th percentile since the beginning of 2023. The index excluding Tesla has a PS (TTM) of 7.2x, ranking in the 97th percentile since the beginning of 2023. The top five gainers in the smart car index include Hezhima Intelligent, Siwei Map, Zhejiang Shibao-H, Qianli Technology, and Hesai [4][10][16]. Industry Core Changes - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang announced the open-source autonomous driving model Alpamayo at CES 2026, accelerating the layout of Robotaxi [5][21]. - The U.S. plans to hold a hearing on January 13, 2026, to discuss new automotive legislation, increasing the annual deployment cap for vehicles without traditional controls from 2,500 to 90,000 [5][21]. - XPeng announced the launch of its second-generation VLA and Robotaxi at its global product launch event, with mass production expected in the first half of 2026 [5][21]. Current Investment Recommendations - The industry maintains a strong outlook for the 2026 L4 RoboX mainline, favoring B-end software stocks over C-end hardware stocks. Preferred H-shares include XPeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, WeRide, and Cao Cao/Hezhima Intelligent; preferred A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hengrun [6][10]. - Downstream application-related stocks from the Robotaxi perspective include: 1. Integrated model: Tesla/XPeng Motors 2. Technology providers + operational sharing model: Horizon/Baidu/WeRide/Qianli Technology, etc. 3. Transformation of ride-hailing/taxi services: Didi/Cao Cao Mobility/Ruqi Mobility/Volkswagen Transportation/Jinjiang Online [6][10]. - Upstream supply chain-related stocks include: 1. B-end unmanned vehicle OEMs: BAIC Blue Valley/Guangzhou Automobile Group/Jiangling Motors/Tongli Co./Yika Intelligent (planned IPO) 2. Core upstream suppliers: Testing services (China Automotive Research/China Automotive Corporation), chips (Horizon Robotics/Hezhima Intelligent), domain controllers (Desay SV/Jingwei Hengrun/Junsheng Electronics/Huayang Group/Keboda), sensors (Sunyu Optical Technology/Hesai/Suteng Juchuang), steer-by-wire chassis (Bertley/Nexteer/Zhejiang Shibao), lights (Xingyu Co.) [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The global shared mobility market is undergoing a critical transition from human-driven to automated services, exhibiting significant regional differentiation [4][9]. North America Market - The North American ride-hailing market is dominated by Uber and Lyft, creating a stable pricing power. In the Robotaxi sector, Waymo holds a monopoly while Tesla aggressively disrupts the market. Chinese Robotaxi companies face barriers due to a 2025 U.S. Department of Commerce ban on hardware and software, complicating their commercialization path [4][9][16]. European Market - The European regulatory environment is fragmented and stringent, with local automakers lagging in L4 algorithm development. This creates a unique "hybrid model" opportunity, where "U.S./local platforms + Chinese technology" could break through. Uber and Lyft's collaboration with Baidu Apollo indicates that de-branding technology output is a favorable solution for entering the European market [4][9][16]. Middle East Market - The Middle East presents a unique "three highs and one low" characteristic: high customer spending, high policy support, high infrastructure investment, and low energy costs. Gulf countries are eager to reduce oil dependency, viewing autonomous driving as a national strategy. Chinese companies like WeRide and Pony.ai benefit from dual advantages of road rights and licenses, making it an ideal training ground and commercialization area for overseas expansion [4][9][16]. Southeast Asia Market - The Southeast Asian ride-hailing market is large but has low customer spending. Low labor costs may lead to economic challenges for Robotaxi operations. In the short term, large-scale deployment of Robotaxis is not cost-effective, and two-wheeled vehicles remain mainstream. Singapore, with its high labor costs, may achieve Robotaxi commercialization [4][5][9]. Investment Focus - Focus on the L4 RoboX industry chain, prioritizing B-end software over C-end hardware. Recommended stocks include: - Hong Kong stocks: Xpeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, Pony.ai, WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and Black Sesame Technology - A-shares: Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hirain - Downstream application-related stocks from the Robotaxi perspective include integrated models (Tesla, Xpeng Motors), technology providers with revenue-sharing models (Horizon, Baidu, Pony.ai, WeRide, Qianli Technology), and the transformation of ride-hailing/taxi services (Didi, Cao Cao Mobility, Ruqi Mobility, Dazhong Transportation, Jinjiang Online) [6][9]. Regulatory and Market Barriers - The regulatory landscape for Robotaxis abroad features a dual approach of support and regulation. Companies must assume clear accident liability and purchase sufficient liability insurance. Vehicles must have complete data recording capabilities and undergo third-party safety assessments. Operationally, there are restrictions on operational areas, fleet size, and speed [12][14]. Market Size and Growth - The North American shared mobility market is projected to grow significantly, with the total Gross Transaction Value (GTV) expected to reach billions by 2030. The European market also shows substantial potential, albeit with slower conversion rates. The Middle East is characterized by strong government support, while Southeast Asia presents a high-growth potential due to infrastructure gaps [21][22][27]. Pricing Dynamics - Pricing dynamics vary significantly across regions, influenced by local labor costs and regulatory environments. North America has high labor costs, allowing Robotaxis to survive without extreme price reductions. In contrast, Europe faces stringent labor protections that increase operational costs. The Middle East's pricing is shaped by government-led transportation strategies, while Southeast Asia's ultra-low fares are supported by low labor costs [33][34]. Profitability Disparities - Profitability varies significantly across countries, with developed regions showing higher absolute margins per Robotaxi. Revenue per vehicle in China, UAE, UK, and the US is estimated at approximately $40,000, $90,000, $250,000, and $250,000 respectively, with gross margins reflecting these disparities [34][35].

