Investment Highlights - The SW Auto Parts Index increased by 1.69% this week, ranking 3rd among SW Auto sectors, with a year-to-date increase of 4.94% [3][12] - The latest PE (TTM) for SW Auto Parts is at the 85.68% historical percentile, while the PB (LF) is at the 79.62% historical percentile [3][35] - The trading activity in the auto parts sector has shown a gradual increase since February [3][30] Robotics Sector Review - The Wande Robotics Index rose by 2.27% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 2.54%, outperforming the SW Auto Parts sector by 0.58% [4][12] - The latest PE (TTM) for the robotics sector is at the 73.90% percentile for the past year, and the PB (LF) is at the 78.31% percentile [4][46] - The trading heat in the robotics sector is at a low point since 2025 [4][40] Key Company Developments - Sensible Group will establish a joint venture in North America with Green Harmony for robotic joint modules [5] - Top Group forecasts 2025 revenue between 28.75 billion to 30.35 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.9 billion yuan [5] - Feilong Co. increased its investment in Longtai Company by 732 million yuan [5] - New Spring established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Shanghai [5] Top Performers of the Week - The top five gainers this week include: - Precision Forging Technology +28.98% - Sensible Group +17.05% - Naisite +16.22% - Yinlun Co. +7.73% - Changhua Group +7.34% [6][54] Major Events - The release of the world's first warehouse robot Gino 1 by Jizhi Jia [8] - Xiaomi open-sourced its first-generation robot VLA large model [8] - UBTECH and the humanoid robot innovation center launched the full-size research humanoid robot "Tiangong Walker DEX" [8] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, with a priority on companies expanding capacity in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [9] - For robotics, look for certainty in opportunities, especially with the anticipated release of Optimus V3 in Q1 2026, and monitor the order timeline and application deployment by domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yuzhu, and Zhiyuan [9] - Recommended stocks based on EPS include: Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., Sensible Group, Junsheng Electronics, and Xingyuan Zhuomei, with New Spring as a focus [9] - Recommended stocks based on PE include: Top Group, Junsheng Electronics, Shuanghuan Transmission, Sensible Group, Yinlun Co., and Feilong Co., with a focus on Yapu Co. and Daimai Co. [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a revenue of 28.75 to 30.35 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.08% to 14.10%, while net profit is expected to decline by 3.35% to 13.35% [3]. Revenue Forecast - For Q4 2025, the company anticipates revenue between 7.822 to 9.422 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.91% to 29.99% [4]. - The revenue forecast is supported by the Tier 0.5 collaboration model and a diverse product lineup [5]. Profit Analysis - The company expects a decline in net profit for 2025 due to rising raw material costs and depreciation of overseas production capacity, leading to a lower-than-expected profit growth [5]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is between 2.6 to 2.9 billion yuan, with a decrease in the non-recurring net profit forecast as well [3]. Customer Performance - Key customer performance in Q4 includes: - U.S. Customer A: 418,200 units sold, down 15.61% year-on-year and 15.87% quarter-on-quarter - Geely: 854,400 units sold, up 24.39% year-on-year and 12.27% quarter-on-quarter - BYD: 1,342,300 units sold, down 11.94% year-on-year but up 20.47% quarter-on-quarter - Seres New Energy: 154,200 units sold, up 59.85% year-on-year and 24.39% quarter-on-quarter - Li Auto: 109,200 units sold, down 31.19% year-on-year but up 17.15% quarter-on-quarter [6]. International Expansion - The company plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to accelerate its international strategy and enhance overseas production capacity [7]. Order Acquisition - In H1 2025, the company secured initial orders worth 1.5 billion yuan for its thermal management business, including sectors like liquid cooling and energy storage [8]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains a net profit forecast of 2.813 billion yuan for 2025, with adjustments to the 2026-2027 profit expectations due to raw material price impacts [9]. - The current market valuation corresponds to a PE ratio of 44/37/29 for 2025-2027, and the company is rated as a "buy" due to ongoing growth potential from thermal management orders and new product developments [9].

