Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's threat to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods, highlighting the potential economic impacts on both the EU and the US, as well as the broader implications for global trade dynamics [1][3][6]. Group 1: Reasons for Trump's Tariff Threat - The tariff threat serves as a negotiation pressure tactic aimed at accelerating trade talks with the EU, particularly regarding issues like digital service taxes and regulatory coordination [3]. - The US faces a significant trade deficit with the EU, amounting to $235.6 billion in 2024, with nearly 40% attributed to the automotive sector, prompting Trump to accuse the EU of unfair trade practices [3]. - Domestic political considerations are also at play, as the upcoming 2025 elections require Trump to fulfill promises related to revitalizing American manufacturing, which could resonate with voters in industrial states [3]. - The US aims to leverage tariffs to influence EU policies towards China, seeking to align EU actions with US interests in limiting Chinese supply chains [4]. Group 2: Potential Consequences of High Tariffs - The EU economy would be significantly impacted, particularly German car manufacturers like Porsche and Audi, which could face substantial losses and potential layoffs due to reduced exports to the US [7]. - The US could experience inflationary pressures as consumers bear the cost of increased prices for goods such as automobiles and alcohol, leading to higher household expenditures [7]. - A global economic ripple effect may occur, with financial markets experiencing volatility and companies shifting production to regions like Mexico and Southeast Asia, ultimately passing increased costs onto consumers [7]. - The EU may respond with concessions, such as increasing imports of US agricultural products, but is unlikely to accept unilateral US demands, potentially leading to a "lose-lose" scenario for both economies [8]. Group 3: Long-term Implications - The ongoing trade tensions could accelerate the trend of regionalizing global supply chains, resulting in higher compliance costs for multinational companies [8]. - The situation is characterized as a high-stakes negotiation, with the outcome dependent on the EU's ability to withstand US pressure and maintain its trade principles [8]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could rise to $5,000 per ounce due to factors such as increased central bank gold purchases and a potential crisis of confidence in the US dollar [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for financial institutions to rethink their operational models in light of three major changes: functional positioning, digital intelligence, and the era of existing stock. It advocates for a customer-centric "Good Standard System" to reshape credit risk control logic and promote high-quality development in the financial sector, providing a practical model for China's financial system [1]. Group 1: Challenges of Traditional Credit Risk Control Models - Traditional credit risk control models rely heavily on financial indicators and collateral guarantees, which limits their effectiveness in risk assessment. This approach often leads to a preference for clients with sufficient collateral, resulting in various limitations such as the lagging nature of financial data and the inability to adapt to market fluctuations [3]. - The reliance on static financial metrics can lead to "adverse selection" and "moral hazard," where financial institutions may lend to clients with poor credit conditions, increasing the risk of non-performing loans [3]. Group 2: Imbalance in Financial Resource Allocation - Financial institutions tend to favor clients with strong financial standings, leading to a "Pareto principle" resource allocation where a majority of financial resources are concentrated in a few sectors, neglecting the needs of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and private enterprises [5]. - This imbalance results in significant challenges for the real economy, as many SMEs face difficulties in obtaining financing, which hampers their growth and the overall transformation of the economy [5]. Group 3: Lack of a Social Value Evaluation System - The absence of a comprehensive social value evaluation system hinders financial institutions from effectively assessing clients' social contributions, which could guide resource allocation towards more socially responsible areas [6]. - Overemphasis on short-term profits can lead to financial risks and social issues, as institutions may invest in high-risk areas without considering their social responsibilities [6]. Group 4: Constructing the "Good Standard System" - To address these challenges, there is a need to reconstruct the positioning and value of finance, prioritizing functionality over profitability. This involves moving away from traditional financial metrics and developing a more holistic financial evaluation system that incorporates social value [8]. - The new system should assess clients based on their social responsibility, environmental contributions, and governance, rather than solely on financial status [10]. Group 5: Quantifying Customer