Group 1 - The company is a leading provider of intelligent cockpit solutions, having successfully transitioned from a focus on vehicle networking systems to integrated software, hardware, and cloud services for intelligent cockpit solutions since 2018 [2][14] - The company has established six R&D centers and three manufacturing bases, serving over 50 automotive brands, with Li Auto emerging as a core customer driving rapid revenue growth since 2024 [2][25] Group 2 - The penetration rate of intelligent cockpits in domestic and global passenger vehicles is steadily increasing, with projections indicating a rise in China's market penetration from 35.3% in 2019 to 75.9% by 2025, and globally from 38.4% to 59.4% [3][49] - The market size for intelligent cockpit solutions in China is expected to grow from 129 billion RMB in 2024 to 299.5 billion RMB by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.4% [3][50] Group 3 - The company has deepened its collaboration with Qualcomm and Huawei, enhancing its competitive edge in high-end domain controllers, with significant projects secured since the launch of its high-end products in September 2025 [4][60][73] - The proportion of high-end domain control products has increased significantly, with shipments rising from 1.2 million units in January 2023 to 136,000 units in May 2025, and average product prices increasing from 989.56 RMB to 2,255.15 RMB [60][70] Group 4 - Revenue forecasts indicate substantial growth, with expected total revenues of 3.458 billion RMB in 2025, 5.452 billion RMB in 2026, and 7.839 billion RMB in 2027, driven by high-end domain control product orders [6][75] - The company anticipates a steady increase in gross margins, projecting overall gross margins of 16.19% in 2025, 19.13% in 2026, and 25.90% in 2027, supported by the rising share of high-end products [6][75]

Group 1 - The article predicts that Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia will continue to contribute significantly to the growth of new energy vehicle (NEV) penetration rates, with Europe expected to exceed previous forecasts due to the release of affordable models and the reintroduction of some subsidies [2][18] - In Southeast Asia, the NEV penetration rate is projected to reach 19% by 2026, driven by contributions from Chinese automakers and local firms like VinFast, despite tightening import incentives [2][18] - Latin America's NEV penetration is expected to increase to 5% by 2026, but the growth will be limited due to a focus on local industrial protection and tax adjustments rather than direct demand stimulation [3][18] Group 2 - The article outlines that the total market size accessible to Chinese automakers is approximately 27 million vehicles, with an export potential market of about 9.08 million vehicles [5][20] - The export market analysis indicates that the share of NEV exports in total exports is expected to rise to 42% by 2025, with BYD being a major contributor to this growth [5][20] - The methodology for assessing market entry potential includes filtering based on trade barriers, bilateral relations, and external uncertainties, leading to the exclusion of markets like North America, Japan, and India [6][22] Group 3 - The article discusses the competitive landscape for Chinese automakers, highlighting that regions like Oceania, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Africa are more favorable for vehicle exports due to less stringent regulatory environments [8][25] - It emphasizes the importance of local production and supply chain investments in Southeast Asia and Latin America, where local market conditions are evolving [8][25] - The analysis of company strategies reveals that BYD has developed a replicable global operation model, while Chery and Great Wall have adopted different approaches to expand their market presence [9][24][27] Group 4 - The article concludes that companies with a strong overseas presence and proven execution capabilities, such as BYD, Great Wall, and Chery, should be prioritized for investment [12][13] - It highlights the need for companies to adapt to local market conditions and regulatory frameworks to ensure sustainable growth in international markets [12][13] - The overall export volume for Chinese automakers is projected to increase significantly, with NEV exports expected to reach 362,000 units by 2026 [30][37]

Investment Highlights - The automotive market began to show an upward trend in 2020 despite the pandemic, primarily due to a year-on-year increase in industry sales and a significant turning point in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs), which led to a notable increase in the market share of domestic brands [2][26] - The core turning point for NEV penetration was driven by the localization of Tesla, with the Model 3 quickly becoming a best-seller, and improvements in the economic viability of the supply chain leading to a diverse supply [2][36] Historical Index Trends - In May 2021, the electric vehicle logic remained strong with a penetration rate of about 10%, and demand did not weaken despite a chip shortage that began in early 2021. The market anticipated a gradual easing of supply issues by July-August [3][45] - By May 2022, the penetration rate had increased