Investment Highlights - The main contradiction in C-end automotive intelligence has shifted from coverage to experience optimization in 2026. Major intelligent driving manufacturers and solution providers have achieved urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) experiences in complex scenarios such as roundabouts and U-turns, and have improved advanced functions like parking and ETC passage. The primary optimization direction moving forward will be the handling capability of Corner Cases to enhance the driving experience for passengers and safety operators [2][7]. Road Testing Overview - This report conducted both large-sample concentrated road tests and small-sample in-depth road tests. It qualitatively and quantitatively evaluated the intelligent driving experiences of six manufacturers/solution providers: Horizon, Li Auto, Qianli Zhijia, Qingzhou Zhihang, WeRide, and Xpeng, based on dimensions such as scenario implementation, takeover frequency, and comfort. Due to subjective scales, actual road conditions, and the trust level of safety operators in intelligent driving, the report does not rank the intelligent capabilities of specific manufacturers/solution providers [3][7]. Performance Improvement - Compared to 2025, all major manufacturers have improved their intelligent driving capabilities in Q1 2026, while third-party suppliers have also demonstrated excellent implementation results. The self-research camp of manufacturers is expected to continue iterating. Li Auto and Xpeng have developed mature self-research solutions that cover full-scene NOA on public roads and some internal roads, showing improvements in static and dynamic lateral perception, scenario understanding, and Corner Case handling. Li Auto's OTA 8.2 iteration has made AD Max smoother, reducing driving jolts and stabilizing responses. Xpeng's XOS 5.8.5 version can achieve three-point U-turns and autonomously learn from parking to parking, with VLA 2.0 expected to launch after the Spring Festival, enhancing reasoning efficiency and response speed [4][7]. Third-Party Supplier Performance - Third-party intelligent driving suppliers have shown impressive results. Their solutions have been launched to cover all external public roads seamlessly, with roundabouts and U-turns executed without interruptions. Horizon's HSD demonstrated smooth performance, achieving a full hour of deep road testing with zero takeovers (with one intervention for acceleration). Qianli Zhijia's G-ASD solution on the Zeekr model significantly reduced takeover rates. Qingzhou Zhihang utilized a single J6M chip (with 128 TOPS computing power) to achieve mass production of urban NOA, which is the lowest computing power among urban NOA models. WeRide's solution won the championship at the China Intelligent Driving Competition in Taizhou, showcasing excellent lane selection logic with no safety takeovers [4][7].

Investment Highlights - The smart car index decreased by 3.3%, while the index excluding Tesla increased by 0.2%, and the index excluding complete vehicles decreased by 0.1% [4][11] - As of February 6, 2026, the smart car index PS (TTM) is 14.5x, placing it in the 98th percentile since the beginning of 2023; the index excluding Tesla is 5.7x, in the 81st percentile; and the index excluding complete vehicles is 9.7x, in the 79th percentile [4][20] - The top five gainers in the smart car index include Hesai, Li Auto, Xingyu, Kaile, and Pony.ai [4][11] Industry Core Changes - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and seven other departments issued the "Automobile Data Export Security Guidelines (2026 Edition)," requiring data processors to declare data export security assessments through domestic legal entities [5][11] - Uber announced plans to launch Robotaxi autonomous taxi services in Hong Kong within this year, partnering with Baidu and WeRide [5][11] - WeRide and Uber plan to deploy at least 1,200 Robotaxis in the Middle East by 2027, covering major markets such as Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and Riyadh [5][11] Current Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a strong outlook for the 2026 L4 RoboX main line, favoring B-end software stocks over C-end hardware stocks [6][11] - Preferred H-shares include Xpeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, Pony.ai/WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and Black Sesame Intelligence; preferred A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hirain [6][11] - Relevant stocks from the downstream application perspective include: - Robotaxi perspective: Integrated models (Tesla/Xpeng Motors), technology providers with revenue-sharing models (Horizon/Baidu/Pony.ai/WeRide/Qianli Technology), and the transformation of ride-hailing/taxi services (Didi/Cao Cao Mobility/Ruqi Mobility/Public Transport/Jinjiang Online) [6][11] - Robovan perspective: Desay SV and Jiushi Intelligent/New Stone Technology [6][11] - Other autonomous vehicle perspectives: Mining trucks (Hesai Intelligent Driving), ports (Jingwei Hirain), sanitation vehicles (Yingfeng Environment), and buses (WeRide) [6][11] Upstream Supply Chain Relevant Stocks - B-end autonomous vehicle OEMs include BAIC BluePark, GAC Group, Jiangling Motors, and Tongli Co [7][11] - Key upstream suppliers include testing services (China Automotive Research/China Automotive Technology), chips (Horizon Robotics/Black Sesame Intelligence), domain controllers (Desay SV/Jingwei Hirain/Junsheng Electronics/Huayang Group/Koboda), sensors (Hesai/Suteng Juchuang), steer-by-wire chassis (Bertley/Nexteer/Zhejiang Shibao), lights (Xingyu), and glass (Fuyao Glass) [7][11]

Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index increased by 0.34% this week, ranking 4th among SW automotive sectors, with a year-to-date increase of 3.20% [3][14] - The latest PE (TTM) for SW auto parts is at the 83.10% historical percentile, while the PB (LF) is at the 77.55% historical percentile [3][35] - The Wande robot index decreased by 0.21% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 0.27%, underperforming the SW auto parts sector by 0.55% [4][14] - The latest PE (TTM) for the Wande robot index is at the 67.47% historical percentile, and the PB (LF) is at the 77.11% historical percentile [4][44] Key Stock Movements - The top five gainers this week are: - Yinchuan Co., Ltd. +17.13% - Xingyu Co., Ltd. +8.65% - Daimai Co., Ltd. +6.67% - Yap Co., Ltd. +3.71% - Ruima Precision +2.74% [6][51] Major Events - On February 4, Elon Musk publicly praised Optimus again - On February 8, Zhiyuan will host the world's first large-scale robot gala [7][45] Core Coverage Changes - Xinquan announced a $100 million investment in Bayern Xinquan and the establishment of subsidiaries in Malaysia and Kaifeng - Precision Forging Technology established a subsidiary in Germany [8][54] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, with a priority on potential leading companies in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [9][56] - For robots, seek certainty in opportunities, with Musk stating that Optimus V3 is expected to be released in Q1 2026, and monitor the order timeline and application deployment by domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [9][56]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the potential for L4 autonomous driving commercialization in North America, with regulatory changes allowing for a significant increase in vehicle deployment limits from 2,500 to 90,000 units. It highlights Tesla's launch of a no-safety-driver Robotaxi service in Austin and the advancements in L2-L3 autonomous driving technologies by various companies [3][10]. Investment Highlights - January's summary indicates that L4 commercialization in North America may be relaxed, with discussions on increasing the annual deployment cap for vehicles without traditional controls. Tesla has launched a no-safety-driver Robotaxi in Austin and plans to eliminate the FSD buyout model. In the L2-L3 segment, Nvidia has released an open-source autonomous driving model, Alpamayo, while companies like WeRide and Qianli Technology are launching or upgrading end-to-end solutions [3][10]. - February's focus is on monitoring the implementation of overseas L4 policies and the user experience of domestic L2-L3 intelligent vehicles. The results of the U.S. hearings are crucial, as they may lead to unified federal and state regulations. Tesla's no-safety-driver service will be closely observed for safety and reliability during this critical period [4][10]. Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a strong outlook for the L4 RoboX theme by 2026, favoring B-end software companies over C-end hardware firms. Preferred H-shares include Xpeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and Black Sesame Intelligence, while A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hirain [5][10]. - Downstream application-related stocks are categorized into three perspectives: - Robotaxi perspective includes integrated models like Tesla and Xpeng Motors, and technology providers with revenue-sharing models such as Horizon Robotics and Baidu [5][10]. - Robovan perspective includes Desay SV and other emerging companies [6][10]. - Other autonomous vehicle perspectives cover mining trucks, ports, sanitation vehicles, and buses [6][10]. Supply Chain Insights - The upstream supply chain includes B-end autonomous vehicle OEMs like BAIC BluePark, GAC Group, and Jiangling Motors, as well as core suppliers for testing services, chips, domain controllers, sensors, and other components [6][10]. - Key suppliers for chips include Horizon Robotics and Black Sesame Intelligence, while domain controllers involve Desay SV and other companies [6][10]. Key Events Summary - Significant events in January include Nvidia's release of the open-source autonomous driving model Alpamayo and discussions in the U.S. regarding regulatory changes for autonomous vehicles. Tesla's FSD v14.2 achieved a milestone of 2 days and 20 hours of zero intervention driving across the U.S. [46][10].