Goodness Levels - The "Good Standard System" can be developed by creating a negative list for undesirable behaviors and a scoring system for positive contributions. This dual scoring approach will help categorize clients into different "goodness" levels, influencing their credit ratings and access to financial resources [11]. - Higher-rated clients may receive benefits such as relaxed credit conditions and preferential treatment, while lower-rated clients will face stricter controls and potential denial of new credit [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of President Trump's tariff strategy on the market, evaluating whether it will create significant obstacles or merely short-term "noise" [2][3]. Tariff Measures Impact - Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to higher-than-expected tariffs on U.S. imports, particularly targeting Asian countries, with the EU facing a 20% tariff and Japan a 24% tariff [4]. - The International Monetary Fund and the U.S. Federal Trade Commission estimate that if these tariffs are fully implemented, they could account for over 2% of U.S. GDP, increasing consumer inflation by nearly 2% and negatively impacting GDP growth by 1% to 2% [4]. Economic Growth and Recession Risks - Historical data indicates that significant stock market declines are typically linked to economic contractions rather than political actions, with the S&P 500 index showing a strong correlation with economic recessions since 1928 [10]. - The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicts a 2.3% GDP growth for Q1 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, suggesting resilience in the U.S. economy despite tariff concerns [10]. Financial Crisis Potential - Financial markets react sharply to uncertainty, but volatility does not equate to systemic risk. Historical crises have shown that while markets may react to shocks, they do not always lead to economic downturns [13]. - Current U.S. banks are in a stronger position with adequate capital and liquidity buffers, reducing the likelihood of a financial crisis stemming from tariff-related uncertainties [13].

主题讨论九 人工智能时代下的数字金融 中国证券监督管理委员会原主席 5月17日-18日 2025清华五道口全球金融论坛 于深圳盛大召开 汇聚国内外金融界 领袖、学者及行业精英 浓缩思维干货 定位思维坐标 主题九：人工智能时代下的数字金融 主题十：全球资本市场展望与发展 这两场的嘉宾金句干货已打包完毕 快查收↓↓↓ 肖钢 张健华 清华大学五道口金融学院 金融发展与监管科技研究中心主任 莫万贵 中国人民银行金融研究所副所长 李振华 蚂蚁集团研究院院长 张鹏 北京智谱华章科技股份有限公司CEO 王正位 全球资本市场展望与发展 梁定邦 香港执业资深大律师 香港证券及期货事务监察委员会前主席 张慎峰 清华大学五道口金融学院副院长、副教授 主题讨论十 中国国际贸易促进委员会原副会长 聂庆平 中国证券金融股份有限公司原董事长 邓肯・邦菲尔德 国家主权财富基金国际论坛CEO 编辑丨兰银帆 来源丨清华五道口 审核 | 王晗 王娴 清华大学国家金融研究院副院长 清华大学五道口金融学院上市公司研究中心主任 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth and integration of stablecoins and cryptocurrencies into the traditional financial system, highlighting the ongoing regulatory developments and the increasing adoption of these digital assets by financial institutions and consumers [3][22][27]. Group 1: Trends in Stablecoins and Payment Systems - Stablecoins offer significant advantages in payment time and cost, with cross-border payments completed in under one hour compared to traditional methods that take up to five days [5][6]. - As of April 2025, the market size of stablecoins exceeded $220 billion, with over 240 million active addresses and 1.4 billion payment transactions totaling $6.7 trillion [6][8]. - Major financial institutions are actively exploring stablecoin payment services, enhancing payment efficiency and reducing costs [9][14]. Group 2: Bank and Crypto Institution Collaboration - Banks are increasingly issuing their own stablecoins, with notable examples including JP Morgan Coin and initiatives from Standard Chartered and Itau Unibanco [10][11]. - Financial institutions are expanding their services to include cryptocurrency trading and stablecoin transactions, enhancing liquidity and providing secure entry points for institutional investors [14][20]. Group 3: Capital Market and Crypto Market Integration - The tokenization of financial products is gaining momentum, with significant projects launched by major financial institutions, indicating a doubling of the market size for tokenized real-world assets to over $22 billion [16][19]. - The approval of cryptocurrency ETFs in the US and Hong Kong has opened compliant investment channels for institutional investors, further integrating crypto assets into traditional finance [20][21]. Group 4: Regulatory Policies Supporting Crypto Innovation - The US has shifted its regulatory stance towards supporting innovation in stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, with significant policy changes under the Trump administration [23][24]. - Other countries are following suit, with many accelerating their regulatory frameworks for stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, reducing market uncertainty [24][25][27]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The integration of stablecoins and cryptocurrencies into the financial system is expected to continue, driven by advancements in blockchain technology and regulatory frameworks [29][30]. - Tokenization is seen as a transformative innovation that could revolutionize asset trading and settlement systems, with a growing interest from global financial institutions [31][32].