to approximately 25%, with the resumption of production in lockdown areas and the implementation of tax reduction policies, which contributed to an upward trend in the index [3][48] - In February 2024, a shift in supply-demand dynamics occurred, leading to a price war initiated by Tesla's significant price cuts. The market began to rebound, with BYD's price reduction strategy proving effective [4][51] Profitability and Valuation Changes - The profitability of the automotive sector under the NEV trend has not significantly improved compared to the traditional fuel vehicle era, as selling NEVs has not altered the industry's business model, which remains rooted in manufacturing logic [5][56] - The valuation center for the automotive sector has shifted upward, with the price-to-sales (PS) ratio moving from a maximum of 2x during the fuel vehicle era to a current center of 1x, driven by increased market share and high-end breakthroughs of domestic brands [5][57] Competitive Factors in the NEV Era - The competition among automotive companies is characterized by a focus on hard power in the early stages, with soft power becoming more relevant later. The core competitive factors have evolved through different phases, including supply chain integration, electric vehicle technology, and marketing capabilities [6][60] - The first phase (2021-2022) emphasized supply chain advantages, while the second phase (2023) shifted towards electric vehicle technology and product definition capabilities, leading to a price war [6][60] - By 2025, the growth rate of NEV penetration is expected to slow down, with the main competitive logic focusing on imitating and surpassing leading NEV companies [7][60] Stock Performance Review - A review of stock performance from 2020 to 2025 indicates that early in the NEV development phase, the market had high expectations for leading companies from the previous cycle, while later periods required identifying emerging players based on changing competitive factors [8][20] - Notable stock performances include Seres as a tenfold stock, Jianghuai with an eightfold increase, and BYD with a fivefold increase, highlighting the importance of recognizing industry trends and selecting the best-performing stocks [8][20]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant advancements in L4 and L3 autonomous driving technologies, highlighting a dual stronghold in the U.S. and China, with notable developments in commercial applications and regulatory approvals [3][10]. Group 1: December Smartization Marginal Changes Summary - L4 commercialization is experiencing global resonance, while L3 policies have made a "0-1" breakthrough. Tesla has initiated pure unmanned testing in Austin without safety drivers or passengers, and the Chinese version of FSD has completed compliance construction in Shanghai [3][10]. - Waymo's monthly active users have increased by 96.6% year-on-year to 1.64 million, accelerating the validation of its business model. Domestic players like Pony.ai have integrated into the WeChat ecosystem, and CAOCAO's "Ten Years, One Hundred Cities, One Hundred Billion" Robotaxi strategy continues to expand [3][10]. - The policy side for L3 has seen a milestone breakthrough with the issuance of the first batch of L3 permits by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, marking a transition from assisted driving to conditionally automated driving in China [3][10]. Group 2: January Smartization Catalysts - The industry may enter a year of Robotaxi explosion, driven by both technology and policy, accelerating towards an "iPhone moment" for AI smart vehicles. CES 2026 is expected to be a key industry indicator, with NVIDIA's CEO focusing on the latest advancements in physical AI [4][10]. - In the L4 dimension, attention is on Tesla's FSD V14.2 performance across the U.S. without driver intervention and the expansion of its fleet. For L3, January 2026 will mark the first complete month for public road commercial trials in cities like Chongqing and Beijing, with a focus on operational takeover rates and accident liability cases [4][10]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a strong outlook for the L4 RoboX theme in 2026, favoring B-end software stocks over C-end hardware stocks. Preferred H-shares include Xpeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, Pony.ai, WeRide, CAOCAO, and Black Sesame Intelligence, while A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hirain [5][10]. - Relevant downstream application stocks include those in the Robotaxi sector, such as Tesla and Xpeng Motors, as well as technology providers like Horizon and Baidu. The transformation of ride-hailing and taxi services involves companies like Didi, CAOCAO, and others [5][10]. Group 4: Supply Chain Insights - In the upstream supply chain, key players include B-end unmanned vehicle manufacturers like BAIC BluePark, GAC Group, and Jiangling Motors, along with core suppliers for testing services, chips, domain controllers, sensors, and other components [5][10]. - The investment landscape is characterized by a spiral upward iteration of hardware and software, with significant opportunities in both sectors as the industry transitions from the 0-1 stage to more advanced phases [15][10].