Key Points - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes Chery Automobile's transformation into a global technology-driven automotive enterprise, focusing on both globalization and smart technology [2][14][15]. Group 1: Basic Information - Chery Automobile was established in 1997 and has transitioned from reverse engineering to a technology-driven enterprise, initially entering the mainstream and entry-level passenger car market with models like Fengyun and QQ [14]. - The company has a clear shareholding structure involving state-owned capital, strategic investors, and management, ensuring no direct interference in operations from state capital [14][15]. - Financial data shows improvement driven by the growth of new energy vehicles and exports, with significant revenue increases expected from 2022 to 2024 [19][21]. Group 2: Brand System - Chery has developed a five-brand system to meet diverse market demands, including Chery, Jetour, Exeed, iCAR, and Zhijie, each targeting different customer segments [38]. - The main brand, Chery, focuses on the mainstream market with high cost-performance and various powertrain options, while Jetour emphasizes family-oriented SUVs [41][46]. - Exeed targets the high-end market, iCAR is aimed at younger consumers with personalized electric vehicles, and Zhijie collaborates with Huawei to offer smart electric vehicles [41][57]. Group 3: Export Strategy - Chery's export strategy has evolved from focusing on developing markets to expanding into key markets like Russia and Europe, with a significant presence in Russia as of 2023 [62][66]. - The Tiggo series is central to Chery's product strategy, offering a range of energy types and configurations to adapt to different regional markets [70]. - The company has rapidly expanded its overseas dealer network, increasing from 252 to 1092 dealers between 2022 and 2025, supporting its global sales strategy [78]. Group 4: Technological Foundation - Chery is consolidating its smart technology development by integrating its subsidiaries into a centralized "Chery Intelligent Center" to enhance its R&D capabilities [82][83]. - The company employs a dual-track strategy of self-research and collaboration with leading technology partners like Huawei and Horizon to advance its smart driving technologies [83]. - Chery's vehicle platform structure includes traditional fuel platforms and new energy platforms, allowing for a layered approach based on price and technology paths [84]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Chery is projected to achieve net profits of 184 billion, 211 billion, and 254 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a strong growth trajectory in new energy and export markets [6][88]. - The company is expected to maintain a higher valuation compared to its peers due to its robust growth in new energy vehicles and stable export position, receiving a "buy" rating for its stock [6][90].

Investment Highlights - The article emphasizes a positive outlook for the passenger car sector, anticipating a recovery in demand in Q1 2026 due to the implementation of industry subsidy policies [3][8] - For the entire year, the focus is on domestic companies that are resilient to policy fluctuations and those with strong export capabilities, recommending companies like JAC Motors and Geely [3][8] Commercial Vehicle Insights - In 2025, the wholesale volume of heavy trucks reached 1.144 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, with domestic sales at 799,000 units, up 32.8% [4][26] - The article forecasts that heavy truck domestic sales in 2026 could reach 800,000 to 850,000 units, a 3% increase year-on-year, and continues to recommend leading companies in the sector [4][26] Bus Sector Update - The article notes that the 2026 vehicle replacement policy exceeded expectations, with a projected bus sales volume of 40,000 units in 2026, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase [5][25] - It highlights the importance of focusing on leading bus manufacturers such as Yutong and King Long [5][25] Motorcycle Market Outlook - The motorcycle industry is expected to see total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase year-on-year, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to reach 1.26 million units, up 31% [5][23] - The article recommends leading motorcycle manufacturers like Chunfeng Power and Longxin General [5][23] Performance Metrics - The article provides insights into the performance of various vehicle segments, noting that the passenger car index decreased by 4.8% this week, while the commercial vehicle index increased by 2.2% [12][18] - Key individual stock performances are highlighted, with NIO showing a 3.2% increase and Seres experiencing an 11.8% decline [12][18]