2025年5月17日-18日，2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在深圳市成功召开，本届论坛以"共享未来：构建开 放包容的经济与金融体系"为主题。18日下午，主题论坛十二"普惠金融促进包容共进"顺利举办。 图为会议现场 主题会议以圆桌讨论形式展开，全国社会保障基金理事会原副理事长、深圳市金融稳定发展研究院理事 长王忠民，老挝人民民主共和国银行副行长苏里斯·萨姆努冯，中国人民银行信贷市场司司长彭立峰， AFI副首席执行官兼首席运营官徐淑贤四位嘉宾围绕论坛主题展开讨论，普惠金融联盟政策管理负责人 阿里·基亚祖丁·穆罕默德主持会议。 王忠民 全国社会保障基金理事会原副理事长 深圳市金融稳定发展研究院理事长 王忠民指出，共同发展强调宏观与微观经济主体（如企业、家庭）在普惠与共融中实现 利益最大化。在人工智能时代，这一逻辑体现在三大场景：一是开源技术降低了社会创 新成本；二是云服务共享使中小企业零成本接入，提升了整体收益；三是数字资产收购 与整合创造了"空能生妙有"的价值跃升。此外，普惠金融与金融稳定的协同需技术创新 支撑：区块链保障数据安全，AI监管沙盒平衡创新与风险，例如数字支付赋能家庭和小 微企业的信贷服务。中国社保基 ...

2025年5月17-18日，"共享未来：构建开放包容的经济与金融体系"2025年清华五道口全球金融论坛在广 东省深圳市成功召开。18日下午，主题讨论十三"金融助力文化和旅游业成为支柱产业"顺利举办。 图为圆桌讨论现场 主题会议以圆桌讨论形式展开，中国人民银行原副行长李东荣，世界知识产权组织中国办事处主任刘 华，中国文化产业投资母基金管理有限公司总经理于春玲，中国动漫集团党委副书记、总经理刘鹏， 腾讯云副总裁、腾讯智慧文旅负责人方腾飞围绕金融赋能文化和旅游业展开讨论。清华大学五道口金 融学院文创金融研究中心主任赵岑主持会议。 赵岑 清华大学五道口金融学院文创金融研究中心主任 赵岑表示，把文化旅游业培育成为支柱产业这一重大战略定位的提出，充分地彰显了党 中央的战略思考和战略魄力，提振了市场信心。赵岑指出，从数据来看，我国文化和旅 游业迎开门红。春节假期、"五一"假期，全国国内出游人次和国内游客出游总花费均保 持增长。今年一季度，全国规模以上文化与旅游类企业收入增长6.2%，产业智能化、 数字化发展趋势明显。今年1-4月，文化和旅游业投融资活动出现双回升，反映出这一 领域巨大的增长潜力。赵岑认为，在文化和旅游业发展 ...