Investment Highlights - The smart car index decreased by 1.3%, while the index excluding Tesla increased by 1.9%, and the index excluding complete vehicles fell by 7.1% as of January 30, 2026 [4][10] - The smart car index PS (TTM) is at 15.2x, placing it in the 99th percentile since the beginning of 2023; the index excluding Tesla is at 5.9x, in the 83rd percentile; and the index excluding complete vehicles is at 9.9x, in the 81st percentile [4][17] Industry Core Changes - By Q4 2025, Tesla's FSD subscription is expected to reach 1.1 million [5] - Key personnel changes include Qianli Technology's Yin Qi becoming the chairman of Jueyue Xingchen [5] - Partnerships formed include Xiaoma Zhixing collaborating with Aite Boda, and Hezhima Intelligent signing a strategic agreement with Baidu's Luobo Kuaipao to build a driverless ecosystem [5] - The latest tracking of North American Robotaxi shows a total of 7.49 billion miles driven by FSD as of January 30, 2026, with Waymo having 96,090 daily active users as of January 27, 2026 [5][25] Current Investment Recommendations - The focus remains on the 2026 L4 RoboX main line, favoring B-end software stocks over C-end hardware stocks [6] - Preferred H-shares include Xiaopeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, Xiaoma Zhixing, Wenyan Zhixing, and Cao Cao Mobility; A-shares include Qianli Technology, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hengrun [6] - Downstream application-related stocks include: - Robotaxi perspective: Integrated models like Tesla and Xiaopeng Motors; technology providers with revenue-sharing models like Horizon, Baidu, Xiaoma Zhixing, Wenyan Zhixing, and Qianli Technology; transformation of ride-hailing/taxi services like Didi, Cao Cao Mobility, and others [6] - Robovan perspective: Desay SV and Jiushi Intelligent [6] - Other autonomous vehicle perspectives: mining trucks (Xidi Zhijia), ports (Jingwei Hengrun), sanitation vehicles (Yingfeng Environment), and buses (Wenyan Zhixing) [6] - Upstream supply chain-related stocks include: - B-end driverless vehicle OEMs like BAIC Blue Valley, GAC Group, Jiangling Motors, and Tongli Co [6] - Core upstream suppliers: testing services (China Automotive Research, China Automotive Technology), chips (Horizon Robotics, Hezhima Intelligent), domain controllers (Desay SV, Jingwei Hengrun), sensors (Sunny Optical Technology, Hesai, Suteng Juchuang), steer-by-wire chassis (Bertley, Nexperia, Zhejiang Shibao), and glass (Fuyao Glass) [6]

Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index decreased by 5.74% this week, ranking 4th in the SW auto sector, with a year-to-date increase of 2.85% [3][14] - The Wande robot index fell by 6.16% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 0.48%, underperforming the SW auto parts index by 0.42% [4][14] Core Coverage Changes - Jifeng Co. is expected to turn profitable in 2025 [5] - Xingyu Co. has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5] - Landai Technology, Fuda Co., and Guangyang Co. announced performance increases for 2025 [5] - New Spring Co. and Kaidi Co. have reached a strategic cooperation agreement [5] Weekly Performance of Core Coverage Stocks - Xingyu Co. +11.19% - Beite Technology +3.75% - Feilong Co. +1.57% - Fuyao Glass +0.73% [6][55] Major Events This Week - Tesla will cease production of Model S/X in Q2 2026, switching the production line to Optimus [7][47] - Li Auto is entering the humanoid robot market [7][47] Investment Recommendations 1. Auto Parts - Seek structural opportunities: prioritize product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, and focus on potential leading companies with production capacity in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [8] 2. Robotics - Seek certainty: Musk stated that Optimus V3 is expected to be released in Q1 2026, with the sector entering a spring rally period; attention should be paid to the order landing timeline for V3 and application deployment by domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [8] 3. Recommended stocks based on EPS: Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., Minshi Group, Junsheng Electronics, and Xingyuan Zhuomei, with a focus on New Spring Co. [8] 4. Recommended stocks based on PE: Top Group, Junsheng Electronics, Shuanghuan Transmission, Minshi Group, Yinlun Co., and Feilong Co., with a focus on Yap Co. and Daimi Co. [8]