2025年5月17日-18日，2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在深圳市成功召开，本届论坛以"共享未来：构建开 放包容的经济与金融体系"为主题。17日下午，主题论坛四"粤港澳大湾区建设与发展"成功举办。 深圳市委金融委员会办公室常务副主任、市委金融工作委员会常务副书记、市地方金融管理局局长时卫 干，香港金融管理局副总裁、金融学院副主席陈维民，香港特别行政区政府特首政策组副组长王春新， 澳门金融管理局顾问朱军林，香港中小上市公司协会会长、捷克JKL投资有限公司董事长李杰峰分别发 表主题讨论。清华大学五道口金融学院院长助理张伟主持论坛。 图为论坛现场 时卫干 深圳市委金融委员会办公室常务副主任 市委金融工作委员会常务副书记 市地方金融管理局局长 时卫干表示，尽管全球不确定性上升，大湾区发展前景依然充满确定性。首先，香港国 际金融中心地位持续巩固，全球最大人民币离岸交易中心的作用更加突出。其次，深 圳、广州的产业、科创优势，与港澳的制度、资金及国际化资源深度协同，推动粤港澳 大湾区高质量发展。同时，加速出海趋势下，香港"超级联系人"作用持续强化，为内地 企业提供关键支撑。 香港特别行政区政府特首政策组副组长 王春新表示 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Tsinghua Wudaokou School of Finance aims to become a world-class financial institution with Chinese characteristics, as highlighted during the inaugural International Strategic Consultation Meeting held on May 17, 2025 [1][6]. Group 1: Meeting Overview - The meeting gathered prominent figures from finance, academia, policy, and international sectors, including former leaders and experts from various countries [3]. - Discussions focused on enhancing financial culture, addressing major issues in China's financial sector, and improving international collaboration [5]. Group 2: Recommendations and Future Directions - Participants emphasized the importance of deepening research on financial culture and Chinese financial thought, as well as providing effective policy recommendations for pressing issues like local government debt and real estate market excess [5]. - The need for the school to integrate innovative elements such as fintech and digital currencies into its curriculum was highlighted to adapt to future market changes [5]. - Artificial intelligence's impact on financial education and services was a key discussion point, with suggestions to incorporate AI technology into course design [5]. - The importance of green finance and sustainable development was also underscored, with calls for more research and educational activities in these areas [5]. Group 3: Institutional Commitment - The Tsinghua University administration expressed strong support for the Wudaokou School of Finance's development, aiming for significant contributions to national and global financial progress [6][8]. - The school plans to enhance its teaching quality, research capabilities, and internationalization efforts based on the valuable insights gained from the meeting [6][8].

2025年5月17日至18日，2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在深圳隆重召开。作为本届论坛的重要专题之 一，主题论坛十一以"人口老龄化的机遇与挑战"为题，聚焦全球养老金融体系建设，深入探讨人口结构 变化带来的深层影响，以及政策引导与市场机制协同下的制度应对路径。 本场论坛由清华大学五道口金融学院研究员、中国保险与养老金融研究中心主任、金融MBA教育中心主 任魏晨阳主持，并以圆桌讨论的形式展开。 论坛全程以英文进行，吸引了来自不同国家和地区的专家学者积极参与。 图为会议现场 本场论坛邀请了四位海内外嘉宾参与讨论，分别是：日本央行前行长、日本青山学院大学杰出客座教 授白川方明，原中国保险监督管理委员会党委副书记、副主席周延礼，清华五道口养老金融50人论坛 秘书长、中国人民大学公共管理学院、劳动人事学院原院长董克用，以及欧洲保险业联合会前主席塞 尔吉奥·巴比诺特。四位专家围绕养老金制度改革、人口结构变化对金融体系的影响、以及应对全球 老龄化趋势的跨国经验进行了深入研讨与交流。 魏晨阳 清华大学五道口金融学院研究员 日本青山学院大学杰出客座教授 中国保险与养老金融研究中心主任 金融MBA教育中心主任 论坛伊始，主持人魏 ...